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Severe Thunderstorms in West Texas; Heavy Rainfall in the Southeast U.S.

Scattered strong to severe storms capable of sporadic large hail and severe winds are expected this afternoon and evening across portions of western Texas. Widespread showers and thunderstorms may produce isolated flash flooding across the Ozarks today and the Southeast into next week. Read More >

The Hydrologic Ensemble Forecasting System (HEFS) is a probabilistic forecasting tool currently under development by the National Weather Service (NWS).  The goals of HEFS are to provide hydrologic forecasts including an analysis of “probable outcomes” and to minimize biases in the atmospheric models and in the hydrologic models.

Below is information about HEFS: