
A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 PM today to 5 AM Tuesday for lake effect snow in southern St. Lawrence County. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 5 inches are expected. Plan on slippery road conditions. Strong winds will cause blowing snow and further reduce visibilities. Read More >
Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20260119_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 01/19 18Z 3.41 2212 87 71 -14 0.00
Mon 01/19 21Z 1.34 2321 89 86 -14 0.00
Tue 01/20 00Z 1.61 2430 82 67 -14 0.00
Tue 01/20 03Z 8.88 2431 80 59 -16 0.00
Tue 01/20 06Z 1.44 2429 83 50 -17 0.00
Tue 01/20 09Z 1.72 2628 89 56 -17 0.00
Tue 01/20 12Z 3.04 2624 81 63 -20 0.00
Tue 01/20 15Z 4.97 2720 80 64 -21 0.00
Tue 01/20 18Z 8.64 2618 80 70 -21 0.00
Tue 01/20 21Z 4.41 2622 80 60 -20 0.00
Wed 01/21 00Z 2.10 2626 83 48 -21 0.00
Wed 01/21 03Z 1.20 2728 77 47 -20 0.00
Wed 01/21 06Z 1.00 2627 78 41 -20 0.00
Wed 01/21 09Z 0.83 2626 82 17 -19 0.00
Wed 01/21 12Z 0.72 2526 74 13 -17 0.00
Wed 01/21 15Z 0.53 2423 59 24 -16 0.00
Wed 01/21 18Z 0.32 2022 46 86 -13 0.00
Wed 01/21 21Z 0.21 1931 76 85 -10 0.01
Thu 01/22 00Z 0.40 2044 91 89 -10 0.06
Thu 01/22 03Z 0.63 2143 93 89 -8 0.04
Thu 01/22 06Z 0.76 2338 89 71 -8 0.01
Thu 01/22 09Z 0.99 2436 85 55 -9 0.00
Thu 01/22 12Z 1.40 2534 87 64 -11 0.00
Thu 01/22 15Z 0.97 2436 87 63 -9 0.00
Thu 01/22 18Z 1.88 2424 87 89 -11 0.00
Thu 01/22 21Z 2.06 2428 88 83 -11 0.01
Fri 01/23 00Z 2.21 2532 84 50 -12 0.01
Fri 01/23 03Z 2.48 2532 86 51 -14 0.01
Fri 01/23 06Z 3.20 2532 82 55 -17 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.16 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1