National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Intermountain West and East Coast

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Intermountain West and East Coast states. Flooding, gusty winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, record warmth will spread northward across the Mississippi Valley the next few days. Looking for snow, the first winter storm of the season is underway across the northern Rockies. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Sun, Oct 11, 2026 at 4:00:29 pm CDT

With ongoing drought conditions and breezy, hot, and dry weather conditions today, elevated fire weather danger could develop across portions of western Oklahoma and adjacent north Texas from about 12 pm to 7 PM today. Avoid activities that lead to sparks.
Strong to severe storms are possible Tuesday across portions of northwestern and western Oklahoma. The strongest storms may produce large hail, damaging wind gusts, and a few tornadoes.
Chances for rain & storms return during the latter half of the week. Locally heavy rainfall may lead to flooding concerns.
Rain & storm chances return to portions of western and northern Oklahoma on Tuesday afternoon into evening. The highest rain chances that are forecast are 70-85% on Wednesday and Wednesday night, with chances diminishing on Friday morning.
Very warm and dry conditions continue into early this week,. A cool-down and rain and storm chances increase by the middle of the week.
Very warm temperatures will continue into early this week with cooler temperatures expected towards the end of the week and into the weekend.

Local Weather History For October 11th...
Major flooding occurred across north-central Oklahoma on October 10th
and 11th, 1973. A narrow swath of torrential rain resulted in
rainfall amounts greater than 20 inches in about 15 hours across
southern Garfield County. Rapidly rising creeks in the Enid area
resulted in eight deaths and destruction of about 300 homes and 40
businesses. Property losses in Garfield County alone amounted to
about $80 million, and crop damage was about $13 million.

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