National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
Huron-Manistee National Forests

NWS Gaylord Area of Responsibility

.DISCUSSION... 

A frontal passage will continue to push showers and 
thunderstorms this evening into Thursday morning. Biggest hazards 
tonight will be localized heavy rainfall and strong, potentially 
damaging wind gusts. Showers begin to clear Thursday morning, 
leaving precip-free and cooler weather behind with highs around 70
for most areas. Dew points lower to the 50s on Thursday, but RH 
values remain well above critical thresholds. 




Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
246 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous showers 
                    until 2400. Scattered thunderstorms. Showers 
                    after 2400. 
Min Temperature.....64-69. 
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. 
Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier along 
                    the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the 
                    northeast after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph. 
Vent Rate...........Poor (36). 
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph shifting to the north 
                    after midnight. 
Pcpn Amount......... 0.25- 1.40 in. 
Chance of Thunder...48 percent. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 1200, then partly 
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated rain showers 
                    until 1200. 
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 61-66 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........54-59 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 23 mph. 
Vent Rate...........Excellent (689). 
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North around 18 mph. 
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.20 in. 
Chance of Thunder...12 percent. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). 
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 57-62 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler. 
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 73-78 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 18 mph. 
Vent Rate...........Poor (24). 
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 
Chance of Thunder...0 percent. 

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). 
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 63-68 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........37-42 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along 
                    the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in 
                    the afternoon. 
Vent Rate...........Good (387). 
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the south in 
                    the afternoon. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 
Chance of Thunder...0 percent. 


$$

Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
246 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Haze until 2400. 
                    Numerous showers until 2400. Scattered 
                    thunderstorms. Showers after 2400. 
Min Temperature.....63-68. 
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. 
Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the 
                    northeast after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph. 
Vent Rate...........Poor (39). 
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph shifting to the north around 
                    9 mph after midnight. 
Pcpn Amount......... 0.48- 1.43 in. 
Chance of Thunder...55 percent. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain 
                    showers until 1200. 
Max Temperature.....69-74. 
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........56-61 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 18 mph. 
Vent Rate...........Excellent (635). 
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North around 18 mph. 
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.20 in. 
Chance of Thunder...7 percent. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). 
Min Temperature.....46-51. 
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler. 
Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening 
                    becoming light. 
Vent Rate...........Poor (18). 
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 
Chance of Thunder...0 percent. 

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). 
Max Temperature.....73-78. 
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........36-41 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......24 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the 
                    afternoon. 
Vent Rate...........Good (388). 
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....East around 3 mph shifting to the south around 
                    6 mph in the afternoon. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 
Chance of Thunder...1 percent. 


$$
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
246 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous showers 
                    until 2400. Scattered thunderstorms. Showers 
                    after 2400. 
Min Temperature.....58-63. 
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. 
Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 23 mph. 
Vent Rate...........Poor (78). 
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph. 
Pcpn Amount......... 0.37- 1.25 in. 
Chance of Thunder...38 percent. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent) until 1200, then partly 
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered rain showers 
                    until 1200. 
Max Temperature.....65-70. 
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........54-59 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except unchanged along the 
                    coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 23 mph. 
Vent Rate...........Good (573). 
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North around 18 mph. 
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.12 in. 
Chance of Thunder...5 percent. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). 
Min Temperature.....46-51...except 54-59 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler. 
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 81-86 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening 
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph. 
Vent Rate...........Poor (17). 
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 12 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 
Chance of Thunder...0 percent. 

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). 
Max Temperature.....75-80. 
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........40-45 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier...except 14 percent drier 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the 
                    afternoon. 
Vent Rate...........Good (301). 
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the 
                    southwest in the afternoon. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 
Chance of Thunder...1 percent. 


EXTENDED FORECAST


.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 

$$

SJC


Southern three-quarters of the Manistee National Forest

NWS Grand Rapids Area of Responsibility

.DISCUSSION...
A few scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible this 
afternoon inland from Lake Michigan. A better chance of more 
widespread showers and storms will move in this evening. Some
of the storms could become severe. A cold front will move through
later tonight, and will bring much cooler air across the area 
through Friday.



Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart, 
Fremont, and Big Rapids
421 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers 
                    after 9 AM until 7 PM. Chance of thunderstorms 
                    after 11 AM. Showers likely after 7 PM. 
Chance of pcpn......60 percent. 
Max temperature.....83-88. 
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. 
Min humidity........59-64 percent. 
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. 
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 
                    4100-4600 ft AGL Inland. 
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....310-440 (good). 
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.74 in. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers likely 
                    and a chance of thunderstorms. 
Chance of pcpn......60 percent. 
Min temperature.....60-65. 
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. 
Max humidity........95-100 percent. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the 
                    west around 7 mph overnight. 
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph increasing to northwest 
                    around 15 mph overnight. 
Smoke dispersal.....160-290 (fair). 
Pcpn Amount.........0.20-1.54 in. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 5 PM, then 
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). 
Max temperature.....71-76. 
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler. 
Min humidity........55-60 percent. 
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph. 
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....North around 20 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....550-650 (good to excellent). 
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in. 


$$

EXTENDED FORECAST


.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds 5 to
9 mph. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast
winds 5 to 8 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. South winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the west in the
afternoon. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. North winds 5 to 9 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Northeast winds 5 to
9 mph. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. 
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. 

$$


Hiawatha National Forest

NWS Marquette Area of Responsibility

.DISCUSSION...
MIZ001-003-171200-

Multiple rounds of rainfall are possible again today, thuogh strong 
thunderstorms will be confined to the Menominee vicinity and south 
today with only a few rumbles of thunder elsewhere. Rain totals 
today will be a tenth of an inch to a half inch with a few spots 
seeing an inch or more of rain. Expect winds out of the north to 
northeast around 10 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Moisture and cool 
temperatures will keep minimum RHs today at 70 percent and above.

Precipitation will end from west to east throughout the morning 
Thursday. High temperatures recovering to near 70 and clearing skies 
will help RHs fall to around 50 percent. Winds out of the north at 
around 10 mph with gusts to 25 mph will weaken throughout the day to 
around 5 mph with gusts to 10-15 mph by Thursday evening.




MIZ020-025>027-170830-
Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft-
Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry, 
and Seney
602 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a slight 
                    chance of thunderstorms. Chance of 
                    precipitation 40 percent. 
Max temperature.....65-70 inland to around 62 at the shore. 
   24 hr trend......21 degrees cooler. 
Min humidity........71-76 percent. 
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter. 
20-foot winds.......North 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid 
                    afternoon. 
PCPN amount.........None to 0.17 inch. 
Hours of Sun........2. 
Chance of thunder...21 percent. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a slight 
                    chance of thunderstorms. Chance of 
                    precipitation 50 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 53. 
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. 
Max humidity........96-100 percent inland to 91 percent at the 
                    shore. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. 
PCPN amount.........0.10-0.45 inch. 
Chance of thunder...22 percent. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny. A slight 
                    chance of rain showers through early afternoon. 
                    Chance of showers 20 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 67. 
Min humidity........52-57 percent. 
20-foot winds.......North 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25 
                    mph. 
PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch. 
Hours of Sun........10. 
Chance of thunder...4 percent. 

Delta-
Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone
602 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and 
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 
                    percent. 
Max temperature.....66-71. 
   24 hr trend......18 degrees cooler. 
Min humidity........68-73 percent. 
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter. 
20-foot winds.......North 9 to 14 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None to 0.14 inch. 
Hours of Sun........3. 
Chance of thunder...27 percent. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms 
                    through midnight. A chance of rain showers. 
                    Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
Min temperature.....52-57. 
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. 
Max humidity........95-100 percent inland to 89 percent at the 
                    shore. 
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......North 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. 
PCPN amount.........0.10-0.63 inch. 
Chance of thunder...23 percent. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny. 
Max temperature.....67-72. 
Min humidity........47-52 percent. 
20-foot winds.......North 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25 
                    mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
Hours of Sun........11. 
Chance of thunder...5 percent. 

Ottawa National Forest

NWS Marquette Area of Responsibility

$$
Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton-
Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw
602 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025 /502 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025/

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers through early 
                    afternoon. A slight chance of thunderstorms. 
                    Rain showers likely by mid afternoon. Chance of 
                    precipitation 70 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 58. 
   24 hr trend......28 degrees cooler. 
Min humidity........80-85 percent. 
   24 hr trend......25 percent wetter. 
20-foot winds.......Northeast 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 
                    mph. 
PCPN amount.........0.13-0.52 inch. 
Hours of Sun........0. 
Chance of thunder...20 percent. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers through 
                    midnight. A slight chance of thunderstorms. 
                    Rain showers likely late. Chance of 
                    precipitation 70 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 50. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
Max humidity........95-100 percent inland to 89 percent at the 
                    shore. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
20-foot winds.......Northeast 6 to 11 mph shifting to the north 7 
                    to 12 mph late. Gusts up to 20 mph. 
PCPN amount.........0.03-0.19 inch. 
Chance of thunder...11 percent. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max temperature.....68-73. 
Min humidity........45-50 percent. 
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
Hours of Sun........11. 
Chance of thunder...0 percent. 

$$
Baraga-Marquette-
Including the cities of L'Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette
602 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers through mid 
                    afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms. Rain 
                    showers likely late. Chance of precipitation 70 
                    percent. 
Max temperature.....56-61. 
   24 hr trend......29 degrees cooler. 
Min humidity........79-84 percent. 
   24 hr trend......25 percent wetter. 
20-foot winds.......North 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid 
                    afternoon. 
PCPN amount.........0.07-0.37 inch. 
Hours of Sun........1. 
Chance of thunder...24 percent. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers through 
                    midnight. A slight chance of thunderstorms. 
                    Rain showers likely late. Chance of 
                    precipitation 70 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 50. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
Max humidity........97-100 percent. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. 
PCPN amount.........0.07-0.23 inch. 
Chance of thunder...13 percent. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny. 
Max temperature.....66-71. 
Min humidity........48-53 percent. 
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 
                    mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
Hours of Sun........11. 
Chance of thunder...2 percent. 

$$
Iron-Dickinson-
Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain
502 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers through mid 
                    afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms. Rain 
                    showers likely late. Chance of precipitation 70 
                    percent. 
Max temperature.....60-65. 
   24 hr trend......26 degrees cooler. 
Min humidity........78-83 percent. 
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter. 
20-foot winds.......North 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid 
                    afternoon. 
PCPN amount.........0.06-0.51 inch. 
Hours of Sun........1. 
Chance of thunder...34 percent. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms 
                    through midnight. A chance of rain showers. 
                    Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 51. 
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. 
Max humidity........96-100 percent. 
   24 hr trend......Unchanged. 
20-foot winds.......North 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. 
PCPN amount.........0.06-0.24 inch. 
Chance of thunder...19 percent. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny. 
Max temperature.....Around 70. 
Min humidity........47-52 percent. 
20-foot winds.......North 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20 
                    mph. 
PCPN amount.........None. 
Hours of Sun........11. 
Chance of thunder...2 percent. 

EXTENDED FORECAST For the U.P.

$$

.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of rain showers. Lows
around 45 inland to around 55 at the shore. Highs 72 to 77. Variable
winds 5 mph or less. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Lows
around 54 inland to around 60 at the shore. Highs 72 to 77. Variable
winds 5 mph or less. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 52 inland to around 58 at the
shore. Highs 75 to 80. Variable winds 5 mph or less. 
.MONDAY...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows around 52 inland to around 59 at the shore. Highs 77 to 82. 
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation
40 percent. Lows 56 to 61 inland to around 63 at the shore. Highs
79 to 84. 

.Outlook for Wed Jul 23 through Tue Jul 29...expect above normal
temperatures and near normal precipitation.