National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Critical Fire Weather in the Plains; Unseasonably Warm in the Southwest and Southern U.S.

Unseasonably warm temperatures continue through the weekend across the Southwest and southern U.S., with more than 100 record or near record maximum temperatures forecast through the rest of the week and over the weekend. Elevated to critical fire weather conditions will persist across the Plains and Southeast U.S. this weekend. Read More >

COZ205-280945-
COZ205-280945-
Colorado River Headwaters-
1135 AM MDT Fri Mar 27 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1135 AM MDT Fri Mar 27 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR COLORADO
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200 BELOW 8000 FEET AND 202 BELOW 8000 FEET... 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR COLORADO
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200 BELOW 8000 FEET AND 202 BELOW 8000 FEET... 

.DISCUSSION...
Despite borderline RH values on Saturday the watch was upgraded
to a warning given that wind speeds over 40 mph are possible.
Isolated showers could also result in strong wind gusts. Winds
decrease for Sunday, but localized critical fire weather is
expected with the continued lower RH values. Another system on 
Monday looks to cause winds to increase while keeping low 
levels dry. Once again, showers are possible that afternoon and
could result in gusty winds.



...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%) until 1200, then mostly 
                    sunny (20-30%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....60-70 F. 
Min humidity........10-15%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 25 mph increasing to 20 to 30 mph in 
                    the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......9500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast 5 mph until 1200, then west 10 to 15 
                    mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200. Very good after 1500. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....35-45 F. 
Max humidity........43-53%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 3 to 6 mph. 
                    Localized gusts up to 30 mph in the evening. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 30 to 40 mph. 
Mixing Height.......9000 ft AGL until 1900, then 2000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 2100, then poor. 

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%) until 1200, then partly 
                    cloudy (30-40%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....61-71 F. 
Min humidity........14-24%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    west 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 40 mph in the 
                    afternoon. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 25 to 35 mph decreasing to 20 to 30 mph in 
                    the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......2500 ft AGL until 1000, then 11000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then west 20 
                    to 25 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 35-45. Highs 60-70. West winds 10 to
20 mph with gusts to  35 mph. 
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 36-46. Highs
59-69. West winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to  50 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 34-44. Highs 48-58. West winds 10 to 20 mph
with gusts to  45 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows
31-41. Highs 43-53. 
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 28-38. Highs 47-57.