National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall Today from the Central Plains into the Tennessee Valley

Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds will be possible from the Ozark Plateau east into portions of the Southeast today. Rounds of heavy thunderstorms ahead of a slow moving front will continue locally heavy rainfall and scattered flash flooding potential from the Ozarks to the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys today. Read More >

COZ205-130030-
COZ205-130030-
Colorado River Headwaters-
228 AM MDT Sun Jul 12 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
228 AM MDT Sun Jul 12 2026

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure remains in control as very hot temperatures 
continue across the area. Some gusty winds materialized overnight 
across the southern and central mountains and Four Corners region 
and are expected again tonight. A few showers and storms will be 
possible over the San Juans this afternoon with gusty outflow 
winds being the main concern. Moisture starts streaming into the 
area next week bringing increasing chances each day for afternoon 
showers and storms.

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10%) until 1200, then partly cloudy 
                    (30-40%). Isolated showers and thunderstorms 
                    after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....10 percent. 
Max temperature.....85-95 F. 
Min humidity........6-11%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....East 5 to 10 mph. 
Mixing Height.......1000 ft AGL until 0900. 15000 ft AGL after 
                    1100. 
Transport Winds.....East 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Very good after 1200. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). Isolated showers until 
                    2400. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....58-68 F. 
Max humidity........46-56%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west 10 
                    to 15 mph after midnight. 
Mixing Height.......12000 ft AGL until 2000, then 1000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2100, then poor. 

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%) until 1200, then partly 
                    cloudy (40-50%). Isolated showers and 
                    thunderstorms after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....10 percent. 
Max temperature.....85-95 F. 
Min humidity........11-16%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....North 10 to 15 mph. 
Mixing Height.......1500 ft AGL until 0900. 14000 ft AGL after 
                    1100. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 mph until 1200, then north. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Very good after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
52-62. Highs 82-92. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 52-62. Highs 83-93. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 52-62. Highs 84-94. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 51-61. Highs 82-92. 
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 51-61. Highs 81-91.