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Flooding Threat Continues in Portions of Texas; Poor Air Quality in the Great Lakes through the Mid-Atlantic

Widespread life-threatening flash and urban flooding continues in south-central Texas, with considerable flooding impacts possible across central Texas. Wildfire smoke is impacting air quality across much of the Great Lakes region into southern New England and the Mid-Atlantic. Monsoonal thunderstorms may produce isolated to scattered flash flooding across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Read More >

Recreation Forecasts

Latest Hot Air Balloon Text Forecast

We'd like to know how you use this forecast. Please send a note to our Warning Coordination Meteorologist, Aaron Woodward. Thanks!

                        
989
SXUS43 KUNR 172002
RECUNR

Evening Hot Air Balloon Forecast
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
202 PM MDT Fri Jul 17 2026

This forecast is information to assist pilots and aircrews for flight planning
and is not to be considered as a sole source of information to meet all
preflight actions. Pilots should receive a complete preflight briefing from a
Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF) or online via 1800wxbrief.com.

...HERE IS THE EVENING HOT AIR BALLOON FORECAST
FOR THE HOT SPRINGS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...

...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...

.THIS EVENING...
    Sunset:                          831 PM.

    Surface Wind Forecast:           5 PM...060/15G25 mph.
                                     7 PM...050/14G23 mph.

    Boundary Layer Wind:             5 PM...070/25 mph. Depth 10800 ft.
                                     7 PM...060/24 mph. Depth 7100 ft.

    RAP Winds (approx. 6 PM):              250ft...050/14 mph.
                                           500ft...050/16 mph.
                                          1000ft...050/17 mph.
                                          2000ft...050/17 mph.
                                          3000ft...060/16 mph.

    Surface Lifted Index:            4 PM...-1.
                                     7 PM...-1.

    Density Altitude:                5 PM...6795 ft.
                                     7 PM...6723 ft.

    Additional Weather Info:         clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                                     unrestricted visibilities,
                                     20 percent chance of precipitation,
                                      hot--reduced buoyancy.


.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    Sunrise:        526 AM.
    Weather:        clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                    unrestricted visibilities.
    Surface Wind:   5 AM...030/13G22 mph.
                    7 AM...040/14G23 mph.
    Boundary Wind:  5 AM...030/18 mph. Depth 500 ft.
                    7 AM...030/20 mph. Depth 1000 ft.

    RAP Winds (approx. 5 AM):  250ft...040/10 mph.
                               500ft...060/15 mph.
                              1000ft...080/16 mph.
                              2000ft...090/14 mph.
                              3000ft...090/12 mph.

This forecast is not routinely updated or amended outside of any scheduled
issuances.

&&

Additional aviation observations and forecasts are available at
aviationweather.gov. You can also read the local aviation forecast discussion
at https://www.aviationweather.gov/fcstdisc.

$$

WFO UNR



                

Note: "Boundary layer" above refers to the planetary boundary layer, or the layer within which the effects of friction are significant (courtesy of the NWS Glossary). The depth of this layer will vary throughout the day, typically reaching its maximum depth in the afternoon and minimum depth overnight.

Link: Vertical Wind Profile for Hot Springs Municipal Airport (courtesy CWSU Seattle)

 

The soundings below show temperature (in red) and dew point (in green) at decreasing pressures (increasing heights) throughout the atmosphere.

Winds (in knots; 1 knot = 1.15078 mph) are shown at right.
Pennants or flags correspond to 50 kt, long barbs represent 10 kt, and short barbs represent 5 kt. Winds are also colored by magnitude.
The shaft points to the direction from which the wind is blowing. More information about wind barbs can be found here.

 

Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City (courtesy NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research)


Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City (courtesy NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research)

 

 

Forecast Soundings for the Hot Springs Municipal Airport (click to zoom)

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