Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20260203_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 02/03 12Z 0.10 3207 65 46 -9 0.00
Tue 02/03 15Z 0.11 3005 62 29 -10 0.00
Tue 02/03 18Z 0.15 2505 58 44 -10 0.00
Tue 02/03 21Z 0.23 2407 54 33 -11 0.00
Wed 02/04 00Z 0.36 2609 71 39 -12 0.00
Wed 02/04 03Z 0.56 2709 80 67 -13 0.00
Wed 02/04 06Z 0.51 2610 85 72 -13 0.00
Wed 02/04 09Z 0.53 2713 91 84 -13 0.01
Wed 02/04 12Z 0.45 2916 88 86 -14 0.01
Wed 02/04 15Z 0.42 3121 88 84 -13 0.01
Wed 02/04 18Z 0.63 3017 86 62 -14 0.00
Wed 02/04 21Z 0.60 3014 90 37 -14 0.00
Thu 02/05 00Z 0.34 3015 83 33 -12 0.00
Thu 02/05 03Z 0.27 3014 78 29 -12 0.00
Thu 02/05 06Z 0.27 2812 77 37 -12 0.00
Thu 02/05 09Z 0.33 2814 81 37 -13 0.00
Thu 02/05 12Z 0.39 2917 86 48 -14 0.00
Thu 02/05 15Z 0.35 3016 91 5 -15 0.00
Thu 02/05 18Z 0.35 3114 87 4 -16 0.00
Thu 02/05 21Z 0.30 3113 80 2 -16 0.00
Fri 02/06 00Z 0.17 3213 61 3 -14 0.00
Fri 02/06 03Z 0.08 3311 50 6 -12 0.00
Fri 02/06 06Z 0.05 3307 42 12 -11 0.00
Fri 02/06 09Z 0.09 3310 51 7 -12 0.00
Fri 02/06 12Z 0.03 2501 33 24 -10 0.00
Fri 02/06 15Z 0.01 1707 31 27 -10 0.00
Fri 02/06 18Z 0.04 1809 38 18 -10 0.00
Fri 02/06 21Z 0.03 1810 45 18 -10 0.00
Sat 02/07 00Z 0.11 1912 58 75 -12 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.03 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1