National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms from the Midwest to Mid-Atlantic Tonight; The Heat Continues in the Southern and Eastern U.S.

Strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing large to very large hail, damaging wind gusts and a few strong tornadoes are likely from the Midwest to the Mid-Atlantic tonight. Moderate Risk (level 4 of 5) of severe thunderstorms is outlooked for the Midwest. A widespread heat wave will peak in the South and East on Friday, with many temperature records expected to be broken. Read More >

COZ205-130030-
COZ205-130030-
Colorado River Headwaters-
227 AM MDT Fri Jun 12 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
227 AM MDT Fri Jun 12 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR COLORADO
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200, 201 ABOVE 9000 FEET, 202, 203 BELOW 8000
FEET, 205 BELOW 8000 FEET, 207, 290, 291, 292, 293, 294 AND 295,
AS WELL AS UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONES 486 AND 487... 

.DISCUSSION...Widespread critical fire weather conditions across 
the region today with gusty winds, dry conditions, and above 
normal temperatures are leading to the Red Flag Warnings being in
effect. A surge of moisture this weekend will reduce the fire 
weather risks and produce showers and thunderstorms mainly Sunday.
Lightning and gusty winds will be the primary threats. A warm, dry
airmass returns next week producing more critical fire weather 
conditions across the region.

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....74-84 F. 
Min humidity........7-12%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    west 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Localized 
                    gusts up to 35 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 30 to 40 mph decreasing to 20 to 30 mph in 
                    the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......1500 ft AGL until 0900, then 13000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph until 1200, then west 20 
                    to 30 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....47-57 F. 
Max humidity........28-38%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 3 to 6 mph. 
                    Localized gusts up to 35 mph in the evening. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 30 mph increasing to 25 to 35 mph 
                    after midnight. 
Mixing Height.......11000 ft AGL until 2000, then 1000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 10 to 15 mph until 2400, then 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 2100, then poor. 

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10%) until 1200, then partly cloudy 
                    (30-40%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....75-85 F. 
Min humidity........8-13%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    west 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Localized 
                    gusts up to 30 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 30 to 40 mph decreasing to 20 to 25 mph in 
                    the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......1500 ft AGL until 0900. 14000 ft AGL after 
                    1100. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then west 20 
                    to 25 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 44-54. Highs 71-81. West winds 10 to 20 mph
with gusts to  35 mph. 
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
40-50. Highs 71-81. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 
35 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-51. Highs 75-85. West winds
10 to 20 mph with gusts to  40 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 79-89. 
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 78-88.