National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Tropical Storm in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce considerable, potentially life-threatening, flooding across the lower Mississippi River Valley and central Great Lakes region through tonight. Tropical Storm Arthur will move northeastward along the Texas coast today and then move inland over southwestern Louisiana by tonight. An outbreak of severe thunderstorms is expected across portions of Illinois and Indiana. Read More >

COZ205-172315-
COZ205-172315-
Colorado River Headwaters-
114 AM MDT Wed Jun 17 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
114 AM MDT Wed Jun 17 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR COLORADO
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200, 201, 202, 203 BELOW 8000 FEET, 205 BELOW
8000 FEET, 207, 290, 291, 292, 293, 294 AND 295 BELOW 9000 FEET,
AS WELL AS UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONES 486, 487, 490 AND 491... 

.DISCUSSION...

Critical fire weather conditions continue today as winds are 
expected to gust up to 35-45 mph in the afternoon and relative 
humidity again drops into the single digits. Thursday and Friday, 
dry air remains but winds weaken, leading to more spotty areas of 
critical fire weather. A brief system passes through Saturday, 
once again ramping up gusts without any moisture relief, 
increasing fire weather concerns once more.

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS...

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....79-89 F. 
Min humidity........9-14%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    west 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Localized 
                    gusts up to 40 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 25 to 35 mph. 
Mixing Height.......500 ft AGL until 0800, then 12000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 10 to 15 mph until 1200, then 20 to 30 
                    mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....48-58 F. 
Max humidity........33-43%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 30 mph. 
Mixing Height.......11000 ft AGL until 2000, then 1000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph until 2400, then west 5 
                    mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent until 2100, then poor. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....78-88 F. 
Min humidity........5-10%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northwest 25 to 35 mph becoming west 20 to 25 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......1500 ft AGL until 0900, then 12500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then 15 to 20 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.JUNETEENTH...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 78-88. Winds less
than 15 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49-59. Highs 76-86. West winds
10 to 20 mph with gusts to  45 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 42-52. Highs 73-83. West winds 10 to 20 mph
with gusts to  45 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42-52. Highs 76-86. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-53. Highs 78-88.