National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy to Excessive Rainfall This Week from the Southwest into Central U.S.

Pacific tropical moisture wrapping into a storm over the southwest U.S. will continue a multi-day heavy rainfall event this week that will extend into the Midwest and southern Plains. Considerable flash flooding is possible across portions of New Mexico and west Texas today through Wednesday. Read More >

Click a location below for detailed forecast.

Last Map Update: Tue, Sep 29, 2026 at 6:22:53 am CDT

Tropical moisture will overspread the region during the early to middle part of the week, promoting very heavy rainfall for portions of the area. Soils remain saturated across SE New Mexico and in Culberson County from last week's rains/flash flooding. As a result, a Flood Watch has been issued for these locations from Monday evening through early Wednesday morning.
Another round of storms are expected to develop this afternoon across SE NM and far W TX. The primary threats with the strongest storms will be heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding, damaging winds, and a brief spin-up tornado or two. The tornado threat will be mainly confined across locations in the dashed yellow circle this afternoon through the late evening. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive warnings!
Another upper-level system approaches our area by the early to middle portions of this upcoming week. Shower/storm chances will increase across the region as it nears, especially for SE New Mexico and the Permian Basin. This system will bring tropical moisture to west Texas and southeast New Mexico. As a result, atmospheric moisture will be nearing record levels, and flash flooding will be our primary concern.

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