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Cold Front Moving Through the Northeast U.S. Monday; Atmospheric River to Impact the Pacific Northwest Midweek

A cold front will cross the Great Lakes and Northeast U.S. through Monday with gusty winds and areas of rain showers. A strong atmospheric river is expected to move into the Pacific Northwest by midweek bringing a threat for moderate to heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and mountain snows for parts of Washington, Oregon, northern California, and the Sierra Nevada. Read More >

Recreation Forecasts

Latest Hot Air Balloon Text Forecast

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SXUS43 KUNR 031001
RECUNR

Morning Hot Air Balloon Forecast
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
301 AM MST Mon Nov 3 2025

This forecast is information to assist pilots and aircrews for flight planning
and is not to be considered as a sole source of information to meet all
preflight actions. Pilots should receive a complete preflight briefing from a
Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF) or online via 1800wxbrief.com.

...HERE IS THE MORNING HOT AIR BALLOON FORECAST
FOR THE HOT SPRINGS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...

.THIS MORNING...
    Sunrise:                         632 AM.

    Surface Wind Forecast:           6 AM...190/05 mph.
                                     8 AM...140/08G15 mph.

    Boundary Layer Wind:             7 AM...200/08 mph. Depth 500 ft.
                                     9 AM...170/14 mph. Depth 1300 ft.

    RAP Winds (at 7 AM):              250ft...250/01 mph.
                                      500ft...050/05 mph.
                                     1000ft...070/05 mph.
                                     2000ft...120/04 mph.
                                     3000ft...160/06 mph.

    Surface Lifted Index:            6 AM...+19.
                                     9 AM...+18.

    Density Altitude:                6 AM...2495 ft.
                                     8 AM...3013 ft.

    Additional Weather Info:         clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                                     unrestricted visibilities.


.OUTLOOK FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
    Sunset:         439 PM.

    Weather:        clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                    unrestricted visibilities.

    Surface Wind:   3 PM...160/14G24 mph.
                    5 PM...160/13G21 mph.

    Boundary Wind:  3 PM...180/23 mph. Depth 1300 ft.
                    5 PM...180/20 mph. Depth 700 ft.

    RAP Winds (at 3 PM):  250ft...170/11 mph.
                          500ft...180/25 mph.
                         1000ft...190/34 mph.
                         2000ft...190/39 mph.
                         3000ft...200/37 mph.


.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    Surface Wind Forecast:           6 AM...260/12G20 mph.
                                     8 AM...270/14G23 mph.

    RAP Winds (at 7 AM):              250ft...240/08 mph.
                                      500ft...260/21 mph.
                                     1000ft...270/35 mph.
                                     2000ft...280/43 mph.
                                     3000ft...280/42 mph.

    Additional Weather Info:         a few clouds at less than 1000 feet AGL,
                                     unrestricted visibilities.


This forecast is not routinely updated or amended outside of any scheduled
issuances.

&&

Additional aviation observations and forecasts are available at
aviationweather.gov. You can also read the local aviation forecast discussion
at https://www.aviationweather.gov/fcstdisc.

$$

WFO UNR



                

Note: "Boundary layer" above refers to the planetary boundary layer, or the layer within which the effects of friction are significant (courtesy of the NWS Glossary). The depth of this layer will vary throughout the day, typically reaching its maximum depth in the afternoon and minimum depth overnight.

Link: Vertical Wind Profile for Hot Springs Municipal Airport (courtesy CWSU Seattle)

 

The soundings below show temperature (in red) and dew point (in green) at decreasing pressures (increasing heights) throughout the atmosphere.

Winds (in knots; 1 knot = 1.15078 mph) are shown at right.
Pennants or flags correspond to 50 kt, long barbs represent 10 kt, and short barbs represent 5 kt. Winds are also colored by magnitude.
The shaft points to the direction from which the wind is blowing. More information about wind barbs can be found here.

 

Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City


Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City

 

 

Forecast Soundings for the Hot Springs Municipal Airport (click to zoom)

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