Showers and Thunderstorms from the Southern Plains into the Mid-Mississippi Valley; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Heavy rain and widely scattered severe storms capable of large hail, damaging winds, and possibly a tornado are expected over portions of the central and southern Plains into the Lower Missouri Valley. Unseasonable warmth will continue for a few more days across the Midwest and Southeast where several daily record highs could fall. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Tue, Oct 13, 2026 at 2:40:53 pm CDT

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

National Weather Service Albuquerque, NM

National Weather Service Fort Worth/Dallas, TX

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National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio, TX

Flood Watch

High Wind Watch

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Flood Watch This Week

Tues and Wed: Excessive Rainfall Outlook

Thursday: Excessive Rainfall Outlook

Greater Than One Inch Rain Probabilities This Week

Risk of Heavy Rainfall, Then Much Cooler

Remnant moisture from Hurricane Simon and several upper-level disturbances bring increasing atmospheric moisture to the region this week. This will lead to multiple rounds of heavy rainfall (and flash flooding) across much of the area starting this evening and continuing through Friday morning.

There is a risk for flash flooding across much of the Permian Basin and Stockton Plateau into Big Bend tonight and again Wednesday night into Thursday morning. While not everyone will see rain or experience flooding, flash flooding is likely to occur in/near poor drainage, low lying, and sloped terrain where heavier and/or repeated heavy storms occur. Flood waters can be deeper than they appear. Remember to never drive through flood waters and seek higher ground if flood waters threaten.

There is a risk for flash flooding across much of west Texas and southeast New Mexico for Thursday through Friday morning. While not everyone will see rain or experience flooding, flash flooding is likely to occur in/near poor drainage, low lying, and sloped terrain where heavier and/or repeated heavy storms occur. Expect higher flood risk than Wednesday where heavy rains occur over recently saturated soils. Flood waters can be deeper than they appear. Remember to never drive through flood waters and seek higher ground if flood waters threaten.

The probability of receiving greater than 1 inch of rainfall is increasing across much of the Permian Basin, Trans Pecos, Davis Mountains, and Marfa/Stockton Plateau regions through Thursday evening. The best chances (70-90%) remain across the Permian Basin. Very heavy rainfall rates and training storms may lead to flash flooding.

A risk of heavy rainfall and flash flooding begins Tuesday evening, continuing through at least Friday morning. Highest chance of heavy rain and flash flooding will be on Wednesday and Thursday, from the Big Bend into the Permian Basin. Be sure that you are able to receive alerts on your device, and continue to monitor the forecast for any flood watch products.

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Showers and Thunderstorms from the Southern Plains into the Mid-Mississippi Valley; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

NWS Midland/Odessa