November 15, 1997 Snow Storm

Heavy Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest and Southwest; Heat Continues in the Southern U.S.

Heavy to excessive rainfall could bring flooding today through Thursday across parts of the central Plains into the Midwest and southern Arizona and New Mexico. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms may impact parts of eastern Nebraska into western Iowa later today into early evening. Heat Advisories remain in place across much of east Texas into the mid-Mississippi Valley today and Tuesday. Read More >

November 15th, 1997 Snowstorm

November 15th, 1997 will go down in the record books as a very interesting snow system. On Friday we predicted 3 to 6 inches of snow would fall where a Snow Advisory was put out. On average, this turned out to be a very good forecast. However, due to a combination of effects, a narrow band of 6 to 10 inches of snow fell. From a large number of snowfall reports, the maximum snow band stretched from Fairbank, IA to Parkview, IA to Geneseo, IL.

Looking at the meteorology of the storm, we found that Saturday morning our 12Z sounding indicated that only 0.29" of precipitable water was recorded. The snow that fell had a liquid water equivalent up to 3/4". The storm was an efficient precipitation producer. The other factor that played a role was the static stability. Lapse rates in the 850-500mb layer were 7-8C/km, which is indicative of a conditionally unstable atmosphere. On our radar that night, we did see some elements that suggested some of the snow was convective in nature, which certainly contributed to the narrow band of higher snow amounts.

Looking back at the data, there were no traditional scientifically sound snow forecasting methods that would have predicted the narrow path of 6 to 10 inches of snow.

City and Town Snowfall Reports

Belle Plaine 1.1"
Burlington 0.2"
Central Point 8"
Clinton 6"
Coggon 8.8"
Dewitt 6.2"
Geneseo 7.5"
Fairbank 7.4"
Fulton 6"
Independence 7.5"
Maquoketa 6"
Muscatine 0.75"
Otter Creek 5"
Parkview 10"
Swisher 1.4"
Tipton 6"
Walford 2"

Pictures from Parkview, IA

The Front Yard	The Trees	The Path to the Birdfeeder

	Photos courtesy: Eric Helgeson


Below you can see the 1km Visible Satellite image taken on Sunday, November 16th, 1997 around noon which shows the snow cover over Eastern Iowa and Northwest Illinois.