Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20260116_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 01/16 00Z 0.60 2916 89 24 -13 0.00
Fri 01/16 03Z 5.06 2818 86 56 -16 0.00
Fri 01/16 06Z 7.25 2717 84 53 -18 0.00
Fri 01/16 09Z 7.27 2922 87 35 -20 0.00
Fri 01/16 12Z 0.80 2824 85 51 -20 0.00
Fri 01/16 15Z 0.57 2926 84 54 -16 0.00
Fri 01/16 18Z 0.58 2826 62 11 -13 0.00
Fri 01/16 21Z 0.46 2920 44 16 -12 0.00
Sat 01/17 00Z 0.34 2714 38 56 -11 0.00
Sat 01/17 03Z 0.24 2214 41 83 -10 0.00
Sat 01/17 06Z 0.28 2122 90 87 -10 0.01
Sat 01/17 09Z 0.42 2223 90 67 -9 0.04
Sat 01/17 12Z 0.28 2119 87 60 -8 0.01
Sat 01/17 15Z 0.24 2021 88 86 -6 0.00
Sat 01/17 18Z 0.34 2124 93 87 -6 0.05
Sat 01/17 21Z 0.51 2223 93 87 -7 0.08
Sun 01/18 00Z 0.65 2623 88 71 -7 0.03
Sun 01/18 03Z 0.71 2624 80 59 -7 0.00
Sun 01/18 06Z 0.91 2527 88 60 -8 0.00
Sun 01/18 09Z 1.18 2523 77 57 -10 0.00
Sun 01/18 12Z 1.18 2423 82 31 -12 0.00
Sun 01/18 15Z 1.82 2521 82 10 -14 0.00
Sun 01/18 18Z 7.31 2416 85 10 -14 0.00
Sun 01/18 21Z 1.45 2420 83 17 -13 0.00
Mon 01/19 00Z 1.38 2613 77 25 -14 0.00
Mon 01/19 03Z 0.60 2711 73 31 -13 0.00
Mon 01/19 06Z 0.41 2509 71 36 -13 0.00
Mon 01/19 09Z 0.25 2112 78 32 -12 0.00
Mon 01/19 12Z 0.22 1922 90 19 -11 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.22 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1