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.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A mid/upper-level short wave trough and cold front whisking
through the area today will at first maintain VFR conditions
with its mid/high cloud and low level flow precluding fog
formation early this morning. However, low level wind shear is
likely during the pre-dawn hours at CRW, HTS and PKB, straddling
dawn at CKB and BKW, and mainly the first couple of hours after
daybreak at EKN.
The system may bring MVFR visibility in rain showers for up to a
couple of hours midday into this afternoon, when ceilings also
lower to MVFR. However, once ceilings lower to MVFR, they will
remain that way throughout the balance of the afternoon, before
scattering out tonight. Ceilings may lower to IFR at BKW
tonight.
Light and variable to south to southeast surface flow early
this morning will become gusty southwest after daybreak this
morning, with gusts to around 25 kts at times through this
afternoon, before diminishing to light southwest tonight, as the
weak front does not even bring a discernible wind shift. Light
to moderate southwest flow aloft will become moderate to strong
early this morning, inducing the low level wind shear until some
of the higher momentum aloft mixes down to the surface in the
form of gusts after daybreak this morning. Flow aloft will then
become moderate west as the cold front aloft crosses this
afternoon, and then light west late tonight,
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium to high.
AVIATION FORECAST CONFIDENCE
| Updated: 107 AM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 |
| UTC | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| EST | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| CRW | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H |
| HTS | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | M | M | H | H |
| BKW | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | M |
| EKN | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | M | M | M | H |
| PKB | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | M | M | H | H | H |
| CKB | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | M | H | H |
| 2 AM | 3 AM | 4 AM | 5 AM | 6 AM | 7 AM | |
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| 2 AM | 3 AM | 4 AM | 5 AM | 6 AM | 7 AM | |
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