National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms in the Southern Plains; Heavy to Excessive Rainfall in South Central Texas

Widespread rain may produce flash flooding across the Southern Plains into the Ozarks today. Numerous instances of flash flooding are expected in south-central Texas, including the Hill Country. There will also be a risk of isolated severe thunderstorms across the southern Plains today, where an instance or two of severe wind, hail, or a brief tornado may occur. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Thu, Nov 20, 2025 at 5:14:43 pm CST

A storm system continues to move across the area bringing locally heavy rainfall through early Friday. A Flood Watch is in effect through 6 AM Friday. Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches can be expected for most areas in the Flood Watch with isolated totals of 5 inches across the Southern Edwards Plateau and western Hill Country. Keep up with the forecast and remember to turn around, don't drown!
Excessive Rainfall and Flood Threat Summary: - Up to a Level 3 of 4 Risk (Moderate Risk): The greatest threat for excessive rainfall leading to flash flooding is concentrated over the Southern Edwards Plateau and Western Hill Country, where multiple rounds of slow-moving storms are expected to "train" (pass over the same area repeatedly). Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated amounts up to 5 inches are possible. These storms will slowly move east, eventually reaching the I-35 corridor. The threat for locally heavy rainfall and isolated flash flooding remains as the storms move east. Timing: The risk for heavy rain and subsequent flooding continues Now through Early Friday Morning. Impact: Excessive runoff from this heavy rainfall will likely lead to flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying, flood-prone locations. Stay weather aware and keep checking for weather updates from us and trusted sources.
Additional Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated amounts up to 5 inches possible especially over the western Hill Country and Southern Edwards Plateau. Turn Around, Don't Drown on flooded roads! Even 0.5-1.5" can cause local flooding. Stay alert and check your local forecast.
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue across portions of South-Central Texas tonight. A first line of showers and storms is expected over the Hill Country and Austin area during the evening hours. These storms have the potential to produce locally heavy rain and isolated flash flooding. A second cluster of showers and storms is possible for the same areas during the early morning hours, but confidence in this second batch is lower and the heavy rain threat is lower. There may be an extended break of several hours between the two clusters of storms. Low temperatures will be influenced by where the rain falls, but cooler temperatures in the 50s are expected over the southern Edwards Plateau and Hill Country, with milder and muggy conditions in the 60s to around 70 along the I-35 corridor and Coastal Plains.
A slow cooling trend to more fall-like weather continues through next week, accompanied by rain chances through Monday. Highs drop into the 60s/70s by late weekend. The highest rain chances (40-80%) are today through Monday, including the potential for locally heavy rain. Stay weather aware!