Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20260920_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 09/20 12Z 0.23 2019 92 97 6 0.00
Sun 09/20 15Z 0.14 1922 98 98 7 0.10
Sun 09/20 18Z 0.24 2026 98 97 7 0.16
Sun 09/20 21Z 0.30 2218 98 97 8 0.14
Mon 09/21 00Z 0.17 3007 97 65 7 0.04
Mon 09/21 03Z 0.02 3513 80 43 7 0.00
Mon 09/21 06Z 0.02 0018 75 1 6 0.00
Mon 09/21 09Z 0.02 0018 91 2 4 0.00
Mon 09/21 12Z 0.07 0018 90 2 2 0.00
Mon 09/21 15Z 0.06 0017 82 1 1 0.00
Mon 09/21 18Z 0.05 0015 73 2 3 0.00
Mon 09/21 21Z 0.06 0012 71 2 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 00Z 0.17 0215 64 2 4 0.00
Tue 09/22 03Z 0.30 0514 60 3 4 0.00
Tue 09/22 06Z 0.27 0810 63 3 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 09Z 0.18 0806 61 4 2 0.00
Tue 09/22 12Z 0.14 0604 61 4 2 0.00
Tue 09/22 15Z 0.19 0408 57 4 2 0.00
Tue 09/22 18Z 1.00 0407 67 4 2 0.00
Tue 09/22 21Z 1.67 0507 70 6 3 0.00
Wed 09/23 00Z 1.35 0711 68 10 2 0.00
Wed 09/23 03Z 0.85 0914 68 14 2 0.00
Wed 09/23 06Z 0.64 0916 62 18 2 0.00
Wed 09/23 09Z 0.69 0813 66 14 2 0.00
Wed 09/23 12Z 0.56 0920 56 23 3 0.00
Wed 09/23 15Z 0.54 0818 54 23 3 0.00
Wed 09/23 18Z 1.59 0714 68 20 2 0.00
Wed 09/23 21Z 6.42 0815 65 13 3 0.00
Thu 09/24 00Z 1.10 0920 60 4 3 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.44 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1