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Aviation Forecast Discussion

.AVIATION... 12Z TAFs: Wildfire smoke will continue to be the primary impact to aviation across the area. Visibilities at most terminals this morning in the 5 to 7 sm range. Smoke layer causing ceilings between 4500 and 7000 feet. Visibilities diminishing later this morning into the afternoon hours down to 3 to 5 sm. Ceilings lowering a little too down to 3000 to 4500 feet. Conditions improving after 05z Friday. Winds will remain relative light through much of the TAF period (generally under 10 mph). Could see a little stronger winds, 10 to 15 mph, along the east slopes of the Cascades after 03z Friday. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: High confidence in winds generally 10 kt or less for the next 24 hours. High confidence for smoke creating impacts with reduced visibility. Moderate confidence in periods of ceilings due to thicker smoke. Felton ----------------------- Confidence descriptors: Low - Less than a 30 percent chance Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance High - Greater than a 70 percent chance For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane airports, please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our webpage: https:/www.weather.gov/otx/avndashboard &&

Latest GEG Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF)

FTUS80 KGEG 061133 RRA
KGEG 061130Z 0612/0712 16008KT 5SM FU BKN045
     FM061800 21008KT 5SM FU BKN045
     FM070800 17008KT 6SM FU BKN045

Latest Area Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts (TAFs)

FTUS44 KSFF 061133
KSFF 061130Z 0612/0712 VRB03KT 5SM FU BKN050
     FM061800 23006KT 5SM FU BKN050
     FM070400 VRB03KT 6SM FU SCT050

FTUS46 KOTX 061130
TAFCOE
TAF
KCOE 061130Z 0612/0712 09004KT P6SM BKN060
     FM062200 18006KT 5SM FU BKN060
     FM070500 09004KT P6SM SCT060=

FTUS54 KPUW 061133
KPUW 061130Z 0612/0712 VRB03KT 6SM FU BKN060
     FM061500 09008KT 5SM FU BKN060
     FM062100 30006KT 5SM FU SCT060
     FM070400 VRB03KT 6SM FU SKC

FTUS46 KOTX 061130
TAFLWS
TAF
KLWS 061130Z 0612/0712 16003KT P6SM SKC
     FM061400 07004KT 6SM FU SKC
     FM061900 VRB03KT 6SM FU SKC=

FTUS80 KMWH 061133 RRB
KMWH 061130Z 0612/0712 36004KT 5SM FU SCT040
     FM061800 20006KT 5SM FU SCT040
     FM062200 20006KT 3SM FU BKN030
     FM070600 18004KT 6SM FU SKC

FTUS80 KEAT 061133 RRA
KEAT 061130Z 0612/0712 29008KT P6SM SKC
     FM061500 VRB03KT 4SM FU SCT040
     FM062100 12008KT 3SM FU BKN035
     FM070500 31008KT 5SM FU BKN035

FTUS80 KSEA 061121 RRX
KSEA 061120Z 0612/0718 04003KT 6SM HZ FEW015
     FM061700 33005KT 6SM HZ FU SKC
     FM070000 36008KT P6SM SKC
     FM070900 VRB03KT P6SM SKC
     FM071300 22003KT P6SM FEW020
     FM071700 23005KT P6SM SKC

FTUS80 KBOI 061133
KBOI 061131Z 0612/0712 13005KT 6SM FU SKC
     FM061700 32007KT 6SM FU SKC
     FM070300 11005KT 6SM FU SKC

FTUS54 KPDT 061133
KPDT 061130Z 0612/0712 VRB03KT 4SM FU SCT025 OVC040
      TEMPO 0612/0615 1SM FU OVC025
     FM061500 29007KT 4SM FU SKC
     FM070300 VRB03KT 5SM FU SKC

FTUS80 KALW 061133
KALW 061130Z 0612/0712 VRB05KT 2SM FU SKC
     FM062000 19006KT 5SM FU SKC
     FM070600 VRB03KT 6SM FU SKC

FTUS80 KPSC 061133 RRC
KPSC 061130Z 0612/0712 36005KT 5SM FU BKN040
      TEMPO 0612/0616 2SM FU OVC030
     FM070300 VRB04KT 6SM FU OVC040

FTUS54 KYKM 061133
KYKM 061130Z 0612/0712 29005KT 5SM FU SKC
     FM062200 15005KT 5SM FU SKC
     FM070600 30008KT 6SM FU SKC

FTUS80 KDLS 061133 RRA
KDLS 061130Z 0612/0712 28007KT 4SM FU OVC035
      TEMPO 0612/0616 2SM FU OVC025
     FM061600 00000KT 2SM FU OVC040
     FM062300 30007KT 6SM FU SKC

FTUS46 KPDT 061130
TAFBDN
TAF
KBDN 061130Z 0612/0712 27005KT 6SM FU SCT025
      TEMPO 0612/0615 5SM FU BKN025
     FM061600 00000KT 4SM FU SKC
     FM062200 33007KT 6SM FU SKC=

FTUS80 KMSO 061121 RRX
KMSO 061120Z 0612/0712 VRB04KT 5SM FU SKC
     FM062200 31010G15KT 5SM FU SKC
     FM070200 33006KT P6SM SKC

FTUS43 KBTM 061121
KBTM 061120Z 0612/0712 15004KT P6SM SKC
     FM061900 34006G10KT P6SM SKC
     FM062200 34014G24KT P6SM FEW190
     FM070300 33006KT 6SM FU SKC

FTUS80 KSMN 061121 RRX
KSMN 061120Z 0612/0712 VRB03KT P6SM SKC
     FM062200 31012G20KT P6SM FEW130
     FM070200 01005KT P6SM SKC

FTUS44 KGPI 061121
KGPI 061120Z 0612/0712 16004KT P6SM SKC
     FM061900 17010G20KT 6SM FU SKC
     FM070200 VRB03KT 6SM FU SKC

Raw METARs for WFO OTX CWA and Surrounding Areas

--TAFs--	Time	T	Td	RH	HI	WC	Dir	Wind	G	PK	Vis	Wx	Pcp	Clouds
KGEG	2053Z	83	43	24	81		250	7			7			FEW150 BKN250
KSFF	2053Z	84	50	31	82		VRB	7			1 1/2	HZ		FEW030
KCOE	2056Z	82	54	38	81		VRB	5			3	HZ		OVC024
KPUW	2053Z
KLWS	2056Z	90	41	18	86		350	9			10			CLR
KMWH	2052Z	85	40	20	82		200	10			10			CLR
--WA--	Time	T	Td	RH	HI	WC	Dir	Wind	G	PK	Vis	Wx	Pcp	Clouds
KS52	2055Z	89	44	20	85		140	18	26		10			CLR
KOMK	2053Z	91	45	20	87		200	14	21		10			CLR
KS10
KEPH	2053Z	86	46	25	83		150	8	17		10			CLR
K63S	2055Z	84	61	45	84		170	7			8		0.56	CLR
KDEW	2053Z	83	50	32	81			calm			7			CLR
KSKA	1955Z	82	41	24	80		180	5			10			CLR
--ID--	Time	T	Td	RH	HI	WC	Dir	Wind	G	PK	Vis	Wx	Pcp	Clouds
K65S	2055Z	82	59	45	82		360	9			10			CLR
KSZT	2055Z	84	57	40	83		120	5			10			CLR
KMLP	2053Z	69	54	59				calm			10			BKN100
-PDT TAFs-	Time	T	Td	RH	HI	WC	Dir	Wind	G	PK	Vis	Wx	Pcp	Clouds
KPDT	2053Z	85	39	20	82		280	9			10			CLR
KALW	2053Z	85	36	17	82		170	3			10			CLR
KPSC	2053Z	90	32	13	86		230	13			10			CLR
KYKM	2053Z	85	43	23	82		150	10			10			CLR
KDLS	2053Z	82	48	31	81		310	23	32	35	10			CLR
KRDM	2056Z	86	36	17	83						10			CLR
KBDN	2055Z	88	34	15	84		20	13			10			CLR
-MSO TAFs-	Time	T	Td	RH	HI	WC	Dir	Wind	G	PK	Vis	Wx	Pcp	Clouds
KMSO	2053Z	95	56	27	93		310	14	20		10			CLR
KBTM	2053Z	87	52	30	85		140	10	21		10			CLR
KSMN	2056Z	95	53	24	92		100	8			10			CLR
KGPI	2055Z	88	58	36	87		VRB	3			10			CLR
KHRF	2055Z	90	57	33	89		360	13	22		10			CLR
-Misc-	Time	T	Td	RH	HI	WC	Dir	Wind	G	PK	Vis	Wx	Pcp	Clouds
KSEA	2053Z	67	49	53			220	6			10			SCT037 BKN042
KSMP	2056Z	60	49	67							10			CLR
KELN	2053Z	81	41	24	79			calm			10			CLR
KRLD	2055Z	91	37	15	87		210	8			10			CLR
KGIC	2055Z	77	46	34			40	6	9		10			SCT090 SCT120
K1S5	2055Z	85	50	29	83		110	3			10			CLR
KHRI	2053Z	87	40	19	84		270	12			9			CLR
KP69	2052Z	79	65	62				calm

Lowest Expected Flight Category Forecasts - EXPERIMENTAL

•This site is for informational purposes. It should be used with other preflight information sources needed to satisfy all the requirements of 14 CFR 91.103. It is NOT designed to be used as a primary or sole source of information for preflight action. Refer to Flight Service for more information.

0-1 hr Ceiling Forecast	0-1 hr Visibility Forecast

1-2 hr Ceiling Forecast	1-2 hr Visibility Forecast

2-3 hr Ceiling Forecast	2-3 hr Visibility Forecast

3-4 hr Ceiling Forecast	3-4 hr Visibility Forecast

4-5 hr Ceiling Forecast	4-5 hr Visibility Forecast

5-6 hr Ceiling Forecast	5-6 hr Visibility Forecast

6-12 hr Ceiling Forecast	6-12 hr Visibility Forecast

12-18 hr Ceiling Forecast	12-18 hr Visibility Forecast

18-24 hr Ceiling Forecast	18-24 hr Visibility Forecast

HREF Ceiling Probabilities - EXPERIMENTAL

•These plots are produced by HREF ensemble guidance and are for informational purposes. It should be used with other preflight information sources needed to satisfy all the requirements of 14 CFR 91.103. It is NOT designed to be used as a primary or sole source of information for preflight action. Refer to Flight Service for more information.

0-1 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft	0-1 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft	0-1 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

1-2 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft	1-2 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft	1-2 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

2-3 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft	2-3 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft	2-3 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

3-4 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft	3-4 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft	3-4 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

4-5 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft	4-5 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft	4-5 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

5-6 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft	5-6 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft	5-6 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

6-12 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft	6-12 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft	6-12 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

12-18 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft	12-18 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft	12-18 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

18-24 hr Probability of Ceiling < 1000 ft	18-24 hr Probability of Ceiling < 2000 ft	18-24 hr Probability of Ceiling < 3000 ft

HREF Visibility Probabilities - EXPERIMENTAL

0-1 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi	0-1 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi	0-1 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

1-2 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi	1-2 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi	1-2 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

2-3 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi	2-3 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi	2-3 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

3-4 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi	3-4 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi	3-4 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

4-5 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi	4-5 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi	4-5 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

5-6 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi	5-6 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi	5-6 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

6-12 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi	6-12 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi	6-12 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

12-18 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi	12-18 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi	12-18 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi

18-24 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.25 mi	18-24 hr Probability of Visibility < 0.5 mi	18-24 hr Probability of Visibility < 1 mi


0-1 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi	0-1 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

1-2 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi	1-2 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

2-3 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi	2-3 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

3-4 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi	3-4 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

4-5 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi	4-5 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

5-6 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi	5-6 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

6-12 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi	6-12 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

12-18 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi	12-18 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi

18-24 hr Probability of Visibility < 2 mi	18-24 hr Probability of Visibility < 4 mi