
Gusty winds are expected from portions of the Mid-Atlantic into the Northeast through the night following the system that brought rain to the area. An atmospheric river will move into the Northwest late today into Saturday bringing moderate to heavy rainfall, mountain snow, windy conditions, and high surf to the area over the weekend. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Northern_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20251102_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Northern_Greens are orthogonal to 290 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Northern_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 11/02 06Z 0.76 2918 94 9 -5 0.00
Sun 11/02 07Z 0.66 2920 89 9 -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 08Z 0.68 2921 89 8 -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 09Z 0.63 2921 92 7 -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 10Z 0.60 2920 91 7 -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 11Z 0.62 2921 91 8 -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 12Z 0.67 2921 91 9 -5 0.01
Sun 11/02 13Z 0.62 3021 89 8 -5 0.01
Sun 11/02 14Z 0.55 2919 87 8 -4 0.01
Sun 11/02 15Z 0.46 2917 84 8 -4 0.01
Sun 11/02 16Z 0.46 2917 84 8 -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 17Z 0.43 2816 85 7 -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 18Z 0.42 2715 85 7 -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 19Z 0.44 2716 86 7 -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 20Z 0.44 2616 85 7 -4 0.00
Sun 11/02 21Z 0.44 2617 82 6 -3 0.00
Sun 11/02 22Z 0.44 2619 80 5 -2 0.00
Sun 11/02 23Z 0.47 2719 79 6 -2 0.00
Mon 11/03 00Z 0.48 2719 78 6 -2 0.00
Mon 11/03 01Z 0.43 2717 74 5 -2 0.00
Mon 11/03 02Z 0.39 2717 70 8 -1 0.00
Mon 11/03 03Z 0.42 2719 69 13 -1 0.00
Mon 11/03 04Z 0.47 2720 68 14 -1 0.00
Mon 11/03 05Z 0.54 2622 63 18 0 0.00
Mon 11/03 06Z 0.58 2624 59 22 0 0.00
Mon 11/03 07Z 0.64 2525 63 27 0 0.00
Mon 11/03 08Z 0.75 2527 79 35 0 0.00
Mon 11/03 09Z 0.74 2427 81 48 1 0.00
Mon 11/03 10Z 0.79 2429 82 60 1 0.00
Mon 11/03 11Z 0.76 2332 83 65 1 0.00
Mon 11/03 12Z 0.77 2333 82 69 2 0.00
Mon 11/03 13Z 0.75 2334 78 80 2 0.00
Mon 11/03 14Z 0.68 2334 78 81 2 0.00
Mon 11/03 15Z 0.55 2234 76 79 2 0.00
Mon 11/03 16Z 0.56 2233 80 81 2 0.00
Mon 11/03 17Z 0.58 2234 81 78 2 0.00
Mon 11/03 18Z 0.53 2234 82 82 2 0.00
Mon 11/03 19Z 0.51 2134 82 91 2 0.00
Mon 11/03 20Z 0.30 2034 84 96 1 0.01
Mon 11/03 21Z 0.10 2033 85 91 1 0.02
Mon 11/03 22Z 0.39 2134 92 94 0 0.07
Mon 11/03 23Z 0.73 2335 98 96 0 0.10
Tue 11/04 00Z 1.22 2432 97 89 -1 0.09
Tue 11/04 01Z 1.06 2530 97 81 -1 0.04
Tue 11/04 02Z 1.04 2629 97 78 -1 0.05
Tue 11/04 03Z 1.08 2628 97 67 -1 0.03
Tue 11/04 04Z 1.07 2730 98 91 -2 0.05
Tue 11/04 05Z 1.18 2731 98 89 -2 0.06
Tue 11/04 06Z 1.25 2831 98 81 -2 0.05
Tue 11/04 07Z 1.37 2933 98 87 -2 0.08
Tue 11/04 08Z 1.40 2935 99 90 -2 0.07
Tue 11/04 09Z 1.45 2937 98 90 -3 0.08
Tue 11/04 10Z 1.44 2937 98 91 -3 0.07
Tue 11/04 11Z 1.44 3037 98 89 -3 0.06
Tue 11/04 12Z 1.50 3037 98 85 -4 0.05
Tue 11/04 13Z 1.51 3037 98 88 -4 0.07
Tue 11/04 14Z 1.49 3035 98 74 -4 0.07
Tue 11/04 15Z 1.47 2932 98 25 -4 0.05
Tue 11/04 16Z 1.57 2929 97 27 -5 0.04
Tue 11/04 17Z 1.71 2927 95 28 -5 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the Northern_Greens is: 1.27 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1