
An Extreme Cold Warning has been issued for the Adirondacks with wind chills as low as 30 to 40 below zero expected. The Cold Weather Advisory has been expanded to include the Champlain Valley as well as the rest of northern New York and Vermont. The risk of frostbite and hypothermia will be elevated, especially for vulnerable populations. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. Read More >
Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20260130_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 01/30 06Z 0.72 2927 80 43 -24 0.00
Fri 01/30 09Z 0.56 3031 76 51 -23 0.00
Fri 01/30 12Z 0.43 3030 79 67 -22 0.00
Fri 01/30 15Z 0.32 3125 81 75 -20 0.00
Fri 01/30 18Z 0.31 3021 83 68 -18 0.00
Fri 01/30 21Z 0.35 3022 85 62 -17 0.00
Sat 01/31 00Z 0.30 3123 88 61 -17 0.00
Sat 01/31 03Z 0.22 3221 89 58 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 06Z 0.20 3118 87 53 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 09Z 0.22 3118 86 48 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 12Z 0.21 3117 86 41 -16 0.00
Sat 01/31 15Z 0.17 3113 86 38 -16 0.00
Sat 01/31 18Z 0.16 3111 88 36 -16 0.00
Sat 01/31 21Z 0.16 3110 88 40 -16 0.00
Sun 02/01 00Z 0.09 3416 85 34 -14 0.00
Sun 02/01 03Z 0.03 0015 81 28 -12 0.00
Sun 02/01 06Z 0.09 0213 71 27 -11 0.00
Sun 02/01 09Z 0.11 0216 62 20 -10 0.00
Sun 02/01 12Z 0.14 0221 60 18 -9 0.00
Sun 02/01 15Z 0.19 0322 57 17 -9 0.00
Sun 02/01 18Z 0.16 0223 52 17 -8 0.00
Sun 02/01 21Z 0.08 0129 48 13 -8 0.00
Mon 02/02 00Z 0.11 0132 47 13 -9 0.00
Mon 02/02 03Z 0.12 0128 49 14 -8 0.00
Mon 02/02 06Z 0.06 3528 59 10 -8 0.00
Mon 02/02 09Z 0.09 3426 57 12 -9 0.00
Mon 02/02 12Z 0.15 3428 49 11 -8 0.00
Mon 02/02 15Z 0.15 3326 41 17 -8 0.00
Mon 02/02 18Z 0.18 3322 39 32 -8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1