COZ205-142345-
COZ205-142345-
Colorado River Headwaters-
143 AM MDT Fri Aug 14 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
143 AM MDT Fri Aug 14 2026

.DISCUSSION...

Atmospheric moisture begins to decrease today, dropping to near 
or just above normal levels through the weekend. Showers and 
thunderstorms will continue to be possible daily, particularly 
over the high terrain, but wetting rain chances decrease. Today 
localized heavy rainfall is still possible, which may pose a 
threat of flash flooding and debris flows, especially over recent 
burn scars. Critical fire weather conditions are not expected 
through at least early next week. 

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60%) until 1200, then mostly 
                    cloudy (60-70%). Isolated showers and 
                    thunderstorms until 1200, then scattered 
                    showers and thunderstorms. 
Chc of lightning....40 percent. 
Max temperature.....71-81 F. 
Min humidity........29-39%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley winds 4 to 8 mph. Localized 
                    gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon. 
CWR.................50 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 15 to 20 mph. 
Mixing Height.......2000 ft AGL until 1000, then 7000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1200. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70%) until 2400, then partly 
                    cloudy (50-60%). Scattered showers and 
                    thunderstorms until 2400, then isolated showers 
                    and thunderstorms. 
Chc of lightning....40 percent. 
Min temperature.....46-56 F. 
Max humidity........70-85%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................30 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 10 to 15 mph. 
Mixing Height.......5000 ft AGL until 2000, then 500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 mph until 2400, then south. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60%). Isolated thunderstorms 
                    until 1200. Scattered showers. Scattered 
                    thunderstorms after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....30 percent. 
Max temperature.....71-81 F. 
Min humidity........25-35%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................20 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 15 to 20 mph. 
Mixing Height.......1500 ft AGL until 1000, then 8500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
45-55. Highs 72-82. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
46-56. Highs 73-83. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 47-57. Highs 75-85. West winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 
30 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 48-58. Highs 74-84. 
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 47-57. Highs 75-85.