National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
444 AM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...SLOW INCREASE IN MOISTURE TODAY WITH CHANCE OF STORMS WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST
EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND REACH THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF MAINE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. MOISTURE WILL BE
INCREASING OVER THE AREA IN RESPONSE TO THIS SYSTEM...ESPECIALLY
OVER VERMONT AS IT WILL BE CLOSER TO THE APPROACHING UPPER LOW.
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE ABOUT 10 PERCENT HIGHER THAN
YESTERDAY AND THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS VERMONT
AND ESSEX COUNTY NEW YORK THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE COMING TO AN END
TONIGHT. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN
INCH. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MORNING...BUT AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA AND
ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
CENTRAL NEW YORK AND VERMONT. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
BE ANOTHER 5 TO 10 PERCENT HIGHER THAN TUESDAY. WINDS WILL BE A
BIT GUSTY ON WEDNESDAY WITH READINGS IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LOOKING AHEAD THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE A DRY
DAY...BUT THEN FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY IN RESPONSE TO WARMER TEMPERATURES AND
HIGHER HUMIDITIES.


EASTERN CLINTON-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-
WESTERN CHITTENDEN-WESTERN ADDISON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...PORT HENRY...
TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...BURLINGTON...
MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES
444 AM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           0            40           
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        
MAX/MIN TEMP          79           56           80           
20FTWND AM(MPH)       LGT/VAR                   SW  6    
20FTWND PM(MPH)       N  5 G12     LGT/VAR      W  8 G20     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.04         
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM                      1 PM         
PRECIP END            6 PM                      CONTINUING   
HUMIDITY (%)          30           93           38           
HAINES INDEX          5            6            6            
LAL                   2            2            3            
MIXING HGT            9850                      10310        
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     SW 20        
VENTILATION RATE      58590                     220930       

REMARKS...NONE.

$$
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STAR LAKE...SARANAC LAKE...
TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID
444 AM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
PRECIP CHC (%)        10           0            40           
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
MAX/MIN TEMP          79           53           77           
20FTWND AM(MPH)       LGT/VAR                   W  7     
20FTWND PM(MPH)       N  5         LGT/VAR      W 11 G25     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         
PRECIP DURATION       0                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
HUMIDITY (%)          24           87           38           
HAINES INDEX          5            6            5            
LAL                   2            2            3            
MIXING HGT            12150                     10750        
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      W 18         
VENTILATION RATE      93760                     202260       

REMARKS...NONE.

$$
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...OGDENSBURG...
POTSDAM...GOUVERNEUR
444 AM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            40           
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           55           79           
20FTWND AM(MPH)       LGT/VAR                   SW  7    
20FTWND PM(MPH)       W  5         SW  5        W  9 G21     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
HUMIDITY (%)          28           89           43           
HAINES INDEX          6            6            5            
LAL                   1            1            3            
MIXING HGT            8840                      9070         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     W 24         
VENTILATION RATE      68670                     235720       

REMARKS...NONE.

$$

---------- FIRE WEATHER FORECAST FROM NWS ALBANY ----------

HAMILTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LONG LAKE...SABATTIS...HOFFMEISTER...
WELLS
422 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           20           
TEMP (24H TREND)      45 (-1)      79 (+6)      49           80           
RH % (24H TREND)      82 (-2)      42 (+9)      93           37           
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    W  9 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NW  7        W 15         W 11 G20     S  6         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.02         0.01         
PRECIP DURATION                    1            0            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   10 PM        CONTINUING   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 8000                      7440         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      W 12         
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  114220                    48130        
DISPERSION                         5                         5            
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
HAINES INDEX          4            4            2            3            

REMARKS...NONE.

$$
SOUTHERN FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN
422 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           0            10           
TEMP (24H TREND)      49 (-3)      80 (+6)      55           81           
RH % (24H TREND)      83 (+4)      45 (0)       92           48           
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    W 10 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       W  8         W 14         W 11 G19     S  6         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM                      12 PM        
PRECIP END                         6 PM                      CONTINUING   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 6950                      6730         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      SW  7        
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  74230                     17270        
DISPERSION                         5                         5            
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
HAINES INDEX          4            4            2            2            

REMARKS...NONE.

$$
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HULETTS LANDING...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE
422 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
TEMP (24H TREND)      50 (-1)      82 (+11)     55           82           
RH % (24H TREND)      92 (+7)      37 (-13)     91           39           
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SW  6 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       LGT/VAR      W 11         W  8         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM                                                
PRECIP END            10 PM                                               
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 10610                     4060         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      NW  2        
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  105820                    4700         
DISPERSION                         5                         3            
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3            3            

REMARKS...NONE.

$$

---------- FIRE WEATHER FORECAST FROM NWS BUFFALO ----------

OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
347 AM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR       MCLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           30
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       80           52           80
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     SW  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  7        SW  5         W  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                                               1
PRECIP BEGIN                                               1 PM
PRECIP END                                                 6 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               25           84           41
HAINES INDEX                        5            5            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              9360            0         7080
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW  9        SW  5         W 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               84240            0       148680
DISPERSION INDEX                   84            0          149
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

---------- FIRE WEATHER FORECAST FROM NWS BINGHAMTON ----------

MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...ONEIDA...ROME...UTICA
550 AM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
TEMP (24H TREND)      76 (-1)      51 (+2)      79           
RH % (24H TREND)      33 (+8)      86 (-14)     43           
20 FOOT WIND/AM
  10-MIN-AVG (MPH)    LGT/VAR                   W 4-8        
20 FOOT WIND/PM
  10-MIN-AVG (MPH)    NW 9-13      W 4-8        W 8-12       
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    8930                      6820         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     W 21         
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     97670                     146480       
DSI                   2            2            2            
LAL                   NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     1-8 STRIKES  
HAINES INDEX          5            5            4            

REMARKS...NONE.

$$
YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PENN YAN...SENECA FALLS...AUBURN...
SYRACUSE
550 AM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
TEMP (24H TREND)      77 (0)       52 (+3)      80           
RH % (24H TREND)      29 (+9)      83 (-17)     39           
20 FOOT WIND/AM
  10-MIN-AVG (MPH)    W 3-7                     SW 4-8       
20 FOOT WIND/PM
  10-MIN-AVG (MPH)    NW 9-13      W 3-7        W 7-11       
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    8810                      7410         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     W 20         
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     105710                    151680       
DSI                   2            2            2            
LAL                   NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     1-8 STRIKES  
HAINES INDEX          5            4            3            

REMARKS...NONE.

$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 60. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$