Severe Thunderstorms, Excessive Rain and Heat Hazards

A Moderate Risk of severe thunderstorms (level 4 of 5) is in the outlook across portions of the Midwest today. Damaging winds, a few tornadoes and frequent lightning with heavy rainfall are in the forecast. Meanwhile, dangerous heat across the southern Plains into the Great Lakes, mid-Atlantic and Northeast will expand into Friday. Risk for wildfires for the central Rockies and Sacramento Valley. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Thu, Jun 11, 2026 at 12:42:43 pm CDT

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

National Weather Service Wichita, Kansas

National Weather Service Springfield, MO

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National Weather Service Little Rock, AR

National Weather Service Fort Worth/Dallas, TX

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Heat Advisory

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Heat Advisory Thursday Afternoon

Severe Weather Outlook Thursday

Severe Storm Timing Thursday

Heavy Rainfall Potential Thursday

Severe Weather Outlook Saturday

Heavy Rainfall Potential This Weekend

Forecast Summary

Afternoon heat index values are expected to peak in the 105 to 107 degree range across much of NE OK ahead of a front. Take the proper precautions if you are going to be outdoors for an extended time this afternoon.

A front is expected to focus storms this afternoon and tonight across the region. There will be a risk for severe weather with these storms, with damaging wind and large hail the primary threats.

Here is the expected timing of the severe weather potential across the region this afternoon and evening.

Storms are expected to develop along an advancing front this afternoon and spread south and east into tonight. The front is expected to slow its progression tonight, increasing the potential for heavy rainfall from slow-moving or training storms. Some data indicates potential for isolated 3 to 5 inch amounts. This heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding.

Thunderstorms are expected to fire along a front near the KS border Saturday afternoon, with one or more clusters expected to drop south and east across the region Saturday night. These storms will pose a risk for severe weather, with damaging winds and hail the main threats.

Storms developing on a front will bring a slight risk of excessive rainfall which could lead to flash flooding mainly late Saturday into Saturday night. The risk shifts to the south and east by Sunday.

Hot and humid weather will persist through today. A front will bring increasing storm chances this afternoon and tonight, with chances lingering into the weekend as another front moves in. Locally heavy rainfall and a limited severe weather risk will accompany the storms, along with some relief from the heat by early next week.

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Severe Thunderstorms, Excessive Rain and Heat Hazards

NWS Forecast Office Tulsa, OK