COZ205-142315-
COZ205-142315-
Colorado River Headwaters-
115 AM MDT Thu May 14 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
115 AM MDT Thu May 14 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR COLORADO
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 293... 

.DISCUSSION...Above normal temperatures continue today which
will allow for deep mixing and breezy afternoon conditions and low 
humidity. Critical fire weather conditions will be widespread in 
the Gunnison Basin with more localized conditions elsewhere. Warm 
and dry conditions continue into Saturday before cooler and wetter
conditions arrive for early next week. Localized critical fire
weather conditions can be expected until this cool down arrives. 

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....69-79 F. 
Min humidity........11-16%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    west 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Localized 
                    gusts up to 30 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 25 to 35 mph decreasing to 20 to 25 mph in 
                    the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......500 ft AGL until 0800. 11500 ft AGL after 0900. 
Transport Winds.....West 10 to 15 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....37-47 F. 
Max humidity........33-43%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 35 mph 
                    after midnight. 
Mixing Height.......9500 ft AGL until 2000, then 500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2100, then poor. 

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....69-79 F. 
Min humidity........9-14%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    west 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the 
                    afternoon. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 30 mph decreasing to 20 to 25 mph in 
                    the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......1500 ft AGL until 0900, then 14000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then 20 to 25 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 36-46. Highs 67-77. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts
to  35 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 36-46. Highs 60-70. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts
to  40 mph. 
.MONDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows 30-40. Highs 46-56. West winds 10 to 20 mph
with gusts to  50 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 23-33. Highs 52-62. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 24-34. Highs 61-71.