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FNUS51 KRNK 162356 AAA
FWFRNK

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...UPDATED
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
656 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

.DISCUSSION...

Update: Dewpoints have been observed around 5 degrees lower than
originally forecast. Therefore, dewpoints were lowered for tonight
and Monday morning. Winds have also been gusting higher than 
forecast in the Piedmont, so winds were also increased slightly, 
though they do briefly reduce overnight in some areas. Tomorrow 
will be another fire danger day, as winds remain strong along with 
low dewpoints. 

The combination of continued gusty winds in the 20-30+ mph range,
low RH values dropping into the teens and 20 percent range, 
along with dry fuels on the ground will result in a critical 
fire weather day again on Monday. Fortunately, winds do look to 
diminish some on Monday; however, RH values will likely be much 
lower areawide, with more widespread upper teens RH values 
possible in the Piedmont. This continued fire weather concerns 
will likely lead to a fire weather SPS for much of the area on 
Monday. Burning will continue to be discouraged for much of the
area.

NCZ002-170930-
Alleghany NC-
Including the city of Sparta
656 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue          

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        
Precip Type           None         None         None         Showers      
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            30           
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0            
Min/Max Temp          31           50           31           55           
Max/Min RH %          43           24           52           33           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 10 G24    NW 10 G25    NW  3        SW  3        
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 10 G26    NW  8 G21    Lgt/Var      S  6         
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
Precip Duration                                              1            
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM         
Precip End                                                   Continuing   
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2800                      1440         
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 18                     SW 14        
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 50400                     20160        
Dispersion            Excellent                 Very Poor                 
Max ADI Early         18 Gen Poor  51 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  15 Gen Poor  
Max ADI Late          12 Poor      55 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  20 Gen Poor  
Max LVORI Early       2            2            2            2            
Max LVORI Late        2            2            2            2            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. West
winds around 5 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 62 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.