Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20260509_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 05/09 06Z 1.05 2513 60 45 0 0.00
Sat 05/09 09Z 0.73 2611 47 40 0 0.00
Sat 05/09 12Z 0.24 2011 52 44 0 0.00
Sat 05/09 15Z 0.99 1614 72 59 1 0.00
Sat 05/09 18Z 1.21 1520 85 74 1 0.06
Sat 05/09 21Z 0.12 1622 95 81 2 0.05
Sun 05/10 00Z 0.07 1824 96 74 4 0.02
Sun 05/10 03Z 0.24 1923 96 21 3 0.00
Sun 05/10 06Z 0.41 2125 91 29 4 0.00
Sun 05/10 09Z 0.75 2331 91 89 5 0.01
Sun 05/10 12Z 1.06 2625 94 59 2 0.03
Sun 05/10 15Z 13.23 2518 69 8 1 0.00
Sun 05/10 18Z 13.59 2519 46 21 2 0.00
Sun 05/10 21Z 14.79 2521 46 29 2 0.00
Mon 05/11 00Z 3.54 2621 48 26 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 03Z 1.53 2822 64 34 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 06Z 1.04 2920 62 38 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 09Z 0.92 2915 57 37 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 12Z 0.56 2811 47 53 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 15Z 5.40 2810 50 65 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 18Z 8.56 2612 55 70 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 21Z 6.18 2811 56 69 0 0.00
Tue 05/12 00Z 2.81 3214 64 72 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 03Z 5.25 2911 58 70 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 06Z 0.76 3417 62 25 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 09Z 0.20 3517 62 33 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 12Z 0.20 3415 65 16 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 15Z 3.73 3211 65 9 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 18Z 5.64 3112 61 13 -3 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.17 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1