COZ205-162315-
COZ205-162315-
Colorado River Headwaters-
102 AM MDT Tue Jun 16 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
102 AM MDT Tue Jun 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR COLORADO
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200, 202, 203 BELOW 8000 FEET, 205 BELOW 8000
FEET, 207, 290, 292, 293 AND 294, AS WELL AS UTAH FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 486, 487, 490 AND 491... 

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR
COLORADO FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200, 202, 203, 205, 207, 290, 291,
292, 293 AND 294, AS WELL AS UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONES 486, 487,
490 AND 491... 

.DISCUSSION...

The prolonged period of critical fire weather concerns persists 
through Thursday as we continue to be stuck under a pattern of 
abnormally hot and dry conditions. For lower valleys, afternoon 
temperatures may reach triple digits. Winds will reach their peak 
on Wednesday with gusts topping out at 45-50 mph in some 
locations. By Friday, light moisture returns to the region, though
spotty critical fire weather conditions remain likely through the
weekend.

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM
MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS...

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....75-85 F. 
Min humidity........10-15%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    west 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 35 mph in the 
                    afternoon. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northwest 20 to 25 mph. 
Mixing Height.......500 ft AGL until 0800. 10000 ft AGL after 0900. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then 15 to 20 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....48-58 F. 
Max humidity........32-42%. 
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 40 mph in 
                    the evening becoming downslope/downvalley 3 to 
                    6 mph by sunset. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 25 to 35 mph increasing to 30 to 40 mph 
                    after midnight. 
Mixing Height.......9000 ft AGL until 2000, then 500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 2100, then poor. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....78-88 F. 
Min humidity........8-13%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    west 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Localized 
                    gusts up to 40 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northwest 30 to 40 mph becoming west 25 to 35 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......1000 ft AGL until 0800. 13000 ft AGL after 
                    0900. 
Transport Winds.....West 10 to 15 mph until 1200, then 20 to 30 
                    mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 43-53. Highs 78-88. Northwest winds 10 to
20 mph with gusts to  40 mph. 
.JUNETEENTH...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 79-89. West winds
10 to 20 mph with gusts to  30 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 48-58. Highs 75-85. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts
to  45 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
42-52. Highs 72-82. 
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42-52. Highs 74-84.