COZ205-222230-
COZ205-222230-
Colorado River Headwaters-
1223 AM MDT Fri May 22 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1223 AM MDT Fri May 22 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR COLORADO
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207... 

.DISCUSSION...

Critical fire weather conditions for southwest Colorado continue 
today and Saturday. Winds subside late weekend and a surge of 
moisture early next week will suppress critical fire weather 
conditions. Showers and thunderstorms will return for the 
mountains Sunday and become more widespread on the terrain Monday 
and Tuesday. An approaching disturbance could produce critical 
fire weather next Wednesday and Thursday for portions of southeast
UT and southwest CO.

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%) until 1200, then mostly 
                    cloudy (60-70%). Isolated showers after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....55-65 F. 
Min humidity........16-26%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley winds 4 to 8 mph. Localized 
                    gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 30 mph decreasing to 15 to 20 mph in 
                    the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......9000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Northwest 5 mph until 1200, then west 10 to 15 
                    mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Very good after 1500. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70%) until 2400, then mostly 
                    clear (20-30%). Isolated showers. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....32-42 F. 
Max humidity........55-70%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 15 to 20 mph. 
Mixing Height.......6500 ft AGL until 2000, then 1000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 to 10 mph until 2400, then south. 
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 2100, then poor. 

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%) until 1200, then partly 
                    cloudy (30-40%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....61-71 F. 
Min humidity........15-25%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    west 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Localized 
                    gusts up to 30 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 25 mph. 
Mixing Height.......1000 ft AGL until 0800. 10500 ft AGL after 
                    0900. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then west 15 
                    to 20 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
34-44. Highs 67-77. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 38-48. Highs 69-79. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and scattered thunderstorms.
Lows 38-48. Highs 61-71. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 36-46. Highs 64-74. 
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 36-46. Highs 64-74.