Colorado River Headwaters (COZ205) - Fire Weather Forecast

COZ205-161115-
COZ205-161115-
Colorado River Headwaters-
104 PM MDT Wed Apr 15 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
104 PM MDT Wed Apr 15 2026

.DISCUSSION...Warmer and drier conditions return today and 
tomorrow, with gusty winds increasing across the region tomorrow.
This will lead to localized critical fire weather conditions for 
the lower elevations. Friday into the weekend, a low pressure
system moves through bringing cooler temperatures and increased 
shower activity.


...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....27-37 F. 
Max humidity........54-64%. 
Snow Level..........Near 7900 ft. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 3 to 6 mph. 
                    Localized gusts up to 30 mph decreasing to 20 
                    mph after midnight. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40 mph 
                    after midnight. 
Mixing Height.......6500 ft AGL until 2000, then 2000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 2100, then poor. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%) until 1200, then partly 
                    cloudy (40-50%). Isolated showers after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....53-63 F. 
Min humidity........14-24%. 
Snow Level..........Near 8200 ft. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 40 
                    mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph with gusts to 55 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 35 to 45 mph. 
Mixing Height.......2500 ft AGL until 0900, then 11000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph until 1200, then 30 to 
                    40 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70%). Scattered showers until 
                    2400, then scattered snow showers. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....21-31 F. 
Max humidity........64-79%. 
Snow Level..........Near 7800 ft. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Localized gusts 
                    up to 50 mph decreasing to 35 mph after 
                    midnight. 
CWR.................40 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 40 to 50 mph. 
Mixing Height.......8000 ft AGL until 2000, then 3000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph until 2400, then west 10 
                    to 15 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent until 2100. Poor after 0300. 

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80%). Snow showers until 
                    1200, then numerous snow showers and isolated 
                    thunderstorms. 
Chc of lightning....20 percent. 
Max temperature.....34-44 F. 
Min humidity........31-41%. 
Snow Level..........Near 5500 ft. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    west 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Localized 
                    gusts up to 30 mph. 
CWR.................60 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 30 to 40 mph becoming west 20 to 25 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......8500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 10 to 15 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated snow showers. Lows 12-22.
Highs 40-50. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Warmer. Mostly clear. Lows 18-28. Highs 53-63. Winds
less than 15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
28-38. Highs 56-66. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
31-41. Highs 59-69. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 32-42. Highs 55-65.