National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
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Last Map Update: Sun, Apr 12, 2026 at 6:12:45 pm CDT

The flash flood threat has increased across parts of Central Texas and the Brazos Valley through tonight. Many locations will not see rain today, but those that get underneath a thunderstorm may receive a quick 1-3" of rainfall. There is a ~15% chance for 5+" of rain across parts of the Brazos Valley where training thunderstorms along an outflow boundary may lead to locally higher amounts. A Flood Watch is now in effect for this area through 4AM Monday morning. If you happen upon a flooded roadway, turn around, don't drown!
Scattered thunderstorms are expected across parts of Central Texas and the Brazos Valley this afternoon and evening and will carry a locally heavy rainfall and severe threat. Isolated flash flooding, large hail, and damaging winds will be the main hazards. Storms will gradually weaken during the overnight with a very low chance that a stray severe storm approaches our western counties.
The threat for strong to severe storms will persist each day through Wednesday, with all types of severe weather possible. Coverage is expected to be highest on Wednesday. Highs will be in the 80s and lows in the mid and upper 60s.
Isolated showers and storms will be possible along and east of I-35 Monday afternoon. As we move into the evening hours, very isolated storms may develop along a dryline west of Highway 281 (15-20% chance). Most locations will remain dry through the day. If storms do move into our Big Country counties Monday evening, they would carry a hail and damaging wind threat.
Today is the 10-year anniversary of the intense, long-lived supercell that tracked roughly from Wichita Falls to Tyler, TX. The storm caused significant damage across the region, most notably in Wylie, where 80% of homes were impacted, resulting in over $300 million in damage. At the time, the storm set a new record for the largest hailstone in the WFO Fort Worth area with a 5.25" report from Wylie. This stone still ranks 3rd all-time, following a 5.9" stone in Sanger (2023) and a 5.67" stone in Salado (2022).

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