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Winter Weather Advisory in Effect for Eastern Vermont 7 PM Tonight Through 10 AM Friday

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 7 PM tonight to 10 AM Friday for portions of eastern Vermont. Freezing rain is expected in these areas, especially above 1000 feet elevation. Slick travel conditions are possible, so be sure to slow down and use caution if traveling this evening into Friday morning. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Northern_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260402_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Northern_Greens are orthogonal to 290 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Northern_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 04/02 18Z 0.14 1508  89  46  -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 19Z 0.22 1511  89  56  -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 20Z 0.24 1513  90  73  -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 21Z 0.27 1514  90  86   0 0.00
Thu 04/02 22Z 0.28 1517  93  95   0 0.00
Thu 04/02 23Z 0.29 1521  93  99   0 0.00
Fri 04/03 00Z 0.25 1624  96  99   0 0.01
Fri 04/03 02Z 0.22 1728  96  97   2 0.06
Fri 04/03 03Z 0.20 1732  96  96   2 0.04
Fri 04/03 04Z 0.16 1835  96  96   3 0.03
Fri 04/03 05Z 0.11 1838  96  92   5 0.08
Fri 04/03 06Z 0.05 1938  96  82   7 0.07
Fri 04/03 07Z 0.04 2039  96  75   9 0.03
Fri 04/03 08Z 0.07 2039  95  66  10 0.03
Fri 04/03 09Z 0.09 2041  94  78  11 0.03
Fri 04/03 10Z 0.12 2145  93  87  11 0.02
Fri 04/03 11Z 0.16 2145  91  86  12 0.03
Fri 04/03 12Z 0.24 2245  94  85  11 0.02
Fri 04/03 13Z 0.28 2241  94  97  11 0.01
Fri 04/03 14Z 0.32 2242  97  93  10 0.02
Fri 04/03 15Z 0.39 2341  93  83  11 0.05
Fri 04/03 16Z 0.45 2341  92  77  11 0.05
Fri 04/03 17Z 0.52 2440  96  91  11 0.01
Fri 04/03 18Z 0.59 2441  94  67  11 0.03
Fri 04/03 19Z 0.67 2540  94  69  10 0.01
Fri 04/03 20Z 0.72 2539  94  37  10 0.00
Fri 04/03 21Z 0.86 2540  94  39  10 0.00
Fri 04/03 22Z 0.92 2541  92  30  10 0.00
Fri 04/03 23Z 0.95 2542  93  24  10 0.00
Sat 04/04 00Z 1.04 2542  96  12   9 0.00
Sat 04/04 01Z 1.26 2542  96  10   8 0.01
Sat 04/04 02Z 1.32 2641  90   9   7 0.02
Sat 04/04 03Z 1.22 2737  93   8   6 0.02
Sat 04/04 04Z 0.86 2734  93   9   4 0.02
Sat 04/04 05Z 0.74 2834  91  17   3 0.04
Sat 04/04 06Z 0.66 2831  92  23   2 0.02
Sat 04/04 07Z 0.57 2929  93  15   1 0.02
Sat 04/04 08Z 0.46 3124  94  19   0 0.02
Sat 04/04 09Z 0.33 3219  95  26   0 0.02
Sat 04/04 10Z 0.18 3415  95  30   0 0.02
Sat 04/04 11Z 0.08 0013  96  29   0 0.02
Sat 04/04 12Z 0.07 0211  96  29   0 0.01
Sat 04/04 13Z 0.11 0411  94  27   0 0.01
Sat 04/04 14Z 0.17 0611  91  25   0 0.00
Sat 04/04 15Z 0.20 0811  91  25   0 0.00
Sat 04/04 16Z 0.22 1110  93  26   0 0.00
Sat 04/04 17Z 0.25 1212  93  30   1 0.00
Sat 04/04 18Z 0.29 1414  92  40   1 0.00
Sat 04/04 19Z 0.31 1517  92  50   1 0.00
Sat 04/04 20Z 0.38 1519  90  52   1 0.00
Sat 04/04 21Z 0.45 1521  88  37   1 0.00
Sat 04/04 22Z 0.41 1625  83  49   2 0.00
Sat 04/04 23Z 0.30 1629  77  98   5 0.00
Sun 04/05 00Z 0.23 1733  81  99   6 0.00
Sun 04/05 01Z 0.21 1736  82  95   7 0.01
Sun 04/05 02Z 0.18 1839  82  92   8 0.01
Sun 04/05 03Z 0.17 1840  83  87   9 0.00
Sun 04/05 04Z 0.14 1843  87  82   9 0.00
Sun 04/05 05Z 0.13 1845  90  79  10 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the Northern_Greens is: 0.90 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1