
A Wind Advisory is in effect from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM this evening for portions of northern New York and Vermont. South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 45 mph expected. Strongest gusts will be along the northern slopes of the Adirondacks and along the shores of Lake Champlain. Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects and may make for difficult driving conditions, so use caution. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Northern_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20251123_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Northern_Greens are orthogonal to 290 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Northern_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 11/23 18Z 0.13 2209 99 82 -6 0.00
Sun 11/23 19Z 0.17 2209 98 90 -6 0.00
Sun 11/23 20Z 0.16 2308 98 90 -5 0.01
Sun 11/23 21Z 0.15 2308 98 90 -5 0.01
Sun 11/23 22Z 0.13 2207 98 89 -5 0.01
Sun 11/23 23Z 0.10 2206 97 87 -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 00Z 0.13 2406 97 85 -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 01Z 0.16 2506 96 86 -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 02Z 0.21 2706 95 88 -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 03Z 0.27 2808 94 84 -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 04Z 0.30 2809 93 85 -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 05Z 0.33 2909 94 85 -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 06Z 0.40 2911 97 85 -5 0.01
Mon 11/24 07Z 0.53 2914 98 83 -5 0.02
Mon 11/24 08Z 0.58 2916 98 79 -5 0.02
Mon 11/24 09Z 0.62 3017 98 77 -5 0.03
Mon 11/24 10Z 0.65 3019 98 71 -6 0.03
Mon 11/24 11Z 0.66 3020 98 65 -6 0.03
Mon 11/24 12Z 0.71 3022 98 56 -6 0.03
Mon 11/24 13Z 0.80 3023 98 47 -6 0.03
Mon 11/24 14Z 0.85 3024 98 62 -7 0.03
Mon 11/24 15Z 0.80 3022 98 49 -7 0.03
Mon 11/24 16Z 0.71 3020 98 28 -7 0.02
Mon 11/24 17Z 0.65 3019 96 5 -7 0.02
Mon 11/24 18Z 0.52 2918 92 2 -6 0.01
Mon 11/24 19Z 0.51 2818 89 7 -5 0.01
Mon 11/24 20Z 0.49 2920 81 10 -4 0.01
Mon 11/24 21Z 0.40 2919 65 26 -2 0.00
Mon 11/24 22Z 0.39 2919 55 38 -1 0.00
Mon 11/24 23Z 0.40 2820 45 73 0 0.00
Tue 11/25 00Z 0.40 2820 40 78 0 0.00
Tue 11/25 01Z 0.41 2720 28 93 0 0.00
Tue 11/25 02Z 0.47 2720 22 90 0 0.00
Tue 11/25 03Z 0.50 2619 28 92 0 0.00
Tue 11/25 04Z 0.42 2421 17 89 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 05Z 0.49 2426 14 91 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 06Z 0.60 2529 14 79 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 07Z 0.68 2530 14 75 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 08Z 0.70 2629 15 80 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 09Z 0.70 2629 17 77 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 10Z 0.68 2727 19 79 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 11Z 0.65 2725 22 85 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 12Z 0.60 2723 27 92 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 13Z 0.50 2621 29 92 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 14Z 0.42 2618 33 91 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 15Z 0.32 2515 35 90 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 16Z 0.25 2513 34 81 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 17Z 0.21 2413 32 72 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 18Z 0.18 2314 34 68 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 19Z 0.14 2214 36 63 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 20Z 0.12 2213 33 56 3 0.00
Tue 11/25 21Z 0.13 2213 36 71 3 0.00
Tue 11/25 22Z 0.15 2214 39 77 3 0.00
Tue 11/25 23Z 0.13 2214 39 81 3 0.00
Wed 11/26 00Z 0.13 2214 41 80 3 0.00
Wed 11/26 01Z 0.12 2213 43 72 3 0.00
Wed 11/26 02Z 0.11 2213 45 84 4 0.00
Wed 11/26 03Z 0.08 2113 49 94 4 0.00
Wed 11/26 04Z 0.08 2114 57 97 3 0.00
Wed 11/26 05Z 0.07 2114 66 97 3 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Northern_Greens is: 0.36 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1