National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

COZ205-161215-
COZ205-161215-
Colorado River Headwaters-
204 PM MDT Thu Oct 15 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
204 PM MDT Thu Oct 15 2026

.DISCUSSION...
Wraparound flow is bringing occasional showery activity, mainly 
along the Divide, with partly sunny skies noted elsewhere. 
Generally northerly flow has ushered in cooler temperatures. A 
slight warmup is expected over the coming days, reaching normal or
just a few degrees above. The next chance for widespread 
precipitation looks to be the middle of next week. Fire weather 
concerns remain low.

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....24-34 F. 
Max humidity........56-71%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....North 15 to 20 mph. 
Mixing Height.......1000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....53-63 F. 
Min humidity........19-29%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....North 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph in 
                    the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......2500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast 5 mph until 1200, then northwest. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....28-38 F. 
Max humidity........51-61%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northwest 5 to 10 mph. 
Mixing Height.......500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....South 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....57-67 F. 
Min humidity........19-29%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 
                    in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......3500 ft AGL until 1700, then 1500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....South 5 mph until 1200, then west. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 31-41. Highs 54-64. Winds less than
15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 31-41. Highs
53-63. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 33-43. Highs
54-64. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 35-45. Highs
55-65. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 35-45. Highs 51-61.