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Heavy Rainfall Continues from the Southwest to the Plains; Severe Thunderstorms in the Southern Plains

Pacific tropical moisture wrapping into a storm will continue a multi-day heavy rainfall event this week that will impact the Southwest into the Plains. Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of mainly severe wind gusts appear possible across portions of the southern Plains this afternoon into tonight. There is also a risk of isolated severe winds gusts and tornadoes in Kansas into Nebraska. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Thu, Oct 1, 2026 at 5:36:52 am CDT

Following rain chances exiting the eastern parts of the area this morning, west/northwest winds will shift to northerly and increase behind another cold front developing in from the north. Winds continue to increase tonight, especially for the higher elevations and surrounding mountain passes. A 25% to 35% chance of showers/storms also develops tonight from the Guadalupes into Marfa Plateau.
Numerous to widespread showers and storms will develop over portions of the eastern Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos regions late this afternoon through tonight. Deep tropical moisture associated with the remnants of Hurricane Polo will bring the potential for very heavy rainfall and flash flooding over these locations through tonight. Rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches with localized higher amounts of 3+ inches will be possible.

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