Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20251114_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 11/14 00Z 0.82 3021 97 80 -7 0.00
Fri 11/14 03Z 0.75 3122 92 76 -7 0.00
Fri 11/14 06Z 0.69 3122 94 75 -8 0.00
Fri 11/14 09Z 0.64 3222 95 69 -8 0.01
Fri 11/14 12Z 0.58 3221 95 56 -9 0.00
Fri 11/14 15Z 0.50 3218 94 60 -9 0.00
Fri 11/14 18Z 1.10 3116 92 71 -9 0.00
Fri 11/14 21Z 0.69 3117 88 82 -8 0.00
Sat 11/15 00Z 0.59 3221 87 81 -9 0.00
Sat 11/15 03Z 0.38 3319 89 49 -9 0.00
Sat 11/15 06Z 0.37 3317 91 34 -9 0.00
Sat 11/15 09Z 0.37 3217 87 24 -9 0.00
Sat 11/15 12Z 0.26 3115 79 13 -7 0.00
Sat 11/15 15Z 0.19 3010 66 7 -4 0.00
Sat 11/15 18Z 0.26 2712 52 86 -2 0.00
Sat 11/15 21Z 0.20 2511 46 90 1 0.00
Sun 11/16 00Z 0.11 2016 90 98 2 0.03
Sun 11/16 03Z 0.25 2125 98 97 4 0.31
Sun 11/16 06Z 0.29 2222 98 97 6 0.18
Sun 11/16 09Z 0.63 2627 96 94 3 0.28
Sun 11/16 12Z 1.42 2732 97 74 -1 0.09
Sun 11/16 15Z 2.10 2829 94 83 -5 0.03
Sun 11/16 18Z 2.04 2831 93 96 -6 0.03
Sun 11/16 21Z 1.68 2830 94 84 -4 0.04
Mon 11/17 00Z 2.06 2938 89 86 -9 0.03
Mon 11/17 03Z 1.77 2937 90 85 -9 0.04
Mon 11/17 06Z 1.48 2937 91 85 -10 0.05
Mon 11/17 09Z 1.25 3036 92 79 -10 0.03
Mon 11/17 12Z 0.94 3034 91 69 -9 0.03
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.18 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1