Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20260215_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 02/15 00Z 1.32 2820 87 20 -10 0.00
Sun 02/15 03Z 1.59 2927 88 19 -11 0.00
Sun 02/15 06Z 0.88 3125 84 15 -12 0.00
Sun 02/15 09Z 0.42 3122 76 14 -13 0.00
Sun 02/15 12Z 0.11 3419 40 12 -10 0.00
Sun 02/15 15Z 0.08 0210 24 15 -9 0.00
Sun 02/15 18Z 0.11 0905 27 29 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 21Z 0.07 1506 26 37 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 00Z 0.02 1713 20 22 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 03Z 0.07 1914 30 62 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 06Z 0.08 1916 76 85 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 09Z 0.08 1915 92 88 -4 0.03
Mon 02/16 12Z 0.14 2014 93 85 -5 0.02
Mon 02/16 15Z 0.13 2111 94 61 -4 0.01
Mon 02/16 18Z 0.12 2110 93 42 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 21Z 0.19 2112 94 35 -4 0.00
Tue 02/17 00Z 0.34 2217 95 61 -4 0.00
Tue 02/17 03Z 0.43 2419 94 88 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 06Z 0.46 2419 94 88 -3 0.03
Tue 02/17 09Z 0.41 2417 96 94 -3 0.04
Tue 02/17 12Z 0.43 2615 97 80 -4 0.03
Tue 02/17 15Z 0.29 2811 96 19 -4 0.02
Tue 02/17 18Z 0.25 2909 94 18 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 21Z 0.32 2711 96 39 -4 0.00
Wed 02/18 00Z 0.33 2812 83 22 -4 0.01
Wed 02/18 03Z 0.32 2712 80 40 -4 0.00
Wed 02/18 06Z 0.35 2813 85 35 -5 0.00
Wed 02/18 09Z 0.28 3012 84 43 -6 0.00
Wed 02/18 12Z 0.20 3111 82 50 -6 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.19 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1