
A winter weather advisory is in effect from 1 pm Monday to 1 pm Tuesday for lake effect snow in southern St Lawrence County in northern New York. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 6 inches, especially south and east of Route 11. There may be isolated higher amounts. Read More >
Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20260118_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 01/18 18Z 0.35 2309 88 66 -10 0.00
Sun 01/18 21Z 0.14 2203 82 69 -10 0.00
Mon 01/19 00Z 0.05 0600 82 71 -10 0.00
Mon 01/19 03Z 0.06 0005 88 77 -11 0.00
Mon 01/19 06Z 0.08 3506 94 63 -11 0.00
Mon 01/19 09Z 0.13 3205 93 22 -12 0.01
Mon 01/19 12Z 0.31 2707 93 24 -13 0.01
Mon 01/19 15Z 0.50 2210 91 68 -14 0.00
Mon 01/19 18Z 2.33 2213 80 75 -14 0.00
Mon 01/19 21Z 1.52 2220 88 92 -14 0.00
Tue 01/20 00Z 1.73 2328 86 83 -14 0.01
Tue 01/20 03Z 9.04 2432 83 67 -16 0.00
Tue 01/20 06Z 1.64 2533 85 59 -17 0.00
Tue 01/20 09Z 5.17 2529 84 54 -18 0.00
Tue 01/20 12Z 1.85 2626 78 36 -20 0.00
Tue 01/20 15Z 3.15 2619 76 59 -21 0.00
Tue 01/20 18Z 9.53 2518 78 74 -21 0.00
Tue 01/20 21Z 9.38 2623 79 74 -20 0.00
Wed 01/21 00Z 2.27 2625 81 41 -21 0.00
Wed 01/21 03Z 1.35 2727 80 50 -21 0.00
Wed 01/21 06Z 0.98 2725 78 54 -20 0.00
Wed 01/21 09Z 0.91 2625 82 21 -20 0.00
Wed 01/21 12Z 0.70 2424 78 32 -18 0.00
Wed 01/21 15Z 0.84 2624 79 35 -19 0.00
Wed 01/21 18Z 0.41 2122 55 85 -14 0.00
Wed 01/21 21Z 0.24 1929 83 88 -13 0.01
Thu 01/22 00Z 0.49 2137 83 86 -11 0.03
Thu 01/22 03Z 0.59 2239 80 73 -8 0.00
Thu 01/22 06Z 0.68 2336 86 46 -8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.07 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1