National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
Latest Aviation Forecast Discussion
.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 06Z Thursday...A mix of VFR/MVFR/IFR is expected 
through sunrise this morning before all terminals trend towards 
VFR during the daylight hours. Observational trends have moved 
towards low stratus as the main flight reduction source. 
Lingering low level moisture at SLK/RUT are currently leading to
bouncing IFR cigs around 500ft agl. SLK should see more 
prevailing IFR until sunrise with low stratus to 500-1000ft agl.
Fog observed in the Otter Creek Valley near RUT will likely 
waffle in and out of the RUT terminal for the next couple hours,
with at the least VCFG. Have used a TEMPO for RUT, and more 
prevailing IFR at SLK. Model guidance and observations become 
more tricky for MPV/EFK/MSS with satellite depicting some low to
mid level scattered clouds. Fog is already observed at VSF, but
it remains unclear whether fog will develop near EFK/MSS/MPV, 
or whether there will be just low stratus. Regardless, cigs at 
the least will bounce between scattered and broken 2000-3000ft 
agl, with EFK already SCT023. Have TEMPO groups for MVFR cigs at
EFK/MPV. There is better model agreement that some fog in the 
St. Lawrence may drift over MSS near sunrise, and thus have also
used a TEMPO group to depict this. Low stratus and any fog will
scour out between 12-13Z, with all terminals trending towards 
VFR conditions. Fair weather cumulus around 5000ft agl and 
scattered upper level clouds above 10,000ft agl are anticipated 
during the daylight hours. Winds will be light and variable for 
all terminals with some slight south and southwest channeling at
BTV/PBG and MSS, respectively. Winds will shift to the 
southeast towards the end of this TAF package tonight.

Outlook...

Thursday: VFR. Likely SHRA, Chance TSRA.
Thursday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Chance SHRA, Slight
chance TSRA.
Friday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA, Slight
chance TSRA.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

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