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FNUS51 KRNK 150736
FWFRNK

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
236 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

.DISCUSSION...

Gusty winds today and very warm with afternoon highs into the
the 60s and 70s. Fortunately, min RH values expected to be in
the 50 percent range. However, leaf litter still remains dry
from multiple days of drying this past week, but increased
humidity should prevent rapid fire spread through tonight.

The bigger concern for fire danger arrives on Sunday behind a
mostly dry cold front passage. A few showers associated with the
front will mainly be confined to SE West Virginia. Little to no
rain expected for the Blue Ridge and east. This front will bring
very gusty northwest winds in excess of 30 mph, along with a 
much drier airmass. Temperatures Sunday afternoon will also rise
into the mid/upper 50s to low 60s in the mountains, to mid 
upper 60s east of the mountains...RH mins will drop into the 20 
percent range. This brings a heightened fire weather concern for
Sunday, nearly areawide.

Although winds will be slightly less on Monday, still will see
gusts into the 20 mph range at times. Even lower min RH values 
into the teens will result in continued heightened fire 
awareness through Monday.

WVZ044-152115-
Monroe-
Including the city of Union
236 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun          

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mclear       
Precip Type           None         Showers      None         
Chance Precip (%)     0            50           0            
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            
Max/Min Temp          65           45           55           
Min/Max RH %          55           99           33           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W  7 G22     W 10 G30     NW 13 G31    
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W  9 G22     W 11 G32     NW 15 G30    
Precip Amount         0.00         0.05         0.00         
Precip Duration                    1                         
Precip Begin                       10 PM                     
Precip End                         6 AM                      
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    3910                      4530         
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 22                      NW 38        
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    86020                     172140       
Dispersion                         Excellent                 
Max ADI Early         38 Fair      19 Gen Poor  97 Good      
Max ADI Late          57 Gen Good  26 Fair      108 Very Good
Max LVORI Early       4            4            4            
Max LVORI Late        3            4            1            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 40s.
Minimum RH 31 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows around 30. Highs
around 50. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 75 percent. West winds
around 5 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain. Lows in
the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
South winds around 5 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.