National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Winter Weather Advisories and Winter Storm Warnings in Effect for the Area Today into Wednesday

Moderate to heavy snow expected. Plan on difficult to hazardous travel conditions. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 7 inches are expected in Advisory areas with 6 to 10 inches in Warning areas with localized higher amounts possible. Blowing snow will create reduced visibilities, especially on Wednesday. Read More >

Select Variable: Snowfall | Snow Days | Snow Depth
Yearly 4 inch or greater snowfalls (NY | VT); Yearly 6 inch or greater snowfalls (NY | VT)

Student Contributors: Ryan Aylward, Mississippi State University; Jordan Scampoli, St. Michaels College

Snowfall Summary:
Across the North Country, snowfall generally begins in October and continues through April. The higher elevations receive more snowfall and have a longer snow season (e.g., Mount Mansfield's snow season typically extends into May). Maximum monthly snowfall typically occurs in January.

At Burlington, January is typically the snowiest month with median snowfall of 19.5 inches. The record snowiest month since records began was December 1970 with 56.7 inches.

Most sites, and months, show a downward skew of the median snowfall with respect to the middle 50% of the data (i.e., the "box" portion of the graph). A downward skewed median indicates that more years had snowfall in the lower half of the middle 50% of the box than the upper portion. In other words, fewer "big" snow months occur relative to lower snowfall months with regard to the middle 50% of the data.

Gouverneur and Tupper Lake, located in Northern New York and closest to Lake Ontario, have a greater variance of the middle 50% of snowfall in January. This is likely due to lake effect snowfall. The lake effect can be highly variable from year to year, as snow bands can produce excessive snowfall in one location, but very little snowfall only a few miles away. The high variance is reduced in February as the lake freezes over and the lake effect snow 'machine' is shut down.

Also included are yearly occurrences of 4 in. or greater, and 6 in. or greater snowfalls. These values correspond to local snow advisory, and winter storm warning criteria, respectively, for a 12 hour period as used by your National Weather Service in Burlington. The median number of 4 inch or greater snowfalls in a year at Burlington is 5, with the middle 50% of years between 4 and 6 events. The median number of 6 inch or greater snowfalls in a year at Burlington is 2, with the middle 50% of years between 1-3 such events.

How to Read Box and Whisker Graphs

Box and whisker graphs are used to visualize the data. The intent of the box and whisker format is to give a comprehensive depiction of the variable range, skewness, and extreme values. This provides more detailed information about the variable than, say, a simple statistical mean would. It also facilitates comparison between different months and station locations around WFO Burlington's forecast area.

An example of the diagram format is shown at left. The shaded region of each graph (i.e., "the box") shows the middle 50% of the variable range. The top of the box is the 25th percentile and the bottom is the 75th percentile. The solid line within the box indicates the median (or 50th percentile). The lines extending upward and downward from the box (i.e., "the whiskers") reach to the 10th and 90th percentile of the data distribution. That is, only 10% of the data lies above and below the ends of the whiskers. Lastly, the "x" indicates the extreme (record) value during the entire period of record for that particular location. The period of record is often greater than the standard 30 year period used to create the box and whisker portion of the graph (unless otherwise noted).