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FNUS51 KRNK 162356 AAA
FWFRNK
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...UPDATED
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
656 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Update: Dewpoints have been observed around 5 degrees lower than
originally forecast. Therefore, dewpoints were lowered for tonight
and Monday morning. Winds have also been gusting higher than
forecast in the Piedmont, so winds were also increased slightly,
though they do briefly reduce overnight in some areas. Tomorrow
will be another fire danger day, as winds remain strong along with
low dewpoints.
The combination of continued gusty winds in the 20-30+ mph range,
low RH values dropping into the teens and 20 percent range,
along with dry fuels on the ground will result in a critical
fire weather day again on Monday. Fortunately, winds do look to
diminish some on Monday; however, RH values will likely be much
lower areawide, with more widespread upper teens RH values
possible in the Piedmont. This continued fire weather concerns
will likely lead to a fire weather SPS for much of the area on
Monday. Burning will continue to be discouraged for much of the
area.
NCZ002-170930-
Alleghany NC-
Including the city of Sparta
656 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 31 50 31 55
Max/Min RH % 43 24 52 33
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 10 G24 NW 10 G25 NW 3 SW 3
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 10 G26 NW 8 G21 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2800 1440
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 18 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50400 20160
Dispersion Excellent Very Poor
Max ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 51 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 12 Poor 55 Gen Good 2 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 2 2 2 2
Max LVORI Late 2 2 2 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 62 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.