NWS Forecast Office Tulsa, OK

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Last Map Update: Mon, Nov 17, 2025 at 4:42:52 pm CST

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Severe Storm Chances Tonight

Heavy Rains Begin Wed.

Widespread Heavy Rains Thursday

Forecast Summary

Extended Outlook

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will become possible late tonight into early Tuesday morning. These storms will be capable of severe weather, with hail up to half dollar size the primary threat...though is a storm can become surface based, a brief tornado cannot be ruled out.

Showers and storms will increase in coverage across the region Wednesday with heavy rainfall totals developing. Flooding potential may increase by Wednesday night near and south of I-40.

Widespread rain and scattered thunderstorms are expected Thursday through Thursday night night. Storm total rainfall amounts Wednesday through Thursday night are forecast in the 2 to 4 inch range with isolated totals around 6 inches.

Warm conditions continue with near record high temperatures possible for some areas today and Tuesday. Rain and thunderstorm chances return today and increase through Thursday. A heavy rain threat exists Wednesday and Thursday.

Above average temperatures and above average precipitation is favored next week for eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.

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