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FNUS51 KRNK 151926
FWFRNK

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
226 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...

Key Message:

1) Gusty and dry conditions increase tonight and into Sunday.

2) A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for much of SW and south
   central Virginia and portions of NW North Carolina. 

As the approaching cold front ushers in dry air and gusty winds
on Sunday, fire weather concerns increase across the area. A 
few showers associated with the front will mainly be confined to
SE West Virginia. Little to no rain expected for the Blue Ridge
and east. This front will bring very gusty northwest winds in 
excess of 30 mph, along with a much drier airmass. Temperatures 
Sunday afternoon will also rise into the mid/upper 50s to low 
60s in the mountains, to mid upper 60s east of the 
mountains...RH mins will drop into the 20 percent range. This 
brings a heightened fire weather concern for Sunday, nearly 
areawide. Given this threat, a fire weather watch has been
issued for much of the area on Sunday. 

Although winds will be slightly less on Monday, the area will
still see gusts into the 20 mph range at times. Even lower min 
RH values into the teens will result in continued heightened 
fire awareness through Monday.

VAZ012-160915-
Wythe-
Including the city of Wytheville
226 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon          

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Clear        Clear        
Precip Type           Tstms        None         None         None         
Chance Precip (%)     60           0            0            0            
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0            0            
Min/Max Temp          48           57           27           51           
Max/Min RH %          99           27           54           26           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 11 G25     NW 16 G32    NW 12 G26    NW  9 G20    
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 13 G29     NW 16 G31    NW  9 G22    NW  8 G18    
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.00         
Precip Duration       2                                                   
Precip Begin          11 PM                                               
Precip End            6 AM                                                
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 4050                      3690         
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 32                     NW 24        
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 129600                    88560        
Dispersion            Excellent                 Excellent                 
Max ADI Early         22 Fair      87 Good      21 Fair      78 Good      
Max ADI Late          23 Fair      89 Good      11 Poor      83 Good      
Max LVORI Early       3            4            2            2            
Max LVORI Late        4            1            2            1            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows around 30. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
South winds around 5 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows around 50.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 63 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.