National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Extreme Heat in the Southwest; Severe Weather in the Northern Plains; Heavy Rain in the East

Extreme heat continues across the Southwest as temperatures may top 120 degrees. The heat may expand across the West and south-central U.S. into the middle of the month. Severe thunderstorms capable of severe wind gusts and large hail will be the primary hazards today across the northern Plains into the upper Midwest. Rainfall could be locally heavy across the Eastern U.S. today. Read More >

COZ205-042100-
COZ205-042100-
Colorado River Headwaters-
1052 PM MDT Mon Aug 3 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1052 PM MDT Mon Aug 3 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM UNTIL 7 PM MDT TUESDAY
FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR COLORADO FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 202, 205 AND 207... 

.DISCUSSION...

Hot and dry conditions will persist through much of the coming 
week. Today, critical fire weather conditions are expected near 
the Four Corners, and tomorrow critical fire weather conditions 
shift into northwestern Colorado. Confidence is relatively low on 
the magnitude of wind gusts. Regardless, scattered areas of 
critical fire weather conditions are expected in the 
aforementioned areas with localized critical fire weather 
conditions elsewhere across the region. Wetting rains are not 
expected.

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM MDT TUESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). Patchy smoke. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....54-64 F. 
Max humidity........42-52%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 15 to 20 mph. 
Mixing Height.......500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). Patchy smoke. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....82-92 F. 
Min humidity........9-14%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    west 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the 
                    afternoon. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 25 mph. 
Mixing Height.......2000 ft AGL until 1000. 14000 ft AGL after 
                    1100. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then west 20 
                    to 25 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30%). Patchy smoke. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....51-61 F. 
Max humidity........31-41%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 3 to 6 mph. 
                    Localized gusts up to 30 mph in the evening. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 25 mph. 
Mixing Height.......11500 ft AGL until 2000, then 500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 2100, then poor. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....80-90 F. 
Min humidity........5-10%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    west 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the 
                    afternoon. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 30 mph decreasing to 20 to 25 mph in 
                    the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......1000 ft AGL until 0900. 13000 ft AGL after 
                    1000. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then 15 to 20 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 47-57. Highs 80-90. Winds less than
15 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 49-59. Highs 82-92. Winds less than 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50-60. Highs 83-93. Winds less
than 15 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 52-62. Highs 82-92. 
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 53-63. Highs 81-91.