COZ294-040115-
COZ294-040115-
Southwest Colorado Upper West Forecast Area-
308 AM MDT Thu Jul 3 2025

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
308 AM MDT Thu Jul 3 2025

.DISCUSSION...Deep moisture in place today will provide widespread 
wetting rain to eastern Utah and western Colorado, as well as much 
cooler temperatures. Frequent lightning and gusty winds will also be 
possible today. Temperatures warm a few degrees tomorrow, with 
lingering moisture allowing for afternoon showers and storms to form 
over the higher terrain. Much warmer and drier conditions return for 
Saturday into early next week. Light winds will keep critical fire 
weather conditions limited through this period.

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60%) until 1200, then mostly 
                    cloudy (70-80%). Isolated thunderstorms until 
                    1200. Scattered showers. Scattered 
                    thunderstorms after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....50 percent. 
Max temperature.....65-75 F. 
Min humidity........36-46%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................60 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....South 15 to 20 mph. 
Mixing Height.......3000 ft AGL until 1000, then 5000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). Scattered showers and 
                    thunderstorms until 2400. 
Chc of lightning....50 percent. 
Min temperature.....46-56 F. 
Max humidity........81-96%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................30 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 10 to 15 mph. 
Mixing Height.......4500 ft AGL until 2000, then 1500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 to 10 mph until 2400, then south. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%). Isolated showers and 
                    thunderstorms after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....10 percent. 
Max temperature.....69-79 F. 
Min humidity........18-28%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 10 to 15 mph. 
Mixing Height.......2000 ft AGL until 0900, then 9500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 43-53. Highs 75-85. Winds less than
15 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows 45-55.
Highs 78-88. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows
47-57. Highs 78-88. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
47-57. Highs 80-90. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 48-58. Highs 82-92.