National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Excessive Rainfall in the Southern Plains Today

Heavy to excessive rainfall may produce additional flash flooding today across parts of the southern Plains where the greatest risk is along the Red River Valley into western Arkansas. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible today from north central Texas into the ArkLaTex Region. Large to very large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes are all possible, with some strong-tornado potential. Read More >

Latest Aviation Discussion:
.AVIATION /17Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Expect a dry forecast through much of the day along with VFR conditions outside of CHO. The early morning cold front has officially reached the I-64 corridor. This sets the focus for some shower activity and perhaps a few rumbles of thunder at CHO this afternoon. Maintaining a PROB30 group between 19-21Z, but once the winds turn north at the airport, the likelihood for any storms to develop will be near zero. Elsewhere, winds should mainly be out of the north to northwesterly direction being north of the boundary. The system remains stalled to the south through midday Thursday before slowly returning northward as a warm front. This leads to a shift back to south to southeasterly winds, with afternoon gusts up to 15 to 20 knots. Additionally, the return of Gulf moisture and continued warm weather favors some shower and thunderstorm activity. A few restrictions are certainly possible. Winds turn more southwesterly on Friday with sub-VFR conditions possible at times as storms roll through during the afternoon/evening hours. Can't rule out a severe thunderstorm or two either, given the warm and somewhat humid airmass in place. MVFR to IFR conditions at all terminals possible with showers and thunderstorms Saturday through Sunday night. We don't think that the IFR conditions would be many consecutive hours or even longer since there would likely short breaks in between convection. Winds Saturday southwest 10 to 15 knots gusts 20 knots shifting northwest 5 to 15 knots Saturday night. Winds northwest becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots Sunday and Sunday night. AVIATION...KLW/CJL/BRO Update as of: 200 PM EDT Wed Apr 30 2025

This discussion and more can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion.

 

Aviation Forecasts

The National Weather Service (NWS) Weather Forecast Office (WFO-LWX), in Sterling, VA has responsibility for six Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts or TAFs in Virginia, Maryland and the eastern West Virginia panhandle. Click on each map below to view the latest decoded TAF Note: maps are not for official aviation use. FAA VFR charts are available here.

REAGAN NATIONAL (DCA)

  TERMINAL FORECAST (DCA)

  24 HRS OF OBSERVATIONS

  FAA DETAILS

  TABULAR FORECAST

  DCA TAF BOARDClick for latest Washington Reagan National TAF & Current Observation

 

 

 

 

 


DULLES (IAD)

  TERMINAL FORECAST (IAD)

  24 HRS OF OBSERVATIONS

  FAA DETAILS

  TABULAR FORECAST

  IAD TAF BOARDClick for latest Dulles VA TAF & Observation

 

 

 

 

 

 


BALTIMORE (BWI)

  TERMINAL FORECAST (BWI)

  24 HRS OF OBSERVATIONS

  FAA DETAILS

  TABULAR FORECAST

  BWI TAF BOARDClick for latest Baltimore-BWI TAF & Observation

 

 

 

 

 

 


CHARLOTTESVILLE (CHO)

  TERMINAL FORECAST (CHO)

  24 HRS OF OBSERVATIONS

  FAA DETAILS

  TABULAR FORECAST

  CHO TAF BOARD

Click for latest Charlottesville TAF & Observation

 

 

 

 

 

 


MARTIN STATE (MTN)

  TERMINAL FORECAST (MTN)

  24 HRS OF OBSERVATIONS

  FAA DETAILS

  TABULAR FORECAST

  MTN TAF BOARD

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Click for latest Martin State TAF & Observation



MARTINSBURG (MRB)

  TERMINAL FORECAST (MRB)

  24 HRS OF OBSERVATIONS

  FAA DETAILS

  TABULAR FORECAST

  MRB TAF BOARD

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Click for latest Martinsburg TAF & Observation


Click here for the latest decoded METARs at all 6 WFO Sterling TAF sites

 

Center Weather Service Unit Products

 

The Leesburg VA Center Weather Service Unit (CWSU/ZDC) covers the NWS Sterling, VA County Warning Area. Use the buttons on the map or....CLICK HERE to view ZDC's web site.  For complete AVIATION WEATHER CENTER products click here.

Interactive Aviation Map (mouse over & CLICK for Observations)


See Complete MESONET MAP & OBS

Decoded/Raw Text

  • 24 hour decoded observations for Virginia Portion of our CWA...
  • 24 hour decoded observations for Maryland Portion of our CWA...
  • 24 hour decoded observations for West Virginia Portion of our CWA...

Surface Weather Maps

Wind Rose Data

  • Washington Reagan-National (DCA) wind rose data...
  • Dulles International (IAD) wind rose data...
  • Baltimore-Washington International (BWI) wind rose data...

Miscellaneous