Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20260204_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 02/04 06Z 0.51 2612 88 76 -13 0.00
Wed 02/04 09Z 0.43 2912 87 74 -14 0.00
Wed 02/04 12Z 0.41 2911 85 77 -15 0.01
Wed 02/04 15Z 0.31 2911 84 70 -15 0.00
Wed 02/04 18Z 0.37 3013 83 44 -14 0.00
Wed 02/04 21Z 0.43 3016 89 30 -13 0.00
Thu 02/05 00Z 0.47 3018 91 32 -13 0.00
Thu 02/05 03Z 0.37 3017 87 31 -13 0.00
Thu 02/05 06Z 0.41 3018 83 37 -13 0.00
Thu 02/05 09Z 0.47 2919 84 63 -14 0.00
Thu 02/05 12Z 0.48 3020 90 32 -15 0.00
Thu 02/05 15Z 0.32 3116 87 8 -15 0.00
Thu 02/05 18Z 0.26 3112 76 6 -14 0.00
Thu 02/05 21Z 0.19 3211 65 7 -13 0.00
Fri 02/06 00Z 0.11 3210 48 7 -11 0.00
Fri 02/06 03Z 0.09 3005 47 11 -10 0.00
Fri 02/06 06Z 0.11 2506 52 17 -10 0.00
Fri 02/06 09Z 0.16 2309 52 10 -10 0.00
Fri 02/06 12Z 0.15 2209 61 13 -11 0.00
Fri 02/06 15Z 0.13 2013 66 89 -10 0.00
Fri 02/06 18Z 0.16 2015 58 88 -10 0.00
Fri 02/06 21Z 0.15 1917 65 92 -10 0.00
Sat 02/07 00Z 0.21 1919 82 93 -11 0.00
Sat 02/07 03Z 0.17 1917 68 91 -10 0.04
Sat 02/07 06Z 0.23 2113 90 85 -11 0.01
Sat 02/07 09Z 0.29 2608 91 83 -12 0.05
Sat 02/07 12Z 0.23 3321 86 82 -14 0.05
Sat 02/07 15Z 0.17 3323 81 80 -17 0.02
Sat 02/07 18Z 0.24 3225 82 77 -20 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.20 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1