Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20260417_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 04/17 06Z 0.31 3012 84 87 9 0.00
Fri 04/17 09Z 0.10 3514 85 83 9 0.00
Fri 04/17 12Z 0.11 0117 78 75 8 0.00
Fri 04/17 15Z 0.15 0213 70 57 8 0.00
Fri 04/17 18Z 0.11 0211 60 60 8 0.00
Fri 04/17 21Z 0.10 0211 45 15 9 0.00
Sat 04/18 00Z 0.16 0410 37 4 10 0.00
Sat 04/18 03Z 0.22 1010 45 6 9 0.00
Sat 04/18 06Z 0.31 1316 70 4 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 09Z 0.20 1517 68 3 7 0.00
Sat 04/18 12Z 0.13 1619 68 3 7 0.00
Sat 04/18 15Z 0.16 1622 72 8 7 0.00
Sat 04/18 18Z 0.27 1622 81 18 5 0.00
Sat 04/18 21Z 0.08 1725 71 6 10 0.00
Sun 04/19 00Z 0.01 1827 71 30 11 0.00
Sun 04/19 03Z 0.18 2031 76 38 12 0.00
Sun 04/19 06Z 0.35 2131 98 97 9 0.12
Sun 04/19 09Z 0.48 2324 98 93 6 0.09
Sun 04/19 12Z 0.58 2717 98 96 1 0.09
Sun 04/19 15Z 0.42 3022 97 97 -2 0.23
Sun 04/19 18Z 0.55 3022 94 93 -5 0.29
Sun 04/19 21Z 0.61 3021 93 78 -7 0.11
Mon 04/20 00Z 2.72 3025 87 28 -8 0.00
Mon 04/20 03Z 0.73 3023 91 66 -7 0.00
Mon 04/20 06Z 0.85 3220 70 71 -10 0.04
Mon 04/20 09Z 0.36 3313 66 79 -11 0.00
Mon 04/20 12Z 0.56 3211 75 82 -11 0.00
Mon 04/20 15Z 4.96 2912 83 66 -12 0.00
Mon 04/20 18Z 8.87 2913 68 59 -10 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.97 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1