The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Chantal, located several hundred miles southeast of
Cape Race, Newfoundland.
Satellite and surface observations show that a broad area of
low pressure has formed just northwest of Andros Island in the
central Bahamas. This system continues to produce a large area
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms that extend eastward
over the western Atlantic for a few hundred miles. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional development
during the next several days, and a tropical depression
could form over the weekend or early next week while
the system moves near the coast of east-central Florida
and then offshore of the southeast United States coast.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are
possible over portions of the central and northwest Bahamas, and
the east-central and southeast Florida peninsula during the next
few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Shower activity associated with a tropical wave over the eastern
Caribbean Sea is disorganized and limited. This system is expected
to move west-northwestward across the Caribbean Sea and the Greater
Antilles during the next few days bringing locally heavy rainfall
and possibly some flooding across portions of these islands. Little
or no development of this disturbance is anticipated during
the next couple of days. However, conditions could be a little more conducive for tropical cyclone formation when the system reaches the
the Florida Straits or the Bahamas over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
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