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Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20261103_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 11/03 06Z 0.47 2813 59 88 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 09Z 0.37 2710 57 86 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 12Z 0.39 2411 63 91 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 15Z 0.44 2314 63 95 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 18Z 0.54 2217 72 94 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 21Z 0.61 2324 89 88 9 0.01
Wed 11/04 00Z 0.61 2524 93 77 10 0.02
Wed 11/04 03Z 0.77 2726 85 67 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 06Z 0.93 2626 74 53 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 09Z 0.93 2627 70 66 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 12Z 1.00 2628 69 71 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 15Z 0.76 2625 66 78 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 18Z 0.53 2519 62 59 13 0.00
Wed 11/04 21Z 0.47 2417 65 49 13 0.00
Thu 11/05 00Z 0.55 2520 68 49 12 0.00
Thu 11/05 03Z 0.43 2419 52 52 13 0.00
Thu 11/05 06Z 0.38 2322 45 51 14 0.00
Thu 11/05 09Z 0.47 2329 50 48 14 0.00
Thu 11/05 12Z 0.48 2231 64 40 13 0.00
Thu 11/05 15Z 0.65 2234 97 94 11 0.00
Thu 11/05 18Z 0.65 2329 93 65 11 0.05
Thu 11/05 21Z 0.70 2327 82 12 10 0.00
Fri 11/06 00Z 0.82 2330 91 12 9 0.00
Fri 11/06 03Z 0.71 2329 89 30 10 0.02
Fri 11/06 06Z 0.78 2621 88 14 6 0.01
Fri 11/06 09Z 0.58 2617 87 26 5 0.00
Fri 11/06 12Z 0.45 2514 85 30 4 0.00
Fri 11/06 15Z 0.28 2310 80 36 5 0.00
Fri 11/06 18Z 0.24 2208 82 36 5 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.11 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1