Severe Thunderstorms, Heavy Rainfall and Dangerous Heat

Severe thunderstorms are expected today and Friday from the upper Midwest, central Great Lakes into the Ohio and mid-Mississippi Valley's. In addition, heavy rainfall threat increases on Friday across the Ohio Valley. Meanwhile, early summer-like heat wave across portions of southern Texas with new daily records are forecast today and through the weekend; The heat spreads across the Gulf States. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Fri, May 16, 2025 at 3:12:17 am CDT

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

National Weather Service Wichita, Kansas

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National Weather Service Fort Worth/Dallas, TX

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Severe Weather Overview

Sunday Severe Risk

Friday Severe Risk

Saturday Severe Risk

Severe Potential: Sun & Mon

Weekend Precipitation

7-Day Outlook

Severe weather will be possible over a multiple-day stretch from this weekend through early next week. See further graphics for more detailed info.

Severe weather is likely on Sunday, particularly across northern Oklahoma. While the overall coverage of storms is uncertain/may remain limited, any thunderstorm will be capable of producing large hail, damaging wind gusts and tornadoes.

A severe thunderstorm or two will be possible along and ahead of a front across southeastern Oklahoma on Friday afternoon into evening.

Severe thunderstorm potential will be on the increase into Saturday, with greatest concern across portions of western-north Texas into south-central Oklahoma.

Multiple days of severe storms are expected Sunday and Monday with all hazards possible. Stay tuned for the latest updates to the timing and locations of storms!

Daily thunderstorm chances increase this weekend into early next week.

Local Weather History For May 16th...

On this date in 2017, a strong tornado struck southern parts of Elk
City, Oklahoma, killing one person and injuring at least 10 others.
The tornado developed 3 miles northwest of Carter, or just east of
Sayre, and primarily damaged trees and power poles for the first few
miles as it moved northeast approaching State Highway 34. The one
fatality occurred on State Highway 34 south of State Highway 152 when
a man was impacted by the tornado while in his pickup truck. About
two miles southwest of Elk City Reservoir, damage intensity increased
to EF-2 strength as the tornado continued northeast over Elk City
Reservoir and through a neighborhood on the south side of Elk City.
Damage assessments found 66 homes destroyed , 62 in Elk City, and 140
homes damaged, 126 of which were in Elk City. In addition, 3
businesses were destroyed and 5 businesses were damaged by the
tornado.

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