Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20260410_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 04/10 06Z 0.58 2429 53 44 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 09Z 0.73 2529 77 52 5 0.00
Fri 04/10 12Z 0.52 2520 77 47 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 15Z 0.43 2225 71 89 7 0.00
Fri 04/10 18Z 0.58 2225 62 88 9 0.00
Fri 04/10 21Z 0.63 2221 64 51 8 0.00
Sat 04/11 00Z 0.57 2225 79 89 7 0.01
Sat 04/11 03Z 0.45 2616 96 97 3 0.16
Sat 04/11 06Z 0.37 3223 98 90 0 0.18
Sat 04/11 09Z 0.87 3129 95 11 -6 0.02
Sat 04/11 12Z 0.91 3129 91 6 -8 0.00
Sat 04/11 15Z 2.00 3124 91 9 -8 0.00
Sat 04/11 18Z 7.00 3021 88 13 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 21Z 8.61 3121 81 10 -7 0.00
Sun 04/12 00Z 2.60 3124 78 11 -7 0.00
Sun 04/12 03Z 4.58 3225 75 14 -7 0.00
Sun 04/12 06Z 0.69 3322 70 14 -7 0.00
Sun 04/12 09Z 0.29 3314 66 21 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 12Z 0.20 2907 59 26 -4 0.00
Sun 04/12 15Z 0.21 2208 52 29 -3 0.00
Sun 04/12 18Z 0.27 2014 46 26 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 21Z 0.53 1920 90 97 -2 0.01
Mon 04/13 00Z 0.41 2136 98 98 1 0.36
Mon 04/13 03Z 0.29 2023 78 73 0 0.26
Mon 04/13 06Z 0.76 2546 95 94 9 0.21
Mon 04/13 09Z 0.93 2647 96 95 10 0.07
Mon 04/13 12Z 0.94 2645 97 94 10 0.16
Mon 04/13 15Z 1.00 2643 96 93 10 0.08
Mon 04/13 18Z 1.07 2638 97 69 9 0.03
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.55 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1