
A series of cold fronts from North Pacific storms will bring periods of gusty winds, low elevation rainfall, and high elevation snow to the Pacific Northwest this weekend into next week. Heavy to excessive rainfall may produce areas of flooding over southern Texas this weekend. Read More >
Subject: GFS EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_GFS_20261106_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 11/06 12Z 0.25 2406 75 20 7 0.00
Fri 11/06 15Z 0.12 2007 72 43 7 0.00
Fri 11/06 18Z 0.15 2204 79 60 7 0.00
Fri 11/06 21Z 0.08 1900 80 60 7 0.00
Sat 11/07 00Z 0.15 0604 83 58 7 0.00
Sat 11/07 03Z 0.17 0506 84 57 7 0.00
Sat 11/07 06Z 0.14 0605 85 70 7 0.00
Sat 11/07 09Z 0.14 0804 90 74 6 0.00
Sat 11/07 12Z 0.17 1006 94 90 6 0.01
Sat 11/07 15Z 0.19 1207 97 95 6 0.04
Sat 11/07 18Z 0.11 1204 99 96 5 0.04
Sat 11/07 21Z 0.05 1000 100 97 4 0.08
Sun 11/08 00Z 0.08 3204 100 96 4 0.09
Sun 11/08 03Z 0.12 3310 99 97 3 0.06
Sun 11/08 06Z 0.17 3316 99 94 2 0.06
Sun 11/08 09Z 0.21 3320 99 94 1 0.04
Sun 11/08 12Z 0.28 3222 99 95 0 0.01
Sun 11/08 15Z 0.34 3220 99 82 0 0.00
Sun 11/08 18Z 0.52 2918 98 9 0 0.00
Sun 11/08 21Z 0.62 2717 85 19 0 0.00
Mon 11/09 00Z 0.74 2621 68 34 1 0.00
Mon 11/09 03Z 0.99 2625 78 70 0 0.00
Mon 11/09 06Z 1.00 2626 88 28 0 0.00
Mon 11/09 09Z 1.01 2523 88 85 0 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.43 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1