Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20240921_0000 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Sat 09/21 00Z 0.38 1108 87 84 11 0.00 Sat 09/21 03Z 0.24 1210 88 73 10 0.01 Sat 09/21 06Z 0.15 0905 83 54 10 0.00 Sat 09/21 09Z 0.18 0807 82 41 10 0.00 Sat 09/21 12Z 0.16 0507 76 40 10 0.00 Sat 09/21 15Z 0.22 0708 71 30 10 0.00 Sat 09/21 18Z 0.18 0807 62 21 10 0.00 Sat 09/21 21Z 0.14 0905 58 13 10 0.00 Sun 09/22 00Z 0.16 1006 65 38 9 0.00 Sun 09/22 03Z 0.16 1107 74 31 9 0.00 Sun 09/22 06Z 0.18 1108 83 47 8 0.00 Sun 09/22 09Z 0.21 1008 89 67 7 0.00 Sun 09/22 12Z 0.22 0907 92 69 6 0.00 Sun 09/22 15Z 0.35 0912 84 55 7 0.00 Sun 09/22 18Z 0.44 1008 89 49 5 0.00 Sun 09/22 21Z 0.74 1009 89 32 5 0.00 Mon 09/23 00Z 0.64 1212 86 16 5 0.00 Mon 09/23 03Z 0.45 1314 88 8 4 0.00 Mon 09/23 06Z 0.41 1315 86 13 4 0.00 Mon 09/23 09Z 0.43 1217 84 19 5 0.00 Mon 09/23 12Z 0.36 1318 83 28 5 0.00 Mon 09/23 15Z 0.30 1415 83 43 5 0.00 Mon 09/23 18Z 1.11 1412 85 55 4 0.00 Mon 09/23 21Z 0.34 1415 84 42 5 0.00 Tue 09/24 00Z 0.19 1411 86 72 6 0.00 Tue 09/24 03Z 0.17 1513 77 79 7 0.00 Tue 09/24 06Z 0.10 1613 82 84 7 0.00 Tue 09/24 09Z 0.07 1611 88 86 7 0.00 Tue 09/24 12Z 0.11 1510 92 85 7 0.00 Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.01 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1