National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Rainfall Variations During ENSO


Pohnpei/FSM Seasonal Rainfall Variations During ENSO
(Values are % of normal)

El Nino Year (0) Year (+1)
Winter Spring Summer Fall Winter Spring Summer Fall
101% 103% 100% 95% 77% 80% 97% 95%
La Nina Year (0) Year (+1)
Winter Spring Summer Fall Winter Spring Summer Fall
78% 105% 83% 96% 114% 119% 115% 97%