National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heat Across the Center of the Nation; Severe Thunderstorms Across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley

Heat expands across the Desert Southwest, Plains, Mississippi Valley and Midwest into Monday. Fire weather concerns continue for portions of the Intermountain West. Active monsoonal moisture fuels thunderstorms over the Southwest with possible flash flooding. Tropical cyclone Fausto in the Pacific, should weaken as it approaches Hawaii; Dangerous surf, swells and rip currents are expected. Read More >

COZ205-272315-
COZ205-272315-
Colorado River Headwaters-
111 AM MDT Mon Jul 27 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
111 AM MDT Mon Jul 27 2026

.DISCUSSION...Little noticeable change to the forecast as hot
temperatures remain along with daily thunderstorm chances. The
moisture driving the thunderstorms is sufficient enough to limit
critical fire weather and overall light winds are expected under
high pressure aloft. Burn scars will remain susceptible to debris
flow and flash flooding as the atmosphere will support moderate
to heavy rainfall rates. 

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%). Isolated showers until 
                    1200, then scattered showers and thunderstorms. 
Chc of lightning....50 percent. 
Max temperature.....80-90 F. 
Min humidity........26-36%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................60 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southeast 10 to 15 mph shifting to the 
                    southwest in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......1500 ft AGL until 1000, then 7000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....East 5 mph until 1200, then west. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then fair until 1500, then 
                    poor. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70%) until 2400, then partly 
                    cloudy (40-50%). Scattered showers and 
                    thunderstorms until 2400. 
Chc of lightning....40 percent. 
Min temperature.....55-65 F. 
Max humidity........68-83%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................20 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 10 to 15 mph. 
Mixing Height.......4000 ft AGL until 2000, then 500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast 5 mph until 2400, then southeast. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%) until 1200, then mostly 
                    cloudy (60-70%). Isolated showers until 1200, 
                    then numerous showers and scattered 
                    thunderstorms. 
Chc of lightning....50 percent. 
Max temperature.....79-89 F. 
Min humidity........24-34%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................40 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 5 to 10 mph. 
Mixing Height.......2000 ft AGL until 1000, then 6000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 mph until 1200, then west. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then fair until 1500, then 
                    poor. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Numerous showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 51-61. Highs 77-87. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 50-60. Highs 78-88. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
51-61. Highs 81-91. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 52-62. Highs 82-92. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
52-62. Highs 83-93.