National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
446 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

...MAINLY DRY WEATHER INTO SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION THIS MORNING WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. THERE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS THIS
AFTERNOON OVER NORTHERN SECTIONS WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT
FROM SOUTHERN ONTARIO/QUEBEC. THIS FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. IT WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY A LOT OF CLOUDS...BUT NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
PRECIPITATION. EXPECT NOTHING MORE THAN A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS OR
SPRINKLES...MAINLY OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. DRIER AIR WILL
WORK INTO THE REGION THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM BUILDS SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA. THIS HIGH WILL BE OVER THE
NORTH COUNTRY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. COLD TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT WHEN WIDESPREAD FROST/FREEZE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. AS THE HIGH MOVES OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...IT WILL TURN MILDER AND REMAIN MOSTLY DRY.
THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS BY SUNDAY AS A
FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES.


EASTERN CLINTON-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-
WESTERN CHITTENDEN-WESTERN ADDISON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...PORT HENRY...
TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...BURLINGTON...
MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES
446 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            20           20           
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
MAX/MIN/MAX TEMP      66           45           57           
20FTWND AM(MPH)       LGT/VAR                   NW 12 G18    
20FTWND PM(MPH)       SW  6        S  5 G15     N 12         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 PM        
MIN/MAX/MIN RH %      40           98           37           
HAINES INDEX          3            2            4            
LAL                   1            1            1            
MIXING HGT            8210                      7340         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     NW 14        
VENTILATION RATE      98150                     87810        

REMARKS...NONE.

$$
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STAR LAKE...SARANAC LAKE...
TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID
446 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            30           30           
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
MAX/MIN/MAX TEMP      64           41           51           
20FTWND AM(MPH)       LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G19    
20FTWND PM(MPH)       SW  7        SW  6 G16    N 11         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 PM        
MIN/MAX/MIN RH %      42           100          43           
HAINES INDEX          3            2            4            
LAL                   1            1            1            
MIXING HGT            10120                     7080         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NW 12        
VENTILATION RATE      96180                     87260        

REMARKS...NONE.

$$
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...OGDENSBURG...
POTSDAM...GOUVERNEUR
446 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            30           20           
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
MAX/MIN/MAX TEMP      66           44           54           
20FTWND AM(MPH)       LGT/VAR                   N  8 G17        
20FTWND PM(MPH)       SW 10 G17    SW  7 G17    N 11         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       6 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   11 AM        
MIN/MAX/MIN RH %      46           98           32           
HAINES INDEX          2            2            4            
LAL                   1            1            1            
MIXING HGT            6860                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     N 12         
VENTILATION RATE      101680                    69220        

REMARKS...NONE.

$$

---------- FIRE WEATHER FORECAST FROM NWS ALBANY ----------

HAMILTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKE PLEASANT...SPECULATOR...
INDIAN LAKE
407 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
TEMP (24H TREND)      62 (+4)      37 (-4)      57           
RH % (24H TREND)      48 (-26)     97 (-3)      51           
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       LGT/VAR                   NW  5        
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       SW  8        W  5         N  8         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    6 AM         
PRECIP END                                      5 PM         
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    6030                      6710         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W 15         
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     25000                     44880        
DISPERSION            5                         5            
LAL                   1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3            

REMARKS...NONE.

$$
SOUTHERN FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...GLOVERSVILLE
407 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
TEMP (24H TREND)      66 (+6)      43 (+2)      64           
RH % (24H TREND)      47 (-15)     88 (-12)     46           
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       W  5                      W  5         
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       W  9         LGT/VAR      NW  9        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    9 AM         
PRECIP END                                      5 PM         
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    6090                      7310         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 15        
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     36320                     45520        
DISPERSION            5                         5            
LAL                   1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3            

REMARKS...NONE.

$$
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT ANN...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE
407 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
TEMP (24H TREND)      65 (+4)      40 (-1)      60           
RH % (24H TREND)      44 (-28)     92 (-6)      49           
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       SW  6        LGT/VAR      N  9 G18     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      5 PM         
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    6230                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW  9        
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     21310                     18920        
DISPERSION            5                         5            
LAL                   1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3            

REMARKS...NONE.

$$

---------- FIRE WEATHER FORECAST FROM NWS BUFFALO ----------

OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
445 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           30           30
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       66           43           56
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      N  7
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW  8      LGT/VAR         N  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.01         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                                  4 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING        10 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               50          100           50
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7210           70         4910
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 12        SW  7         N 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               86520          490        54010
DISPERSION INDEX                   87            0           54
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

---------- FIRE WEATHER FORECAST FROM NWS BINGHAMTON ----------

MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ONEIDA...UTICA...ROME
514 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SPRINKLES    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
TEMP (24H TREND)      66 (+5)      43 (-1)      61           
RH % (24H TREND)      46 (-8)      100 (0)      51           
20 FOOT WIND/AM
  10-MIN-AVG (MPH)    LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20 FOOT WIND/PM
  10-MIN-AVG (MPH)    W 3-7        LGT/VAR      NW 7-11      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    6 AM         
PRECIP END                                      4 PM         
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    6950                      6930         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NW 14        
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     62530                     90130        
DSI                   2            2            1            
LAL                   NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3            

REMARKS...NONE.

$$
YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PENN YAN...SENECA FALLS...AUBURN...
SYRACUSE
514 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SPRINKLES    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
TEMP (24H TREND)      66 (+3)      46 (+1)      59           
RH % (24H TREND)      43 (-5)      100 (0)      51           
20 FOOT WIND/AM
  10-MIN-AVG (MPH)    LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20 FOOT WIND/PM
  10-MIN-AVG (MPH)    W 3-7        LGT/VAR      NW 6-10      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    6 AM         
PRECIP END                                      2 PM         
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    7650                      6020         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NW 10        
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     67580                     60210        
DSI                   2            2            1            
LAL                   NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3            

REMARKS...NONE.

$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY DENSE FOG. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. PATCHY DENSE FOG. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$