Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Northern_Greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20250323_0600 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes Northern_Greens are orthogonal to 290 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Northern_Greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Sun 03/23 06Z 3.61 3024 91 11 -17 0.00 Sun 03/23 07Z 3.20 3028 89 7 -17 0.00 Sun 03/23 08Z 2.93 3129 88 5 -18 0.00 Sun 03/23 09Z 1.82 3130 85 6 -18 0.00 Sun 03/23 10Z 1.09 3130 79 8 -17 0.00 Sun 03/23 11Z 0.86 3129 76 9 -17 0.00 Sun 03/23 12Z 0.70 3227 72 8 -17 0.00 Sun 03/23 13Z 0.63 3226 68 6 -16 0.00 Sun 03/23 14Z 0.61 3224 65 5 -16 0.00 Sun 03/23 15Z 0.61 3222 61 5 -16 0.00 Sun 03/23 16Z 0.67 3120 57 5 -16 0.00 Sun 03/23 17Z 0.74 3118 53 6 -15 0.00 Sun 03/23 18Z 0.67 3116 47 8 -14 0.00 Sun 03/23 19Z 0.60 3014 42 10 -14 0.00 Sun 03/23 20Z 0.69 2915 41 11 -13 0.00 Sun 03/23 21Z 0.63 2816 39 11 -12 0.00 Sun 03/23 22Z 0.55 2916 37 10 -11 0.00 Sun 03/23 23Z 0.53 2917 37 9 -11 0.00 Mon 03/24 00Z 0.36 2914 34 8 -9 0.00 Mon 03/24 01Z 0.26 3012 30 7 -7 0.00 Mon 03/24 02Z 0.22 2910 30 9 -7 0.00 Mon 03/24 03Z 0.15 2807 28 12 -6 0.00 Mon 03/24 04Z 0.11 2507 29 16 -6 0.00 Mon 03/24 05Z 0.06 2208 29 20 -6 0.00 Mon 03/24 06Z 0.02 1909 26 22 -4 0.00 Mon 03/24 07Z 0.04 1913 25 20 -4 0.00 Mon 03/24 08Z 0.07 1819 24 25 -3 0.00 Mon 03/24 09Z 0.10 1824 25 51 -3 0.00 Mon 03/24 10Z 0.15 1828 35 89 -3 0.00 Mon 03/24 11Z 0.20 1732 65 96 -2 0.00 Mon 03/24 12Z 0.22 1735 85 98 -3 0.01 Mon 03/24 13Z 0.25 1740 88 96 -3 0.03 Mon 03/24 14Z 0.21 1840 89 84 -3 0.03 Mon 03/24 15Z 0.16 1837 90 42 -3 0.01 Mon 03/24 16Z 0.12 1833 92 25 -3 0.01 Mon 03/24 17Z 0.13 1830 94 11 -3 0.01 Mon 03/24 18Z 0.10 1927 95 11 -3 0.01 Mon 03/24 19Z 0.10 1824 95 9 -2 0.01 Mon 03/24 20Z 0.06 1921 95 10 -2 0.01 Mon 03/24 21Z 0.03 1919 95 10 -2 0.01 Mon 03/24 22Z 0.04 2015 95 7 -2 0.01 Mon 03/24 23Z 0.06 2112 94 17 -3 0.00 Tue 03/25 00Z 0.06 2109 92 17 -2 0.00 Tue 03/25 01Z 0.11 2209 92 68 -3 0.00 Tue 03/25 02Z 0.21 2311 97 91 -3 0.01 Tue 03/25 03Z 0.40 2514 93 92 -4 0.06 Tue 03/25 04Z 0.54 2416 88 81 -4 0.01 Tue 03/25 05Z 0.51 2318 92 83 -5 0.00 Tue 03/25 06Z 0.56 2418 98 87 -6 0.01 Tue 03/25 07Z 0.77 2419 89 85 -7 0.01 Tue 03/25 08Z 0.86 2421 92 84 -7 0.00 Tue 03/25 09Z 0.80 2422 93 83 -8 0.00 Tue 03/25 10Z 0.65 2421 93 83 -7 0.01 Tue 03/25 11Z 0.76 2422 93 84 -8 0.00 Tue 03/25 12Z 0.82 2522 93 83 -8 0.00 Tue 03/25 13Z 0.92 2520 94 81 -8 0.00 Tue 03/25 14Z 1.00 2418 94 81 -8 0.00 Tue 03/25 15Z 0.95 2417 95 84 -8 0.00 Tue 03/25 16Z 1.00 2417 95 84 -7 0.01 Tue 03/25 17Z 0.80 2417 95 83 -7 0.01 Run total areal avg QPF for the Northern_Greens is: 0.28 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1