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FNUS51 KRNK 161911
FWFRNK

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
211 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Key Messages:

1) Critical fire weather conditions continue through this
   evening.

2) A heightened risk of fire danger continues in Monday.


The combination of continued gusty winds in the 20-25 mph range,
low RH values dropping into the teens and 20 percent range, 
along with dry fuels on the ground will result in a critical 
fire weather day again on Monday. Fortunately, winds do look to 
diminish some on Monday; however, RH values will likely be much 
lower areawide, with more widespread upper teens RH values 
possible in the Piedmont. This continued fire weather concerns 
will likely lead to a fire weather SPS for much of the area on 
Monday. Burning will continue to be discouraged for much of the
area.

VAZ023-170915-
Botetourt-
Including the city of Fincastle
211 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue          

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear       Mcldy        
Precip Type           None         None         None         Showers      
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            50           
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0            
Min/Max Temp          33           56           31           57           
Max/Min RH %          52           22           60           29           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 10 G28    NW  8 G27    W  3 G18     Lgt/Var      
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW  7 G24    NW  8 G24    Lgt/Var      S  3         
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.09         
Precip Duration                                              1            
Precip Begin                                                 1 PM         
Precip End                                                   Continuing   
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 4210                      2030         
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 22                     N  1         
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 92620                     2030         
Dispersion            Good                      Very Poor                 
Max ADI Early         18 Gen Poor  73 Good      8 Poor       5 Very Poor  
Max ADI Late          8 Poor       78 Good      2 Very Poor  5 Very Poor  
Max LVORI Early       2            2            2            3            
Max LVORI Late        2            2            3            2            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. West winds
around 5 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.