Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20251120_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 11/20 00Z 0.13 3310 74 12 -5 0.00
Thu 11/20 03Z 0.04 3407 72 17 -3 0.00
Thu 11/20 06Z 0.04 3203 71 17 -3 0.00
Thu 11/20 09Z 0.08 2603 69 19 -3 0.00
Thu 11/20 12Z 0.12 2605 65 31 -2 0.00
Thu 11/20 15Z 0.10 2504 56 58 -2 0.00
Thu 11/20 18Z 0.09 2304 52 66 -1 0.00
Thu 11/20 21Z 0.05 2104 45 57 -1 0.00
Fri 11/21 00Z 0.06 2007 41 51 0 0.00
Fri 11/21 03Z 0.10 2011 38 55 0 0.00
Fri 11/21 06Z 0.16 2113 29 59 1 0.00
Fri 11/21 09Z 0.35 2417 58 54 -1 0.00
Fri 11/21 12Z 0.24 2215 68 53 0 0.00
Fri 11/21 15Z 0.35 2321 79 81 0 0.00
Fri 11/21 18Z 0.60 2523 98 45 -1 0.01
Fri 11/21 21Z 0.75 2528 96 11 0 0.02
Sat 11/22 00Z 1.02 2627 96 6 -2 0.01
Sat 11/22 03Z 1.03 2721 95 9 -4 0.01
Sat 11/22 06Z 0.85 2719 94 10 -5 0.00
Sat 11/22 09Z 0.62 2918 91 11 -7 0.00
Sat 11/22 12Z 0.51 3219 93 15 -9 0.00
Sat 11/22 15Z 0.66 3221 89 24 -10 0.00
Sat 11/22 18Z 1.29 3219 85 13 -9 0.00
Sat 11/22 21Z 0.63 3220 89 17 -9 0.00
Sun 11/23 00Z 0.54 3019 82 8 -8 0.00
Sun 11/23 03Z 0.43 3018 78 9 -7 0.00
Sun 11/23 06Z 0.47 2919 79 58 -7 0.00
Sun 11/23 09Z 0.52 2920 81 34 -7 0.00
Sun 11/23 12Z 0.56 2819 84 29 -8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.05 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1