
Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of large hail in excess of two inches, strong tornadoes, and damaging wind gusts are likely across parts of the Upper Mississippi Valley and Midwest this evening. Heavy to excessive rainfall may bring a flooding threat to portions of the Central Plains to the Midwest through Thursday. The heatwave in the Central U.S. will begin to push South and East Thursday Read More >
Biggest takeaway:
Flash flooding in particular (rapidly rising & moving water) is a very deadly threat, killing more people than many other weather threats combined. Most people die from driving into water, or being drawn to the power/unusual nature of the water - kids want to play around it & adults want to get close & take pictures. One badly placed foothold can be grabbed by the torrent and pull the person in. Camping by a small stream or river is also very dangerous when flash flooding is possible. Intense flash flooding can also create landslides.
Warning/Trigger for Plan:
NWS Flash Flood Warning
…also may need actions for NWS Flood Warning (though inundation more gradual)
Advance Notice/Time to Activate & Accomplish Your Planned Response:
Typically 30-60 minutes
Frequency:
~0-5/year at various times of day & night.
How Accurate Warnings?
If there is flash flooding, there almost certainly will be a Flash Flood Warning issued beforehand. That said a little more than 1/3 are false alarms.