National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Weather Moving Closer to Texas and Florida

Harvey's remnant is forecast to regain tropical cyclone strength in the next day or two. Once Harvey starts impacting the Texas coast, up to 10 inches of rain will be possible over the next week. Another disturbance on the southern tip of Florida is not expected to strengthen, but it's slow movement could add up to 7 inches of rain over the next week. Heavy rain may produce flash flooding. Read More >

A weak cold front will move slowly across the Red River before sunrise Wednesday, then move south of I-20 into Central Texas by Wednesday afternoon and evening. Scattered showers and storms will occur both ahead and behind the cold front. No severe weather is expected, however, brief heavy downpours could cause brief flooding or at minimum, street flooding at times through the day Wednesday.
A cold front will move into the region Tuesday evening and overnight, bringing better chances for showers and storms to North Texas. The highest chances will be near and north of I-20. Any storms will be capable of producing locally heavy rainfall and strong winds during this period. Chances for scattered thunderstorms will spread to all of North and Central Texas on Wednesday afternoon.
A front will stall to our south Wednesday night and Thursday morning. We will continue to have chances of showers and thunderstorms across all but the northeastern parts of North Texas. In addition to cloud to ground lighting, some storms may produce locally heavy rain.
Here's a look at the forecast for the weekend and early next week! Regardless of Harvey's track this weekend, the main focus for our area should be the potential for very heavy rain and possibly some flooding across Central Texas. Stay tuned as we refine the details in the forecast!

 
Text Product Selector (Selected product opens in current window)
Latest Text Products Issued (Experimental)
Safe Rooms Icon Cooperatirve Rainfall (CoCoRaHs) icon Storm Ready Icon AirNow Icon

 

Ike affects North Texas
September 2008

Ike originated as a cluster of thunderstorms off the African coast near the Cape Verde Islands on August 28th, 2008. The thunderstorms soon organized into a tropical depression 775 miles west of Cape Verde on September 1st. Six hours later, the depression reached tropical storm status.  On September 3rd, tropical storm Ike became hurricane Ike, 690 miles east of the Leeward Islands.  Hurricane Ike hit peak intensity as a Category 4 hurricane with estimated 145 mph winds on September 4th.  Ike's rapid strengthening tied it for fifth in fastest intensification rate for Atlantic tropical cyclones, with winds increasing from 85 mph to 120 mph in 6 hours.

On September 5th, Ike took a turn to the west and southwest steering it into the Gulf of Mexico instead of north along the Eastern U.S. coast. The night of September 7th, Ike hit Cuba as a Category 4 hurricane with 130 mph winds. After passing over Cuba, Ike entered the Gulf as a Category 1 hurricane on September 9th. The warm waters of the Gulf allowed Ike to regain Category 2 hurricane status on September 10th.

Ike made landfall on the Texas coast near Galveston on September 13th at 2:00 A.M. as a Category 2 hurricane.  Galveston was slammed with a 10.8 foot storm surge and 109 mph winds. Bolivar Peninsula experienced the highest storm surge, with estimates over 17 feet!  Areas like Sabine Pass North and Eagle Point had storm surges around 12 feet. From there, Ike trekked north into East Texas.  Winds were sustained at hurricane force until it reached southeast Anderson County, TX, where it weakened to a tropical storm.  Ike continued to weaken, but remained a tropical storm for the rest of its track through Texas.

Best Track Positions for Ike - September 1-14, 2008 

 Above: Best track positions for Ike, September 1 - 14, 2008. Box in upper left shows the intensity scale for the tropical cyclone track.  Click on image for full size version. (From National Hurricane Center)

Take a look at how Ike impacted North Texas by scrolling over the pictures...

Ike's Track Across Texas and Rainfall Totals

        


 

Maximum Winds with Ike across North TX

Some counties in North Texas experienced significant effects from Ike

Anderson County had estimated wind gusts over 70 mph bringing down power lines and numerous trees. These falling trees significantly damaged a few houses. In Freestone County, peak wind gusts were near 70 mph. Like in Anderson County, numerous trees and power lines were down and approximately 40 percent of Freestone County was affected by power outages.  Leon County experienced 60 to 70 mph wind gusts and approximately 75 percent of the county was without power late in the day on September 13.

~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~

Quick Recap

September 1, 2008

o   0600 UTC (1:00 am) – Tropical Depression Nine develops

o   1200 UTC (7:00 am) – Ike born as a Tropical Storm

September 3rd

o   1800 UTC (1:00 pm) – Ike becomes a Hurricane

September 4th

o   0600 UTC (1:00 am) – Ike reaches peak intensity

September 9th

o   2030 UTC (3:30 pm) – Ike enters Gulf of Mexico

September 13th

o   0700 UTC (2:00 am) – Ike makes landfall at north end of Galveston Island, TX

o   1800 UTC (1:00 pm) – Ike weakens to tropical storm southeast of Palestine, TX

(all times in parentheses are in Central Daylight Time)

Tropical Weather Definitions - see http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml

~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~

References: National Hurricane Center - http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL092008_Ike_3May10.pdf

Created August 26, 2009