Showers and Thunderstorms from the Southern Plains into the Ohio Valley; Record Warmth in the Central U.S.

Heavy rain and widely scattered severe storms are expected over portions of the central and southern Plains into the Ohio Valley. Unseasonable warmth will continue for a few more days across the Midwest, Southeast, and Mid-Atlantic where several daily record highs could fall. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Wed, Oct 14, 2026 at 2:19:14 pm CDT

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National Weather Service Albuquerque, NM

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National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio, TX

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Flood Watch This Week

Storm Chances This Afternoon and Overnight

Wed and Thurs: Excessive Rainfall Outlook

Exceedance Probabilities Through Friday

Fall Returns This Weekend

Remnant moisture from Hurricane Simon and several upper-level disturbances bring increasing atmospheric moisture to the region this week. This will lead to multiple rounds of heavy rainfall (and flash flooding) across much of the area continuing through Friday morning.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms develop this afternoon and continue overnight. The best chances (50-80%) will be across the eastern half of the Permian Basin, Lower Trans-Pecos, and Big Bend. A few storms may become severe this afternoon. Damaging winds and large hail are the primary concerns, through an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.

There is a risk for flash flooding across much of the Permian Basin and Stockton Plateau into Big Bend this evening/overnight and again Thursday night into Friday morning. While not everyone will see rain or experience flooding, flash flooding is likely to occur in/near poor drainage, low lying, and sloped terrain where heavier and/or repeated heavy storms occur. Flood waters can be deeper than they appear. Remember to never drive through flood waters and seek higher ground if flood waters threaten.

The best chance of seeing additional rainfall greater than an inch through Friday is over mainly the eastern half of the Permian Basin, the Lower Trans-Pecos, the Big Bend, and in the Presidio Valley/Marfa Plateau. Isolated locations may still see greater than 3 inches of rain before all is said and done.

A front Thursday night/Friday morning brings much cooler and drier conditions to the area this weekend! Highs plummet into the 50s and 60s areawide, with lows dropping into the 40s for most.

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Showers and Thunderstorms from the Southern Plains into the Ohio Valley; Record Warmth in the Central U.S.

NWS Midland/Odessa