Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20250813_1800 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Wed 08/13 18Z 2.10 2607 83 86 17 0.00 Wed 08/13 21Z 0.29 2707 82 80 17 0.06 Thu 08/14 00Z 0.37 2809 84 84 16 0.04 Thu 08/14 03Z 0.34 2907 93 92 15 0.05 Thu 08/14 06Z 0.33 3215 92 82 15 0.09 Thu 08/14 09Z 0.07 3514 82 66 15 0.00 Thu 08/14 12Z 0.05 3513 79 56 13 0.00 Thu 08/14 15Z 0.10 3412 76 38 13 0.00 Thu 08/14 18Z 0.24 3411 77 23 12 0.00 Thu 08/14 21Z 0.20 3510 68 9 13 0.00 Fri 08/15 00Z 0.03 3510 59 3 12 0.00 Fri 08/15 03Z 0.04 0011 45 2 12 0.00 Fri 08/15 06Z 0.06 0109 33 3 12 0.00 Fri 08/15 09Z 0.07 0305 18 4 13 0.00 Fri 08/15 12Z 0.03 0901 17 4 12 0.00 Fri 08/15 15Z 0.04 2001 31 4 12 0.00 Fri 08/15 18Z 0.09 2301 47 4 13 0.00 Fri 08/15 21Z 0.09 1801 52 5 13 0.00 Sat 08/16 00Z 0.03 1806 59 5 13 0.00 Sat 08/16 03Z 0.29 2109 64 5 13 0.00 Sat 08/16 06Z 0.58 2409 72 5 12 0.00 Sat 08/16 09Z 0.40 2509 80 8 12 0.00 Sat 08/16 12Z 0.36 2508 86 29 12 0.00 Sat 08/16 15Z 0.42 2509 79 14 12 0.00 Sat 08/16 18Z 1.33 2305 85 40 13 0.00 Sat 08/16 21Z 1.14 2406 78 11 14 0.00 Sun 08/17 00Z 0.46 2509 82 17 14 0.00 Sun 08/17 03Z 0.49 2611 79 61 14 0.00 Sun 08/17 06Z 0.56 2814 67 57 15 0.00 Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.24 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1