National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorm Threats; Heat Risk Expands; Monitoring the Tropics

Flash flooding risks continue for portions of the Four Corners and Great Basin through today. Severe thunderstorms are outlooked from the eastern Great Lakes, southern New England into the mid-Atlantic through Tuesday. Heat risk increases and expands across the center of the nation and across the Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic this week. Continue to closely monitor tropical development in the Gulf. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Mon, Aug 31, 2026 at 6:02:25 am CDT

Localized beneficial rain amounts are possible mainly across southeast Central TX midweek. A tropical disturbance is currently in the Gulf, which is expected to move WNW into the Upper Texas coast, bringing increased moisture and rain chances to much of the I-45 corridor late Tuesday through Thursday. Storm coverage will peak in the afternoon and evenings. Not everyone will see meaningful rain! Most likely amounts for SE Central TX are 0.25-1", with isolated higher amounts to 2". North TX is likely to miss out, with only a 5% chance of receiving even 0.10". Regardless, the additional moisture and cloud cover should bring a break to the entire region by cooling temperatures off slightly, although it will also feel more humid.
Summer heat will persist as we move into early September, with highs and heat indices in the 90s and triple digits. Expect heat indices to increase as humidity rises over this upcoming week. Tuesday through Thursday will feature isolated to scattered storm chances across our southeast, but most will stay dry. The grassfire threat will remain elevated today and tomorrow, so continue to take caution to not spark wildfires.
DFW has a current streak of 46 days without any measurable rainfall (at least 0.01"). This ties with a stretch in 1974 for the 10th longest number of consecutive days without any measurable precipitation. A few spots did get rain in DFW last week with an isolated storm, but the official climate site at DFW Airport only measured a trace of rain, keeping the streak alive. This August in particular is among the driest on record. Only one year has ever recorded 0.00” for the month of August (2000). August 2026 will end up being one of only seven times to only measure a trace for the whole month (1902, 1913, 1929, 1943, 1980, 1999, 2023).

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