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Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Overview

Scattered showers and thunderstorms developed across much of eastern IA, northwest IL and northeast MO on the afternoon and evening of October 9th. This was due to a strong cold front and associated low pressure system advancing eastward across west central IA. Several supercells developed, with one producing a confirmed tornado near Blairstown, IA in Benton county. Other storms produced hail up to penny size, locally heavy rainfall, and brief funnel clouds.

 

 

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Radar Image: Tuesday 10/9 5:00 pm

Radar:

Radar Loop  - Courtesy Iowa Environmental Mesonet
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Rain Reports 

Local Rainfall Map

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Regional Estimated Rainfall 

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Environment

Environment Environment Environment Environment
Figure 1: SPC Day 1 Outlook (200z) Figure 2: SPC Day 1 Tornado Outlook (200z) Figure 3: SPC Day 1 Wind Outlook (2000z) Figure 4: SPC Day 1 Hail Outlook (2000z)
 
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Figure 5: DVN Sounding 10/9/18 12z Figure 6: DVN Sounding 10/10/18 00z


 

Environment
Figure 7: SPC Mesoscale Discussion #1550 (see link for details) Figure 8: SPC Mesoscale Discussion #1553 (see link for details) Figure 9: SPC Mesoscale Discussion #1555 (see link for details)


 

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