National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rain, Flooding Possible From Remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy

The remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy will spread heavy rain into the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys today - and into the Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic tonight. Flash flooding is possible in these areas. Strong to severe thunderstorms are also possible in these areas. Flash flooding is life threatening. Never drive your car across flooded roadways. Read More >

Additional isolated-scattered thunderstorm development possible this afternoon and evening as a cold front approaches. Main threats will be downburst winds in excess of 60 MPH and hail to 1" in diameter. Storms will move very slowly south-southwestward at around 10 mph.
A Heat Advisory is in effect from Noon through 7 PM today for much of North and Central Texas. The heat and humidity will combine to make it feell like it is 105 to 110 degrees. Take extra precautions if working or spending time outdoors. Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When possible...reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat stroke. Wear light weight and loose fitting clothing when possible and drink plenty of water. Check on persons with health problems and the elderly as they are the most susceptible to heat exhaustion and heat stroke.
Isolated to perhaps scattered thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening ahead of a southward moving cold front. These storms will have the potential to be severe, producing damaging wind gusts and hail to near 1" in diameter.
More widespread thunderstorms are expected to develop overnight as a disturbance approaches from the northwest. While some of these storms may be strong, producing wind gusts and small hail, they should gradually begin to weaken through the overnight hours. The main threats will gradually shift to a heavy rain threat with localized flash flooding possible.
Waco may reach 100 degrees for the first time this year today. Here are some interesting 100 degree day information for Waco. * The average first 100 degree day is July 4th. * The average last 100 degree day is August 29th. * The earliest occurrence of 100 degrees was March 28th, back in 1971. * The latest occurrence of 100 degrees was October 4th, back in 1983. * We average 24 days with highs of 100 degrees or higher.
Good news! Thanks to a summer cold front that will sweep through North and Central Texas later tonight, a break from the summer heat is expected the next couple of days. Temperatures will be below seasonal normals. Forecast high temperatures will stay mostly in the 80s Saturday through Tuesday, then, warming up to the 90s by the end of next week.
Scattered showers and storms are expected through the morning hours, shifting south by the afternoon. In the morning hours, heavy rain, gusty winds and small hail are possible. As these storms move south, gusty winds and locally heavy rain are the main threats. All showers and storms will be capable of heavy rainfall, which may lead to localized flooding on Saturday.

 
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Ike affects North Texas
September 2008

Ike originated as a cluster of thunderstorms off the African coast near the Cape Verde Islands on August 28th, 2008. The thunderstorms soon organized into a tropical depression 775 miles west of Cape Verde on September 1st. Six hours later, the depression reached tropical storm status.  On September 3rd, tropical storm Ike became hurricane Ike, 690 miles east of the Leeward Islands.  Hurricane Ike hit peak intensity as a Category 4 hurricane with estimated 145 mph winds on September 4th.  Ike's rapid strengthening tied it for fifth in fastest intensification rate for Atlantic tropical cyclones, with winds increasing from 85 mph to 120 mph in 6 hours.

On September 5th, Ike took a turn to the west and southwest steering it into the Gulf of Mexico instead of north along the Eastern U.S. coast. The night of September 7th, Ike hit Cuba as a Category 4 hurricane with 130 mph winds. After passing over Cuba, Ike entered the Gulf as a Category 1 hurricane on September 9th. The warm waters of the Gulf allowed Ike to regain Category 2 hurricane status on September 10th.

Ike made landfall on the Texas coast near Galveston on September 13th at 2:00 A.M. as a Category 2 hurricane.  Galveston was slammed with a 10.8 foot storm surge and 109 mph winds. Bolivar Peninsula experienced the highest storm surge, with estimates over 17 feet!  Areas like Sabine Pass North and Eagle Point had storm surges around 12 feet. From there, Ike trekked north into East Texas.  Winds were sustained at hurricane force until it reached southeast Anderson County, TX, where it weakened to a tropical storm.  Ike continued to weaken, but remained a tropical storm for the rest of its track through Texas.

Best Track Positions for Ike - September 1-14, 2008 

 Above: Best track positions for Ike, September 1 - 14, 2008. Box in upper left shows the intensity scale for the tropical cyclone track.  Click on image for full size version. (From National Hurricane Center)

Take a look at how Ike impacted North Texas by scrolling over the pictures...

Ike's Track Across Texas and Rainfall Totals

        


 

Maximum Winds with Ike across North TX

Some counties in North Texas experienced significant effects from Ike

Anderson County had estimated wind gusts over 70 mph bringing down power lines and numerous trees. These falling trees significantly damaged a few houses. In Freestone County, peak wind gusts were near 70 mph. Like in Anderson County, numerous trees and power lines were down and approximately 40 percent of Freestone County was affected by power outages.  Leon County experienced 60 to 70 mph wind gusts and approximately 75 percent of the county was without power late in the day on September 13.

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Quick Recap

September 1, 2008

o   0600 UTC (1:00 am) – Tropical Depression Nine develops

o   1200 UTC (7:00 am) – Ike born as a Tropical Storm

September 3rd

o   1800 UTC (1:00 pm) – Ike becomes a Hurricane

September 4th

o   0600 UTC (1:00 am) – Ike reaches peak intensity

September 9th

o   2030 UTC (3:30 pm) – Ike enters Gulf of Mexico

September 13th

o   0700 UTC (2:00 am) – Ike makes landfall at north end of Galveston Island, TX

o   1800 UTC (1:00 pm) – Ike weakens to tropical storm southeast of Palestine, TX

(all times in parentheses are in Central Daylight Time)

Tropical Weather Definitions - see http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml

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References: National Hurricane Center - http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL092008_Ike_3May10.pdf

Created August 26, 2009