National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy to Excessive Rains in The Four Corners Region and Midwest; Heat Persists in the South-Central U.S.

Repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms could bring a flash flooding threat across the Four Corners region and from the mid-Mississippi Valley into the lower Great Lakes. Hot temperatures and high humidity will continue to challenge daily records from the Southern Plains to the lower Mississippi Valley. Read More >

Recreation Forecasts

Latest Hot Air Balloon Text Forecast

We'd like to know how you use this forecast. Please send a note to our Warning Coordination Meteorologist, Aaron Woodward. Thanks!

                        
125
SXUS43 KUNR 160901
RECUNR

Morning Hot Air Balloon Forecast
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
301 AM MDT Wed Sep 16 2026

This forecast is information to assist pilots and aircrews for flight planning
and is not to be considered as a sole source of information to meet all
preflight actions. Pilots should receive a complete preflight briefing from a
Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF) or online via 1800wxbrief.com.

...HERE IS THE MORNING HOT AIR BALLOON FORECAST
FOR THE HOT SPRINGS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...

.THIS MORNING...
    Sunrise:                         633 AM.

    Surface Wind Forecast:           6 AM...130/09 mph.
                                     8 AM...180/10G20 mph.

    Boundary Layer Wind:             7 AM...150/15 mph. Depth 700 ft.
                                     9 AM...180/18 mph. Depth 1700 ft.

    RAP Winds (at 7 AM):              250ft...140/09 mph.
                                      500ft...160/20 mph.
                                     1000ft...180/29 mph.
                                     2000ft...200/32 mph.
                                     3000ft...210/26 mph.

    Surface Lifted Index:            6 AM...+10.
                                     9 AM...+6.

    Density Altitude:                6 AM...4019 ft.
                                     8 AM...4451 ft.

    Additional Weather Info:         clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                                     unrestricted visibilities.


.OUTLOOK FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
    Sunset:         701 PM.

    Weather:        clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                    unrestricted visibilities.

    Surface Wind:   4 PM...340/07G18 mph.
                    6 PM...020/09G18 mph.

    Boundary Wind:  4 PM...280/14 mph. Depth 4900 ft.
                    6 PM...310/17 mph. Depth 700 ft.

    RAP Winds (at 4 PM):  250ft...350/04 mph.
                          500ft...340/05 mph.
                         1000ft...340/05 mph.
                         2000ft...330/06 mph.
                         3000ft...320/07 mph.


.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    Surface Wind Forecast:           6 AM...040/16G28 mph.
                                     8 AM...050/17G29 mph.

    RAP Winds (at 7 AM):              250ft...020/12 mph.
                                      500ft...050/19 mph.
                                     1000ft...070/21 mph.
                                     2000ft...090/20 mph.
                                     3000ft...120/18 mph.

    Additional Weather Info:         clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                                     unrestricted visibilities,
                                     30 percent chance of precipitation.


This forecast is not routinely updated or amended outside of any scheduled
issuances.

&&

Additional aviation observations and forecasts are available at
aviationweather.gov. You can also read the local aviation forecast discussion
at https://www.aviationweather.gov/fcstdisc.

$$

WFO UNR



                

Note: "Boundary layer" above refers to the planetary boundary layer, or the layer within which the effects of friction are significant (courtesy of the NWS Glossary). The depth of this layer will vary throughout the day, typically reaching its maximum depth in the afternoon and minimum depth overnight.

Link: Vertical Wind Profile for Hot Springs Municipal Airport (courtesy CWSU Seattle)

 

The soundings below show temperature (in red) and dew point (in green) at decreasing pressures (increasing heights) throughout the atmosphere.

Winds (in knots; 1 knot = 1.15078 mph) are shown at right.
Pennants or flags correspond to 50 kt, long barbs represent 10 kt, and short barbs represent 5 kt. Winds are also colored by magnitude.
The shaft points to the direction from which the wind is blowing. More information about wind barbs can be found here.

 

Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City (courtesy NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research)


Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City (courtesy NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research)

 

 

Forecast Soundings for the Hot Springs Municipal Airport (click to zoom)

Hot Springs Forecast Sounding Hot Springs Forecast Sounding
Hot Springs Forecast Sounding Hot Springs Forecast Sounding
Hot Springs Forecast Sounding Hot Springs Forecast Sounding
Hot Springs Forecast Sounding Hot Springs Forecast Sounding
Hot Springs Forecast Sounding Hot Springs Forecast Sounding
Hot Springs Forecast Sounding Hot Springs Forecast Sounding
Hot Springs Forecast Sounding Hot Springs Forecast Sounding
Hot Springs Forecast Sounding Hot Springs Forecast Sounding
Hot Springs Forecast Sounding Hot Springs Forecast Sounding
Hot Springs Forecast Sounding Hot Springs Forecast Sounding
Hot Springs Forecast Sounding Hot Springs Forecast Sounding
Hot Springs Forecast Sounding Hot Springs Forecast Sounding
Hot Springs Forecast Sounding Hot Springs Forecast Sounding
Hot Springs Forecast Sounding Hot Springs Forecast Sounding
Hot Springs Forecast Sounding Hot Springs Forecast Sounding
Hot Springs Forecast Sounding Hot Springs Forecast Sounding