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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Northern_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260402_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Northern_Greens are orthogonal to 290 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Northern_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 04/02 18Z 0.14 1508 89 46 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 19Z 0.22 1511 89 56 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 20Z 0.24 1513 90 73 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 21Z 0.27 1514 90 86 0 0.00
Thu 04/02 22Z 0.28 1517 93 95 0 0.00
Thu 04/02 23Z 0.29 1521 93 99 0 0.00
Fri 04/03 00Z 0.25 1624 96 99 0 0.01
Fri 04/03 02Z 0.22 1728 96 97 2 0.06
Fri 04/03 03Z 0.20 1732 96 96 2 0.04
Fri 04/03 04Z 0.16 1835 96 96 3 0.03
Fri 04/03 05Z 0.11 1838 96 92 5 0.08
Fri 04/03 06Z 0.05 1938 96 82 7 0.07
Fri 04/03 07Z 0.04 2039 96 75 9 0.03
Fri 04/03 08Z 0.07 2039 95 66 10 0.03
Fri 04/03 09Z 0.09 2041 94 78 11 0.03
Fri 04/03 10Z 0.12 2145 93 87 11 0.02
Fri 04/03 11Z 0.16 2145 91 86 12 0.03
Fri 04/03 12Z 0.24 2245 94 85 11 0.02
Fri 04/03 13Z 0.28 2241 94 97 11 0.01
Fri 04/03 14Z 0.32 2242 97 93 10 0.02
Fri 04/03 15Z 0.39 2341 93 83 11 0.05
Fri 04/03 16Z 0.45 2341 92 77 11 0.05
Fri 04/03 17Z 0.52 2440 96 91 11 0.01
Fri 04/03 18Z 0.59 2441 94 67 11 0.03
Fri 04/03 19Z 0.67 2540 94 69 10 0.01
Fri 04/03 20Z 0.72 2539 94 37 10 0.00
Fri 04/03 21Z 0.86 2540 94 39 10 0.00
Fri 04/03 22Z 0.92 2541 92 30 10 0.00
Fri 04/03 23Z 0.95 2542 93 24 10 0.00
Sat 04/04 00Z 1.04 2542 96 12 9 0.00
Sat 04/04 01Z 1.26 2542 96 10 8 0.01
Sat 04/04 02Z 1.32 2641 90 9 7 0.02
Sat 04/04 03Z 1.22 2737 93 8 6 0.02
Sat 04/04 04Z 0.86 2734 93 9 4 0.02
Sat 04/04 05Z 0.74 2834 91 17 3 0.04
Sat 04/04 06Z 0.66 2831 92 23 2 0.02
Sat 04/04 07Z 0.57 2929 93 15 1 0.02
Sat 04/04 08Z 0.46 3124 94 19 0 0.02
Sat 04/04 09Z 0.33 3219 95 26 0 0.02
Sat 04/04 10Z 0.18 3415 95 30 0 0.02
Sat 04/04 11Z 0.08 0013 96 29 0 0.02
Sat 04/04 12Z 0.07 0211 96 29 0 0.01
Sat 04/04 13Z 0.11 0411 94 27 0 0.01
Sat 04/04 14Z 0.17 0611 91 25 0 0.00
Sat 04/04 15Z 0.20 0811 91 25 0 0.00
Sat 04/04 16Z 0.22 1110 93 26 0 0.00
Sat 04/04 17Z 0.25 1212 93 30 1 0.00
Sat 04/04 18Z 0.29 1414 92 40 1 0.00
Sat 04/04 19Z 0.31 1517 92 50 1 0.00
Sat 04/04 20Z 0.38 1519 90 52 1 0.00
Sat 04/04 21Z 0.45 1521 88 37 1 0.00
Sat 04/04 22Z 0.41 1625 83 49 2 0.00
Sat 04/04 23Z 0.30 1629 77 98 5 0.00
Sun 04/05 00Z 0.23 1733 81 99 6 0.00
Sun 04/05 01Z 0.21 1736 82 95 7 0.01
Sun 04/05 02Z 0.18 1839 82 92 8 0.01
Sun 04/05 03Z 0.17 1840 83 87 9 0.00
Sun 04/05 04Z 0.14 1843 87 82 9 0.00
Sun 04/05 05Z 0.13 1845 90 79 10 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Northern_Greens is: 0.90 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1