Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20260113_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 01/13 06Z 0.96 2723 95 75 -9 0.00
Tue 01/13 09Z 0.80 2623 91 86 -7 0.00
Tue 01/13 12Z 0.71 2622 93 49 -6 0.00
Tue 01/13 15Z 0.67 2618 94 19 -7 0.00
Tue 01/13 18Z 0.37 2315 84 11 -5 0.00
Tue 01/13 21Z 0.17 2018 74 35 -1 0.00
Wed 01/14 00Z 0.25 2032 69 82 0 0.00
Wed 01/14 03Z 0.35 2037 68 90 0 0.00
Wed 01/14 06Z 0.60 2138 96 77 -2 0.08
Wed 01/14 09Z 0.62 2233 91 70 -1 0.00
Wed 01/14 12Z 0.67 2332 92 59 -2 0.00
Wed 01/14 15Z 0.73 2429 94 57 -3 0.00
Wed 01/14 18Z 0.86 2424 96 35 -4 0.00
Wed 01/14 21Z 0.69 2318 95 55 -4 0.00
Thu 01/15 00Z 0.33 2113 93 89 -4 0.00
Thu 01/15 03Z 0.14 1912 96 90 -4 0.02
Thu 01/15 06Z 0.10 1912 97 89 -4 0.05
Thu 01/15 09Z 0.12 2704 95 89 -4 0.09
Thu 01/15 12Z 0.26 3217 88 89 -10 0.12
Thu 01/15 15Z 4.75 2822 86 86 -17 0.06
Thu 01/15 18Z 11.91 2723 84 77 -21 0.03
Thu 01/15 21Z 18.00 2728 80 72 -23 0.01
Fri 01/16 00Z 3.25 2829 77 71 -25 0.00
Fri 01/16 03Z 8.85 2727 80 74 -23 0.00
Fri 01/16 06Z 0.50 3026 70 23 -20 0.01
Fri 01/16 09Z 0.47 2823 67 20 -18 0.00
Fri 01/16 12Z 0.55 2724 82 24 -16 0.00
Fri 01/16 15Z 0.47 2324 69 14 -14 0.00
Fri 01/16 18Z 0.40 2125 44 68 -12 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.47 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1