Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20261004_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 10/04 18Z 0.15 1615 94 40 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 21Z 0.09 1724 93 86 5 0.00
Mon 10/05 00Z 0.24 1925 95 44 5 0.00
Mon 10/05 03Z 0.42 2125 97 87 7 0.00
Mon 10/05 06Z 0.51 2321 95 77 7 0.00
Mon 10/05 09Z 0.65 2426 96 92 7 0.02
Mon 10/05 12Z 1.13 2828 97 97 4 0.11
Mon 10/05 15Z 1.64 2823 92 59 1 0.01
Mon 10/05 18Z 13.32 2825 80 27 0 0.02
Mon 10/05 21Z 14.63 2828 80 61 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 00Z 3.84 2930 85 59 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 03Z 1.54 3032 87 56 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 06Z 1.97 3033 85 33 -5 0.00
Tue 10/06 09Z 1.00 3032 83 27 -4 0.00
Tue 10/06 12Z 0.72 3031 81 19 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 15Z 0.56 3026 69 16 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 18Z 0.68 2923 51 7 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 21Z 1.24 2922 47 11 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 00Z 0.95 2824 46 41 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 03Z 0.54 2920 35 75 1 0.00
Wed 10/07 06Z 0.43 2718 31 72 3 0.00
Wed 10/07 09Z 0.59 2623 43 92 4 0.00
Wed 10/07 12Z 0.59 2525 72 92 6 0.00
Wed 10/07 15Z 0.53 2621 49 85 5 0.00
Wed 10/07 18Z 0.78 2330 58 93 9 0.00
Wed 10/07 21Z 0.83 2430 75 97 7 0.01
Thu 10/08 00Z 0.77 2529 91 95 7 0.03
Thu 10/08 03Z 0.79 2627 93 77 6 0.02
Thu 10/08 06Z 0.98 2725 88 17 4 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.24 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1