Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Northern_Greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20250905_1800 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes Northern_Greens are orthogonal to 290 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Northern_Greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Fri 09/05 18Z 0.35 1912 87 6 11 0.00 Fri 09/05 19Z 0.46 1915 87 5 11 0.00 Fri 09/05 20Z 0.13 1919 84 7 12 0.00 Fri 09/05 21Z 0.13 2023 80 12 12 0.00 Fri 09/05 22Z 0.08 2024 81 18 12 0.00 Fri 09/05 23Z 0.13 2028 85 24 12 0.00 Sat 09/06 00Z 0.20 2034 85 39 12 0.00 Sat 09/06 01Z 0.29 2135 82 41 13 0.00 Sat 09/06 02Z 0.31 2136 87 1 13 0.00 Sat 09/06 03Z 0.35 2138 85 13 13 0.00 Sat 09/06 04Z 0.41 2141 87 40 14 0.00 Sat 09/06 05Z 0.54 2240 96 94 12 0.04 Sat 09/06 06Z 0.94 2626 96 67 10 0.14 Sat 09/06 07Z 0.73 2621 94 74 10 0.02 Sat 09/06 08Z 0.67 2620 92 67 9 0.01 Sat 09/06 09Z 0.58 2521 75 59 10 0.01 Sat 09/06 10Z 0.60 2520 74 71 9 0.00 Sat 09/06 11Z 0.54 2521 74 61 10 0.00 Sat 09/06 12Z 0.44 2421 76 59 10 0.00 Sat 09/06 13Z 0.37 2319 79 74 10 0.00 Sat 09/06 14Z 0.38 2318 80 82 10 0.00 Sat 09/06 15Z 0.35 2317 76 85 9 0.00 Sat 09/06 16Z 0.39 2415 69 95 9 0.00 Sat 09/06 17Z 0.56 2515 63 93 8 0.00 Sat 09/06 18Z 0.93 2716 82 97 7 0.01 Sat 09/06 19Z 0.73 2815 94 90 7 0.01 Sat 09/06 20Z 0.32 2613 94 94 7 0.03 Sat 09/06 21Z 0.32 2416 91 98 7 0.05 Sat 09/06 22Z 0.31 2418 81 96 9 0.03 Sat 09/06 23Z 0.32 2514 63 91 8 0.00 Sun 09/07 00Z 0.44 2715 51 88 8 0.00 Sun 09/07 01Z 0.49 2716 48 96 8 0.00 Sun 09/07 02Z 0.39 2613 60 92 7 0.00 Sun 09/07 03Z 0.39 2612 63 91 6 0.01 Sun 09/07 04Z 0.31 2609 67 92 6 0.01 Sun 09/07 05Z 0.31 2709 74 97 6 0.00 Sun 09/07 06Z 0.31 2708 82 97 5 0.00 Sun 09/07 07Z 0.29 2709 84 91 6 0.01 Sun 09/07 08Z 0.30 2709 86 86 6 0.00 Sun 09/07 09Z 0.26 2608 84 72 6 0.00 Sun 09/07 10Z 0.17 2506 80 72 6 0.00 Sun 09/07 11Z 0.12 2505 76 46 6 0.00 Sun 09/07 12Z 0.07 2403 74 20 6 0.00 Sun 09/07 13Z 0.07 2304 77 13 6 0.00 Sun 09/07 14Z 0.10 2304 80 12 5 0.00 Sun 09/07 15Z 0.16 2305 85 20 5 0.00 Sun 09/07 16Z 0.33 2306 88 26 5 0.00 Sun 09/07 17Z 0.82 2407 88 23 5 0.00 Sun 09/07 18Z 1.45 2409 87 28 5 0.00 Sun 09/07 19Z 1.32 2410 87 41 6 0.00 Sun 09/07 20Z 1.22 2511 85 64 6 0.01 Sun 09/07 21Z 1.49 2513 85 60 6 0.00 Sun 09/07 22Z 0.97 2514 89 66 6 0.00 Sun 09/07 23Z 0.76 2615 89 78 6 0.01 Mon 09/08 00Z 0.91 2618 87 64 5 0.00 Mon 09/08 01Z 0.96 2720 93 62 5 0.04 Mon 09/08 02Z 0.93 2823 92 68 4 0.04 Mon 09/08 03Z 0.99 2923 90 44 4 0.02 Mon 09/08 04Z 0.75 2922 78 29 4 0.01 Mon 09/08 05Z 0.84 2922 81 34 3 0.00 Run total areal avg QPF for the Northern_Greens is: 0.51 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1