National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Areas of Severe Thunderstorms and Excessive Rainfall Today

Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of damaging wind gusts are expected across the Mid-Atlantic vicinity this afternoon and evening. Additional strong to severe storms are expected across the upper Ohio Valley and Lower Great Lakes area. Excessive rainfall from heavy thunderstorms may produce areas of flash flooding from southern New Mexico into the western and northern Gulf Coast into Tuesday. Read More >

COZ205-150145-
COZ205-150145-
Colorado River Headwaters-
333 AM MDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
333 AM MDT Sun Jun 14 2026

.DISCUSSION...Expect scattered showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon across the San Juan Mountains and along the central 
Divide with a 40% chance for wetting rain. Farther north and west 
where the lower atmosphere remains dry, showers and thunderstorms
will produce strong outflow winds and little if any rain. Dry 
lightning and gusty winds are the primary threats today. A dry 
airmass returns to the region tomorrow and on into the week with 
temperatures warming to 10-15 degrees above normal by Wednesday. 

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS OR 
THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%). Isolated showers and 
                    thunderstorms after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....20 percent. 
Max temperature.....71-81 F. 
Min humidity........14-24%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    west 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Localized 
                    gusts up to 30 mph. 
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 25 to 35 mph decreasing to 20 to 30 mph in 
                    the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......500 ft AGL until 0800. 11500 ft AGL after 1100. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then 20 to 25 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70%) until 2400, then partly 
                    cloudy (40-50%). Isolated showers and 
                    thunderstorms until 2400. 
Chc of lightning....10 percent. 
Min temperature.....45-55 F. 
Max humidity........55-70%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 25 mph increasing to 20 to 30 mph 
                    after midnight. 
Mixing Height.......9000 ft AGL until 2000. 1000 ft AGL after 2200. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 to 10 mph until 2400, then south. 
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2100, then poor. 

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....71-81 F. 
Min humidity........10-15%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    northwest 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. 
                    Localized gusts up to 30 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 30 mph becoming northwest 20 to 25 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......2000 ft AGL until 0900, then 10500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then northwest 15 
                    to 20 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-51. Highs 75-85. West winds
10 to 20 mph with gusts to  35 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy, clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 79-89. West winds
15 to 25 mph with gusts to  45 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 43-53. Highs 78-88. Northwest winds 10 to
20 mph with gusts to  45 mph. 
.JUNETEENTH...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 78-88. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 47-57. Highs 75-85.