The National Weather Service office in Binghamton, New York is responsible for issuing Fire Weather Forecasts, Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches for parts of Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania as shown in the image below.  

A hourly weather graph forecast can be generated by going to the Hourly Graph website.

Guide to decoding the forecast below.

 
    

                        

798

FNUS51 KBGM 121931

FWFBGM



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA

National Weather Service Binghamton NY

330 PM EDT Tue May 12 2026



.SYNOPSIS...There are no fire weather concerns at this time.





NYZ210-130800-

Leatherstocking-

330 PM EDT Tue May 12 2026



                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Showers

Chance Precip (%)     60           80           80           50

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           20           0

Temp (24h trend)      41 (+10)     63 (+5)      43           58

RH % (24h trend)      86 (-14)     58 (+28)     100          61

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 6-10 G21   SW 3-7       Lgt/Var

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G21   Lgt/Var      NW 3-7

Precip Amount         0.02         0.09         0.21         0.06

Precip Duration       2            7            10           8

Precip Begin          11 PM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3450                      2860

Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 25                     NW 12

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  100660                    35220

DSI                   2            1            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     2                         3

ADI early             53 Gen Good  53 Gen Good  41 Gen Good  27 Fair

ADI late              8 Poor       89 Good      5 Very Poor  37 Fair

Max LVORI early       3            4            5            6

Max LVORI late        4            4            6            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows

in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds around

5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight

chance of thunderstorms. Warmer. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in

the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds

around 5 mph.

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the

lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.

East winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a slight chance of

thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of

precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ038-039-043-130800-

Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-

Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,

and Tunkhannock

330 PM EDT Tue May 12 2026



                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Showers

Chance Precip (%)     30           60           80           20

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           20           0

Temp (24h trend)      44 (+13)     65 (+3)      43           58

RH % (24h trend)      83 (-17)     56 (+25)     100          62

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 5-9 G22    S 4-8 G20    Lgt/Var

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 3-7 G19    S 8-12 G23   Lgt/Var      NW 3-7

Precip Amount         0.00         0.05         0.18         0.01

Precip Duration       1            3            7            1

Precip Begin          11 PM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4190                      3590

Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 26                     NW 12

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  109450                    40630

DSI                   2            2            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     2                         4

ADI early             55 Gen Good  59 Gen Good  47 Gen Good  35 Fair

ADI late              9 Poor       99 Good      6 Very Poor  49 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       3            4            5            6

Max LVORI late        4            3            7            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows

in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to

10 mph.

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Warmer.

Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds around

5 mph.

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the

lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.

Southeast winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance

of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.

Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ044-047-130800-

Lackawanna-Luzerne-

Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre

330 PM EDT Tue May 12 2026



                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type           None         Showers      Tstms        Showers

Chance Precip (%)     0            50           90           30

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           0

Temp (24h trend)      44 (+12)     67 (+4)      44           60

RH % (24h trend)      82 (-14)     48 (+21)     100          55

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 4-8 G19    S 5-9 G21    Lgt/Var

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 3-7 G20    S 7-11 G23   Lgt/Var      NW 3-7

Precip Amount         0.00         0.03         0.27         0.02

Precip Duration                    1            7            2

Precip Begin                       6 AM         Continuing   Continuing

Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4630                      4000

Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 23                     NW 12

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  108460                    47360

DSI                   2            2            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     2                         4

ADI early             52 Gen Good  62 Good      53 Gen Good  39 Fair

ADI late              9 Poor       96 Good      8 Poor       52 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       3            4            5            6

Max LVORI late        3            1            8            2



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the

mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs

in the upper 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the

mid 50s. Highs around 80. West winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.

Southeast winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance

of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.

Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ040-048-072-130800-

Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-

Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,

and Honesdale

330 PM EDT Tue May 12 2026



                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Tstms        Showers

Chance Precip (%)     20           50           90           70

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           0

Temp (24h trend)      43 (+10)     67 (+6)      46           62

RH % (24h trend)      82 (-14)     47 (+19)     100          56

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 4-8 G18    S 4-8 G19    Lgt/Var

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      S 6-10 G21   Lgt/Var      NW 3-7

Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.17         0.05

Precip Duration       0            2            8            4

Precip Begin          2 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4640                      3480

Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 24                     NW 12

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  117000                    38970

DSI                   2            2            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     2                         4

ADI early             56 Gen Good  62 Good      52 Gen Good  34 Fair

ADI late              8 Poor       111 Very Good9 Poor       49 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       3            4            5            6

Max LVORI late        4            2            8            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in

the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs

in the upper 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the

mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.

Southeast winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance

of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.

Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.



$$








                

 

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed	Forecast

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor

Seasonal Drought Assessment

Palmer Drought Severity

Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

One Day Precipitation Totals	Three Day Precipitation Totals	Five Day Precipitation Totals
24-Hr Observed Precipition	48-Hr Observed Precipition	72-Hr Observed Precipition

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip	14-Day Precip	30-Day Precip
60-Day Precip	90-Day Precip	Since April 1 Precip	Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Precip	12-Month Precip	24-Month Precip	36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Precip	Year-to-Date Precip	Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip Dept	14-Day Precip Dept	30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Precip Dept	90-Day Precip Dept	Since April 1 Precip Dept	Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Precip Dept	12-Month Precip Dept	24-Month Precip Dept	36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Precip Dept	Year-to-Date Precip Dept	Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip % Norm	14-Day Precip % Norm	30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precip % Norm	90-Day Precip % Norm	Since April 1 Precip % Norm	Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precip % Norm	12-Month Precip % Norm	24-Month Precip % Norm	36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm	Year-to-Date Precip % Norm	Water-Year Precip % Norm

Additional Resources:

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

6-10 Day Temp

6-10 Day Precip

8-14 Day Temp

8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

One Month Temp

One Month Precip

Three Month Temp

Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential

One Month Outlook

Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

NY State Fire Danger Ratings

Observed Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Forecast Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Additional Resources:

Fire Weather Watch:

• Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
• A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

• Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.