Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20250501_1800 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Thu 05/01 18Z 0.96 2103 34 4 5 0.00 Thu 05/01 21Z 0.43 1907 31 13 7 0.00 Fri 05/02 00Z 0.08 1815 40 71 8 0.00 Fri 05/02 03Z 0.16 1925 54 97 10 0.00 Fri 05/02 06Z 0.39 2038 63 91 11 0.02 Fri 05/02 09Z 0.38 2135 76 79 13 0.00 Fri 05/02 12Z 0.35 2129 98 48 11 0.02 Fri 05/02 15Z 0.53 2327 98 87 10 0.06 Fri 05/02 18Z 0.78 2523 90 69 10 0.03 Fri 05/02 21Z 7.04 2422 85 80 10 0.02 Sat 05/03 00Z 2.89 2426 79 68 10 0.02 Sat 05/03 03Z 1.43 2631 79 14 8 0.00 Sat 05/03 06Z 0.83 2727 85 15 6 0.00 Sat 05/03 09Z 0.50 2722 80 9 6 0.00 Sat 05/03 12Z 0.34 2817 76 24 5 0.00 Sat 05/03 15Z 0.28 2712 69 71 6 0.00 Sat 05/03 18Z 0.19 2407 65 91 6 0.00 Sat 05/03 21Z 0.18 2405 78 96 6 0.00 Sun 05/04 00Z 0.12 1508 95 97 8 0.08 Sun 05/04 03Z 0.12 2007 97 97 8 0.31 Sun 05/04 06Z 0.20 2508 98 93 7 0.02 Sun 05/04 09Z 0.22 2910 95 92 6 0.02 Sun 05/04 12Z 0.17 3109 83 64 6 0.01 Sun 05/04 15Z 0.20 2908 92 83 6 0.01 Sun 05/04 18Z 0.23 3010 61 50 7 0.02 Sun 05/04 21Z 0.47 3211 54 44 6 0.01 Mon 05/05 00Z 0.17 3514 55 27 5 0.00 Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.65 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1