Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20260202_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 02/02 06Z 0.11 3425 62 25 -10 0.00
Mon 02/02 09Z 0.09 3428 46 26 -8 0.00
Mon 02/02 12Z 0.08 3425 41 21 -8 0.00
Mon 02/02 15Z 0.09 3423 40 16 -9 0.00
Mon 02/02 18Z 0.14 3320 38 12 -9 0.00
Mon 02/02 21Z 0.22 3322 41 18 -9 0.00
Tue 02/03 00Z 0.21 3321 39 41 -9 0.00
Tue 02/03 03Z 0.12 3315 38 60 -8 0.00
Tue 02/03 06Z 0.15 3211 41 51 -9 0.00
Tue 02/03 09Z 0.21 3011 45 38 -9 0.00
Tue 02/03 12Z 0.17 2808 42 13 -9 0.00
Tue 02/03 15Z 0.17 2507 42 42 -10 0.00
Tue 02/03 18Z 0.19 2309 65 91 -10 0.00
Tue 02/03 21Z 0.32 2510 86 53 -12 0.00
Wed 02/04 00Z 0.63 2612 95 64 -14 0.00
Wed 02/04 03Z 0.90 2614 86 72 -14 0.00
Wed 02/04 06Z 0.90 2618 90 67 -14 0.00
Wed 02/04 09Z 0.79 2719 85 92 -16 0.00
Wed 02/04 12Z 0.54 2918 84 67 -16 0.00
Wed 02/04 15Z 0.40 3015 88 53 -16 0.00
Wed 02/04 18Z 0.34 3012 84 35 -15 0.00
Wed 02/04 21Z 0.35 2911 77 32 -14 0.00
Thu 02/05 00Z 0.36 3014 82 26 -13 0.00
Thu 02/05 03Z 0.34 3012 81 31 -14 0.00
Thu 02/05 06Z 0.25 2809 91 37 -14 0.00
Thu 02/05 09Z 0.31 2810 93 41 -16 0.00
Thu 02/05 12Z 0.35 2911 91 54 -17 0.00
Thu 02/05 15Z 0.54 3014 88 81 -18 0.03
Thu 02/05 18Z 6.40 3015 91 76 -19 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.04 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1