
Cooler and less humid conditions for most of the eastern third of the nation as high pressure dominates the weather pattern. Otherwise, rather tranquil weather for most of the nation for the end of the weekend into the start of this week. We continue to monitor a developing coastal storm offshore of the Carolinas; Coastal flooding and beach erosion possible along portions of the Mid-Atlantic. Read More >
Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20261018_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 10/18 12Z 0.58 2917 79 60 -2 0.00
Sun 10/18 15Z 0.54 2914 80 43 -1 0.00
Sun 10/18 18Z 0.40 2611 62 37 1 0.00
Sun 10/18 21Z 0.33 2413 49 20 3 0.00
Mon 10/19 00Z 0.35 2716 36 17 7 0.00
Mon 10/19 03Z 0.30 2714 20 23 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 06Z 0.27 2512 20 24 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 09Z 0.30 2514 20 24 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 12Z 0.34 2614 14 24 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 15Z 0.36 2715 9 27 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 18Z 0.32 2713 10 31 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 21Z 0.33 2914 14 30 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 00Z 0.26 3012 25 23 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 03Z 0.16 3211 34 17 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 06Z 0.08 3414 47 13 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 09Z 0.03 0015 44 14 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 12Z 0.09 0120 31 14 8 0.00
Tue 10/20 15Z 0.17 0221 28 8 7 0.00
Tue 10/20 18Z 0.13 0216 34 3 6 0.00
Tue 10/20 21Z 0.12 0217 40 4 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 00Z 0.20 0319 42 4 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 03Z 0.22 0515 46 5 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 06Z 0.19 0710 52 5 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 09Z 0.20 0514 47 5 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 12Z 0.19 0811 43 5 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 15Z 0.20 1012 42 6 8 0.00
Wed 10/21 18Z 0.17 1111 46 6 8 0.00
Wed 10/21 21Z 0.14 1310 48 6 9 0.00
Thu 10/22 00Z 0.10 1409 45 6 9 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1