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Atmospheric River to Impact the Northwest; Windy Conditions in the Northeast

A strong atmospheric river moving into northern California later today will bring a threat for moderate to heavy rainfall and flooding, gusty to high winds, and mountain snows for parts of the Northwest U.S. through Wednesday. Gusty winds and isolated showers are expected today in the Northeast U.S. behind a cold front. Wind Advisories have been issued. Read More >

Recreation Forecasts

Latest Hot Air Balloon Text Forecast

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SXUS43 KUNR 042001
RECUNR

Afternoon Hot Air Balloon Forecast
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
101 PM MST Tue Nov 4 2025

This forecast is information to assist pilots and aircrews for flight planning
and is not to be considered as a sole source of information to meet all
preflight actions. Pilots should receive a complete preflight briefing from a
Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF) or online via 1800wxbrief.com.

...HERE IS THE AFTERNOON HOT AIR BALLOON FORECAST
FOR THE HOT SPRINGS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    Sunset:                          438 PM.

    Surface Wind Forecast:           3 PM...300/20G35 mph.
                                     5 PM...350/15G25 mph.

    Boundary Layer Wind:             3 PM...290/35 mph. Depth 4500 ft.
                                     5 PM...350/22 mph. Depth 800 ft.

    RAP Winds (approx. 4 PM):              250ft...330/10 mph.
                                           500ft...330/18 mph.
                                          1000ft...330/21 mph.
                                          2000ft...320/21 mph.
                                          3000ft...310/23 mph.

    Surface Lifted Index:            3 PM...+5.
                                     6 PM...+7.

    Density Altitude:                3 PM...5478 ft.
                                     5 PM...4887 ft.

    Additional Weather Info:         clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                                     unrestricted visibilities.


.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    Sunrise:        635 AM.
    Weather:        clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                    unrestricted visibilities.
    Surface Wind:   6 AM...100/03 mph.
                    8 AM...160/06 mph.
    Boundary Wind:  6 AM...130/08 mph. Depth 600 ft.
                    8 AM...140/10 mph. Depth 900 ft.

    RAP Winds (approx. 6 AM):  250ft...110/03 mph.
                               500ft...090/04 mph.
                              1000ft...270/03 mph.
                              2000ft...270/09 mph.
                              3000ft...300/10 mph.

This forecast is not routinely updated or amended outside of any scheduled
issuances.

&&

Additional aviation observations and forecasts are available at
aviationweather.gov. You can also read the local aviation forecast discussion
at https://www.aviationweather.gov/fcstdisc.

$$

WFO UNR



                

Note: "Boundary layer" above refers to the planetary boundary layer, or the layer within which the effects of friction are significant (courtesy of the NWS Glossary). The depth of this layer will vary throughout the day, typically reaching its maximum depth in the afternoon and minimum depth overnight.

Link: Vertical Wind Profile for Hot Springs Municipal Airport (courtesy CWSU Seattle)

 

The soundings below show temperature (in red) and dew point (in green) at decreasing pressures (increasing heights) throughout the atmosphere.

Winds (in knots; 1 knot = 1.15078 mph) are shown at right.
Pennants or flags correspond to 50 kt, long barbs represent 10 kt, and short barbs represent 5 kt. Winds are also colored by magnitude.
The shaft points to the direction from which the wind is blowing. More information about wind barbs can be found here.

 

Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City


Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City

 

 

Forecast Soundings for the Hot Springs Municipal Airport (click to zoom)

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