
Significant heat is expected to build today and Friday. Hot temperatures and high humidity will allow heat index values to reach into the lower to mid 90s this afternoon and again Friday afternoon in the Champlain Valley and Connecticut River Valley. Heat index values elsewhere will be in the upper 80s to low 90s. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Northern_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260612_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Northern_Greens are orthogonal to 290 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Northern_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 06/12 12Z 0.13 2405 93 67 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 13Z 0.10 2305 92 67 16 0.00
Fri 06/12 14Z 0.06 2105 88 59 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 15Z 0.03 2005 87 51 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 16Z 0.18 2205 87 50 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 17Z 0.75 2407 86 40 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 18Z 1.10 2508 84 39 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 19Z 1.06 2607 79 24 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 20Z 1.08 2607 81 45 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 21Z 0.74 2611 89 82 18 0.03
Fri 06/12 22Z 0.35 2512 72 63 18 0.32
Fri 06/12 23Z 0.52 2513 65 11 18 0.05
Sat 06/13 00Z 0.82 2518 74 9 17 0.00
Sat 06/13 01Z 1.03 2523 89 20 16 0.00
Sat 06/13 02Z 1.04 2727 79 20 15 0.03
Sat 06/13 03Z 1.17 2829 78 11 13 0.01
Sat 06/13 04Z 1.13 2929 73 10 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 05Z 0.93 2928 81 14 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 06Z 0.82 3027 82 17 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 07Z 0.67 3025 80 12 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 08Z 0.58 3022 77 14 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 09Z 0.55 3022 78 13 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 10Z 0.53 3022 80 12 11 0.00
Sat 06/13 11Z 0.49 3021 74 13 11 0.00
Sat 06/13 12Z 0.48 3020 70 15 11 0.00
Sat 06/13 13Z 0.52 3019 72 15 11 0.00
Sat 06/13 14Z 0.53 3017 72 14 11 0.00
Sat 06/13 15Z 0.62 2916 74 15 11 0.00
Sat 06/13 16Z 0.69 2914 79 15 11 0.00
Sat 06/13 17Z 1.09 2713 85 14 11 0.00
Sat 06/13 18Z 1.57 2612 90 12 11 0.00
Sat 06/13 19Z 1.86 2613 90 14 11 0.00
Sat 06/13 20Z 4.01 2614 83 17 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 21Z 3.08 2714 76 15 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 22Z 1.91 2715 71 18 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 23Z 1.25 2715 69 26 13 0.00
Sun 06/14 00Z 1.77 2718 69 43 12 0.00
Sun 06/14 01Z 2.19 2820 73 77 12 0.00
Sun 06/14 02Z 0.88 2716 65 77 13 0.00
Sun 06/14 03Z 0.62 2616 59 66 13 0.00
Sun 06/14 04Z 0.65 2518 62 55 13 0.00
Sun 06/14 05Z 0.66 2520 63 57 13 0.00
Sun 06/14 06Z 0.62 2422 61 46 13 0.00
Sun 06/14 07Z 0.70 2427 50 69 14 0.00
Sun 06/14 08Z 1.27 2431 69 67 13 0.00
Sun 06/14 09Z 1.12 2435 77 55 12 0.01
Sun 06/14 10Z 1.27 2435 77 61 12 0.01
Sun 06/14 11Z 1.11 2532 77 69 13 0.00
Sun 06/14 12Z 0.85 2527 79 71 13 0.00
Sun 06/14 13Z 0.66 2424 75 53 14 0.00
Sun 06/14 14Z 0.59 2423 74 48 14 0.00
Sun 06/14 15Z 0.53 2321 72 39 14 0.00
Sun 06/14 16Z 0.44 2119 74 34 14 0.00
Sun 06/14 17Z 0.87 2119 75 37 14 0.00
Sun 06/14 18Z 0.46 2120 75 44 14 0.00
Sun 06/14 19Z 0.36 2120 74 41 15 0.00
Sun 06/14 20Z 0.22 2021 65 35 15 0.00
Sun 06/14 21Z 0.13 2023 62 26 15 0.00
Sun 06/14 22Z 0.11 1922 66 63 15 0.01
Sun 06/14 23Z 0.11 1928 80 77 15 0.04
Run total areal avg QPF for the Northern_Greens is: 0.51 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1