National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Aviation Forecast Discussion

.AVIATION...

00Z TAFS: The development of fog and low clouds has been retained
in the TAFs for Spokane and Coeur d'Alene. Earlier in the week the
HREF did a decent job generating advection fog/low clouds around
Spokane, and this pattern looks similar. The HREF forecasts a 60
percent chance of visibility reductions of a mile or less for
Spokane International with the highest likelihood between between
12-17z. Advection fog from south/southwest winds is most favorable
at KGEG on the plateau west of town. Stratus off the deck a few
hundred feet often occurs in town and toward Couer d'Alene in this
scenario, sometimes after a short period of radiation fog.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: 
There is moderate confidence in the development of either low
clouds or fog for Spokane and Coeur d'Alene since the HREF seems
to have skill at predicting low advection stratus. The height of
the stratus and visibility reductions carries low confidence since
the wind in the boundary layer may be sufficient to prevent fog on
the ground. /GKoch

-----------------------

Confidence descriptors:
Low - Less than a 30 percent chance
Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance
High - Greater than a 70 percent chance

For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane airports, 
please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our webpage: 
https:/www.weather.gov/otx/avndashboard

&&

Latest GEG Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF)

FTUS80 KGEG 232339 RRB
KGEG 232336Z 2400/2424 20006KT P6SM SCT020 SCT250
     FM240800 18005KT 6SM BR VCFG SCT005 SCT250
     FM241000 18006KT 3SM BR BCFG BKN003
     FM241200 18005KT 1/2SM FZFG OVC002
     FM241700 17006KT 3SM BR OVC004
     FM241900 19007KT P6SM BKN015
     FM242100 19006KT P6SM SCT250

Latest Area Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts (TAFs)

FTUS80 KSFF 232339 RRD
KSFF 232336Z 2400/2424 24003KT P6SM SCT025 SCT250
     FM240700 VRB03KT 6SM BR VCFG SCT003 SCT250
     FM240900 00000KT 3SM BR BCFG SCT002 BKN009
      TEMPO 2410/2413 1/2SM FG BKN002
     FM241400 00000KT 4SM BR OVC008
     FM241800 20003KT P6SM BKN015
     FM242100 20005KT P6SM SCT250

FTUS46 KOTX 232336
TAFCOE
TAF
KCOE 232336Z 2400/2424 23004KT P6SM SCT020 SCT250
     FM240700 16005KT 6SM BR VCFG SCT003 SCT250
     FM241000 16004KT 1/2SM FG OVC003
     FM241400 18004KT 5SM BR OVC012
     FM241800 18007KT P6SM BKN022
     FM242100 20005KT P6SM SCT030=

FTUS54 KPUW 232339
KPUW 232336Z 2400/2424 28004KT P6SM SCT040 OVC150
     FM240230 26004KT P6SM FEW040
     FM241300 10005KT P6SM FEW250
     FM241900 14006KT P6SM SCT250

FTUS46 KOTX 232336
TAFLWS
TAF
KLWS 232336Z 2400/2424 00000KT P6SM BKN060 BKN120
     FM240300 VRB03KT P6SM SCT060
     FM241300 VRB03KT 6SM BR VCFG SCT002 SCT250
     FM241700 06003KT P6SM SCT250=

FTUS80 KMWH 232339 RRD
KMWH 232336Z 2400/2424 18007KT P6SM SKC
     FM240400 24006KT P6SM SKC
     FM240900 VRB04KT P6SM FEW250
     FM241900 16005KT P6SM SCT250

FTUS80 KEAT 232339 RRA
KEAT 232336Z 2400/2424 30010KT P6SM FEW060
     FM240700 30005KT P6SM SKC
     FM241900 13005KT P6SM SCT250

FTUS80 KSEA 232330 RRE
KSEA 232329Z 2400/2506 20005KT P6SM SCT020 SCT070
     FM240700 17004KT P6SM OVC050
     FM241200 15003KT P6SM BKN015
     FM241700 19005KT P6SM BKN020
     FM241900 33005KT P6SM SCT020 BKN250

FTUS80 KBOI 240142 AAA
KBOI 240139Z 2402/2424 32018G28KT 6SM -RA FEW010 OVC035
      TEMPO 2402/2404 3SM RA BR BKN007 OVC015
     FM240500 32011KT P6SM VCSH BKN035
     FM241000 31005KT P6SM SKC

FTUS80 KPDT 232321 RRQ
KPDT 232320Z 2400/2424 VRB06KT P6SM OVC050
     FM240800 18006KT P6SM FEW250

FTUS80 KALW 232321
KALW 232320Z 2400/2424 20006KT P6SM OVC060
     FM242000 22003KT P6SM SKC

FTUS80 KPSC 232321 RRR
KPSC 232320Z 2400/2424 20006KT P6SM OVC250
     FM241300 VRB03KT P6SM SCT150

FTUS80 KYKM 232321 RRX
KYKM 232320Z 2400/2424 VRB06KT P6SM FEW070
     FM241900 15002KT P6SM SKC

FTUS80 KDLS 232321 RRF
KDLS 232320Z 2400/2424 30014G25KT P6SM SKC
     FM241300 VRB03KT P6SM SCT150 BKN250

FTUS46 KPDT 232320
TAFBDN
TAF
KBDN 232320Z 2400/2424 30012G20KT P6SM OVC040
     FM240100 23006KT P6SM FEW250
     FM240900 17003KT P6SM SKC=

FTUS80 KMSO 232327 RRC
KMSO 232325Z 2400/2424 29005KT P6SM -SHRA OVC060
     FM240500 30004KT P6SM BKN040
     FM241100 35005KT P6SM SCT250

FTUS54 KBTM 240121 AAA
KBTM 240118Z 2401/2424 33006KT 5SM -RA BR BKN024 OVC030
      TEMPO 2401/2403 3SM RA BR OVC020
     FM240500 VRB04KT P6SM OVC030
     FM241200 33008KT P6SM OVC020
     FM241800 30010KT P6SM FEW030

FTUS80 KSMN 232327 RRD
KSMN 232325Z 2400/2424 21006KT P6SM OVC070
     FM240100 01008KT 6SM -RA OVC050
     FM240700 32007KT P6SM VCSH OVC060
     FM241200 31008KT P6SM OVC020
     FM241800 VRB04KT P6SM FEW020

FTUS80 KGPI 232327 RRA
KGPI 232325Z 2400/2424 16007KT P6SM SCT080
     FM240600 18004KT P6SM OVC040
     FM241000 18010KT P6SM SCT040
     FM241900 26010KT P6SM SCT250

Raw METARs for WFO OTX CWA and Surrounding Areas

--TAFs--TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KGEG0153Z42378237210910FEW050
KSFF0153Z45367141220710CLR
KCOE0156Z413682180310
KPUW0153Z41337338270510OVC045
KLWS0156Z493764calm10OVC065
KMWH0152Z49325246200810CLR
KEAT0155Z5127392901610CLR
--WA--TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KS520135Z482539calm10CLR
KOMK0153Z413167280310CLR
KS10
KEPH0153Z45285242230510CLR
K63S0135Z432857calm10FEW030
SCT060
KDEW0153Z39368935160510FEW048
KSKA0155Z41347735220910FEW050
--ID--TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
K65S0135Z45346641210810CLR
KSZT0135Z43347139230610SCT036
KMLP0157Z302788VRB31 1/4 BRBKN001
BKN005
OVC011
-PDT TAFs-TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KPDT0153Z483356422401410CLR
KALW0153Z483766441801010OVC060
KPSC0153Z513759240810CLR
KYKM0153Z47295044290710CLR
KDLS0053Z533347270172810CLR
KRDM0156Z43275338290910 -RATBKN049
KBDN0135Z41275736300810CLR
-MSO TAFs-TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KMSO0153Z4334713970610BKN045
OVC065
KBTM0153Z3937932037 -RA0.09OVC014
KSMN0156Z4340894022059 -RA0.04FEW021
SCT026
OVC033
KGPI0155Z323092calm10CLR
KHRF0135Z393793230310FEW026
BKN037
OVC070
-Misc-TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KSEA0153Z50417147140710FEW023
BKN060
KSMP0159Z33331002 BRBKN002
BKN008
OVC026
KELN0153Z45326138320162510CLR
K1YT0155Z49274245330910CLR
KRLD0155Z49406946170710CLR
KGIC0155Z373693331805100.01SCT024
BKN030
OVC046
K1S50155Z47407910310SCT075
KHRI0153Z503454462301010CLR
KP690152Z4444100calm0.03

Lowest Expected Flight Category Forecasts - EXPERIMENTAL

 

•This site is for informational purposes. It should be used with other preflight information sources needed to satisfy all the requirements of 14 CFR 91.103. It is NOT designed to be used as a primary or sole source of information for preflight action. Refer to Flight Service for more information.

 
0-1 hr Ceiling Forecast 0-1 hr Visibility Forecast

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1-2 hr Ceiling Forecast 1-2 hr Visibility Forecast

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2-3 hr Ceiling Forecast 2-3 hr Visibility Forecast

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3-4 hr Ceiling Forecast 3-4 hr Visibility Forecast

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4-5 hr Ceiling Forecast 4-5 hr Visibility Forecast

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5-6 hr Ceiling Forecast 5-6 hr Visibility Forecast

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6-12 hr Ceiling Forecast 6-12 hr Visibility Forecast

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12-18 hr Ceiling Forecast 12-18 hr Visibility Forecast

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18-24 hr Ceiling Forecast 18-24 hr Visibility Forecast

No Plot Available

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HREF Ceiling Probabilities - EXPERIMENTAL

 

•These plots are produced by HREF ensemble guidance and are for informational purposes. It should be used with other preflight information sources needed to satisfy all the requirements of 14 CFR 91.103. It is NOT designed to be used as a primary or sole source of information for preflight action. Refer to Flight Service for more information.

 
0-1 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft 0-1 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft 0-1 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

No Plot Available

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1-2 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft 1-2 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft 1-2 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

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2-3 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft 2-3 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft 2-3 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

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3-4 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft 3-4 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft 3-4 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

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4-5 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft 4-5 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft 4-5 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

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5-6 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft 5-6 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft 5-6 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

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6-12 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft 6-12 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft 6-12 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

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12-18 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft 12-18 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft 12-18 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

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18-24 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft 18-24 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft 18-24 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

No Plot Available

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HREF Visibility Probabilities - EXPERIMENTAL

 

•These plots are produced by HREF ensemble guidance and are for informational purposes. It should be used with other preflight information sources needed to satisfy all the requirements of 14 CFR 91.103. It is NOT designed to be used as a primary or sole source of information for preflight action. Refer to Flight Service for more information.

 
0-1 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi 0-1 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi 0-1 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

No Plot Available

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1-2 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi 1-2 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi 1-2 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

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2-3 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi 2-3 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi 2-3 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

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3-4 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi 3-4 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi 3-4 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

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4-5 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi 4-5 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi 4-5 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

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5-6 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi 5-6 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi 5-6 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

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6-12 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi 6-12 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi 6-12 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

No Plot Available

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12-18 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi 12-18 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi 12-18 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

No Plot Available

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18-24 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi 18-24 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi 18-24 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

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0-1 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi 0-1 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

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1-2 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi 1-2 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

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2-3 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi 2-3 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

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3-4 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi 3-4 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

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4-5 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi 4-5 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

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5-6 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi 5-6 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

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6-12 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi 6-12 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

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12-18 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi 12-18 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

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18-24 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi 18-24 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

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9-hr Forecast 12-hr Forecast

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9-hr Forecast 12-hr Forecast

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9-hr Forecast 12-hr Forecast

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Current 3-hr Forecast 6-hr Forecast

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Aviation Soaring Data
 
Upper Air sounding Soaring Forecast and Latest Sounding Skew-T Graph
(Soaring forecast based on today's 12Z balloon soundings)
 

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