Severe Thunderstorms and Localized Flash Flooding Possible Through Tonight

Another round of widespread strong to severe thunderstorms are expected later this evening into tonight. All hazards of damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes could accompany these storms. Additionally, isolated instances of flash flooding are possible. Please have a way to receive warnings during these times of severe weather. Read More >

Ceiling Height Forecast

Visibility Forecast

24 Hour Aviation Hazards Summary

Prior to every flight, pilots should gather all information vital to the nature of the flight. This site is informational in nature and is designed to assist pilots and aircrews for flight planning and weather familiarization. It may be used in conjunction with other preflight information sources needed to satisfy all the requirements of 14 CFR 91.103 and is not to be considered as a sole source of information to meet all preflight action. Pilots can complete their regulatory-compliant preflight briefing by using other automated resources or from Flight Service at www.1800wxbrief.com or by calling 1-800-WX-BRIEF.

Lowest Expected Flight Conditions

The lowest expected flight conditions indicated below are derived from hourly ceiling height and visibility forecasts, which are updated around 00 UTC, 06 UTC, 12 UTC and 18 UTC.

Local Area Aviation Weather Discussion

.AVIATION /04Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 730 PM Friday...

VFR conditions turn to MVFR with temporary conditions of IFR 
under heavy thunderstorm showers as a broken line of storms 
heads our way tonight. For the western sites, anywhere from 3Z 
to 6Z there will be active weather with possible strong to 
severe thunderstorms traveling very fast through those site 
areas. They will likely see very strong gusts along the outflow 
boundaries and in the vicinity where storms pass by. Heavy 
downpours will drop VIS down to IFR at times. Once the activity 
is through those sites winds will stay elevated with gusts near 
30kts along with VFR conditions behind the line. 

The eastern sites will be next to get hit with strong to severe
wind gusts along with IFR VIS under heavy thunderstorm showers 
from around 4Z to 9Z with CKB/EKN possibly a few hours later. 
Once that activity passes by VIS/CIGs will lift back to VFR, 
however windy conditons will continue through the period with
gust up to 30kts. Worst case, CIG heights will hover around 
MVFR and VIS could get down to below IFR if a shower is heavy 
enough. Wind shear will not be a factor since surface flow will 
be elevated, however if the surface flow weakens temporarily then
wind shear will become a factor and this goes for most sites.


FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY...
     
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium to high.

Area Forecast Discussion

AVIATION FORECAST CONFIDENCE

Updated: 1134 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

UTC

EDT

CRW

HTS

BKW

EKN

PKB

CKB

Experimental table of flight category objectively shows consistency
of WFO forecast to available model information:
H = HIGH: TAF consistent with all models or all but one model.
M = MEDIUM: TAF has varying level of consistency with models.
L = LOW: TAF inconsistent with all models or all but one model.

Local Ceiling & Visibility Forecasts

The ceiling height and visibility forecasts below are updated every 6 hours. Please enlarge the graphics by clicking on the images below to view details and time of the forecasts. Additional hourly forecast can be accessed here.

12 AM	1 AM	2 AM	3 AM	4 AM	5 AM

12 AM	1 AM	2 AM	3 AM	4 AM	5 AM

Airport Specific Weather Information & Forecasts

TAFs and METARs can be accessed where available from the map below, along with other aviation relevant guidance. For airports without TAFs, hourly weather graphs from the National Digital Forecast Database are provided. This information is intended for situational awareness purposes only.

TAF Airport Airports with TAFs | Other Airports without TAFs

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