297 FXUS66 KSEW 060341 AFDSEW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 841 PM PDT Fri Jun 5 2026 .UPDATE... As nightfall the threat for thunderstorms will end this evening. However, scattered showers are favored to remain overnight. Minimum temperatures will range between the lower to upper 40s, a bit below average for early June. The previous discussion remains below along with an updated aviation section. && .SYNOPSIS... Showers and isolated thunderstorms are progressing through western Washington this afternoon. Low pressure will move directly overhead tomorrow, leading to an increase in thunderstorm probabilities area-wide. Primary threats will be lightning, gusty winds, and brief periods of heavy rain. This threat will subside in the evening. A warming and drying trend takes hold late next week and is forecast to continue into the middle of the month. && .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... A few lightning strikes have been observed along the Canadian border with Whatcom county, with pulse type cells developing in other portions of western Washington this afternoon. The threat for thunderstorms is still largely focused along the coast and in through portions of the north interior (15-20%) with lower chances for thunderstorms elsewhere. The focus then shifts to Saturday as the low pressure moves directly overhead and provides more enhanced dynamics to support area-wide thunderstorms. Probabilities for thunderstorms have increased in the latest model guidance, up to around 30 to 35 percent for most areas. There could be locally higher probabilities up to 40 percent in areas from Everett south, but more so south of Olympia and east to south King County. Again, primary threats include lightning, gusty/erratic winds and periods of heavier rain. Given the fact that these storms are occurring over the weekend and there will be an increase in outdoor activities, please be sure to review the forecast and have a plan to head indoors should lightning move into your area. In addition to the thunderstorm threat, snow levels hover around 4000 feet on Saturday. Stevens Pass will likely see some flurries and short lived accumulations of an inch or less. Higher elevations of the Cascades, including Paradise, could see a quick hit of between 3-5 inches of snow. Make sure to check the forecast if plans include mountainous recreation. The low pressure system begins to shift out of the area late Saturday into Sunday, bringing some more appreciable clearing overnight into Sunday morning. As a result, there is potential for some frost development in eastern Grays Harbor County and the Cascade valleys and foothills on Sunday morning. Temperatures will rebound into the mid 60s by Sunday afternoon. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Unsettled conditions linger into early next week as another weak low pressure system arrives late Sunday into Monday morning. Right now there is a 10-15% chance of thunder indicated for the Olympic Peninsula and southwest interior. Lingering periods of showers are possible through Wednesday as a trough lingers over the intermountain west. High pressure begins to develop late in the week. A lot is yet to be determined, however the week 2 outlook from the CPC, including the associated probabilistic hazards in this time frame does indicate a slight risk, 20-40% chance of hazardous temperatures in the June 13-19 period. Monitor the temperature forecast over the next several days if you need to make advanced preparations for potential heat. 21 && .AVIATION... Showers will persist this evening with the isolated thunderstorm threat coming to an end. There is still not enough confidence to include thunderstorms in the TAFs, but will be added if conditions warrant it. Surface winds have been gusty out of the SSW at 15 to 20 kts. Cigs have been VFR and will continue until tomorrow morning around 12Z, where a dip to MVFR is possible. Thunderstorms become increasingly likely tomorrow for Puget Sound terminals and enhanced monitoring will be in place as it comes to inclusion of TS in the TAFs. KSEA...Gusty SW winds continue at the terminal with showers in the vicinity. The isolated thunderstorm threat will diminish this evening through loss of diurnal heating. Expect more thunderstorms tomorrow at and around the terminal, generally between 19Z-01Z. Primary hazards include lightning, heavy rain and gusty/erratic winds. 21/41 && .MARINE... As low pressure moves over area waters, expect heightened winds over the next several days. This evening, a westerly push through the Strait of Juan de Fuca is expected, but are not likely to reach SCA criteria. Throughout the next several days, offshore seas will be between 6-8 feet. As the low pressure system moves overhead tomorrow, there is around a 70 to 80% chance of SCA winds through the Strait of Juan de Fuca on Saturday, and Puget Sound will have to be monitored. Winds will be stronger in and around any thunderstorms that happen to develop over the waters. Offshore winds increase Monday into Wednesday as unsettled weather continues. Conditions should ease as high pressure builds later in the week. 21 && .FIRE WEATHER... ERCs will respond to the increase in moisture over the next several days, especially in the fine fuels. Today and more so Saturday will feature area wide chances for thunderstorms. The storms that are most likely to contain a wetting rain will be in the orographically enhanced regions of the Cascade foothills, with lesser amounts elsewhere. The threat for impacts from strikes on drier fine fuels cannot be fully ruled out. Fuels will continue to be monitored as high pressure builds in late next week and temperatures begin to climb into the week 2 time period. 21 && .SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...None. PZ...None. && $$

631 FXUS66 KPQR 060007 AFDPQR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Portland OR 507 PM PDT Fri Jun 5 2026 Updated aviation discussion. && .SYNOPSIS...A fairly progressive upper-level weather pattern and a series of frontal systems with bring cooler than average temperatures and periodic rounds of showers to the area through Wednesday, June 10. There is also a 15-30% chance of short-lived thunderstorms Saturday afternoon and a 10-20% chance Tuesday afternoon. Upper level ridging will bring a warming and drying trend June 11-15, with potential heat concerns June 12-15. && .SHORT TERM...Now through Monday night...Satellite, radar, and surface weather observations from early Friday afternoon depicted scattered light rain showers occurring over southwest WA, the north Oregon coast/Coast Range, and the northern Willamette Valley/Portland metro. These showers have been too shallow thus far for mixed-phased clouds to develop (echo tops are generally below 10 kft), which helps explain why lightning has not been observed with this convection. While a "one-hit- wonder" lightning strike cannot be completely ruled out if a cell overperforms later this afternoon, current trends suggest showers will struggle to grow deep enough to support charge separation/lightning. As such, there are no noteworthy impacts occurring with these showers. Simulated reflectivity guidance from the latest suite of CAMs suggests these showers will become more isolated this evening into tonight with the loss of daytime heating. However, showers will become more widespread and relatively heavier Saturday morning and afternoon as daytime heating resumes and synoptic scale lift ramps up ahead of an incoming upper level trough. This trough will also bring cooler air aloft and steepening mid-level lapse rates, supporting a 15-30% chance of thunderstorms over northwest OR and southwest WA during the afternoon and early evening hours (mainly north of a line extending from Florence to Eugene to Oakridge). Unlike today, equilibrium levels with the convection on Saturday should be high enough to support mixed-phased clouds capable of charge separation with the strongest cells. As such, the strongest cells on Saturday will have the potential to produce brief heavy rain, small hail, gusty outflow winds, and a few flashes of lightning. It is worth noting that any given shower or storm will be short-lived and sub-severe as wind shear is limited and organized convection is not expected. There will also be breaks in precipitation in between showers, so those with outdoor activities should not expect an all-day washout. Nevertheless, have your rain jackets handy as it is unlikely any given location will stay dry the entire day. As always, be sure to head indoors if you hear thunder and/or see a lightning flash if possible. In addition to showers and potential thunderstorms, increasing onshore flow will keep westerly winds breezy through the central Columbia Gorge and Upper Hood River Valley through Saturday with gusts generally between 25-35 mph. That said, there is also a 5-15% chance for isolated wind gusts of 40-45 mph any given hour through Saturday afternoon for west-facing exposed ridgetops in these areas. If the low shifts any further north, these winds would end up relatively weaker. Come Saturday evening into early Sunday morning, deterministic and ensemble models remain in good agreement and show the upper level trough axis shifting eastward, allowing for a weak transitory ridge of high pressure to pass overhead. This will bring a brief period of dry weather on Sunday during at least the morning and afternoon hours. However, chances for steady light stratiform rain increase late Sunday evening into Monday as the next Pacific frontal system approaches. There is still considerable model disagreement regarding the exact timing this system will move inland, with some guidance showing rain beginning as early as 5-11 PM Sunday and other guidance showing rain beginning as late as 5-11 PM Monday. All members from the ENS/GEFS/GEPS eventually show rain arriving with this system, despite the timing differences. -23 .LONG TERM...Tuesday through Thursday night...The long term forecast starts out with cooler than average temperatures and occasional showers, and ends with a warming and drying trend. Despite the model timing differences discussed above with the arrival of a frontal system late Sunday into Monday, ensemble guidance is in good agreement the area will be solidly within a post-frontal showery environment Tuesday through Wednesday under a broad upper level trough. This will maintain cooler than average temperatures and occasional rain, with high temperatures most likely in the 60s. It appears showers will be most frequent on Tuesday, which is also when the NBM suggests there is a 10-20% chance of thunderstorms during the afternoon. NBM 48-hr probabilities for rain amounts over 0.25" peaks between 5 AM Monday and 5 AM Wednesday, showing anywhere from a 45-75% chance for most locations in southwest WA and northwest OR, except an 80-90% chance in the Cascades. Conditions begin trending warmer and drier from Thursday onward. Cluster analysis for June 11-15 for 500 mb heights generally suggest upper level ridging will gradually develop over the region. This will bring a prolonged stretch of dry weather, with temperatures likely warming each day. While confidence is high temperatures will warm significantly compared to early in the week, confidence is low regarding exactly how warm temperatures will get. The NBM 1D Viewer for high/low temperatures reflects this uncertainty well, showing large model spread June 11-15. For example, the NBM 10th-90th percentile for high temperatures June 13-15, which will likely be the warmest days, ranges from the upper 70s to near 100 degrees for inland valley and upper 60s to upper 80s for coastal locations. Probabilities for a moderate HeatRisk or higher reach 25-45% for inland valleys on June 12, 50-75% on June 13, and 65-85% on June 14. There is a 5-20% chance for a major HeatRisk or higher on June 13 and a 10-30% chance on June 14. Regardless of what materializes, those planning on swimming in rivers or lakes should exercise cold water safety and be mindful of the dangers that come with cold water. Those who are sensitive to heat and/or have outdoor plans should keep an eye on the forecast over the next week. -23 && .AVIATION...Predominately VFR conditions expected over NW Oregon and SW Washington through Saturday afternoon. At 23z Fri, isolated showers continue over the region, mainly limited to the coast and terrain north of KONP. Shower activity will increase after 08-12z Sat along the coast then spreading inland 10-12z Sat as a weather system moves east into the region. Some showers could be heavier, causing brief periods of MVFR cigs or vis. Additionally, there`s a 20-30% chance of thunderstorms near and north of KSLE and KTMK and 10-20% chance elsewhere west of the Cascades between 16z Sat to 00z Sun. Best chances will be 18-22z Sat with shower and thunderstorm chances diminishing quickly after. Any stronger shower could produce heavy rain that could cause brief periods of MVFR/IFR conditions, small hail, gusty and erratic winds, and lightning. Current winds are westerly across the region around 8-10 kts at most TAF sites. Winds will decrease around 04-06z Sat, becoming southerly inland and less than 6 kts. Winds increase to 8-11 kts after 14-16z Sat as the weather system approaches, shifting westerly again after 18-20z. KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR conditions through the TAF period. A few stray light showers possible before 10z Sat, then shower activity becomes more likely after 10-12z Sat with a 30% chance of thunderstorms 18-22z Sat. Any stronger shower or thunderstorm could produce heavy rain that could cause brief periods of MVFR conditions, small hail, gusty and erratic winds, and lightning. Westerly winds 10-12 kts shift southerly and decrease below 6 kts after 04-06z Sat, increasing and shifting westerly again after 18-20z Sat. -03 && .MARINE...Overall fairly benign conditions expected through the weekend and into next week. Expect a series of weak frontal systems which will bring increasing winds and building seas. The first of these frontal systems arriving today allow seas to build into the 5-8 ft range at 10-12 seconds with westerly winds gusting up to 20 kt. Then a more robust front arrives Saturday, bringing more northwesterly winds by the afternoon. Winds only increase marginally with only a 10-25% chance for Small Craft Advisory wind gusts - highest probabilities across the outer waters. Given the minimal confidence in Small Craft conditions, have decided to not issue any headlines at this time. After a lull during the day on Sunday as high pressure briefly returns, winds increase yet again on Monday as a comparatively stronger system moves over the waters, bringing south wind gusts up to 25 kt and seas approaching 5-8 ft. Conditions then gradually calm into the middle the of the week as a ridge of high pressure attempts to rebuild overhead and northwesterly winds return while seas hold around 5-7ft around 9-11 seconds. /42-99 && .PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...None. WA...None. PZ...None. && $$ www.weather.gov/portland Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSPortland x.com/NWSPortland

173 FXUS66 KMFR 052331 AFDMFR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 430 PM PDT Fri Jun 5 2026 ...Updated AVIATION discussion for 00Z TAFs... .DISCUSSION... Cloudy skies are moving inland this afternoon as a surface low moves into the Pacific Northwest. We also saw a small fire burning south of Roseburg on the GOES 17 GeoColor RGB this morning, although it`s not visible this afternoon due to the incoming cloud cover. By Saturday morning, the trough will move into northern Oregon and we`ll have a low chance of rain in areas north of Roseburg in Douglas and Coos Counties. We`re not expecting rain to spread much farther south than that. Perhaps in some locations in the coastal range between Roseburg and Coos Bay. Otherwise, many areas will likely stay clear farther to the south and east as very little moisture is present around northern California. With some cooler air moving in, temperatures will fall to their respective normals for this time of year. By Saturday night, frost and freeze becomes a concern east of the Cascades as this cooler air moves in behind this upper level low. Temperatures in Klamath Falls will fall into the lower 30`s or perhaps the upper 20`s. Temperatures in Chemult could fall as low as the mid 20`s. Depending on one`s exact location, these temperatures will be a threat to frost sensitive vegetation Saturday night. By Sunday, we warm up by about 7 to 10 degrees as high pressure is in control during the morning hours. The next low and warm front will approach the Oregon coast during Sunday night. A small minority(5-10%) of ECMWF ensemble members and the GFS are spinning up a low off the Oregon coast and bringing a hefty amount of rain to southern Oregon. The vast majority show a lighter rain falling with some dry spots in between during the day on Monday. Another small minority shows some very dry conditions on Monday with just trace amounts of rain falling over the region. Overall, we should see rain on Monday, although there is a spread in the most extreme solutions with some being very dry while others are relatively wet for early June. We`ll have to wait and see if things converge in future model runs. Once this low passes through, we`ll see troughing in the northern Rockies with deeper north west flow off the Pacific for the Pacific Northwest. This will keep things on the cooler side with some showers developing Tuesday evening as another short wave moves through the area. A thermal trough will likely set up behind this very deep trough around Thursday or Friday of next week and push temperatures higher. Heading towards next weekend, 500 mb heights begin to build and move into the 97.5th percentile by Saturday night. Therefore, we`ll likely be pushing 100 here in Medford. The NBM only has a 35% chance of surpassing triple digits at KMFR. && .AVIATION...05/18Z TAFS...VFR levels under high clouds or clear skies are present across northern California and southern Oregon to start the TAF period. A system passing to the north will bring additional cloud cover. Coastal areas are expected to see periods of MVFR ceilings, while confidence is lower in MVFR ceilings reaching into the Umpqua Valley. Other areas are expected to stay at VFR levels under mid to high level clouds. Gusty winds over terrain and across areas east of the Cascades start to develop towards the end of the TAF period. -TAD && .MARINE...Updated 235 AM PDT Friday, June 5, 2026...North winds and seas will lower today, but increase again Saturday afternoon into Sunday morning, especially south of Gold Beach. South winds will accompany a front Sunday night into Monday, along with a chance of rain. Then, light to moderate north winds return Tuesday and Wednesday. A thermal trough will likely bring marine hazards next week as stronger north winds and steep to very steep seas build Thursday into next weekend. -Smith && .MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...None. CA...None. PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...None. && $$

220 FXUS66 KEKA 052147 AFDEKA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Eureka CA 247 PM PDT Fri Jun 5 2026 .SYNOPSIS...Dry weather along with near-normal temperatures are expected through the weekend. Breezy winds are expected today through the weekend, with low relative humidities in the interior bringing elevated fire weather conditions. Light rain is possible Monday. && .KEY MESSAGES... - Near normal temperatures and dry weather expected through the weekend. - Widespread breezy to gusty winds each afternoon and evening Friday and through the weekend, with low RH values promoting locally elevated fire conditions across the interior. - Rain likely Monday, mainly in the north. .DISCUSSION...A weak front and upper level trough are moving into Oregon and Washington. The far southern end of this front may bring a few clouds to the area tonight. This will also bring breezy winds and cooler temperatures for Saturday. Winds will diminish and temperatures may warm slightly on Sunday. Mainly clear skies are expected to continue. It is possible clouds will return to the coastal areas, but at this point not expected. Wet weather is expected to return to portions of the area on Monday. Models are slowly coming into better agreement that Humboldt and Del Norte counties will see some rain on Monday. Some of the ensemble clusters show lower amounts, and they also differ on how far south and east this will go. Current NBM probabilities of a wetting rain (0.1 inches) rapidly diminish you go into interior Mendocino county as well as Trinity and Lake county. There are also some discrepancies in timing on the models, but the best chances are expected to Monday and Monday night. Tuesday there may be some lingering clouds and showers around with fairly cool temperatures. Highs may only be in the upper 60s to low 70s. Tuesday night into Wednesday morning will likely be the chilliest morning with some of the coldest spots dropping into the upper 30s. At this point frost is not expected, but it is not out of the question for cold spots like Ruth and Hayfork. Warming temperatures are expected to start on Wednesday and will likely continue to to warm through the end of the week and into the weekend. Highs in the 90s are expected to be widespread by Friday across the inland areas. Warming is expected to continue into the weekend. MKK && .AVIATION...Clear skies and VFR conditions are in place across northwest CA. Breezy north winds are also occurring across much of the area. Tonight a front moving by north of the area is expected to bring some clouds, but at this point it looks like conditions will remain mainly VFR. Have added SCT low cloud decks to highlight the potential for a brief period lower CIGS. Behind the front on Saturday clear and breezy conditions are expected again. MKK && .MARINE...Strong to gale force winds continue in the southern waters this evening, mainly in the lee of Cape Mendocino. Steep wind driven waves have build to 8 to 12 feet in these areas. Areas farther north are seeing winds around 15 kt. These winds may diminish slightly tonight as a weak front moves by and then increase again by Saturday afternoon behind the front. The southern waters are expected to increase to near gale force again on Saturday. There may be some gale force gusts, but these are expected to be limited to mainly in the lee of Cape Mendocino. In addition to the wind driven waves there is a 12 second swell around 5 feet. This is expected to slowly diminish over the next several days. Sunday night and Monday a front is expected to approach the area. The winds are expected to quickly diminish Sunday night and become southerly on Monday. There is still quite a bit of uncertainty on how strong these southerly winds will get. Some of the models are showing close to gale force, but other are showing 10 to 15 kt. So this will need to be monitored as it gets closer. A lot of this will depend on where the surface low tracks. Behind the front on Tuesday winds are expected to become northerly again. At this point it looks like they will increase gradually on Tuesday, but most models agree they will exceed 20 to 25 kt by Tuesday afternoon. Also on Tuesday a post frontal swell looks like it may build to around 7 feet at 9 seconds, but again confidence is low on this. Stronger northerly winds are expected to continue for the rest of the week. MKK && .FIRE WEATHER...Gusty west-northwest winds are expected in interior areas each afternoon through Sunday. Lower elevations could see gusts of 20 to 30 mph each afternoon Temperatures will cool on Saturday with most areas staying in the 70s. This will keep the RH slightly higher than today. In the eastern portions of the area (Trinity, eastern Mendocino, and Lake Counties), afternoon relative humidities are expected to drop into the 20s Saturday afternoon. Locally higher winds in Lake County, where fine fuels are relatively dry, is expected to bring locally critical fire weather conditions. Sunday, winds are expected to be lighter, but still breezy with gusts up to 20 to 25 mph. RHs are likely to be lower with many interior areas seeing RHs in the teens as temperatures warm back into the low 80s. A trough Monday is expected to bring cooler temperatures and higher RH to the area. There is also the potential for a wetting rain. Probabilities of a wetting rain range from over 70 percent in Del Norte to less than a ten percent chance in southern Lake county. MKK/JB && .EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA... None. NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS... Small Craft Advisory until noon PDT today for PZZ450. Gale Warning until midnight PDT tonight for PZZ455-475. && $$ NOTE: The full forecast discussion is now regularly issued between 10 am/pm and 1 pm/am. Additional updates will be issued as needed. Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/eureka Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: https://www.facebook.com/NWSEureka https://www.twitter.com/NWSEureka For forecast zone information see the forecast zone map online: https://www.weather.gov/images/eka/zonemap.png

884 FXUS66 KMTR 060012 AFDMTR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 512 PM PDT Fri Jun 5 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1200 PM PDT Fri Jun 5 2026 - Breezy to gusty onshore winds in the afternoon and evening - Cooling trend arrives this weekend with a chance for light rain early next week - Hazardous beach conditions continue through Saturday morning && .SHORT TERM... Issued at 1200 PM PDT Fri Jun 5 2026 (This evening through Saturday) Clear conditions prevail across the region with mild upper level ridging continuing across the state. Another day of temperatures warmer than the seasonal average is expected with today`s highs in the middle 80s to middle 90s in the inland valleys, the middle 70s to the lower 80s near SF Bay and the Santa Cruz coastal plains, the middle 60s to lower 70s in the southern Monterey Bay region, and the lower to middle 60s along the coast. Breezy onshore pattern winds are expected to develop today with gusts to 20 to 30 mph along the coast, through gaps and passes, and along the ridgelines. The strongest gusts along the North Bay coast and through the Altamont Pass could reach 35 to 40 mph. Overnight, some stratus development is possible on the western side of the San Mateo Peninsula, the Monterey Bay region, and the Salinas Valley. For Saturday, a pattern change towards cooler temperatures will arrive as a trough moves into the Pacific Northwest. Highs will dip rather noticeably as the inland valleys drop to the middle 70s to lower 80s, while the Bays sees temperatures in the middle 60 to the lower 70s and the Pacific coast drops into the middle 50s to lower 60s. The afternoon onshore flow will be a little gustier as the trough allows the pressure gradient to increase. && .LONG TERM... Issued at 1200 PM PDT Fri Jun 5 2026 (Saturday night through next Thursday) Troughing will continue into the middle of next week as a second upper level low reinforces the pattern. Temperatures will dip in the early part of next week with highs in the 70s across the inland valleys and the 60s close to the Bays. Some rain chances are also possible for the early part of next week, although the exact timing continues to jump around with each model run. The current forecast has chances for rain topping out around 20 to 40% along the coast, arriving late on Monday into Tuesday morning. Rainfall amounts continue to fluctuate, but even in the reasonable worst case scenario from the NBM 90th percentile, rainfall amounts along the Sonoma coast top out around a quarter to a half an inch, with totals above a tenth of an inch generally confined to Sonoma County, western Marin County and the Marin coastal ranges, and the coast of the San Mateo Peninsula. The troughing pattern is expected to move off to the east towards Wednesday and Thursday, and longer range ensemble model output hints at ridging returning to the West Coast with temperatures rising above seasonal averages towards and beyond the end of the 7- day outlook. Extended outlooks show that temperatures above seasonal averages are slightly more likely than not (50-60% probability) for the June 12-18 period; for context, during this period, the seasonal average high temperature for downtown San Francisco is around 67 degrees, for Santa Rosa around 80 degrees, for San Jose around 79 degrees, for Half Moon Bay around 64 degrees, for Livermore around 83 degrees, and for Salinas around 70 degrees. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 512 PM PDT Fri Jun 5 2026 Northerly gradient is keeping skies nearly cloud free this evening. Perhaps some localized cloud banks for KMRY and KHAF overnight. Main impact will be gusty west winds, strongest at SFO with gusts in excess of 30 kt this evening. A dry cold frontal passage on Saturday will keep gusty west winds in place through Saturday evening. Vicinity of SFO...Gust west winds with gusts in excess of 30 kt this evening. Winds only gradually easing overnight then westerly winds increase again Saturday afternoon and evening but with VFR skies. SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO but lighter west winds. Monterey Bay Terminals...Gusty northwest winds will be the main impact for KSNS and KMRY the next 24 hours. Persistent onshore pattern may allow for some local patches of clouds to develop near KMRY overnight into Saturday morning. && .MARINE... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 1049 AM PDT Fri Jun 5 2026 Hazardous conditions for small craft continue through the weekend. Gale force gusts are expected across the outer waters and along the coastal jet regions of Point Reyes and Point Sur today, expanding to all of the inner waters on Saturday. As a result, very rough seas are expected in the outer waters with rough seas for the inner waters. Conditions will slightly begin to improve Sunday with moderate seas and moderate to fresh northwesterly breezes expected by Tuesday. && .BEACHES... Issued at 351 AM PDT Fri Jun 5 2026 A Beach Hazards Statement is in effect through 9 AM Saturday for Pacific Coast beaches. Long period southwesterly swell of 17-18 seconds at 3 feet will result in an increased risk of sneaker waves and strong rip currents, especially at southwest facing beaches. Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion can be expected. Sneaker waves can sweep across the shoreline without warning, pulling people into the sea from rocks, jetties, and beaches. Stay off of jetties, piers, rocks, and other waterside infrastructure. Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous surf and NEVER turn your back on the ocean. Monitor local weather, surf and tide forecasts at www.weather.gov/mtr. && .MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA...Beach Hazards Statement through Saturday morning for CAZ006-505- 509-529-530. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Sunday for Mry Bay-SF Bay N of Bay Bridge. Gale Warning until 3 AM PDT Sunday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10- 60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10- 60 NM-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm. Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM PDT Saturday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm. Gale Warning from 9 AM to 9 PM PDT Saturday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm. && $$ SHORT TERM...DialH LONG TERM....DialH AVIATION...RW MARINE...RW Visit us at www.weather.gov/sanfrancisco Follow us on Facebook, X, and YouTube at: www.facebook.com/nwsbayarea x.com/nwsbayarea www.youtube.com/nwsbayarea

446 FXUS66 KOTX 052250 AFDOTX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Spokane WA 350 PM PDT Fri Jun 5 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Gusty winds leading to elevated fire weather conditions Friday. - Breezy with showers and a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms over northern mountains Saturday - Cooler Sunday into Monday with patchy frost across the northern mountain valleys. && .SYNOPSIS... Gusty west to southwest winds will continue today. For the weekend, cooler and showery conditions return, with breezy to windy conditions. Cooler temperatures arrive over the weekend with overnight lows Sunday and Monday into the 30s and 40s. Another round of showers is expected for the middle of next week. && .DISCUSSION... Friday: The Gulf of Alaska low has started to move inland, bringing increasing cloud cover and cooling temperatures. A surface low ushered in a dry cold front, which has resulted in gusty winds regionwide. Most places will see wind gusts 25-30 mph, with localized wind gusts 35-40 mph along the Cascade gaps. Impacts from this include blowing objects and challenging driving conditions, especially for high profile vehicles. Additionally, any areas with freshly plowed fields have the potential to see blowing dust impacts. This will be closely monitored through the day. Low relative humidity values have also resulted in enhanced fire weather concerns, especially for any new fire starts in grassy areas. Saturday through Sunday: As the low continues to track through the state, temperatures on Saturday will be 5-10 degrees cooler than on Friday. These temperatures, low to mid 60s, are unseasonably cool for this time of year. 850mb temperatures along the Cascade crest will be cold enough to support light snow, though no accumulations are expected. Elsewhere, the precipitation type will be rain. PoPs have increased across the forecast area, especially southward. Areas that have the best chance of precipitation will be the Cascades and northern mountains, though a 10-20% chance for precipitation extends down to Spokane and Moses Lake. Steep lapse rates and 100-200 J/kg of CAPE will result in a chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms along the Cascades and through the northern mountains down to Deer Park. Main impacts from these thunderstorms will be small hail, lightning, and gusty outflow winds up to 40 mph. Main impacts seen on Sunday will be seen very early in the morning with the risk for frost. Temperatures in the northern valleys early Sunday morning look to drop into the mid 30s. Frost headlines are becoming increasingly likely. Sensitive vegetation may be harmed by these colder temperatures. PoPs will be very limited on Sunday to the Idaho Panhandle, and there is a chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms in the northern Panhandle. Monday through Wednesday: Another low pressure system will impact the area at the beginning of the next work week, and is expected to bring a round of widespread beneficial precipitation to the forecast area. Much of this rain will fall Tuesday into Wednesday. Temperatures will continue to trend a few degrees below normal. Long term models GFS/ECMWF support 100-200 J/kg of CAPE on Tuesday afternoon, increasing the chances for thunderstorms with these showers. We`ll continue to monitor thunderstorm potential. Current precipitation estimates show the Columbia Basin seeing 0.1-0.2 inches of rain Tuesday through late Wednesday night, with deeper Basin areas seeing less at less than 0.10 inches. Mountain areas could receive up to 0.50 inches. /AS && .AVIATION... 00Z TAFs: VFR conditions expected at all TAF sites into Saturday. A dry cold front moving in from the west will bring continued breezy west to southwest winds into Saturday. Winds will peak through 03z-04z with gusts 20-30kts, then decrease into the overnight hours before increasing again Saturday morning. An unstable atmosphere Saturday afternoon will lead to a 10-20% chance of showers over the TAF sites in the afternoon. Showers are more likely over the northern mountains on Saturday, along with a 20 percent chance of afternoon thunderstorms. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: High confidence with continued VFR conditions at all TAF sites through 00z Sunday. JW ----------------------- Confidence descriptors: Low - Less than a 30 percent chance Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance High - Greater than a 70 percent chance For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane airports, please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our webpage: https:/www.weather.gov/otx/avndashboard && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... Spokane 45 63 40 65 42 67 / 0 20 20 0 0 20 Coeur d`Alene 46 61 41 62 42 66 / 0 20 20 10 0 20 Pullman 44 60 39 61 40 65 / 0 10 10 10 0 10 Lewiston 51 68 47 69 46 72 / 0 10 0 10 0 0 Colville 38 64 32 67 36 68 / 0 40 40 10 0 20 Sandpoint 44 60 38 60 40 65 / 0 20 30 30 0 20 Kellogg 46 59 41 59 40 67 / 0 20 20 30 0 10 Moses Lake 42 68 37 72 44 72 / 0 20 10 0 0 10 Wenatchee 48 65 45 71 51 70 / 0 10 10 0 0 20 Omak 43 65 38 71 44 71 / 0 60 10 0 0 20 && .OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...None. ID...None. && $$

255 FXUS66 KPDT 052218 AFDPDT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pendleton OR 318 PM PDT Fri Jun 5 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Showers and isolated thunderstorms along the Cascade crest Saturday. - Breezy winds in the lower elevations through Sunday. - Another system will bring additional shower and thunderstorm chances Monday through Wednesday. && .DISCUSSION... An upper low and trough was moving onshore and will bring shower and low thunderstorm (<20 percent) chances mainly to the Cascade crest on Saturday. The trough will move east of the area on Sunday and weak ridging will move in later Sunday. Expect most of Sunday to be dry. Another upper low and trough will then move towards the area on Monday and cross the region on Tuesday before departing on Wednesday. Dry weather looks to be in store for the remainder of the week. As the trough moves through into Sunday, there will be gusty winds in the 25 to 35 mph range both this afternoon and evening and Saturday afternoon and evening. On Sunday, there will still be gusty winds but a bit lower, likely on in the 20 to 30 mph range. NBM probabilities of wind gusts >= 39 mph on Saturday are 50 to 80 percent across the Simcoe Highlands and portions of the Columbia Basin and Cascade Gaps. Another round of gusty winds develops on Tuesday with the next trough and continue into Wednesday. NBM probabilities of wind gusts >= 39 mph is 40 to 80 percent on Tuesday and 30 to 70 percent on Wednesday across the Kittitas Valley, Simcoe Highlands, Cascade Caps and Columbia Basin. && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/... Breezy conditions (sustained winds of 10-20 kts with higher gusts) are forecast this afternoon and evening at all sites prior to slackening overnight. VFR CIGs are currently forecast at all sites. However, should note the 12Z HREF suggests a low-medium (30-50 percent) chance of MVFR CIGs overnight into Saturday morning at RDM/BDN with lower chances (20 percent or less) at PDT/ALW/YKM/DLS. Shower chances are very low (10 percent or less) for all sites through the period, except at DLS/YKM Saturday afternoon where a PROB30 has been included. && .FIRE WEATHER... With gusty winds through Sunday fire weather concerns will remain elevated through the weekend mainly for the Oregon Columbia Gorge and Simcoe Highlands. RH values will decrease on Sunday, but winds will too, though they will remain gusty, in the 20 to 30 mph range. By midweek, RH values may tick up a bit as the next period of gusty winds move in to the Simcoe Highlands, Columbia Basin, Simcoe Highlands and Kittitas Valley. Wind Gusts of 25 to 35 mph and possibly to 40 mph could occur. MIN RH values will generally be 30 to 45 percent, though there will be some locations in the lowest elevations 20 to 30 percent. && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... PDT 44 66 41 70 / 0 0 0 0 ALW 50 67 45 70 / 0 0 10 0 PSC 47 71 42 74 / 0 0 0 0 YKM 43 68 40 74 / 0 20 10 0 HRI 46 69 41 73 / 0 0 0 0 ELN 38 59 36 66 / 0 40 10 0 RDM 37 62 29 69 / 0 0 10 0 LGD 44 63 38 66 / 0 0 10 0 GCD 41 64 36 67 / 0 0 20 0 DLS 48 66 43 72 / 10 30 10 0 && .PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...None. OR...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...77 AVIATION...86 FIRE WEATHER...77

976 FXUS65 KREV 052020 AFDREV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 120 PM PDT Fri Jun 5 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... * Warm and dry conditions continue today, with highs above normal and areas of Moderate HeatRisk across lower valleys. * Increasing westerly breezes and low relative humidity today bring elevated fire concerns. Stronger winds and higher fire risks are expected Saturday. * Some cooling returns this weekend, with temperatures near or slightly below early June averages Sunday through much of next week. Gusty winds and shower chances may also return next week. && .DISCUSSION... Increasing westerly winds are approaching the region today, with gusts across portions of northeastern California and western Nevada of up to 30 mph today. Several area lakes will see choppy waves, while the water may seem tempting with all the recent warmth, it is advised to stay dry and find another way to cool off. With all the heat building under the ridge that got us to the mid to upper 90s across western Nevada, a Minor to Moderate HeatRisk will be present today into Saturday. Along with the warm windy conditions comes the drying of fuels due to low relative humidities, which has initiated a few hours of elevated fire weather risk for today. This set up will lead us into tomorrow`s Red Flag Warning as poor overnight humidity recoveries and increasing winds arrive with an upper level trough for Saturday. With the upper jet performing its northward migration for the summer months, the main upper steering for low pressure systems will reside to our north for the foreseeable future. Tomorrow, for example, a trough will glide along the jet positioned along the Canadian border, which will bring increasing winds. Gusts tomorrow will reach 40+ mph across portions of northeastern California, into western Nevada. Blowing dust (especially over the Basin and Range) and choppy lakes are two impacts that may concern travelers and recreational interests. As mentioned above, the dry fuels, low relative humidities, and gusty winds have led to the issuance of a Red Flag Warning over much of northwestern Nevada and portions of northeastern California, details in the Fire Weather discussion section below. The gusty winds have also prompted a Lake Wind Advisory over many area lakes. Cooler air will follow this introduction of frontal passage, bringing temperatures back toward seasonal averages this weekend. Our weather theme changes into the weekend as the cooler air settles in behind the frontal passage. Then, yet another low swoops in from the Aleutian Islands and drops toward the Pacific Northwest, delivering a one-two- reinforcing shot of cooler air for early next week. Showers are accompanying this particular frontal passage for Monday, although the best chances will be along the Oregon border (30-60%) and into the northern Sierra (20-50%, better chances along higher terrain). These opportunities for showers linger, but lessen slightly into Tuesday, where the same areas summon chances of 20-40% along the Oregon border and 30-50% chances over the northern Sierra. Showers look to clear out ahead of daybreak on Wednesday, leaving behind cool northerly breezes. For Thursday, the trough position seems to hint at easterly winds kicking up some gusts along the Sierra, but details on speeds are to be determined as the forecast draws nearer. With the recent moisture deposited from the aforementioned showers, relative humidities should remain a bit higher, which lessens the concern for fire weather conditions. Friday will usher in warming temperatures under a ridge of high pressure that will advance eastward from the Pacific. HRICH && .AVIATION... VFR conditions will maintain across the region today and Saturday, however increasing westerly winds will bring gusts to 30 kts today, and up to 40+ kts for Saturday. Some areas of turbulence and LLWS can be expected for Saturday for terminals in the Tahoe Basin and along the Sierra front. Justin/HRICH && .FIRE WEATHER... Elevated to brief periods of near critical conditions are expected today, where westerly gusts of 30-40 mph and low relative humidities with poor recoveries overlap receptive fuels over western NV and portions of northeastern California. Saturday remains the primary concern as the strongest winds arrive after several days of warming and drying. Westerly gusts over 40 mph are likely across much of western NV and portions of northeastern CA, with minimum RH ranging 9-16% in lower valleys. Longer critical wind/RH overlap supports up to 9-10 hours of Red Flag conditions across western NV and into eastern Lassen County. A Red Flag Warning has been issued for Saturday from 11 AM to 11 PM. Ohter areas such as lower Mono County valleys, to include the Chalfant Valley will also see a couple hours of elevated fire weather conditions for Saturday. Justin/HRICH && .REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NV...Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 11 PM PDT Saturday NVZ420-423-429- 458. Lake Wind Advisory from 11 AM to 11 PM PDT Saturday NVZ001-004. Lake Wind Advisory from 8 AM to 11 PM PDT Saturday NVZ003. CA...Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 11 PM PDT Saturday CAZ278. Lake Wind Advisory from 11 AM to 11 PM PDT Saturday CAZ073. && $$

294 FXUS66 KSTO 052048 AFDSTO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Sacramento CA 148 PM PDT Fri Jun 5 2026 For additional details on weather and expected impacts over the next 7 days, please visit weather.gov/sto/briefing. .KEY MESSAGES... -One last day of heat today, with Widespread Moderate HeatRisk. Cooling to near normal temperatures starts Saturday, dropping below normal early next week. -Dry weather except for chances of showers Monday and Tuesday, with the potential rainfall amounts beginning to decrease. -Breezy afternoon and evening onshore winds through Sunday with low humidity bringing a few areas of elevated fire conditions. -Potential increasing for gusty north winds and low humidity by late next week. -Temperatures trend above normal late next week. && .DISCUSSION... ...Main change to the forecast is decreasing rainfall amounts for early next week, with generally light amounts expected. ... ...Today... High temperatures this afternoon to be around 10 degrees above normal, generally in the mid to upper 90s. Winds aloft will be from the west northwest ahead of an approaching weather system from the Gulf of Alaska, which this evening will bring an increased delta breeze and breezy west to northwest winds over the northern Sacramento Valley. ...Saturday and Sunday... The approaching system will knock down the ridge over the weekend, with notably cooler, near normal high temperatures. This means mainly mid to upper 80s for the Valley, Delta and lower foothills. Relative humidities remain low in the Valley and combined along with gusty winds will bring a few hours of elevated fire concerns in the north Sacramento Valley. Winds shift from northwesterly to northerly on Sunday, with afternoon humidity in the Sacramento Valley dropping to teens to single digits, bringing elevated fire conditions. One mitigating factor is that winds peak in the morning hours, so strongest winds are not expected to coincide with the lowest humidity. This system will be dry, with breezy wind and and cooler temperatures the main effects. ...Monday and Tuesday... A secondary trough will move in behind the first for early next week. High temperatures drop below normal, in the low 80s for the Valley., This system has more moisture than the first, but recent ensembles have trended less wet. There are chances for some beneficial light rain in the foothills, mountains, and Valley. Stay tuned as more details become know about this system. ...Wednesday through Friday... Northerly winds increase as the trough shifts into the Great Basin. These winds have been trending stronger recently. Gusty winds and low humidity will bring increased fire weather concerns across the Valley, Delta, and lower foothills especially Thursday. Temperatures trend higher late in the week, with hints of mid 90s to potential triple digit highs in the Valley by the weekend. && .AVIATION... VFR conditions with clear skies at TAF sites over the next 24 hours. Northwest surface winds sustained 10 to 15 kts with gusts 15 to 20 kts in the northern San Joaquin Valley and Sacramento Valley in the northern Sacramento Valley through 12Z Saturday. In the Delta vicinity, west winds sustained 10 to 15 kts with gusts to 25 kts through 18Z Saturday. && .STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$

123 FXUS65 KMSO 051824 AFDMSO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Missoula MT 1224 PM MDT Fri Jun 5 2026 .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGES: - Showers, isolated thunderstorms, and cooler temperatures return this weekend. - Increasing potential for widespread precipitation by Wednesday and Thursday next week with a closed low pressure system. As an upper level trough approaches the region today from the west, increasing breezy conditions are anticipated. The combination of breezy and dry conditions will create elevated fire weather concerns across southwest Montana today and Saturday, so please exercise extreme caution with any open flames or ignition sources. A cold front will move through the region on Saturday, dropping temperatures by about ten degrees and bringing localized showers and thunderstorms, primarily to northwest Montana and along the Continental Divide. Sunday will feature cooler weather and more widespread but light rain, with minor snow accumulations possible in the mountains above 5,500 feet, particularly south of Interstate 90. For those with sensitive plants or gardens, frost potential develops Sunday and Monday mornings as drier air builds over the region and skies begin to clear. Monday looks like the more widespread day for frost in the lower valleys of western Montana and higher valleys of north central Idaho. However, some frost is also possible across northwest Montana valleys Sunday morning. By mid-to-late next week, a large weather system is expected to bring significant and widespread precipitation across western Montana and north central Idaho. Ahead of this system, thunderstorms may become more numerous across the region, especially by Tuesday. Most locations have a high probability (60 to 80 percent chance) of receiving over half an inch of rain between Wednesday and Friday. While less likely, this system has a 10 to 20 percent chance of tapping into deeper moisture, potentially bringing one to two inches (or possibly more!) of rain along the Continental Divide. If these heavier amounts materialize, localized flooding could become a concern, especially in recently saturated areas such as the Mission Mountains and surrounding valleys. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions will generally prevail today, though an approaching upper-level trough will induce strengthening surface winds and breezy afternoon conditions across all airfields, with gusts up to 20 kts. A cold front sweeping through on Saturday will introduce localized showers and isolated thunderstorms, primarily impacting routes across northwest Montana and along the Continental Divide in southwest Montana, which will lead to brief periods of MVFR conditions and localized mountain obscurations. Flight conditions will further deteriorate on Sunday as widespread light precipitation develops and freezing levels lower to near 5,500 feet MSL, resulting in more extensive mountain obscurations and scattered MVFR ceilings, particularly for higher terrain and passes south of the I-90 corridor. && .MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MT...None. ID...None. && $$

207 FXUS65 KBOI 052353 AFDBOI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID 553 PM MDT Fri Jun 5 2026 .UPDATE...Updated aviation discussion. && .KEY MESSAGES... - Cold frontal passage will bring gusty winds Saturday and Sunday. - High temperatures Sunday will be 10 degrees below normal with rain and snow showers possible in the west-central Idaho mountains. - Showers Tuesday and Wednesday will bring additional precipitation, mainly to the mountains. && .SHORT TERM /Through Sunday Night/... Issued 300 PM MDT FRI JUN 5 2026 A shortwave trough entering the Pac NW will push a pair of cold fronts through the region this weekend. The first front will push across SE Oregon this evening, and SW Idaho overnight. This will bring gusty winds to 35 mph at the typically windy sites along the I-84 corridor between Baker City and Twin Falls. The frontal passage will be dry and result in temperatures 10-15 degrees cooler than today. Breezy conditions will continue during the day Saturday, as the main upper trough moves into the interior NW. A second cold front will accompany the trough passage Saturday night into Sunday, bringing another round of gusty winds, stronger than tonight. Gusts to 35 mph are expected in the Snake Plain east of Mountain Home on Sunday. The upper trough will support showers over the mountains of Baker County and the w-central Idaho mountains. Snow levels will briefly drop to between 4500-5500 feet Sunday morning. Light accumulation, less than an inch, is possible above 7000 feet through early morning. Showers will taper off Sunday afternoon as the trough exits east. Sunday is the coolest day with high temperatures around 70 in the lower elevations and mid-50s in the mountains (about 10 degrees below normal). && .LONG TERM /Monday through Friday/... Issued 300 PM MDT FRI JUN 5 2026 Cool and unsettled through Thursday with temperatures around 10-15 degrees below normal. Another trough will move into the Pacific NW on Monday afternoon. This system will bring unsettled conditions to the area with showers and afternoon thunderstorms through Wednesday. Generally 0.10-0.25 inch of precipitation across the valleys, with 0.75 to 1.25 inch precipitation over the mountains. A ridge will build over the West Coast on Friday into the weekend with a gradual warming trend next weekend. && .AVIATION /00Z Saturday through Sunday/... Issued 550 PM MDT FRI JUN 5 2026 VFR and increasing clouds tonight. Surface winds: NW 10-20kt this evening. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: SW 15-25kt. KBOI...VFR. NW 5-10kt, 18 kt gusts weaken overnight. Weekend Outlook...VFR. Surface winds light overnight and NW 10-20kt with gusts up to 25 kt Sat afternoon. W-NW 5-15kt Sun afternoon with gusts in Idaho up to 30 kt. && .BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...Fire Weather Watch from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening for IDZ424-426. OR...None. && $$ www.weather.gov/Boise Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSBoise www.x.com/NWSBoise AVIATION.....JM SHORT TERM...DG LONG TERM....KA

003 FXUS65 KLKN 051842 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 1142 AM PDT Fri Jun 5 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... * Elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon * Critical fire danger Saturday * Much cooler Sunday * Chance of precipitation Monday evening through Tuesday night && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through Thursday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: High temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon will be around fifteen degrees above normal for this time of year. Near record heat is expected in Ely and Eureka this afternoon. The current record for maximum temperature measured in Ely on June 5th is 91 degrees, set in 2016. The current record for maximum temperature measured in Eureka on June 5th is 93 degrees, set in 2016. Elevated fire weather conditions are expected in most of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon due to south to southwest wind gusts near 30 mph and minimum relative humidity values as low as 7 percent. A dry cold front will pass through the service area Saturday. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for Northern and Central Nevada from 11 AM PDT Saturday morning until 11 PM PDT Saturday evening due to sustained southwest wind gusts near 35 mph and minimum relative humidity values as low as 8 percent. Maximum temperatures Saturday afternoon will be seven to nine degrees above seasonal values. High temperatures Sunday afternoon will be around ten degrees cooler than Saturday afternoon. A storm system will impact Northern and Central Nevada Monday evening through Tuesday night, resulting in a chance of precipitation. Snow levels will start at around 10,000 feet Monday evening, before dropping to about 9,000 feet Tuesday night. The majority of this precipitation will fall in Northern Nevada. Here are probabilities of one tenth of an inch of rain or more for select locations in Northern Nevada from Monday evening through Tuesday night: Owyhee - 65% Jackpot - 60% Spring Creek - 55% McDermitt - 50% Orovada - 50% Elko - 40% Carlin - 40% Wells - 40% Winnemucca - 35% Battle Mountain - 35% Dry weather will return to Northern and Central Nevada Wednesday and persist through at least Thursday. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon. High forecast confidence in critical fire danger Saturday. High forecast confidence regarding much cooler weather Sunday. Moderate forecast confidence in a chance of precipitation Monday evening through Tuesday night. No deviations from the NBM model output. && .AVIATION... VFR conditions will prevail through at least the next 24 hours. South to southwest wind gusts near 20 knots expected at KEKO, KWMC, KTPH, KELY, and KBAM. && .FIRE WEATHER... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected in most of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon due to south to southwest wind gusts near 30 mph and minimum relative humidity values as low as 7 percent. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for Northern and Central Nevada from 11 AM PDT Saturday morning until 11 PM PDT Saturday evening due to sustained southwest wind gusts near 35 mph and minimum relative humidity values as low as 8 percent. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... && $$ 87