Colorado River Headwaters (COZ205) - Fire Weather Forecast

COZ205-171015-
COZ205-171015-
Colorado River Headwaters-
1215 PM MDT Thu Apr 16 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1215 PM MDT Thu Apr 16 2026

.DISCUSSION...
Warmer and drier conditions continue today, with gusty winds 
increasing across the region. Gusts of 45-55 mph will be possible.
This will lead to localized critical fire weather conditions for 
the lower elevations. Tonight a low pressure system moves through
the area bringing precipitation and cooler temperatures.


...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%) until 2400, then mostly 
                    cloudy (60-70%). Isolated showers until 
                    2400, scattered snow showers after 2400. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....18-28 F. 
Max humidity........71-86%. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 50 
                    mph in the evening becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset. 
CWR.................50 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 40 to 50 mph. 
Mixing Height.......9500 ft AGL until 2000, then 2000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph until 2400, then west 10 
                    to 15 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent until 2100, then poor. 

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80%). Snow showers until 
                    1200, then scattered snow showers. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....32-42 F. 
Min humidity........27-37%. 
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 30 
                    mph. 
CWR.................80 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 25 to 35 mph becoming west 15 to 20 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......8000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Very good after 1200. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....11-21 F. 
Max humidity........58-73%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 3 to 6 mph. 
                    Localized gusts up to 30 mph in the evening. 
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northwest 20 to 25 mph increasing to west 20 to 
                    30 mph after midnight. 
Mixing Height.......6000 ft AGL until 2100, then 2000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2100, then poor. 

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%) until 1200, then mostly 
                    sunny (10-20%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....41-51 F. 
Min humidity........14-24%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley winds 4 to 8 mph. Localized 
                    gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northwest 25 to 35 mph becoming north 20 to 30 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......7500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then good. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Warmer. Mostly clear. Lows 18-28. Highs 53-63. Winds
less than 15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
29-39. Highs 57-67. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
32-42. Highs 60-70. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 34-44. Highs
58-68. 
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 30-40. Highs 51-61.