National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Fire Weather Concerns and Severe Weather

Dry and breezy conditions will bring elevated to critical fire weather conditions across portions of the northern and central High Plains through this weekend, where fuels remain largely receptive. Severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall are possible from the Plains into the Upper Midwest, as well as in the Ohio Valley and portions of the Mid-Atlantic through this weekend. Read More >

COZ205-121100-
COZ205-121100-
Colorado River Headwaters-
1254 PM MDT Fri Sep 11 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1254 PM MDT Fri Sep 11 2026

.DISCUSSION...Localized critical fire weather conditions are 
expected today due to gusty winds and low RH. This weekend, gusts 
upwards of 35 mph are forecast for much of the area. However, an 
influx of moisture will negate the potential for widespread 
critical fire weather conditions due to rising RH. Temperatures
will be above normal through this weekend with cooler, unsettled
weather arriving next week due to a steady influx of moisture.

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30%). Isolated showers after 
                    2400. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....46-56 F. 
Max humidity........55-65%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 3 to 6 mph. 
                    Localized gusts up to 25 mph in the evening. 
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 15 to 20 mph. 
Mixing Height.......6500 ft AGL until 1900. 500 ft AGL after 2000. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%). Isolated showers. 
                    Isolated thunderstorms after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....10 percent. 
Max temperature.....72-82 F. 
Min humidity........20-30%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    west 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the 
                    afternoon. 
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 25 mph. 
Mixing Height.......500 ft AGL until 0900. 9500 ft AGL after 1000. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then west 15 
                    to 20 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Very good after 1200. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). Isolated thunderstorms 
                    until 2400. Isolated showers. 
Chc of lightning....10 percent. 
Min temperature.....50-60 F. 
Max humidity........56-71%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 25 mph. 
Mixing Height.......6500 ft AGL until 1900. 500 ft AGL after 2000. 
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%) until 1200, then partly 
                    cloudy (30-40%). Isolated showers until 
                    1200, scattered showers and thunderstorms after 
                    1200. 
Chc of lightning....20 percent. 
Max temperature.....71-81 F. 
Min humidity........26-36%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 35 mph in 
                    the afternoon. 
CWR.................20 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 20 to 30 mph. 
Mixing Height.......1500 ft AGL until 0900, then 8000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then southwest 15 
                    to 20 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Very good after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows
47-57. Highs 65-75. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 
30 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows 43-53. Highs 66-76. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 43-53. Highs 66-76. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 43-53. Highs 65-75. 
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered thunderstorms and isolated
showers. Lows 40-50. Highs 66-76.