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FNUS51 KRNK 151926
FWFRNK
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
226 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
.DISCUSSION...
Key Message:
1) Gusty and dry conditions increase tonight and into Sunday.
2) A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for much of SW and south
central Virginia and portions of NW North Carolina.
As the approaching cold front ushers in dry air and gusty winds
on Sunday, fire weather concerns increase across the area. A
few showers associated with the front will mainly be confined to
SE West Virginia. Little to no rain expected for the Blue Ridge
and east. This front will bring very gusty northwest winds in
excess of 30 mph, along with a much drier airmass. Temperatures
Sunday afternoon will also rise into the mid/upper 50s to low
60s in the mountains, to mid upper 60s east of the
mountains...RH mins will drop into the 20 percent range. This
brings a heightened fire weather concern for Sunday, nearly
areawide. Given this threat, a fire weather watch has been
issued for much of the area on Sunday.
Although winds will be slightly less on Monday, the area will
still see gusts into the 20 mph range at times. Even lower min
RH values into the teens will result in continued heightened
fire awareness through Monday.
VAZ018-160915-
Craig-
Including the city of New Castle
226 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 50 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 47 58 29 51
Max/Min RH % 97 27 55 28
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 8 G29 NW 13 G35 NW 10 G30 NW 8 G28
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 11 G34 NW 13 G32 NW 8 G29 NW 7 G23
Precip Amount 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 11 PM
Precip End 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4640 3980
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 36 NW 28
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 167040 111440
Dispersion Excellent Excellent
Max ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 90 Good 38 Fair 99 Good
Max ADI Late 24 Fair 105 Very Good18 Gen Poor 99 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 2 2
Max LVORI Late 4 1 2 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows around 50. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.