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FNUS51 KRNK 151926
FWFRNK

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
226 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...

Key Message:

1) Gusty and dry conditions increase tonight and into Sunday.

2) A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for much of SW and south
   central Virginia and portions of NW North Carolina. 

As the approaching cold front ushers in dry air and gusty winds
on Sunday, fire weather concerns increase across the area. A 
few showers associated with the front will mainly be confined to
SE West Virginia. Little to no rain expected for the Blue Ridge
and east. This front will bring very gusty northwest winds in 
excess of 30 mph, along with a much drier airmass. Temperatures 
Sunday afternoon will also rise into the mid/upper 50s to low 
60s in the mountains, to mid upper 60s east of the 
mountains...RH mins will drop into the 20 percent range. This 
brings a heightened fire weather concern for Sunday, nearly 
areawide. Given this threat, a fire weather watch has been
issued for much of the area on Sunday. 

Although winds will be slightly less on Monday, the area will
still see gusts into the 20 mph range at times. Even lower min 
RH values into the teens will result in continued heightened 
fire awareness through Monday.

VAZ018-160915-
Craig-
Including the city of New Castle
226 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon          

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Clear        
Precip Type           Tstms        None         None         None         
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            0            0            
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0            0            
Min/Max Temp          47           58           29           51           
Max/Min RH %          97           27           55           28           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W  8 G29     NW 13 G35    NW 10 G30    NW  8 G28    
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 11 G34     NW 13 G32    NW  8 G29    NW  7 G23    
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         
Precip Duration       1                                                   
Precip Begin          11 PM                                               
Precip End            6 AM                                                
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 4640                      3980         
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 36                     NW 28        
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 167040                    111440       
Dispersion            Excellent                 Excellent                 
Max ADI Early         18 Gen Poor  90 Good      38 Fair      99 Good      
Max ADI Late          24 Fair      105 Very Good18 Gen Poor  99 Good      
Max LVORI Early       3            4            2            2            
Max LVORI Late        4            1            2            1            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South
winds around 5 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows around 50. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.