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FNUS51 KRNK 160829
FWFRNK
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
329 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
A very dry airmass arrives today behind a frontal boundary
moving in from the west. As the front crosses the region, winds
will become increasingly gusty from the northwest. Gusts in
excess of 30 mph will be common late this morning, and these
gusts are expected to continue into the evening hours. The
higher elevations could see gusts exceeding 40mph at times. The
combination of very gusty winds, low RH values dropping into the
teens and 20 percent range, along with above normal temperatures
will result in critical fire danger today. This biggest
uncertainty at the moment is how much rainfall is expected this
morning. Some locations across the mountains have received a
couple tenths, but this has been mainly confined to West
Virginia. Even with some rain this morning, rapid drying is
expected with the combination of a dry airmass and gusty winds.
Very dry conditions will persist into Monday and with a day of
drying today, Monday could be just as much of a concern as
today. Although winds will be slightly less with gusts into the
20 mph range, min RH expected to fall into the teens late Monday
morning and into Monday afternoon. This will continue fire
weather concerns and additional headlines may be needed to
address this concern in future forecast updates.
NCZ006-162115-
Caswell-
Including the city of Yanceyville
329 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 70 35 59
Min/Max RH % 21 46 18
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9 G24 NW 5 NW 5
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 13 G24 W 4 NW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6050 4130
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 26 NW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 157300 66080
Dispersion Fair
Max ADI Early 88 Good 11 Poor 71 Good
Max ADI Late 89 Good 5 Very Poor 79 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 2 2
Max LVORI Late 1 2 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.