Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Northern_Greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20250501_1200 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes Northern_Greens are orthogonal to 290 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Northern_Greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Thu 05/01 12Z 0.16 3006 32 13 3 0.00 Thu 05/01 13Z 0.18 3007 33 11 3 0.00 Thu 05/01 14Z 0.17 3006 36 9 3 0.00 Thu 05/01 15Z 0.14 2804 38 7 3 0.00 Thu 05/01 16Z 0.14 2303 42 5 3 0.00 Thu 05/01 17Z 0.26 2204 45 4 3 0.00 Thu 05/01 18Z 0.29 2203 44 4 4 0.00 Thu 05/01 19Z 0.20 2104 44 5 5 0.00 Thu 05/01 20Z 0.16 2004 43 7 5 0.00 Thu 05/01 21Z 0.08 2004 41 7 6 0.00 Thu 05/01 22Z 0.10 1806 40 8 7 0.00 Thu 05/01 23Z 0.13 1709 37 13 7 0.00 Fri 05/02 00Z 0.14 1711 34 39 8 0.00 Fri 05/02 01Z 0.14 1815 34 76 8 0.00 Fri 05/02 02Z 0.13 1818 40 95 8 0.00 Fri 05/02 03Z 0.07 1921 52 98 8 0.00 Fri 05/02 04Z 0.18 1823 73 97 7 0.02 Fri 05/02 05Z 0.16 1828 79 96 8 0.05 Fri 05/02 06Z 0.09 1929 80 94 9 0.06 Fri 05/02 07Z 0.08 2033 91 95 9 0.17 Fri 05/02 08Z 0.10 2032 90 85 10 0.06 Fri 05/02 09Z 0.09 2030 93 85 11 0.01 Fri 05/02 10Z 0.09 2028 93 83 11 0.01 Fri 05/02 11Z 0.10 2029 96 89 11 0.01 Fri 05/02 12Z 0.23 2228 97 95 10 0.07 Fri 05/02 13Z 0.31 2325 98 96 9 0.08 Fri 05/02 14Z 0.34 2322 94 92 9 0.06 Fri 05/02 15Z 0.37 2322 94 43 9 0.00 Fri 05/02 16Z 0.45 2422 91 61 9 0.00 Fri 05/02 17Z 0.60 2422 92 63 9 0.00 Fri 05/02 18Z 0.78 2420 91 61 9 0.00 Fri 05/02 19Z 2.35 2422 93 78 9 0.00 Fri 05/02 20Z 1.51 2321 92 42 9 0.00 Fri 05/02 21Z 1.61 2321 92 42 9 0.00 Fri 05/02 22Z 2.58 2423 88 56 9 0.01 Fri 05/02 23Z 0.98 2425 84 38 10 0.01 Sat 05/03 00Z 0.86 2527 83 65 10 0.00 Sat 05/03 01Z 0.81 2429 79 47 10 0.00 Sat 05/03 02Z 0.83 2529 78 24 10 0.00 Sat 05/03 03Z 1.05 2529 84 29 8 0.00 Sat 05/03 04Z 0.98 2527 87 12 7 0.00 Sat 05/03 05Z 1.02 2525 94 18 6 0.00 Sat 05/03 06Z 1.02 2525 96 35 6 0.01 Sat 05/03 07Z 0.77 2621 98 29 5 0.03 Sat 05/03 08Z 0.62 2621 96 30 5 0.02 Sat 05/03 09Z 0.48 2621 92 21 5 0.02 Sat 05/03 10Z 0.45 2721 91 19 4 0.01 Sat 05/03 11Z 0.41 2720 81 23 4 0.01 Sat 05/03 12Z 0.41 2721 76 28 4 0.01 Sat 05/03 13Z 0.37 2719 70 56 5 0.00 Sat 05/03 14Z 0.33 2816 66 78 5 0.00 Sat 05/03 15Z 0.31 2714 64 69 5 0.00 Sat 05/03 16Z 0.23 2810 60 85 5 0.00 Sat 05/03 17Z 0.20 2608 61 84 4 0.00 Sat 05/03 18Z 0.23 2608 63 95 4 0.00 Sat 05/03 19Z 0.22 2608 76 99 3 0.01 Sat 05/03 20Z 0.18 2508 84 98 4 0.02 Sat 05/03 21Z 0.17 2508 83 99 4 0.02 Sat 05/03 22Z 0.16 2607 90 97 4 0.11 Sat 05/03 23Z 0.15 2606 87 92 5 0.03 Run total areal avg QPF for the Northern_Greens is: 0.92 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1