Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20250904_0000 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Thu 09/04 00Z 0.37 2108 60 65 12 0.00 Thu 09/04 03Z 0.39 2111 62 46 12 0.00 Thu 09/04 06Z 0.45 2215 64 38 11 0.00 Thu 09/04 09Z 0.41 2114 68 33 11 0.00 Thu 09/04 12Z 0.36 2115 68 35 11 0.00 Thu 09/04 15Z 0.27 1917 65 22 11 0.00 Thu 09/04 18Z 0.72 1816 61 38 12 0.00 Thu 09/04 21Z 0.71 1720 65 68 13 0.00 Fri 09/05 00Z 0.13 1730 79 51 12 0.00 Fri 09/05 03Z 0.28 1937 70 66 12 0.00 Fri 09/05 06Z 0.37 2032 97 96 10 0.07 Fri 09/05 09Z 0.49 2319 98 75 9 0.08 Fri 09/05 12Z 0.24 2211 91 22 9 0.01 Fri 09/05 15Z 0.21 2015 87 28 10 0.00 Fri 09/05 18Z 1.43 1917 86 57 10 0.00 Fri 09/05 21Z 0.44 1922 81 44 13 0.00 Sat 09/06 00Z 0.87 2032 86 63 13 0.00 Sat 09/06 03Z 0.88 2136 91 63 14 0.00 Sat 09/06 06Z 1.09 2337 82 60 14 0.01 Sat 09/06 09Z 0.83 2326 82 50 14 0.00 Sat 09/06 12Z 0.51 2320 97 86 13 0.04 Sat 09/06 15Z 0.42 2416 99 95 12 0.27 Sat 09/06 18Z 0.52 2418 87 87 10 0.09 Sat 09/06 21Z 0.47 2418 94 90 12 0.00 Sun 09/07 00Z 0.32 2411 75 95 10 0.12 Sun 09/07 03Z 0.41 2710 94 98 8 0.06 Sun 09/07 06Z 0.08 3206 98 98 8 0.17 Sun 09/07 09Z 0.14 3208 98 98 6 0.41 Sun 09/07 12Z 0.15 3107 92 95 6 0.03 Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.36 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1