Widely scattered showers and storms will continue this afternoon and evening, with gusty winds, small hail, and frequent lightning possible. After midnight, a complex of storms will approach the region from the west. There will be a low severe threat for isolated pockets of large hail and/or damaging winds. This complex of storms will approach the I-35 corridor around sunup Sunday morning.
The forecast Sunday is somewhat complex, lending to some uncertainty with regards to storm coverage and strength. In the morning, storms (mainly across North Texas) should weaken and dissipate as they more northeast. These storms will kick out an outflow boundary that will likely set up somewhere near or south of I-20. This will be a potential region for favored storm development into the afternoon and evening hours on Sunday. Any storms that are able to develop along or south of this boundary will have the potential to be strong/severe with all severe modes at play. Further west near the dryline storm development is more uncertain. Nonetheless, we will be watching areas along and west of US-281 for sparse thunderstorm development Sunday evening. Any storms that develop in this second area will also have the potential for all modes of severe weather as they slowly track northeast into Sunday Night. In addition to the severe threat, there will be the potential for localized areas of flooding as many of these storms will have heavy rain.
Unsettled weather will continue through next week with daily chances for strong/severe storms through at least Wednesday. While the potential for rain will continue through the rest of the week, the severe storm risk is much more uncertain. Regardless, be sure to stay up to date with the latest forecasts, have multiple ways to receive warning information, and have a severe weather plan in place before storms arrive!
Don’t wait until the day of the storm to begin protecting yourself. If the forecast calls for severe weather, begin preparing NOW. Stay #WeatherReady. weather.gov/safety/tornado
Today is the 10-year anniversary of the intense, long-lived supercell that tracked roughly from Wichita Falls to Tyler, TX. The storm caused significant damage across the region, most notably in Wylie, where 80% of homes were impacted, resulting in over $300 million in damage. At the time, the storm set a new record for the largest hailstone in the WFO Fort Worth area with a 5.25" report from Wylie. This stone still ranks 3rd all-time, following a 5.9" stone in Sanger (2023) and a 5.67" stone in Salado (2022).
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