The likelihood of widespread snow across Southcentral this Sunday has dropped significantly. More and more of our computer models, which we use to forecast the track of storm systems, are indicating this storm will track to the eastern Gulf of Alaska, leaving Southcentral mostly dry. Since this is still a few days out, there is quite a bit of uncertainty. Thus, we're not ready to say it won't snow at all, just that this scenario is becoming more and more likely. 

Out of the 3 scenarios we advertised yesterday, Track 3 is now the most likely: 

--Track 3, Most Likely Outcome--

A Low moves east of the Prince William Sound

This creates:
·Light to Moderate snow for the Kenai Peninsula. 
·Lesser amounts of snow, or even no snow for Anchorage, the Susitna Valley, Cordova, and Valdez.

--Track 1--

A Low moves west toward Kachemak Bay/Cook Inlet

This creates:
·Moderate to heavy snow from Kachemak Bay through Kenai
·Lesser amounts of snow in the Susitna Valley, Matanuska Valley, and Anchorage

--Track 2-- 

A Low moves east of Seward into Prince William Sound

This creates:
·Moderate to heavy snow from north of Kenai through Anchorage and the Matanuska Valley, as well as the Seward Highway through the city of Seward
·Lesser amounts of snow for the Susitna Valley, Kenai & Soldotna. and Valdez

This storm has the potential to impact travel conditions this weekend and early next week. Keep tabs on the forecast and the development of this winter weather setup at weather.gov/Anchorage.