Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Northern_Greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20250524_0600 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes Northern_Greens are orthogonal to 290 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Northern_Greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Sat 05/24 06Z 0.13 3004 99 96 0 0.00 Sat 05/24 07Z 0.15 3005 99 96 0 0.01 Sat 05/24 08Z 0.17 3106 99 95 0 0.02 Sat 05/24 09Z 0.20 3107 99 95 0 0.02 Sat 05/24 10Z 0.25 3208 98 96 0 0.02 Sat 05/24 11Z 0.29 3209 98 94 0 0.02 Sat 05/24 12Z 0.34 3210 99 92 -1 0.02 Sat 05/24 13Z 0.37 3211 99 92 -1 0.02 Sat 05/24 14Z 0.40 3112 99 92 -1 0.02 Sat 05/24 15Z 0.46 3112 98 92 -1 0.02 Sat 05/24 16Z 0.52 3213 98 93 -2 0.01 Sat 05/24 17Z 0.58 3214 98 94 -2 0.02 Sat 05/24 18Z 0.63 3315 97 96 -1 0.02 Sat 05/24 19Z 0.63 3215 97 98 -1 0.01 Sat 05/24 20Z 0.59 3114 97 98 -1 0.02 Sat 05/24 21Z 0.55 3216 96 96 0 0.03 Sat 05/24 22Z 0.54 3214 96 98 0 0.01 Sat 05/24 23Z 0.57 3114 97 96 0 0.02 Sun 05/25 00Z 0.61 3117 97 95 0 0.03 Sun 05/25 01Z 0.55 3217 98 95 0 0.03 Sun 05/25 02Z 0.47 3317 97 93 0 0.04 Sun 05/25 03Z 0.40 3418 97 89 0 0.03 Sun 05/25 04Z 0.43 3418 97 89 0 0.01 Sun 05/25 05Z 0.51 3320 97 88 0 0.02 Sun 05/25 06Z 0.54 3319 98 85 0 0.02 Sun 05/25 07Z 0.48 3417 97 87 -1 0.02 Sun 05/25 08Z 0.46 3417 97 84 -1 0.02 Sun 05/25 09Z 0.45 3418 98 77 -1 0.02 Sun 05/25 10Z 0.46 3418 98 74 -1 0.02 Sun 05/25 11Z 0.41 3419 97 70 -1 0.02 Sun 05/25 12Z 0.31 3518 95 69 -1 0.01 Sun 05/25 13Z 0.24 0018 93 69 0 0.01 Sun 05/25 14Z 0.19 0018 93 67 0 0.00 Sun 05/25 15Z 0.28 3517 95 69 0 0.01 Sun 05/25 16Z 0.34 3517 96 74 0 0.01 Sun 05/25 17Z 0.48 3417 94 75 0 0.00 Sun 05/25 18Z 0.56 3415 92 79 0 0.00 Sun 05/25 19Z 0.65 3414 90 86 1 0.00 Sun 05/25 20Z 1.22 3414 91 81 1 0.00 Sun 05/25 21Z 0.99 3211 92 84 1 0.00 Sun 05/25 22Z 0.65 3110 91 95 2 0.00 Sun 05/25 23Z 0.51 2909 89 95 2 0.01 Mon 05/26 00Z 0.45 2909 92 97 2 0.08 Mon 05/26 01Z 0.39 3310 90 86 2 0.10 Mon 05/26 02Z 0.32 3412 86 65 2 0.02 Mon 05/26 03Z 0.23 3512 83 61 2 0.02 Mon 05/26 04Z 0.27 3511 85 63 2 0.01 Mon 05/26 05Z 0.21 3511 84 65 2 0.00 Mon 05/26 06Z 0.19 3511 91 71 2 0.01 Mon 05/26 07Z 0.18 3511 90 75 2 0.02 Mon 05/26 08Z 0.14 0011 84 76 2 0.01 Mon 05/26 09Z 0.07 0113 76 71 2 0.01 Mon 05/26 10Z 0.04 0115 69 76 2 0.00 Mon 05/26 11Z 0.04 0115 67 75 2 0.00 Mon 05/26 12Z 0.08 0115 68 69 2 0.00 Mon 05/26 13Z 0.09 0115 69 57 2 0.00 Mon 05/26 14Z 0.06 0114 72 59 2 0.00 Mon 05/26 15Z 0.04 0112 74 59 2 0.00 Mon 05/26 16Z 0.19 0109 76 53 2 0.00 Mon 05/26 17Z 0.75 3507 76 43 3 0.00 Run total areal avg QPF for the Northern_Greens is: 0.92 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1