National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Gusty Winds in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast; Atmospheric River to Impact the Northwest

Gusty winds are expected from portions of the Mid-Atlantic into the Northeast through the night following the system that brought rain to the area. An atmospheric river will move into the Northwest late today into Saturday bringing moderate to heavy rainfall, mountain snow, windy conditions, and high surf to the area over the weekend. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Northern_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20251102_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Northern_Greens are orthogonal to 290 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Northern_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 11/02 06Z 0.76 2918  94   9  -5 0.00
Sun 11/02 07Z 0.66 2920  89   9  -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 08Z 0.68 2921  89   8  -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 09Z 0.63 2921  92   7  -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 10Z 0.60 2920  91   7  -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 11Z 0.62 2921  91   8  -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 12Z 0.67 2921  91   9  -5 0.01
Sun 11/02 13Z 0.62 3021  89   8  -5 0.01
Sun 11/02 14Z 0.55 2919  87   8  -4 0.01
Sun 11/02 15Z 0.46 2917  84   8  -4 0.01
Sun 11/02 16Z 0.46 2917  84   8  -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 17Z 0.43 2816  85   7  -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 18Z 0.42 2715  85   7  -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 19Z 0.44 2716  86   7  -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 20Z 0.44 2616  85   7  -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 21Z 0.44 2617  82   6  -3 0.00
Sun 11/02 22Z 0.44 2619  80   5  -2 0.00
Sun 11/02 23Z 0.47 2719  79   6  -2 0.00
Mon 11/03 00Z 0.48 2719  78   6  -2 0.00
Mon 11/03 01Z 0.43 2717  74   5  -2 0.00
Mon 11/03 02Z 0.39 2717  70   8  -1 0.00
Mon 11/03 03Z 0.42 2719  69  13  -1 0.00
Mon 11/03 04Z 0.47 2720  68  14  -1 0.00
Mon 11/03 05Z 0.54 2622  63  18   0 0.00
Mon 11/03 06Z 0.58 2624  59  22   0 0.00
Mon 11/03 07Z 0.64 2525  63  27   0 0.00
Mon 11/03 08Z 0.75 2527  79  35   0 0.00
Mon 11/03 09Z 0.74 2427  81  48   1 0.00
Mon 11/03 10Z 0.79 2429  82  60   1 0.00
Mon 11/03 11Z 0.76 2332  83  65   1 0.00
Mon 11/03 12Z 0.77 2333  82  69   2 0.00
Mon 11/03 13Z 0.75 2334  78  80   2 0.00
Mon 11/03 14Z 0.68 2334  78  81   2 0.00
Mon 11/03 15Z 0.55 2234  76  79   2 0.00
Mon 11/03 16Z 0.56 2233  80  81   2 0.00
Mon 11/03 17Z 0.58 2234  81  78   2 0.00
Mon 11/03 18Z 0.53 2234  82  82   2 0.00
Mon 11/03 19Z 0.51 2134  82  91   2 0.00
Mon 11/03 20Z 0.30 2034  84  96   1 0.01
Mon 11/03 21Z 0.10 2033  85  91   1 0.02
Mon 11/03 22Z 0.39 2134  92  94   0 0.07
Mon 11/03 23Z 0.73 2335  98  96   0 0.10
Tue 11/04 00Z 1.22 2432  97  89  -1 0.09
Tue 11/04 01Z 1.06 2530  97  81  -1 0.04
Tue 11/04 02Z 1.04 2629  97  78  -1 0.05
Tue 11/04 03Z 1.08 2628  97  67  -1 0.03
Tue 11/04 04Z 1.07 2730  98  91  -2 0.05
Tue 11/04 05Z 1.18 2731  98  89  -2 0.06
Tue 11/04 06Z 1.25 2831  98  81  -2 0.05
Tue 11/04 07Z 1.37 2933  98  87  -2 0.08
Tue 11/04 08Z 1.40 2935  99  90  -2 0.07
Tue 11/04 09Z 1.45 2937  98  90  -3 0.08
Tue 11/04 10Z 1.44 2937  98  91  -3 0.07
Tue 11/04 11Z 1.44 3037  98  89  -3 0.06
Tue 11/04 12Z 1.50 3037  98  85  -4 0.05
Tue 11/04 13Z 1.51 3037  98  88  -4 0.07
Tue 11/04 14Z 1.49 3035  98  74  -4 0.07
Tue 11/04 15Z 1.47 2932  98  25  -4 0.05
Tue 11/04 16Z 1.57 2929  97  27  -5 0.04
Tue 11/04 17Z 1.71 2927  95  28  -5 0.02

Run total areal avg QPF for the Northern_Greens is: 1.27 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1