
Gusty winds are expected from portions of the Mid-Atlantic into the Northeast through the night following the system that brought rain to the area. An atmospheric river will move into the Northwest late today into Saturday bringing moderate to heavy rainfall, mountain snow, windy conditions, and high surf to the area over the weekend. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20251102_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 11/02 06Z 0.33 3117 92 5 -3 0.00
Sun 11/02 07Z 0.37 3018 91 6 -3 0.00
Sun 11/02 08Z 0.40 3019 90 6 -3 0.00
Sun 11/02 09Z 0.37 3019 90 6 -3 0.00
Sun 11/02 10Z 0.36 3019 88 7 -3 0.00
Sun 11/02 11Z 0.38 3020 86 8 -3 0.00
Sun 11/02 12Z 0.39 3020 85 9 -3 0.00
Sun 11/02 13Z 0.34 3020 84 11 -3 0.00
Sun 11/02 14Z 0.34 3019 85 12 -3 0.00
Sun 11/02 15Z 0.29 3016 81 11 -3 0.00
Sun 11/02 16Z 0.31 2915 80 11 -3 0.00
Sun 11/02 17Z 0.34 2813 82 10 -3 0.00
Sun 11/02 18Z 0.35 2813 80 10 -3 0.00
Sun 11/02 19Z 0.43 2715 81 9 -3 0.00
Sun 11/02 20Z 0.48 2716 83 10 -3 0.00
Sun 11/02 21Z 0.50 2718 81 10 -2 0.00
Sun 11/02 22Z 0.46 2719 76 9 -1 0.00
Sun 11/02 23Z 0.47 2721 69 9 0 0.00
Mon 11/03 00Z 0.47 2822 66 9 0 0.00
Mon 11/03 01Z 0.48 2823 63 10 0 0.00
Mon 11/03 02Z 0.48 2823 62 11 0 0.00
Mon 11/03 03Z 0.55 2824 63 11 0 0.00
Mon 11/03 04Z 0.58 2724 59 16 0 0.00
Mon 11/03 05Z 0.63 2724 61 18 0 0.00
Mon 11/03 06Z 0.69 2625 71 28 1 0.00
Mon 11/03 07Z 0.71 2624 81 43 1 0.00
Mon 11/03 08Z 0.74 2525 82 59 1 0.00
Mon 11/03 09Z 0.78 2425 80 55 2 0.00
Mon 11/03 10Z 0.88 2428 82 66 1 0.00
Mon 11/03 11Z 0.92 2430 85 71 1 0.00
Mon 11/03 12Z 0.89 2331 81 71 2 0.00
Mon 11/03 13Z 0.89 2332 74 67 2 0.00
Mon 11/03 14Z 0.90 2333 73 52 2 0.00
Mon 11/03 15Z 0.98 2333 73 47 2 0.00
Mon 11/03 16Z 1.07 2332 71 48 2 0.00
Mon 11/03 17Z 1.27 2232 73 37 2 0.00
Mon 11/03 18Z 1.75 2231 69 42 2 0.00
Mon 11/03 19Z 2.17 2130 72 85 1 0.00
Mon 11/03 20Z 1.27 2031 73 90 1 0.00
Mon 11/03 21Z 0.93 2032 73 87 1 0.00
Mon 11/03 22Z 0.90 2133 84 89 1 0.00
Mon 11/03 23Z 1.24 2333 97 95 0 0.08
Tue 11/04 00Z 1.43 2431 96 90 0 0.07
Tue 11/04 01Z 1.52 2531 97 54 -1 0.04
Tue 11/04 02Z 1.48 2631 96 61 -1 0.03
Tue 11/04 03Z 1.30 2629 95 73 -2 0.02
Tue 11/04 04Z 1.16 2731 96 80 -2 0.05
Tue 11/04 05Z 1.05 2730 96 82 -2 0.04
Tue 11/04 06Z 1.00 2729 96 87 -2 0.05
Tue 11/04 07Z 1.06 2831 97 81 -2 0.07
Tue 11/04 08Z 1.06 2831 97 81 -2 0.04
Tue 11/04 09Z 1.14 2933 97 79 -3 0.02
Tue 11/04 10Z 1.14 2934 96 75 -3 0.02
Tue 11/04 11Z 1.10 3035 96 70 -3 0.01
Tue 11/04 12Z 1.11 3035 96 77 -3 0.01
Tue 11/04 13Z 1.12 3034 96 79 -4 0.01
Tue 11/04 14Z 1.16 2932 95 26 -4 0.01
Tue 11/04 15Z 1.31 2928 95 20 -4 0.01
Tue 11/04 16Z 1.61 2927 93 23 -4 0.00
Tue 11/04 17Z 2.48 2926 87 22 -4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.58 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1