Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20250501_1200 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Thu 05/01 12Z 0.13 2806 30 6 5 0.00 Thu 05/01 13Z 0.15 2806 31 4 5 0.00 Thu 05/01 14Z 0.14 2705 35 3 4 0.00 Thu 05/01 15Z 0.18 2504 39 2 4 0.00 Thu 05/01 16Z 0.56 2204 42 1 4 0.00 Thu 05/01 17Z 0.88 2105 39 2 4 0.00 Thu 05/01 18Z 1.07 2106 35 6 5 0.00 Thu 05/01 19Z 1.38 2107 32 21 6 0.00 Thu 05/01 20Z 1.12 2108 27 31 7 0.00 Thu 05/01 21Z 0.60 2008 24 42 7 0.00 Thu 05/01 22Z 0.22 1908 23 50 8 0.00 Thu 05/01 23Z 0.11 1809 27 70 9 0.00 Fri 05/02 00Z 0.15 1813 37 82 9 0.00 Fri 05/02 01Z 0.14 1815 44 82 9 0.00 Fri 05/02 02Z 0.18 1918 50 90 10 0.00 Fri 05/02 03Z 0.32 1923 62 98 9 0.00 Fri 05/02 04Z 0.33 2027 66 91 10 0.01 Fri 05/02 05Z 0.38 2032 67 89 11 0.00 Fri 05/02 06Z 0.39 2034 73 94 11 0.01 Fri 05/02 07Z 0.50 2137 81 87 10 0.03 Fri 05/02 08Z 0.36 2030 89 75 11 0.04 Fri 05/02 09Z 0.31 2029 96 65 11 0.01 Fri 05/02 10Z 0.31 2025 96 61 11 0.01 Fri 05/02 11Z 0.37 2126 98 87 11 0.01 Fri 05/02 12Z 0.43 2224 98 93 11 0.05 Fri 05/02 13Z 0.50 2324 99 94 10 0.05 Fri 05/02 14Z 0.52 2421 94 88 9 0.06 Fri 05/02 15Z 0.55 2420 94 57 10 0.00 Fri 05/02 16Z 0.67 2420 92 44 10 0.00 Fri 05/02 17Z 0.92 2419 91 54 10 0.00 Fri 05/02 18Z 1.67 2418 91 48 9 0.00 Fri 05/02 19Z 3.20 2417 90 55 10 0.00 Fri 05/02 20Z 3.51 2315 89 57 10 0.00 Fri 05/02 21Z 2.96 2217 91 73 10 0.01 Fri 05/02 22Z 1.06 2219 92 87 11 0.05 Fri 05/02 23Z 0.86 2421 89 67 11 0.21 Sat 05/03 00Z 0.93 2523 91 79 10 0.11 Sat 05/03 01Z 0.95 2524 91 62 10 0.02 Sat 05/03 02Z 0.85 2624 79 66 10 0.03 Sat 05/03 03Z 0.85 2624 77 76 10 0.00 Sat 05/03 04Z 0.86 2623 85 58 9 0.01 Sat 05/03 05Z 0.84 2522 88 30 9 0.00 Sat 05/03 06Z 0.82 2522 91 59 8 0.01 Sat 05/03 07Z 0.81 2622 92 72 8 0.01 Sat 05/03 08Z 0.79 2622 93 66 7 0.01 Sat 05/03 09Z 0.73 2621 93 29 7 0.01 Sat 05/03 10Z 0.63 2621 92 41 7 0.01 Sat 05/03 11Z 0.52 2620 86 32 7 0.01 Sat 05/03 12Z 0.45 2720 77 43 7 0.00 Sat 05/03 13Z 0.34 2716 62 51 8 0.00 Sat 05/03 14Z 0.30 2714 57 55 8 0.00 Sat 05/03 15Z 0.20 2709 52 74 9 0.00 Sat 05/03 16Z 0.21 2707 53 72 8 0.00 Sat 05/03 17Z 0.28 2505 55 72 7 0.00 Sat 05/03 18Z 0.26 2504 58 74 7 0.00 Sat 05/03 19Z 0.12 2403 66 95 6 0.00 Sat 05/03 20Z 0.05 2102 81 94 6 0.03 Sat 05/03 21Z 0.05 1603 87 94 7 0.02 Sat 05/03 22Z 0.02 3302 93 93 7 0.07 Sat 05/03 23Z 0.04 3303 95 99 7 0.09 Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.99 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1