Heavy to Excessive Rainfall This Week from the Southwest into Central U.S.

Pacific tropical moisture wrapping into a storm over the southwest U.S. will continue a multi-day heavy rainfall event this week that will extend into the Midwest and southern Plains. Considerable flash flooding is possible across portions of New Mexico and west Texas today through Wednesday. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Tue, Sep 29, 2026 at 10:58:29 am CDT

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Severe Storm Potential Thursday

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Heavy Rain Potential This Week

Forecast Summary

A marginal risk for severe weather exists for parts of southeast Oklahoma and west central Arkansas Thursday afternoon and evening. Damaging winds will be the main threat.

Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected to move into the region beginning Wednesday night and lasting through the end of the week. The heaviest rain will peak during the day Thursday through Friday morning across eastern Oklahoma and into far western Arkansas. Light to moderate rain will likely linger into the first part of the weekend. Lightning and heavy rain will likely impact outdoor events through the end of the week.

Confidence is increasing that heavy rain will impact portions of E OK & NW AR later this week as a strong storm system moves into the region. Uncertainty remains regarding timing and heaviest rain placement, but rainfall amounts of 3-5 inches, locally 6+ inches, are possible. Please monitor the forecast for updates.

Above normal temperatures continue through Wednesday. Unsettled weather for mid to late week. Expect several periods of high rain chances and heavy rain potential. Some severe weather potential will exist as well.

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Heavy to Excessive Rainfall This Week from the Southwest into Central U.S.

NWS Forecast Office Tulsa, OK