National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Dangerous Heat Wave Continues; Enhanced Area of Severe Thunderstorms Today

A prolonged, dangerous heat wave will continue today in the Midwest and Mississippi Valley, and persist through the Independence Day weekend across the Ohio Valley, Mid-South, and East Coast. Widespread moderate to extreme HeatRisk is forecast. Scattered wind damage and large hail are expected from severe thunderstorms impacting parts of Nebraska into Iowa today. Read More >

COZ205-040000-
COZ205-040000-
Colorado River Headwaters-
153 AM MDT Fri Jul 3 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
153 AM MDT Fri Jul 3 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR COLORADO
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 207, 290, 291, 292, 293 AND 294... 

.DISCUSSION...Critical fire weather conditions continue Friday 
across much of western CO. Winds will diminish Saturday and 
beyond, suppressing widespread critical fire weather. Temperatures
will surge though and some weak moisture could produce isolated 
showers and thunderstorms Sunday, with coverage increasing Monday 
and Tuesday. This will threaten new lightning starts and erratic 
fire behavior around gusty outflows. Hot and dry with a threat of 
afternoon showers remains in forecast through next week.


...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%). Patchy smoke. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....74-84 F. 
Min humidity........7-12%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    west 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the 
                    afternoon. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 25 mph becoming southwest 15 to 20 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......1000 ft AGL until 0900, then 14500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then west 15 
                    to 20 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30%). Patchy smoke after 2400. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....47-57 F. 
Max humidity........31-41%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 15 to 20 mph. 
Mixing Height.......12500 ft AGL until 2000, then 1000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 to 10 mph until 2400, then southeast. 
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 2100, then poor. 

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%) until 1200, then partly 
                    cloudy (30-40%). Patchy smoke until 1200. 
                    Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....75-85 F. 
Min humidity........8-13%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 10 to 15 mph. 
Mixing Height.......1500 ft AGL until 0900. 15000 ft AGL after 
                    1100. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 mph until 1200, then west 10 to 15 
                    mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
44-54. Highs 78-88. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
48-58. Highs 77-87. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 48-58. Highs 77-87. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 48-58. Highs 78-88. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 48-58. Highs 79-89.