National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
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Last Map Update: Wed, May 6, 2026 at 12:36:30 am CDT

Strong capping and upper-level clouds have strongly inhibited convection up to this point. Nonetheless, one or two thunderstorms remain possible this evening (10-20% chance). Any storm that develops will have the potential to become strong to severe, with large hail being the primary threat, and damaging winds being a secondary threat. The overall potential for a severe thunderstorm this evening is <10%.
Another afternoon of scattered showers and thunderstorms is expected along and ahead of a cold front as it slowly moves south into Central Texas. While most storms should remain sub-severe, a few may become severe with the primary hazards being large hail and damaging winds.
After a brief cool down, temperatures will warm well into the 80s heading into this upcoming weekend. A few 90s will be possible especially across the Big Country and in urban areas of the DFW Metroplex. There will be low chances (10-30%) for afternoon/evening showers and storms each day Thursday through Saturday with the greatest rain potential expected across Central Texas. Our next storm system will approach the area on Sunday with more scattered thunderstorms possible in the afternoon and evening (40-50% chance). Given the warm and unstable airmass in place, we will continue to monitor for potential of a couple strong/severe thunderstorms during this time frame. The greatest chances for strong/severe storms will likely be on Sunday when stronger forcing arrives with our next storm system.

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