Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Northern_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260528_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Northern_Greens are orthogonal to 290 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Northern_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 05/28 12Z 0.23 3513 94 76 4 0.00
Thu 05/28 13Z 0.33 3416 95 78 4 0.00
Thu 05/28 14Z 0.45 3316 95 77 3 0.00
Thu 05/28 15Z 0.62 3317 94 69 3 0.00
Thu 05/28 16Z 0.88 3318 94 68 3 0.01
Thu 05/28 17Z 1.04 3318 95 69 3 0.01
Thu 05/28 18Z 0.91 3319 96 70 3 0.01
Thu 05/28 19Z 0.88 3319 94 71 3 0.01
Thu 05/28 20Z 0.67 3216 98 74 4 0.03
Thu 05/28 21Z 0.84 3321 93 57 4 0.09
Thu 05/28 22Z 0.71 3423 96 66 4 0.02
Thu 05/28 23Z 0.58 3524 93 60 3 0.02
Fri 05/29 00Z 0.48 3524 93 53 3 0.01
Fri 05/29 01Z 0.51 3524 91 54 3 0.00
Fri 05/29 02Z 0.51 3523 88 54 2 0.00
Fri 05/29 03Z 0.55 3422 92 41 2 0.00
Fri 05/29 04Z 0.58 3421 91 38 2 0.00
Fri 05/29 05Z 0.59 3420 90 41 2 0.00
Fri 05/29 06Z 0.74 3219 94 55 2 0.00
Fri 05/29 07Z 0.87 3120 96 81 2 0.01
Fri 05/29 08Z 0.80 3222 90 93 2 0.01
Fri 05/29 09Z 0.74 3224 77 91 2 0.00
Fri 05/29 10Z 0.72 3324 72 84 1 0.00
Fri 05/29 11Z 0.72 3323 72 89 1 0.00
Fri 05/29 12Z 0.74 3220 71 83 1 0.00
Fri 05/29 13Z 0.79 3217 78 78 1 0.00
Fri 05/29 14Z 1.42 3114 82 77 1 0.00
Fri 05/29 15Z 3.10 3012 79 79 2 0.00
Fri 05/29 16Z 4.40 2909 76 77 3 0.00
Fri 05/29 17Z 4.06 2708 70 80 4 0.00
Fri 05/29 18Z 3.73 2507 68 86 5 0.00
Fri 05/29 19Z 1.51 2307 71 97 5 0.00
Fri 05/29 20Z 0.75 2312 80 94 5 0.02
Fri 05/29 21Z 0.34 2213 80 92 5 0.02
Fri 05/29 22Z 0.22 2116 82 93 5 0.01
Fri 05/29 23Z 0.22 2118 94 93 5 0.06
Sat 05/30 00Z 0.36 2117 98 99 5 0.16
Sat 05/30 01Z 0.86 2713 98 98 3 0.31
Sat 05/30 02Z 0.73 2920 98 99 2 0.17
Sat 05/30 03Z 0.59 2917 90 87 0 0.08
Sat 05/30 04Z 0.44 3014 92 83 0 0.06
Sat 05/30 05Z 0.18 3308 93 89 0 0.08
Sat 05/30 06Z 0.12 0209 97 94 0 0.12
Sat 05/30 07Z 0.36 0620 99 93 0 0.13
Sat 05/30 08Z 0.83 0729 98 93 0 0.11
Sat 05/30 09Z 0.98 0832 97 92 0 0.07
Sat 05/30 10Z 0.77 0729 94 89 0 0.04
Sat 05/30 11Z 0.53 0626 88 88 0 0.02
Sat 05/30 12Z 0.39 0522 80 80 0 0.00
Sat 05/30 13Z 0.33 0519 75 65 0 0.00
Sat 05/30 14Z 0.36 0516 84 57 -1 0.00
Sat 05/30 15Z 0.49 0514 89 57 -1 0.00
Sat 05/30 16Z 0.44 0415 89 59 -1 0.00
Sat 05/30 17Z 0.98 0316 86 68 -1 0.00
Sat 05/30 18Z 1.98 0316 83 76 0 0.00
Sat 05/30 19Z 1.79 0216 78 84 0 0.00
Sat 05/30 20Z 0.74 0215 74 84 0 0.00
Sat 05/30 21Z 0.27 0116 72 82 1 0.00
Sat 05/30 22Z 0.32 0116 71 83 1 0.00
Sat 05/30 23Z 0.27 0216 65 80 1 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Northern_Greens is: 1.69 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1