National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Wind Advisory in Effect Today

A Wind Advisory is in effect from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM this evening for portions of northern New York and Vermont. South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 45 mph expected. Strongest gusts will be along the northern slopes of the Adirondacks and along the shores of Lake Champlain. Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects and may make for difficult driving conditions, so use caution. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Northern_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20251123_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Northern_Greens are orthogonal to 290 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Northern_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 11/23 18Z 0.13 2209  99  82  -6 0.00
Sun 11/23 19Z 0.17 2209  98  90  -6 0.00
Sun 11/23 20Z 0.16 2308  98  90  -5 0.01
Sun 11/23 21Z 0.15 2308  98  90  -5 0.01
Sun 11/23 22Z 0.13 2207  98  89  -5 0.01
Sun 11/23 23Z 0.10 2206  97  87  -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 00Z 0.13 2406  97  85  -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 01Z 0.16 2506  96  86  -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 02Z 0.21 2706  95  88  -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 03Z 0.27 2808  94  84  -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 04Z 0.30 2809  93  85  -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 05Z 0.33 2909  94  85  -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 06Z 0.40 2911  97  85  -5 0.01
Mon 11/24 07Z 0.53 2914  98  83  -5 0.02
Mon 11/24 08Z 0.58 2916  98  79  -5 0.02
Mon 11/24 09Z 0.62 3017  98  77  -5 0.03
Mon 11/24 10Z 0.65 3019  98  71  -6 0.03
Mon 11/24 11Z 0.66 3020  98  65  -6 0.03
Mon 11/24 12Z 0.71 3022  98  56  -6 0.03
Mon 11/24 13Z 0.80 3023  98  47  -6 0.03
Mon 11/24 14Z 0.85 3024  98  62  -7 0.03
Mon 11/24 15Z 0.80 3022  98  49  -7 0.03
Mon 11/24 16Z 0.71 3020  98  28  -7 0.02
Mon 11/24 17Z 0.65 3019  96   5  -7 0.02
Mon 11/24 18Z 0.52 2918  92   2  -6 0.01
Mon 11/24 19Z 0.51 2818  89   7  -5 0.01
Mon 11/24 20Z 0.49 2920  81  10  -4 0.01
Mon 11/24 21Z 0.40 2919  65  26  -2 0.00
Mon 11/24 22Z 0.39 2919  55  38  -1 0.00
Mon 11/24 23Z 0.40 2820  45  73   0 0.00
Tue 11/25 00Z 0.40 2820  40  78   0 0.00
Tue 11/25 01Z 0.41 2720  28  93   0 0.00
Tue 11/25 02Z 0.47 2720  22  90   0 0.00
Tue 11/25 03Z 0.50 2619  28  92   0 0.00
Tue 11/25 04Z 0.42 2421  17  89   1 0.00
Tue 11/25 05Z 0.49 2426  14  91   1 0.00
Tue 11/25 06Z 0.60 2529  14  79   1 0.00
Tue 11/25 07Z 0.68 2530  14  75   1 0.00
Tue 11/25 08Z 0.70 2629  15  80   1 0.00
Tue 11/25 09Z 0.70 2629  17  77   1 0.00
Tue 11/25 10Z 0.68 2727  19  79   1 0.00
Tue 11/25 11Z 0.65 2725  22  85   1 0.00
Tue 11/25 12Z 0.60 2723  27  92   1 0.00
Tue 11/25 13Z 0.50 2621  29  92   1 0.00
Tue 11/25 14Z 0.42 2618  33  91   1 0.00
Tue 11/25 15Z 0.32 2515  35  90   2 0.00
Tue 11/25 16Z 0.25 2513  34  81   2 0.00
Tue 11/25 17Z 0.21 2413  32  72   2 0.00
Tue 11/25 18Z 0.18 2314  34  68   2 0.00
Tue 11/25 19Z 0.14 2214  36  63   2 0.00
Tue 11/25 20Z 0.12 2213  33  56   3 0.00
Tue 11/25 21Z 0.13 2213  36  71   3 0.00
Tue 11/25 22Z 0.15 2214  39  77   3 0.00
Tue 11/25 23Z 0.13 2214  39  81   3 0.00
Wed 11/26 00Z 0.13 2214  41  80   3 0.00
Wed 11/26 01Z 0.12 2213  43  72   3 0.00
Wed 11/26 02Z 0.11 2213  45  84   4 0.00
Wed 11/26 03Z 0.08 2113  49  94   4 0.00
Wed 11/26 04Z 0.08 2114  57  97   3 0.00
Wed 11/26 05Z 0.07 2114  66  97   3 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the Northern_Greens is: 0.36 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1