Aviation Forecast Discussion

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 650 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026

VFR conditions this morning will deteriorate to MVFR through the
late afternoon and into the evening as showers and storms
overspread the area. A slow moving cold front is progressing 
through northern MO this morning. The front is already through 
KSTJ, with northerly winds being reported. Southerly winds 
should prevail at the KC Metro terminals into the afternoon 
before shifting to northerly. The front will bring a potential 
for showers and storms at all four terminals this afternoon 
through the end of the forecast period. KMCI, KMKC, and KIXD 
stand the best chance of seeing afternoon storms, so have opted 
for a TEMPO group at these terminals. Afternoon storms may 
remain south of KSTJ, but there is still a low-end chance (~30%)
of storms being that far north, so have opted for a PROB30 
group.

Widespread showers and storms are expected to develop around 
01Z with visibility and CIG impacts at all four terminals
through the end of the TAF period. CIGs are expected to drop 
into MVFR, but there is a chance of seeing low-end MVFR or even 
IFR CIGs through the overnight. However, confidence is not high 
enough to include IFR in the TAFs, so opted for a SCT009 group.

&&

Latest MCI Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF)

FTUS80 KMCI 151139 RRB
KMCI 151136Z 1512/1612 22008KT P6SM SCT130
     FM152100 02012KT P6SM BKN040
      TEMPO 1522/1601 4SM -TSRA BKN035CB
     FM160100 06009KT 5SM -TSRA SCT009 BKN025CB

Latest Area Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts (TAFs)

FTUS80 KMKC 151139 RRB
KMKC 151136Z 1512/1612 22008KT P6SM SCT130
     FM152200 01012KT P6SM BKN040
      TEMPO 1522/1601 4SM -TSRA BKN035CB
     FM160100 05008KT 5SM -TSRA SCT009 BKN025CB

FTUS43 KEAX 151136
TAFIXD
TAF
KIXD 151136Z 1512/1612 20007KT P6SM SCT230
     FM152300 01010KT P6SM SCT040
      TEMPO 1523/1601 4SM -TSRA BKN035CB
     FM160100 04009KT 5SM -TSRA BKN025CB
     FM160600 07008KT P6SM SCT009 BKN025
      PROB30 1606/1612 5SM -TSRA BKN025CB=

FTUS80 KSTJ 151139 RRD
KSTJ 151136Z 1512/1612 02011KT P6SM BKN100 PROB30 1520/1524 4SM
      -TSRA OVC035CB
     FM160000 06007KT 5SM -TSRA SCT009 BKN025CB

FTUS53 KTOP 151121 RRG
KTOP 151120Z 1512/1612 17007KT P6SM SCT100 WS015/20050KT
     FM151400 VRB05KT P6SM SCT100
     FM151700 03007KT P6SM BKN090
     FM152200 01010KT 4SM -SHRA VCTS SCT027CB BKN045
     FM160100 04007KT 2SM -SHRA VCTS OVC015CB
     FM160700 07004KT 2SM -SHRA VCTS OVC007CB

FTUS80 KFOE 151121 RRM
KFOE 151120Z 1512/1612 17008KT P6SM SCT100 WS014/20050KT
     FM151400 VRB05KT P6SM SCT100
     FM151700 03008KT P6SM BKN090
     FM152200 02012KT 4SM -SHRA VCTS SCT025CB BKN040
     FM160100 04009KT 2SM -SHRA VCTS OVC012CB
     FM160700 07006KT 2SM -SHRA VCTS OVC006CB

FTUS80 KMHK 151121 RRW
KMHK 151120Z 1512/1612 20010KT P6SM BKN120 WS015/21050KT
     FM151300 VRB05KT P6SM BKN120
     FM151700 04012G18KT P6SM BKN090
     FM152100 03013G22KT 4SM -SHRA VCTS SCT020CB BKN035
     FM160000 04009KT 2SM -SHRA VCTS OVC015CB
     FM160300 07005KT 2SM -SHRA VCTS OVC006CB

FTUS80 KSTL 151121 RRX
KSTL 151120Z 1512/1618 19010KT P6SM FEW250
     FM151600 23012KT P6SM FEW060
     FM152300 VRB06KT P6SM BKN100 PROB30 1523/1604 3SM -TSRA
      BKN040CB
     FM160700 03006KT P6SM BKN100

FTUS43 KSUS 151121 RRC
KSUS 151120Z 1512/1612 19006KT P6SM FEW250
     FM151600 23010KT P6SM FEW060
     FM152300 VRB04KT P6SM BKN100 PROB30 1523/1604 3SM -TSRA
      BKN040CB

FTUS80 KCOU 151121 RRG
KCOU 151120Z 1512/1612 18010KT P6SM FEW250
     FM151500 23012KT P6SM FEW050 SCT150
     FM160000 03004KT P6SM BKN100 PROB30 1603/1607 3SM -TSRA
      BKN040CB
     FM160700 05008KT P6SM SCT015 BKN100

FTUS43 KLSX 151120
TAFUIN
TAF
KUIN 151120Z 1512/1612 18014G22KT P6SM FEW250 WS020/20045KT
     FM151400 23010G20KT P6SM FEW040 BKN100
     FM152000 26008KT P6SM SCT045 OVC100
     FM160000 36008KT P6SM OVC100
      PROB30 1602/1606 3SM -TSRA BKN040CB
     FM160700 02006KT P6SM SCT015=

FTUS43 KLSX 151120
TAFCPS
TAF
KCPS 151120Z 1512/1612 17006KT P6SM FEW250
     FM151600 22010KT P6SM FEW060
     FM152300 VRB04KT P6SM BKN100
      PROB30 1600/1605 3SM -TSRA BKN040CB=

FTUS80 KJEF 151121 RRS
KJEF 151120Z 1512/1612 16005KT P6SM FEW250
     FM151500 23010KT P6SM FEW050 SCT150
     FM160000 03006KT P6SM BKN100 PROB30 1603/1607 3SM -TSRA
      BKN040CB
     FM160700 05004KT P6SM SCT015 BKN100

FTUS80 KOMA 151133 CCA
KOMA 151132Z 1512/1612 36009KT 6SM -SHRA SCT008 SCT029 BKN070
      TEMPO 1512/1513 BKN008
     FM151800 01006KT P6SM SCT080 SCT120
     FM160200 06006KT P6SM BKN120

FTUS80 KDSM 151121 RRJ
KDSM 151120Z 1512/1612 27007KT 6SM -SHRA SCT030 OVC080
     FM151400 34008KT P6SM SCT050 OVC100 PROB30 1514/1519 -SHRA
     FM160000 04005KT P6SM SCT050 OVC150

FTUS43 KSGF 151121 RRB
KSGF 151120Z 1512/1612 18009KT P6SM SKC
     FM151400 22011G23KT P6SM SKC
     FM160000 16010KT P6SM FEW210

FTUS80 KJLN 151121 RRS
KJLN 151120Z 1512/1612 19010G18KT P6SM SKC
     FM151300 20012G23KT P6SM SKC
     FM160000 13008KT P6SM FEW250

FTUS43 KICT 151121 RRA
KICT 151120Z 1512/1612 19015KT P6SM FEW150 WS020/21040KT
     FM152200 33008KT P6SM VCTS BKN090CB
      TEMPO 1522/1602 VRB20G35KT 3SM TSRA BR BKN060CB
     FM160300 04008KT 6SM -SHRA BR BKN025
     FM160700 05005KT P6SM OVC010

FTUS80 KLNK 151121 RRU
KLNK 151120Z 1512/1612 36009KT 6SM -SHRA BKN014 BKN100
     FM151500 02010KT P6SM -SHRA BKN060 BKN100
     FM151800 04006KT P6SM BKN050 OVC100

Raw METARs for WFO EAX CWA and Surrounding Areas