NWS Forecast Office Tulsa, OK

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Last Map Update: Tue, Feb 17, 2026 at 12:36:47 pm CST

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Forecast Summary

Strong winds, low relative humidity, and well above average temperatures are expected to create critical fire weather conditions on Thursday across northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. West to northwest winds will increase to 15-25 mph during the afternoon, with gusts between 30-35 mph. Minimum relative humidity values between 15-20% are expected as well as temperatures in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

Increasing south winds and warmer temperatures will result in limited to locally elevated fire weather danger across parts of northeast OK Tuesday afternoon, especially in areas that saw lighter rainfall Saturday. Fire weather will remain a concern through Thursday.

Near critical fire weather conditions are expected Wednesday, focused across northeast Oklahoma. Very low relative humidities with marginal wind speeds and gusts are expected in an area that received a minimum of rainfall this past weekend.

Near critical fire weather conditions are expected Thursday along and north of I-40. Locally critical conditions may occur in parts of Osage and Pawnee counties. Very low relative humidities with strong and gusty winds are expected. A gradual wind shift from sunset, lasting through midnight will impact any ongoing fire fighting efforts.

Above average temperatures are expected through Thursday, with breezy winds and low humidity leading to increasing fire weather concerns. Low chances of rain and cooler temperatures can be expected by week's end.

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