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FNUS51 KRNK 161911
FWFRNK

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
211 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Key Messages:

1) Critical fire weather conditions continue through this
   evening.

2) A heightened risk of fire danger continues in Monday.


The combination of continued gusty winds in the 20-25 mph range,
low RH values dropping into the teens and 20 percent range, 
along with dry fuels on the ground will result in a critical 
fire weather day again on Monday. Fortunately, winds do look to 
diminish some on Monday; however, RH values will likely be much 
lower areawide, with more widespread upper teens RH values 
possible in the Piedmont. This continued fire weather concerns 
will likely lead to a fire weather SPS for much of the area on 
Monday. Burning will continue to be discouraged for much of the
area.

NCZ018-170915-
Watauga-
Including the city of Boone
211 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue          

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        
Precip Type           None         None         None         Showers      
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            20           
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0            
Min/Max Temp          29           51           33           58           
Max/Min RH %          56           23           47           31           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 12 G27    NW 10 G28    NW  3        Lgt/Var      
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 11 G26    NW  7 G22    Lgt/Var      S  5         
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
Precip Duration                                              0            
Precip Begin                                                 3 PM         
Precip End                                                   Continuing   
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2500                      2100         
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 18                     SW  9        
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 45000                     18900        
Dispersion            Excellent                 Very Poor                 
Max ADI Early         18 Gen Poor  53 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  12 Poor      
Max ADI Late          13 Gen Poor  52 Gen Good  3 Very Poor  17 Gen Poor  
Max LVORI Early       2            2            2            2            
Max LVORI Late        2            2            2            2            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 80 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
73 percent. West winds around 5 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 70 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 68 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.