Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20260218_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 02/18 06Z 0.79 2923 90 18 -4 0.00
Wed 02/18 09Z 0.67 3023 85 20 -5 0.00
Wed 02/18 12Z 0.41 3123 68 23 -5 0.00
Wed 02/18 15Z 0.21 3216 49 24 -5 0.00
Wed 02/18 18Z 0.10 3312 37 20 -5 0.00
Wed 02/18 21Z 0.04 0011 40 11 -6 0.00
Thu 02/19 00Z 0.15 0213 34 9 -6 0.00
Thu 02/19 03Z 0.21 0315 33 12 -6 0.00
Thu 02/19 06Z 0.19 0411 31 14 -6 0.00
Thu 02/19 09Z 0.14 0506 27 5 -6 0.00
Thu 02/19 12Z 0.04 0402 23 5 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 15Z 0.03 1701 21 7 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 18Z 0.07 2005 25 27 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 21Z 0.17 2308 35 18 -4 0.00
Fri 02/20 00Z 0.23 2409 63 15 -3 0.00
Fri 02/20 03Z 0.17 2606 72 11 -3 0.00
Fri 02/20 06Z 0.17 2308 79 24 -3 0.00
Fri 02/20 09Z 0.11 2207 81 43 -1 0.00
Fri 02/20 12Z 0.02 1806 73 30 1 0.00
Fri 02/20 15Z 0.02 1712 78 20 0 0.00
Fri 02/20 18Z 0.11 1616 85 68 0 0.00
Fri 02/20 21Z 0.19 1417 96 93 0 0.29
Sat 02/21 00Z 0.26 1424 96 96 -1 0.28
Sat 02/21 03Z 0.18 1519 92 86 0 0.09
Sat 02/21 06Z 0.04 1718 95 96 -5 0.22
Sat 02/21 09Z 0.16 2014 96 79 -5 0.05
Sat 02/21 12Z 0.17 2112 97 61 -5 0.02
Sat 02/21 15Z 0.05 1910 97 29 -6 0.02
Sat 02/21 18Z 0.18 2112 97 48 -6 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.99 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1