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Heat and Fire Weather Concerns in the West; Excessive Rainfall Possible in the South-Central U.S.

Heat will build over the Intermountain West and the Southwest the next couple of days. Lightning from dry thunderstorms can create new fire starts and combined with gusty winds may cause a fire to rapidly grow in Oregon and northern California. Flash flooding will be possible in Arizona and west Texas today, as well as parts of the southern and central Plains due to slow moving thunderstorms. Read More >

Recreation Forecasts

Latest Hot Air Balloon Text Forecast

We'd like to know how you use this forecast. Please send a note to our Warning Coordination Meteorologist, Aaron Woodward. Thanks!

                        
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SXUS43 KUNR 300902
RECUNR

Morning Hot Air Balloon Forecast
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
301 AM MDT Mon Jun 30 2025

This forecast is information to assist pilots and aircrews for flight planning
and is not to be considered as a sole source of information to meet all
preflight actions. Pilots should receive a complete preflight briefing from a
Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF) or online via 1800wxbrief.com.

...HERE IS THE MORNING HOT AIR BALLOON FORECAST
FOR THE HOT SPRINGS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...

.THIS MORNING...
    Sunrise:                         513 AM.

    Surface Wind Forecast:           5 AM...280/05 mph.
                                     7 AM...330/05 mph.

    Boundary Layer Wind:             7 AM...300/09 mph. Depth 400 ft.
                                     9 AM...320/09 mph. Depth 1300 ft.

    RAP Winds (at 6 AM):              250ft...330/08 mph.
                                      500ft...360/14 mph.
                                     1000ft...010/13 mph.
                                     2000ft...360/11 mph.
                                     3000ft...340/09 mph.

    Surface Lifted Index:            6 AM...+4.
                                     9 AM...+5.

    Density Altitude:                5 AM...4038 ft.
                                     7 AM...4535 ft.

    Additional Weather Info:         clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                                     unrestricted visibilities.


.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    Sunset:         839 PM.

    Weather:        clear skies,
                    unrestricted visibilities.

    Surface Wind:   5 PM...080/07G15 mph.
                    7 PM...080/05G12 mph.

    Boundary Wind:  5 PM...070/14 mph. Depth 6700 ft.
                    7 PM...090/13 mph. Depth 600 ft.

    RAP Winds (at 5 PM):  250ft...070/06 mph.
                          500ft...070/06 mph.
                         1000ft...070/05 mph.
                         2000ft...060/05 mph.
                         3000ft...040/04 mph.


.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    Surface Wind Forecast:           5 AM...120/02 mph.
                                     7 AM...160/03 mph.

    RAP Winds (at 6 AM):              250ft...190/09 mph.
                                      500ft...190/24 mph.
                                     1000ft...190/25 mph.
                                     2000ft...190/19 mph.
                                     3000ft...200/14 mph.

    Additional Weather Info:         clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                                     unrestricted visibilities.


This forecast is not routinely updated or amended outside of any scheduled
issuances.

&&

Additional aviation observations and forecasts are available at
aviationweather.gov. You can also read the local aviation forecast discussion
at https://www.aviationweather.gov/fcstdisc.

$$

WFO UNR



                

Note: "Boundary layer" above refers to the planetary boundary layer, or the layer within which the effects of friction are significant (courtesy of the NWS Glossary). The depth of this layer will vary throughout the day, typically reaching its maximum depth in the afternoon and minimum depth overnight.

Latest Soaring Forecast

A major operating system upgrade (May 19, 2025) deprecated the software necessary to create the soaring forecast. The soaring forecast will no longer be available. This tab will be removed this summer.

Link: Vertical Wind Profile for Hot Springs Municipal Airport (courtesy CWSU Seattle)

 

The soundings below show temperature (in red) and dew point (in green) at decreasing pressures (increasing heights) throughout the atmosphere.

Winds (in knots; 1 knot = 1.15078 mph) are shown at right.
Pennants or flags correspond to 50 kt, long barbs represent 10 kt, and short barbs represent 5 kt. Winds are also colored by magnitude.
The shaft points to the direction from which the wind is blowing. More information about wind barbs can be found here.

 

Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City


Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City

 

 

Forecast Soundings for the Hot Springs Municipal Airport (click to zoom)

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