National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Major Winter Storm Ongoing in the Upper Midwest; Severe Weather Tonight from the Mid-South to the Ohio Valley

A major winter storm will continue to bring blizzard conditions, heavy snowfall, icing, and strong winds through Monday across the Upper Midwest and Upper Great Lakes. A line of storms will be capable of producing widespread damaging winds, tornadoes, and some large hail from the Mid-South to the Ohio Valley and the Southeast through tonight, moving into the Mid-Atlantic Monday. Read More >

Latest Aviation Discussion:
.AVIATION /01Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... VFR conditions are expected through around sundown today with dry weather. The combination of high pressure around New England and a frontal zone across the Carolinas will lead to prolonged southeasterly winds. These become a bit breezier in nature into tonight as warm advection showers track northward with a warm front. The high over New England is leading to a CAD wedge over the area with terminals east of the Blue Ridge seeing overcast skies.Expect ceilings to lower through the night with IFR conditions likely at all terminals this evening and continuing into portions of Monday morning. Additionally, increasing wind aloft will introduce 40 to 45 knots of low-level southeasterly wind shear. Monday has the potential of producing rather widespread severe weather across the area. Although improving ceilings should yield VFR conditions by around midday, severe thunderstorms are expected to race eastward through the afternoon/evening on Monday. While background southerlies may gust to around 25 to 30 knots, any of the more powerful thunderstorms will be capable of producing 55 to 65 knot wind gusts as well as a few tornadoes. For the 18Z TAFs, included morning convection and rain showers in a PROB30 and used a TEMPO for the more confidence squall line passing through in the afternoon. Overall, expected thunderstorms, significant damaging winds, and possibly tornadoes tomorrow afternoon. The convective risk drops off from west to east as a strong cold front pushes through the region. VFR conditions are expected to return for Monday night with a blustery northwesterly wind. VFR conditions are likely Tuesday through Thursday. Northwest winds gust around 25-30 knots for much of Tuesday morning to afternoon, then winds diminish Tuesday night. Light southerly winds are expected Wednesday and Thursday. AVIATION...AVS/BRO/CPB/KRR Update as of: 922 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

This discussion and more can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion.

 

Aviation Forecasts

The National Weather Service (NWS) Weather Forecast Office (WFO-LWX), in Sterling, VA has responsibility for six Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts or TAFs in Virginia, Maryland and the eastern West Virginia panhandle. Click on each map below to view the latest decoded TAF Note: maps are not for official aviation use. FAA VFR charts are available here.

REAGAN NATIONAL (DCA)

  TERMINAL FORECAST (DCA)

  24 HRS OF OBSERVATIONS

  FAA DETAILS

  TABULAR FORECAST

  DCA TAF BOARDClick for latest Washington Reagan National TAF & Current Observation

 

 

 

 

 


DULLES (IAD)

  TERMINAL FORECAST (IAD)

  24 HRS OF OBSERVATIONS

  FAA DETAILS

  TABULAR FORECAST

  IAD TAF BOARDClick for latest Dulles VA TAF & Observation

 

 

 

 

 

 


BALTIMORE (BWI)

  TERMINAL FORECAST (BWI)

  24 HRS OF OBSERVATIONS

  FAA DETAILS

  TABULAR FORECAST

  BWI TAF BOARDClick for latest Baltimore-BWI TAF & Observation

 

 

 

 

 

 


CHARLOTTESVILLE (CHO)

  TERMINAL FORECAST (CHO)

  24 HRS OF OBSERVATIONS

  FAA DETAILS

  TABULAR FORECAST

  CHO TAF BOARD

Click for latest Charlottesville TAF & Observation

 

 

 

 

 

 


MARTIN STATE (MTN)

  TERMINAL FORECAST (MTN)

  24 HRS OF OBSERVATIONS

  FAA DETAILS

  TABULAR FORECAST

  MTN TAF BOARD

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Click for latest Martin State TAF & Observation



MARTINSBURG (MRB)

  TERMINAL FORECAST (MRB)

  24 HRS OF OBSERVATIONS

  FAA DETAILS

  TABULAR FORECAST

  MRB TAF BOARD

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Click for latest Martinsburg TAF & Observation


Click here for the latest decoded METARs at all 6 WFO Sterling TAF sites

 

Center Weather Service Unit Products

 

The Leesburg VA Center Weather Service Unit (CWSU/ZDC) covers the NWS Sterling, VA County Warning Area. Use the buttons on the map or....CLICK HERE to view ZDC's web site.  For complete AVIATION WEATHER CENTER products click here.

Interactive Aviation Map (mouse over & CLICK for Observations)


See Complete MESONET MAP & OBS

Decoded/Raw Text

  • 24 hour decoded observations for Virginia Portion of our CWA...
  • 24 hour decoded observations for Maryland Portion of our CWA...
  • 24 hour decoded observations for West Virginia Portion of our CWA...

Surface Weather Maps

Wind Rose Data

  • Washington Reagan-National (DCA) wind rose data...
  • Dulles International (IAD) wind rose data...
  • Baltimore-Washington International (BWI) wind rose data...

Miscellaneous