COZ205-012315-
COZ205-012315-
Colorado River Headwaters-
109 AM MDT Fri May 1 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
109 AM MDT Fri May 1 2026

.DISCUSSION...Localized critical fire weather conditions are
forecast for northwest Colorado this afternoon in the wake of
a system dropping into southern Colorado. Farther south more
shower and isolated thunderstorm activity is expected with 
accumulating mountain snow. Mountain shower activity remains
in place through the weekend before a more organized storm
lift through early next week. 

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). Scattered showers and 
                    isolated thunderstorms after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....20 percent. 
Max temperature.....48-58 F. 
Min humidity........17-27%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley winds 4 to 8 mph. Localized 
                    gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon. 
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northeast 5 to 10 mph. 
Mixing Height.......2500 ft AGL until 0900, then 11000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1200. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). Isolated showers until 
                    2400. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....25-35 F. 
Max humidity........58-73%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 3 to 6 mph. 
                    Localized gusts up to 25 mph in the evening. 
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northeast 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 
                    mph after midnight. 
Mixing Height.......8500 ft AGL until 2000, then 2000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....East 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2100, then poor. 

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%). Isolated showers after 
                    1200. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....56-66 F. 
Min humidity........14-24%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest in 
                    the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......2500 ft AGL until 0900, then 10000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1500. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
29-39. Highs 56-66. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows 33-43. Highs 53-63. West winds 10 to 20 mph
with gusts to  25 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 30-40. Highs 50-60. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 29-39. Highs 51-61. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 29-39. Highs 59-69.