Regional Outbreaks of Severe Weather Through Early Next Week; Early Season Heat Wave across the South

Active spring pattern across the center of our nation with several episodes of severe weather and heavy rainfall expected into next week. The potential for very large hail, long track tornadoes, severe wind gusts, frequent cloud to ground lightning strikes and flash flooding are in the outlook. Furthermore, dangerous early season heat wave continues for the Gulf Coast states into early next week. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Sat, May 17, 2025 at 8:22:25 am CDT

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National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio, TX

National Weather Service Houston/Galveston, TX

National Weather Service Lake Charles, LA

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Severe Weather Today

Storm Timing Today

Isolated Severe Storms Sunday

Mon/Tue Severe Storm Potential

Numerous severe storms will develop in western North Texas this afternoon, and will spread eastward heading into the evening. Large hail and damaging winds will be the primary hazards. If storms merge into a line, a significant damaging wind threat could materialize. Have multiple ways to monitor the weather, and be ready to seek shelter inside and away from windows if a warning is issued for your location.

Thunderstorms will begin developing between 2 and 4 pm today across western North Texas. They will spread into the I-35 corridor and northeast Texas between 4 and 9 pm when the threat for severe weather will be maximized. Storms will begin to diminish later in the evening as they move into parts of East Texas.

Isolated strong or severe storms with hail and wind threats could develop on Sunday afternoon with coverage of 20-30%. The highest chances for thunderstorms are roughly along and north of I-20 between 4 and 8 pm.

The active pattern in place this weekend will continue into the beginning of the next work week. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop along a dryline across portions of northern and central Texas Monday evening and last through the early overnight hours. Coverage will increase with northward extent, as will the risk for severe weather. The primary hazards will initially be large hail and damaging winds. This will evolve into primarily a damaging wind threat as storms grow upscale into the early overnight hours. Any storms that can stay discrete after sundown will have an increased tornado risk as well, particularly in the Texoma area. Late Tuesday morning and early afternoon, a second round of thunderstorms is expected along and ahead of a dryline and cold front. The cold front will push to the east of our area before the greatest severe threat gets underway, though a strong or severe thunderstorm will still be possible east of the I-35/35E corridor. The primary hazards with these storms would be damaging winds and large hail. For now, exact details on timing, and storm coverage are still unclear, but these will be forecast with more confidence in the coming days. Stay weather aware, and look forward to the cool dry air behind the cold front for the middle of next week!