COZ205-151115-
COZ205-151115-
Colorado River Headwaters-
115 PM MDT Thu May 14 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
115 PM MDT Thu May 14 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR COLORADO FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 293... 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 8 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR COLORADO FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 200, 202 AND 293, AS WELL AS UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONES 486
AND 487... 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR
COLORADO FIRE WEATHER ZONES 290 AND 292, AS WELL AS UTAH FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 490... 

.DISCUSSION...Above normal temps and dry conditions will lead to 
deep mixing and breezy afternoon winds through Saturday. Critical 
fire weather conditions will be widespread across the Gunnison 
Basin today. Winds increase Friday with widespread critical fire 
weather conditions across northeast Utah, northwest Colorado and 
the Gunnison Basin. The focus for critical fire weather shifts 
south for the central and southern areas where fuels are critical.
Cooler and wetter conditions arrive Sunday into early next week.

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....37-47 F. 
Max humidity........34-44%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 25 mph increasing to 20 to 30 mph 
                    after midnight. 
Mixing Height.......10000 ft AGL until 2000, then 500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2100, then poor. 

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....68-78 F. 
Min humidity........9-14%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    west 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the 
                    afternoon. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 30 mph decreasing to 20 to 25 mph in 
                    the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......1000 ft AGL until 0900. 13500 ft AGL after 
                    1100. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then west 15 
                    to 20 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....41-51 F. 
Max humidity........41-51%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 25 mph. 
Mixing Height.......10500 ft AGL until 2000, then 1000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 to 10 mph until 2400, then northeast. 
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 2100, then poor. 

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%) until 1200, then partly 
                    cloudy (40-50%). Isolated showers and 
                    thunderstorms after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....10 percent. 
Max temperature.....69-79 F. 
Min humidity........13-23%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 30 mph in 
                    the afternoon. 
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 20 to 30 mph. 
Mixing Height.......500 ft AGL until 0800. 11500 ft AGL after 0900. 
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then southwest 20 
                    to 25 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 36-46. Highs 58-68. Southwest winds 10 to
20 mph with gusts to  35 mph. 
.MONDAY...Cooler. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms.
Lows 31-41. Highs 44-54. West winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 
40 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 22-32. Highs 48-58. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 23-33. Highs 57-67. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 28-38. Highs 61-71.