
Areas of light freezing rain and patchy freezing drizzle are expected tonight across portions of north central and northeastern Vermont. Up to a tenth of an inch of ice accumulation is possible which may lead to slick travel. Precipitation will change to areas of light rain or rain showers after 700 am Saturday as temperatures climb above freezing. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Northern_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260307_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Northern_Greens are orthogonal to 290 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Northern_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 03/07 06Z 0.08 2028 91 34 4 0.00
Sat 03/07 07Z 0.08 2031 88 40 5 0.00
Sat 03/07 08Z 0.10 2134 76 50 6 0.00
Sat 03/07 09Z 0.12 2135 75 95 8 0.00
Sat 03/07 10Z 0.13 2137 77 98 9 0.01
Sat 03/07 11Z 0.14 2139 80 87 10 0.01
Sat 03/07 12Z 0.18 2140 89 90 10 0.01
Sat 03/07 14Z 0.34 2341 97 97 9 0.08
Sat 03/07 15Z 0.38 2336 98 96 9 0.17
Sat 03/07 16Z 0.42 2433 97 91 9 0.11
Sat 03/07 17Z 0.45 2435 97 80 10 0.05
Sat 03/07 18Z 0.45 2436 93 91 11 0.01
Sat 03/07 19Z 0.44 2337 88 92 11 0.01
Sat 03/07 20Z 0.44 2340 92 83 11 0.01
Sat 03/07 21Z 0.43 2340 91 78 11 0.00
Sat 03/07 22Z 0.47 2342 89 25 11 0.00
Sat 03/07 23Z 0.55 2444 84 81 11 0.00
Sun 03/08 00Z 0.50 2342 78 86 12 0.00
Sun 03/08 01Z 0.58 2346 89 91 11 0.00
Sun 03/08 02Z 0.64 2446 96 94 10 0.01
Sun 03/08 03Z 0.78 2445 95 54 9 0.06
Sun 03/08 04Z 0.80 2542 95 49 9 0.05
Sun 03/08 05Z 0.69 2537 96 80 9 0.01
Sun 03/08 06Z 0.67 2536 96 80 9 0.02
Sun 03/08 07Z 0.62 2532 91 74 9 0.03
Sun 03/08 08Z 0.63 2533 90 73 9 0.02
Sun 03/08 09Z 0.70 2437 94 77 8 0.03
Sun 03/08 10Z 0.81 2436 96 11 6 0.03
Sun 03/08 11Z 1.14 2439 92 10 4 0.01
Sun 03/08 12Z 1.37 2539 94 11 2 0.01
Sun 03/08 13Z 1.23 2639 94 5 0 0.01
Sun 03/08 14Z 1.12 2637 94 3 0 0.02
Sun 03/08 15Z 1.11 2734 94 3 -1 0.01
Sun 03/08 16Z 1.10 2733 96 5 -2 0.01
Sun 03/08 17Z 1.14 2731 97 5 -3 0.01
Sun 03/08 18Z 0.98 2728 96 5 -3 0.01
Sun 03/08 19Z 0.72 2723 96 5 -3 0.01
Sun 03/08 20Z 0.63 2623 94 8 -2 0.00
Sun 03/08 21Z 0.70 2626 94 12 -2 0.00
Sun 03/08 22Z 0.68 2529 80 21 -1 0.00
Sun 03/08 23Z 0.63 2532 62 87 0 0.00
Mon 03/09 00Z 0.63 2535 60 83 0 0.00
Mon 03/09 01Z 0.94 2541 72 34 -2 0.00
Mon 03/09 02Z 1.18 2641 88 12 -3 0.00
Mon 03/09 03Z 1.14 2739 91 10 -3 0.00
Mon 03/09 04Z 1.03 2737 84 19 -2 0.00
Mon 03/09 05Z 0.84 2734 73 30 -1 0.00
Mon 03/09 06Z 0.81 2732 69 37 0 0.00
Mon 03/09 07Z 0.80 2731 66 44 0 0.00
Mon 03/09 08Z 0.74 2729 60 52 0 0.00
Mon 03/09 09Z 0.66 2629 58 61 1 0.00
Mon 03/09 10Z 0.56 2529 62 70 2 0.00
Mon 03/09 11Z 0.63 2532 72 84 2 0.00
Mon 03/09 12Z 0.58 2532 71 84 2 0.00
Mon 03/09 13Z 0.51 2433 67 78 4 0.00
Mon 03/09 14Z 0.46 2336 52 58 5 0.00
Mon 03/09 15Z 0.45 2340 48 32 6 0.00
Mon 03/09 16Z 0.50 2342 45 42 6 0.00
Mon 03/09 17Z 0.57 2341 45 51 7 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Northern_Greens is: 0.83 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1