Heavy to Excessive Rainfall This Week from the Southwest into Central U.S.; Severe Weather in the Southern Plains

Pacific tropical moisture wrapping into a storm will continue a multi-day heavy rainfall event this week that will impact multiple areas in the Plains and Intermountain West. Isolated severe thunderstorm wind gusts and possibly a tornado or two could occur tonight from southern and eastern New Mexico into west Texas. Read More >

Click a location below for detailed forecast.

Last Map Update: Wed, Sep 30, 2026 at 12:52:43 am CDT

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

National Weather Service Wichita, Kansas

National Weather Service Springfield, MO

Zoom Out

National Weather Service Little Rock, AR

National Weather Service Fort Worth/Dallas, TX

Flood Watch

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Severe Storm Potential Thursday

Precipitation Timing

Heavy Rain Potential This Week

Forecast Summary

A marginal risk for severe weather exists for parts of eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas Thursday afternoon and evening. Damaging winds will be the main threat.

Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected to move into the region beginning Wednesday night and lasting through the end of the week. The heaviest rain will peak during the day Thursday through Friday morning across eastern Oklahoma and into far western Arkansas. Light to moderate rain will likely linger into the first part of the weekend. Lightning and heavy rain will likely impact outdoor events through the end of the week.

Confidence is increasing that heavy rain will impact portions of E OK & NW AR later this week as a strong storm system moves into the region. Uncertainty remains regarding timing and heaviest rain placement, but rainfall amounts of 3-5 inches, locally 6+ inches, are possible. Please monitor the forecast for updates.

Above normal temperatures continue through Wednesday. Unsettled weather for mid to late week. Expect several periods of high rain chances and heavy rain potential. Some severe weather potential will exist as well.

Latest Text Product Selector (Selected product opens in a new window)


Decision Support	Winter	Hazards	Observations	Climate	Hydrology



Social Media	Satellite	Fire Weather	Weather Radio	Spotter Training	Text Products



Models

Tulsa Radar

Weather Map

Fort Smith Radar

TSA RSS Feed

Heavy to Excessive Rainfall This Week from the Southwest into Central U.S.; Severe Weather in the Southern Plains

NWS Forecast Office Tulsa, OK