
Extremely critical fire weather conditions are expected to develop across the Great Basin and Southwest today, and exceptionally dry and windy conditions will promote rapid wildfire spread through the weekend. Scattered severe thunderstorms and heavy rain are possible across parts of the Ozark Plateau into lower Ohio Valley and parts of the northern Rockies into adjacent Great Plains. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Northern_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260627_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Northern_Greens are orthogonal to 290 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Northern_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 06/27 12Z 0.29 3008 95 57 9 0.00
Sat 06/27 13Z 0.20 3006 93 50 9 0.00
Sat 06/27 14Z 0.17 3005 90 50 10 0.00
Sat 06/27 15Z 0.17 3005 89 52 10 0.00
Sat 06/27 16Z 0.17 3004 88 53 10 0.00
Sat 06/27 17Z 0.18 3103 87 53 10 0.00
Sat 06/27 18Z 0.21 3103 85 54 10 0.01
Sat 06/27 19Z 0.18 3102 84 53 11 0.01
Sat 06/27 20Z 0.16 3002 83 56 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 21Z 0.20 3102 83 63 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 22Z 0.17 3103 81 69 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 23Z 0.07 3401 79 66 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 00Z 0.06 3501 79 66 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 01Z 0.05 3300 78 62 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 02Z 0.04 3301 77 57 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 03Z 0.05 3401 75 58 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 04Z 0.05 3401 75 58 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 05Z 0.08 3302 75 61 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 06Z 0.10 3404 71 58 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 07Z 0.09 3505 67 53 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 08Z 0.11 3507 64 47 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 09Z 0.08 0008 67 35 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 10Z 0.09 0009 69 26 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 11Z 0.10 0009 68 22 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 12Z 0.10 0009 68 20 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 13Z 0.09 0008 69 20 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 14Z 0.12 3507 71 20 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 15Z 0.17 3505 76 20 10 0.00
Sun 06/28 16Z 0.27 3404 80 19 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 17Z 0.38 3505 82 16 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 18Z 0.52 3405 83 15 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 19Z 0.58 3305 83 13 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 20Z 0.59 3306 79 11 12 0.00
Sun 06/28 21Z 0.44 3306 76 9 12 0.00
Sun 06/28 22Z 0.24 3306 74 8 12 0.00
Sun 06/28 23Z 0.19 3407 71 8 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 00Z 0.17 3508 69 11 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 01Z 0.14 3509 69 13 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 02Z 0.08 0010 69 14 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 03Z 0.06 0009 68 14 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 04Z 0.05 0108 66 16 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 05Z 0.06 0007 63 19 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 06Z 0.07 0007 60 17 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 07Z 0.07 0008 61 18 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 08Z 0.07 0009 64 21 11 0.00
Mon 06/29 09Z 0.07 0110 69 22 11 0.00
Mon 06/29 10Z 0.05 0109 70 20 11 0.00
Mon 06/29 11Z 0.06 0108 72 18 11 0.00
Mon 06/29 12Z 0.09 0008 78 19 11 0.00
Mon 06/29 13Z 0.13 3507 83 23 11 0.00
Mon 06/29 14Z 0.21 3405 86 24 11 0.00
Mon 06/29 15Z 0.30 3304 87 27 11 0.00
Mon 06/29 16Z 0.32 3203 87 29 11 0.01
Mon 06/29 17Z 0.32 3203 86 27 12 0.02
Mon 06/29 18Z 0.43 3103 84 23 12 0.01
Mon 06/29 19Z 0.59 3003 82 19 12 0.01
Mon 06/29 20Z 0.40 2902 80 16 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 21Z 0.56 2803 79 14 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 22Z 0.34 2703 76 11 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 23Z 0.24 2604 70 8 13 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Northern_Greens is: 0.07 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1