Severe Weather in the Central Plains; Fire Concerns in the Southern High Plains and Southwest; Late-Season Mountain Snow

Severe storms, including large hail, wind, and perhaps a couple of tornadoes, are possible in the central Plains. Dry, windy conditions and lightning from dry thunderstorms may produce hazardous fire conditions in the Southwest and southern High Plains. Late-season snow is expected in the Northwest and the Great Basin. Heat is spreading across the eastern U.S.. Read More >

Click a location below for detailed forecast.

Last Map Update: Sun, May 17, 2026 at 4:02:44 am CDT

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

National Weather Service Wichita, Kansas

National Weather Service Springfield, MO

Zoom Out

National Weather Service Little Rock, AR

National Weather Service Fort Worth/Dallas, TX

Wind Advisory

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Severe Storm Outlook Sunday

Severe Storm Outlook Monday

Severe Storm Outlook Tuesday

Excessive Rainfall Outlook Tuesday

Forecast Summary

A Marginal risk for severe weather exists Sunday afternoon and evening across areas along and north of a line from McAlester to Fort Smith.

Monday afternoon into Monday night currently looks to feature the best chance for severe weather across eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas, with an Enhanced Risk across western Osage and Pawnee counties and a Slight Risk extending eastward to a McAlester to Eureka Springs line. A Marginal Risk extends across the rest of northwest and west central Arkansas, as well as southeast Oklahoma. All modes of severe weather, including higher end threats, will be possible.

The potential for severe weather will continue into Tuesday along and in advance of a cold front. A Slight Risk for severe weather exists along and south of I-44, with a Marginal Risk northwest to a line from Bartlesville to Pawnee.

A Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall exists on Tuesday for areas along and to the southeast of I-44. Average amounts from 0.5 to 1.5 inches should be expected, with localized totals in the 2 to 3 inch range. Localized flash flooding and rises on area rivers may result.

Thunderstorm chances return Sunday with higher chances Monday evening into Tuesday. Severe weather potential likely to develop at times through early next week. Above normal temperatures will continue through the weekend, with cooler weather toward the early to middle part of next week.

Latest Text Product Selector (Selected product opens in a new window)


Decision Support	Winter	Hazards	Observations	Climate	Hydrology



Social Media	Satellite	Fire Weather	Weather Radio	Spotter Training	Text Products



Models

Tulsa Radar

Weather Map

Fort Smith Radar

TSA RSS Feed

Severe Weather in the Central Plains; Fire Concerns in the Southern High Plains and Southwest; Late-Season Mountain Snow

NWS Forecast Office Tulsa, OK