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Tracking a Couple of Storm Systems Across the Country

Showers, along with a few strong to severe thunderstorms, are expected from the Great Lakes, New England and southward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. In the wake of this system, a stronger storm is expected to track from the Pacific Northwest, Plains and through the Eastern U.S. this weekend. Strong winds, showers and a larger drop in temperatures are expected this weekend into Monday. Read More >

Recreation Forecasts

Latest Hot Air Balloon Text Forecast

We'd like to know how you use this forecast. Please send a note to our Warning Coordination Meteorologist, Aaron Woodward. Thanks!

                        
621
SXUS43 KUNR 072001
RECUNR

Afternoon Hot Air Balloon Forecast
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
101 PM MST Fri Nov 7 2025

This forecast is information to assist pilots and aircrews for flight planning
and is not to be considered as a sole source of information to meet all
preflight actions. Pilots should receive a complete preflight briefing from a
Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF) or online via 1800wxbrief.com.

...HERE IS THE AFTERNOON HOT AIR BALLOON FORECAST
FOR THE HOT SPRINGS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...

...WIND ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 2 PM MST SATURDAY...

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    Sunset:                          434 PM.

    Surface Wind Forecast:           3 PM...260/10G21 mph.
                                     5 PM...290/08 mph.

    Boundary Layer Wind:             3 PM...270/18 mph. Depth 3700 ft.
                                     5 PM...280/14 mph. Depth 400 ft.

    RAP Winds (approx. 4 PM):              250ft...260/05 mph.
                                           500ft...260/08 mph.
                                          1000ft...260/12 mph.
                                          2000ft...270/16 mph.
                                          3000ft...270/19 mph.

    Surface Lifted Index:            3 PM...+4.
                                     6 PM...+3.

    Density Altitude:                3 PM...4663 ft.
                                     5 PM...4397 ft.

    Additional Weather Info:         clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                                     unrestricted visibilities.


.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    Sunrise:        639 AM.
    Weather:        scattered clouds around 10000 feet AGL,
                    unrestricted visibilities.
    Surface Wind:   6 AM...270/22G33 mph.
                    8 AM...290/25G36 mph.
    Boundary Wind:  6 AM...300/41 mph. Depth 1700 ft.
                    8 AM...300/43 mph. Depth 3300 ft.

    RAP Winds (approx. 6 AM):  250ft...270/12 mph.
                               500ft...290/29 mph.
                              1000ft...300/41 mph.
                              2000ft...310/49 mph.
                              3000ft...310/54 mph.

This forecast is not routinely updated or amended outside of any scheduled
issuances.

&&

Additional aviation observations and forecasts are available at
aviationweather.gov. You can also read the local aviation forecast discussion
at https://www.aviationweather.gov/fcstdisc.

$$

WFO UNR



                

Note: "Boundary layer" above refers to the planetary boundary layer, or the layer within which the effects of friction are significant (courtesy of the NWS Glossary). The depth of this layer will vary throughout the day, typically reaching its maximum depth in the afternoon and minimum depth overnight.

Link: Vertical Wind Profile for Hot Springs Municipal Airport (courtesy CWSU Seattle)

 

The soundings below show temperature (in red) and dew point (in green) at decreasing pressures (increasing heights) throughout the atmosphere.

Winds (in knots; 1 knot = 1.15078 mph) are shown at right.
Pennants or flags correspond to 50 kt, long barbs represent 10 kt, and short barbs represent 5 kt. Winds are also colored by magnitude.
The shaft points to the direction from which the wind is blowing. More information about wind barbs can be found here.

 

Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City


Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City

 

 

Forecast Soundings for the Hot Springs Municipal Airport (click to zoom)

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