Extreme Fire Weather Concerns for the Western U.S.; Severe Weather and Flooding Threats for the Central U.S.

Extremely critical fire weather conditions are expected to develop across the Great Basin and Southwest today, and exceptionally dry and windy conditions will promote rapid wildfire spread through the weekend. Scattered severe thunderstorms and heavy rain are possible across parts of the Ozark Plateau into lower Ohio Valley and parts of the northern Rockies into adjacent Great Plains. Read More >

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Aviation Forecast Discussion

.AVIATION... 00Z TAFs: Scattered showers will remain possible (20-40% chance) for the first half of the TAF period, thru 06z, mainly for GEG, SFF, CDA, PUW, LWS. Tempo and Prob30 groups were included in these locations. Can't rule out an embedded thunderstorm. Brief MVFR cigs and/or vis will be possible under shower or storm activity. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions with breezy winds persisting at most sits through the forecast period. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Low confidence for additional evening showers and thunderstorms impacting TAF sites. Should a storm or storm outflow move over a site, wind gusts up to 25 mph will be possible. ----------------------- Confidence descriptors: Low - Less than a 30 percent chance Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance High - Greater than a 70 percent chance For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane airports, please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our webpage: https:/www.weather.gov/otx/avndashboard &&

Latest GEG Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF)

FTUS80 KGEG 270251 AAA
KGEG 270249Z 2703/2724 17012KT P6SM BKN040
     FM270400 18010KT P6SM BKN060 PROB30 2706/2712 6SM -SHRA
      OVC035
     FM271700 22012KT P6SM BKN035
     FM272300 24011KT P6SM BKN060

Latest Area Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts (TAFs)

FTUS44 KSFF 262336 RRA
KSFF 262333Z 2700/2724 18010KT 6SM BR BKN035
     FM270300 17007KT 6SM BR BKN060 PROB30 2706/2712 6SM -SHRA
      OVC035
     FM271400 20007KT P6SM BKN045

FTUS46 KOTX 262333
TAFCOE
TAF
KCOE 262333Z 2700/2724 20009KT 6SM BR BKN035
      TEMPO 2700/2704 P6SM -SHRA OVC035
     FM270400 17006KT P6SM BKN060
      PROB30 2704/2710 6SM -SHRA OVC035
     FM271300 20007KT P6SM BKN045
     FM272300 23010KT P6SM BKN060=

FTUS54 KPUW 262336 RRA
KPUW 262333Z 2700/2724 23010KT P6SM -SHRA FEW029 OVC035
      TEMPO 2700/2704 6SM -SHRA BKN035
     FM270400 VRB06KT P6SM BKN060 PROB30 2704/2707 6SM -SHRA
      OVC035
     FM270800 23008G20KT P6SM SCT060
     FM271200 25010G20KT P6SM OVC060

FTUS46 KOTX 262333
TAFLWS
TAF
KLWS 262333Z 2700/2724 VRB03KT 6SM -SHRA FEW050 OVC070
      TEMPO 2700/2704 P6SM -SHRA OVC040
     FM270400 VRB04KT 6SM -SHRA BKN040
      PROB30 2704/2710 6SM -SHRA OVC045
     FM271700 28006KT P6SM BKN060=

FTUS80 KMWH 270115 AAA
KMWH 270114Z 2701/2724 20010G19KT P6SM SCT080
     FM270200 24009KT P6SM SCT080
     FM271600 26007KT P6SM SCT070

FTUS80 KEAT 270118 AAA
KEAT 270117Z 2701/2724 27010G24KT P6SM SCT090
     FM270600 30011G22KT P6SM SCT180
     FM271500 29015KT P6SM BKN080
     FM271700 30014KT P6SM SCT070

FTUS80 KSEA 270303 AAA
KSEA 270300Z 2703/2806 22014G23KT P6SM FEW090 BKN110
     FM270600 20012KT P6SM SCT028 BKN050
     FM271000 20008KT P6SM SCT008 OVC022
     FM271900 23007KT P6SM SCT022 OVC050
     FM280000 28008KT P6SM BKN100

FTUS44 KBOI 270245 AAA
KBOI 270244Z 2703/2724 VRB15G25KT 4SM -TSRA BR SCT025 OVC040CB
      TEMPO 2703/2704 27025G45KT 1/2SM +TSRAGS BR SCT015 OVC030CB
     FM270400 31007KT P6SM VCSH BKN070
     FM270900 28006KT 6SM -SHRA SCT040 OVC060
     FM271600 30012G20KT P6SM VCSH BKN060

FTUS54 KPDT 262321 RRC
KPDT 262320Z 2700/2724 27015G25KT P6SM BKN050 BKN090 PROB30
      2700/2703 -SHRA
     FM270300 26017G27KT P6SM SCT050 SCT080

FTUS80 KALW 262321
KALW 262320Z 2700/2724 20014G24KT P6SM BKN050 OVC070 PROB30
      2700/2702 -SHRA
     FM270300 20012KT P6SM BKN060 BKN120
     FM271600 20015G23KT P6SM BKN060 BKN150

FTUS80 KPSC 262321 RRV
KPSC 262320Z 2700/2724 23017G27KT P6SM BKN090
     FM270400 23010KT P6SM SCT090 SCT150

FTUS54 KYKM 262321 RRE
KYKM 262320Z 2700/2724 27014G23KT P6SM SCT100
     FM270400 31008KT P6SM SCT150

FTUS54 KDLS 262321 RRA
KDLS 262320Z 2700/2724 30020G32KT P6SM FEW070 BKN090
     FM270300 30013G23KT P6SM SCT100
     FM270700 30010KT P6SM BKN100
     FM271500 30016G28KT P6SM BKN120
     FM272000 30021G32KT P6SM FEW050 BKN120

FTUS46 KPDT 262320
TAFBDN
TAF
KBDN 262320Z 2700/2724 26013G21KT P6SM SCT035 BKN070
     FM270300 30007KT P6SM FEW050 SCT120
     FM271600 32011KT P6SM FEW060 SCT100=

FTUS44 KMSO 262333
KMSO 262330Z 2700/2724 33006KT P6SM -RA BKN045 BKN060 OVC070
     FM270400 32005KT P6SM SCT040 OVC060 PROB30 2711/2715 -SHRA
      SCT030 OVC050
     FM271600 31006KT P6SM -RA SCT025 OVC050

FTUS54 KBTM 262333
KBTM 262330Z 2700/2724 26004KT P6SM FEW045 BKN080 OVC090
     FM270100 30007KT P6SM OVC060 PROB30 2706/2710 -SHRA OVC050
     FM271200 32006KT P6SM -SHRA OVC050 PROB30 2716/2718 6SM -TSRA
      BKN050CB
     FM271900 30013KT 6SM -RA OVC035 PROB30 2721/2724 4SM -TSRA
      BKN030CB

FTUS80 KSMN 262333 RRJ
KSMN 262330Z 2700/2724 21006KT P6SM -RA FEW045 BKN060 OVC070
     FM271100 19005KT P6SM OVC025
     FM271900 35012KT P6SM VCSH OVC035 PROB30 2719/2722 5SM -TSRA
      OVC030CB

FTUS44 KGPI 262333
KGPI 262330Z 2700/2724 07004KT 5SM -RA BR FEW024 OVC045
     FM270500 17005KT P6SM VCSH SCT025 OVC050
     FM271000 16006KT P6SM VCFG BKN015 BKN030 PROB30 2712/2715
      -SHRA BKN015 OVC025
     FM271900 20012KT 6SM -RA BKN035

Raw METARs for WFO OTX CWA and Surrounding Areas

--TAFs--	Time	T	Td	RH	HI	WC	Dir	Wind	G	PK	Vis	Wx	Pcp	Clouds
KGEG	0335Z	59	52	77			150	10			10			CLR
KSFF	0335Z	61	52	72			140	5			10			BKN070
KCOE	0335Z	57	52	82			160	7			10			SCT016
KPUW	0335Z	55	52	88			110	10			10			CLR
KLWS	0335Z	63	55	77			80	9			10			FEW065
KMWH	0335Z	72	43	36			280	16	22		10			BKN085
KEAT	0335Z	66	43	43			300	16			10			CLR
--WA--	Time	T	Td	RH	HI	WC	Dir	Wind	G	PK	Vis	Wx	Pcp	Clouds
KS52	0335Z	66	40	39			330	14	18		10			CLR
KOMK	0335Z	68	48	49			190	12			10			FEW095
KS10
KEPH	0335Z	70	43	38			300	17			10			FEW090
K63S	0335Z	55	54	94			100	6			2	BR		FEW006 BKN035 OVC049
KDEW	0335Z	59	50	72			140	6			10			SCT060 OVC100
KSKA	0255Z	60	51	73			150	10			10			FEW100
--ID--	Time	T	Td	RH	HI	WC	Dir	Wind	G	PK	Vis	Wx	Pcp	Clouds
K65S	0335Z	59	50	72			VRB	5			10			OVC047
KSZT	0335Z	59	48	68			210	5			10			OVC035
-PDT TAFs-	Time	T	Td	RH	HI	WC	Dir	Wind	G	PK	Vis	Wx	Pcp	Clouds
KPDT	0335Z	64	41	43			260	17	26		10			CLR
KALW	0335Z	70	43	38			210	13			10			CLR
KPSC	0335Z	73	43	33			230	8			10			CLR
KYKM	0335Z	66	37	35			280	14			10			CLR
KDLS	0335Z	66	52	60			300	12			10			CLR
KRDM	0335Z	57	45	63			310	10			10			SCT055 BKN080
KBDN	0335Z	57	45	63			340	8			10			BKN047 OVC065
-MSO TAFs-	Time	T	Td	RH	HI	WC	Dir	Wind	G	PK	Vis	Wx	Pcp	Clouds
KMSO	0335Z	55	52	88			290	6			10			FEW046 OVC060
KBTM	0335Z	57	45	63			310	8			10			BKN100
KSMN	0335Z	61	45	55			240	7			10			FEW075 BKN100
KGPI	0335Z	55	54	94			170	8			10			OVC047
KHRF	0335Z	57	55	94			360	5			10			FEW007 OVC050
-Misc-	Time	T	Td	RH	HI	WC	Dir	Wind	G	PK	Vis	Wx	Pcp	Clouds
KSEA	0335Z	61	50	68			220	12	17		10			CLR
KSMP	0339Z	45	45	100			VRB	3			4	-RA BR	T	SCT002 BKN010 OVC038
KELN	0335Z	59	45	59			310	21	38		10			CLR
KRLD	0335Z	74	42	31			240	12	16		10			CLR
KGIC	0335Z	54	52	94			110	7			10			OVC065
K1S5	0335Z	68	43	40			260	14	22		10			CLR
KHRI	0335Z	70	45	40			240	20	26		10			CLR
KP69	0252Z	59	59	100				calm

Lowest Expected Flight Category Forecasts - EXPERIMENTAL

•This site is for informational purposes. It should be used with other preflight information sources needed to satisfy all the requirements of 14 CFR 91.103. It is NOT designed to be used as a primary or sole source of information for preflight action. Refer to Flight Service for more information.

0-1 hr Ceiling Forecast	0-1 hr Visibility Forecast

1-2 hr Ceiling Forecast	1-2 hr Visibility Forecast

2-3 hr Ceiling Forecast	2-3 hr Visibility Forecast

3-4 hr Ceiling Forecast	3-4 hr Visibility Forecast

4-5 hr Ceiling Forecast	4-5 hr Visibility Forecast

5-6 hr Ceiling Forecast	5-6 hr Visibility Forecast

6-12 hr Ceiling Forecast	6-12 hr Visibility Forecast

12-18 hr Ceiling Forecast	12-18 hr Visibility Forecast

18-24 hr Ceiling Forecast	18-24 hr Visibility Forecast

HREF Ceiling Probabilities - EXPERIMENTAL

•These plots are produced by HREF ensemble guidance and are for informational purposes. It should be used with other preflight information sources needed to satisfy all the requirements of 14 CFR 91.103. It is NOT designed to be used as a primary or sole source of information for preflight action. Refer to Flight Service for more information.

0-1 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft	0-1 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft	0-1 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

1-2 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft	1-2 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft	1-2 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

2-3 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft	2-3 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft	2-3 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

3-4 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft	3-4 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft	3-4 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

4-5 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft	4-5 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft	4-5 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

5-6 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft	5-6 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft	5-6 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

6-12 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft	6-12 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft	6-12 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

12-18 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft	12-18 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft	12-18 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

18-24 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft	18-24 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft	18-24 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

HREF Visibility Probabilities - EXPERIMENTAL

0-1 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi	0-1 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi	0-1 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

1-2 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi	1-2 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi	1-2 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

2-3 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi	2-3 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi	2-3 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

3-4 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi	3-4 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi	3-4 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

4-5 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi	4-5 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi	4-5 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

5-6 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi	5-6 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi	5-6 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

6-12 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi	6-12 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi	6-12 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

12-18 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi	12-18 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi	12-18 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

18-24 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi	18-24 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi	18-24 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi


0-1 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi	0-1 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

1-2 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi	1-2 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

2-3 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi	2-3 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

3-4 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi	3-4 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

4-5 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi	4-5 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

5-6 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi	5-6 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

6-12 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi	6-12 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

12-18 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi	12-18 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

18-24 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi	18-24 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi