Heavy Great Lakes Snow through Friday; Extreme Cold and Potential for Major Winter Storm Late Week into this Weekend

Multiple clipper systems will bring cold temperatures and enhance lake-effect snow downwind of the Great Lakes. An arctic blast will bring frigid temperatures accompanied with gusty winds that may lead to dangerous wind chills beginning in the Northern Plains Thursday before expanding to the South and East. An expansive winter storm will start Friday in the Southern Rockies/Plains and Mid-South. Read More >

February 4, 2006
Winter Weather Event Review
Section 4: Mesoscale Review

Back to the main event page for February 4, 2006

Section 1 -- Section 2 -- Section 3 -- Section 4 -- Section 5 -- Section 6

While some favorable characteristics existed for banding all of the attributes necessary for development were not present. The 700 mb trough was initially an open wave which deepened and closed off over Ohio on Saturday, February 4 . This event also lacked the dual upper level jet structure. Although the classic potential for banding was not strongly indicated, the potential for enhanced forcing was indicated. Figure 12 shows an axis of 700 mb deformation and 2D frontogenesis over the western portion of the CWA at 12 UTC Saturday. By 18 UTC the 700mb low was closing off and this favorable frontogenesis was over the northwest and by 00 UTC this potential for enhanced lift had shifted north out of the CWA. Figure 13 shows a cross-sectional view northwest-southeast slice through the core of the mid-level frontogenesis at 18 UTC. Although lift is indicated in the zone of preferred dendritic growth, the best upward vertical motion is above the favored thermal ribbon.