National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall from the Plains to the Mid-Atlantic

Severe thunderstorms producing damaging winds are most likely over parts of the Dakotas into Minnesota from this afternoon into the overnight, with other isolated storms producing hail or wind over the northern High Plains. In the Northern Plains into the Upper Great Lakes and Mid-Atlantic, heavy to excessive rain may bring flash and urban flooding through Wednesday. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Tue, Jul 7, 2026 at 11:46:47 am CDT

Storm chances develop again Tuesday afternoon through early evening across mainly southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas. A limited potential of a strong storm exists with locally strong wind gusts the main threat. Storm coverage should begin to decrease after sunset with the loss of daytime heating.
Low storm chances continue Wednesday afternoon mainly across southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas. Additional storm chances expand across eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas late week into the weekend with a disturbance moving through the Plains. Limited severe and heavy rain potentials exists late week.
Brief improvement in the hot and humid conditions continues Tuesday, but the heat will return in earnest Wednesday into next week. Be aware of signs of heat stress and take precautions with outdoor activities.
Low chances for afternoon showers and thunderstorms remain forecast for parts of eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas through Wednesday. Additional storm chances develop for late week into next weekend. Also, a brief improvement in heat and humidity Tuesday before heat index values climb late week.
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