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Hawaii and Guam Concerns; Record Warmth Spreads Eastward; Heavy Snow for Sierra-Nevada; Severe Weather for the Plains

A very active spring pattern with tropical concerns across the Pacific. Heavy rainfall will continue to impact Hawaii this weekend. Meanwhile we continue to monitor a developing typhoon that may affect Guam into early next week. For the Lower 48, heavy snow for mountains of California this weekend, increase threat for severe thunderstorms next week for the Plains and record warmth spreads east. Read More >

Recreation Forecasts

Latest Hot Air Balloon Text Forecast

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178
SXUS43 KUNR 120902
RECUNR

Morning Hot Air Balloon Forecast
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
301 AM MDT Sun Apr 12 2026

This forecast is information to assist pilots and aircrews for flight planning
and is not to be considered as a sole source of information to meet all
preflight actions. Pilots should receive a complete preflight briefing from a
Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF) or online via 1800wxbrief.com.

...HERE IS THE MORNING HOT AIR BALLOON FORECAST
FOR THE HOT SPRINGS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...

.THIS MORNING...
    Sunrise:                         614 AM.

    Surface Wind Forecast:           6 AM...260/17G29 mph.
                                     8 AM...270/17G28 mph.

    Boundary Layer Wind:             7 AM...270/26 mph. Depth 600 ft.
                                     9 AM...280/28 mph. Depth 2300 ft.

    RAP Winds (at 7 AM):              250ft...M/M mph.
                                      500ft...M/M mph.
                                     1000ft...M/M mph.
                                     2000ft...M/M mph.
                                     3000ft...M/M mph.

    Surface Lifted Index:            6 AM...+9.
                                     9 AM...+8.

    Density Altitude:                6 AM...4146 ft.
                                     8 AM...4689 ft.

    Additional Weather Info:         clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                                     unrestricted visibilities.


.OUTLOOK FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
    Sunset:         733 PM.

    Weather:        clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                    unrestricted visibilities,
                    20 percent chance of precipitation.

    Surface Wind:   4 PM...250/13G22 mph.
                    6 PM...220/08 mph.

    Boundary Wind:  4 PM...250/24 mph. Depth 11700 ft.
                    6 PM...230/17 mph. Depth 900 ft.

    RAP Winds (at 4 PM):  250ft...260/07 mph.
                          500ft...260/08 mph.
                         1000ft...260/09 mph.
                         2000ft...260/11 mph.
                         3000ft...260/12 mph.


.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    Surface Wind Forecast:           6 AM...250/15G24 mph.
                                     8 AM...260/22G33 mph.

    RAP Winds (at 7 AM):              250ft...280/04 mph.
                                      500ft...270/05 mph.
                                     1000ft...290/11 mph.
                                     2000ft...290/14 mph.
                                     3000ft...270/17 mph.

    Additional Weather Info:         clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                                     unrestricted visibilities.


This forecast is not routinely updated or amended outside of any scheduled
issuances.

&&

Additional aviation observations and forecasts are available at
aviationweather.gov. You can also read the local aviation forecast discussion
at https://www.aviationweather.gov/fcstdisc.

$$

WFO UNR



                

Note: "Boundary layer" above refers to the planetary boundary layer, or the layer within which the effects of friction are significant (courtesy of the NWS Glossary). The depth of this layer will vary throughout the day, typically reaching its maximum depth in the afternoon and minimum depth overnight.

Link: Vertical Wind Profile for Hot Springs Municipal Airport (courtesy CWSU Seattle)

 

The soundings below show temperature (in red) and dew point (in green) at decreasing pressures (increasing heights) throughout the atmosphere.

Winds (in knots; 1 knot = 1.15078 mph) are shown at right.
Pennants or flags correspond to 50 kt, long barbs represent 10 kt, and short barbs represent 5 kt. Winds are also colored by magnitude.
The shaft points to the direction from which the wind is blowing. More information about wind barbs can be found here.

 

Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City (courtesy NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research)


Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City (courtesy NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research)

 

 

Forecast Soundings for the Hot Springs Municipal Airport (click to zoom)

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