Storm surge flooding and tropical storm conditions are expected in the Outer Banks beginning late Wednesday. Tropical Storm and Storm Surge Warnings are in effect. Tropical storm conditions are possible along the eastern shore of Virginia Thursday. Hurricane Erin will continue to produce life-threatening surf and rip currents along much of the east coast of the U.S. this week. Read More >
FZUS51 KBUF 200253
NSHBUF
Experimental Tabular Nearshore Marine Forecast
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1053 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
LEZ020-200800-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
1053 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
.Overnight...
Weather.............Showers likely.
Sfc winds...........Southeast 5 to 10 knots.
100-ft winds........Southeast 10 to 15 knots.
.WEDNESDAY...
Weather.............Cloudy with chance of showers, then mostly
cloudy in the late morning and afternoon.
Sfc winds...........Southeast 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast in
the late morning and afternoon.
100-ft winds........Northeast 10 to 15 knots.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........Northeast 5 to 10 knots.
100-ft winds........Northeast 10 to 15 knots.
.THURSDAY...
Weather.............Partly sunny.
Sfc winds...........Northeast 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Northeast 15 to 20 knots.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly clear.
Sfc winds...........Northeast 5 to 10 knots early in the evening
becoming light and variable.
100-ft winds........Northeast 10 to 15 knots early in the evening
becoming light and variable.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.FRIDAY...Light and variable winds.
.SATURDAY...Chance of showers. Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots.
.SUNDAY...Chance of showers. Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots.
$$
LOZ030-200800-
Lower Niagara River-
1053 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
.Overnight...
Weather.............Showers in the late evening and early morning.
showers likely after midnight.
Sfc winds...........Southeast 5 to 10 knots.
100-ft winds........Southeast 10 to 15 knots.
.WEDNESDAY...
Weather.............Cloudy with chance of showers, then mostly
cloudy in the late morning and afternoon.
Sfc winds...........Northeast 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Northeast 15 to 20 knots.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........Northeast 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Northeast 15 to 20 knots.
.THURSDAY...
Weather.............Partly sunny.
Sfc winds...........Northeast 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Northeast 15 to 20 knots.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly clear.
Sfc winds...........Northeast 5 to 10 knots early in the evening
becoming light and variable.
100-ft winds........Northeast 10 to 15 knots early in the evening
becoming light and variable.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.FRIDAY...Light and variable winds.
.SATURDAY...Chance of showers. Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots.
.SUNDAY...Chance of showers in the morning. West winds 5 to
10 knots.
$$
LEZ041-200800-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1053 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...
.Overnight...
Weather.............Showers likely. chance of thunderstorms.
Sfc winds...........South 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........South 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........2 feet or less.
.WEDNESDAY...
Weather.............Cloudy, then chance of waterspouts in the late
morning and afternoon. mostly cloudy.
Weather.............Cloudy with chance of showers, then mostly
cloudy in the late morning and afternoon.
Sfc winds...........South 5 to 10 knots becoming north 10 to 15
knots in the late morning and afternoon.
100-ft winds........North 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with chance of waterspouts.
mostly cloudy until early morning.
Weather.............Mostly cloudy. chance of showers. mostly
cloudy.
Sfc winds...........Northeast 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........Northeast 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 5 feet in the late evening and
overnight.
.THURSDAY...
Weather.............Partly sunny.
Sfc winds...........Northeast 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........Northeast 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 5 feet early in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly clear.
Sfc winds...........East 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........East 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.FRIDAY...East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SATURDAY...Chance of showers. Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots.
Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY...Chance of showers. West winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves
2 to 4 feet.
$$
LEZ040-200800-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
1053 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...
.Overnight...
Weather.............Showers likely. chance of thunderstorms.
Sfc winds...........South 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........South 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........2 feet or less.
.WEDNESDAY...
Weather.............Cloudy early in the morning. mostly cloudy with
chance of waterspouts in the late morning and
afternoon. mostly cloudy.
Weather.............Cloudy. chance of showers until late afternoon.
mostly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........South 10 to 15 knots becoming north in the late
morning and afternoon.
100-ft winds........North 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with chance of waterspouts, then
mostly cloudy in the late evening and
overnight.
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with chance of showers, then
mostly cloudy in the late evening and
overnight.
Sfc winds...........Northeast 10 to 15 knots increasing to 20 to 25
knots in the late evening and overnight.
100-ft winds........Northeast 15 to 20 knots increasing to 30 knots
in the late evening and overnight.
Sig waves...........3 to 5 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 6 feet.
.THURSDAY...
Weather.............Partly sunny.
Sfc winds...........Northeast 20 to 25 knots.
100-ft winds........Northeast to 30 knots.
Sig waves...........3 to 5 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 6 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly clear.
Sfc winds...........Northeast 15 to 20 knots becoming east 5 to 10
knots after midnight.
100-ft winds........Northeast 20 to 25 knots becoming east 10 to 15
knots after midnight.
Sig waves...........3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet in the
late evening and overnight.
Ocnl waves..........Around 6 feet early in the evening.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.FRIDAY...East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SATURDAY...Chance of showers. Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots.
Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY...Chance of showers. West winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves
2 to 4 feet.
$$
LOZ042-200800-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
1053 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
.Overnight...
Weather.............Showers in the late evening and early morning.
showers likely after midnight.
Sfc winds...........East 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........East 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 5 feet in the late evening and early
morning.
.WEDNESDAY...
Weather.............Cloudy with chance of showers, then mostly
cloudy in the late morning and afternoon.
Sfc winds...........East 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........East 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 5 feet early in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........East 20 to 25 knots.
100-ft winds........East to 30 knots.
Sig waves...........4 to 6 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 7 feet.
.THURSDAY...
Weather.............Partly sunny.
Sfc winds...........East 20 to 25 knots.
100-ft winds........East to 30 knots.
Sig waves...........4 to 6 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 7 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly clear.
Sfc winds...........East 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........East 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet in the
late evening and overnight.
Ocnl waves..........Around 6 feet early in the evening.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.FRIDAY...East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SATURDAY...Chance of showers. Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots.
Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY...Chance of showers. West winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves
2 to 4 feet.
$$
LOZ043-200800-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
1053 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
.Overnight...
Weather.............Showers. chance of thunderstorms.
Sfc winds...........Southeast 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Southeast 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 5 feet in the late evening and early
morning.
.WEDNESDAY...
Weather.............Cloudy with chance of showers, then cloudy in
the late morning and early afternoon. cloudy
with chance of showers.
Sfc winds...........East 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........East 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet early in
the afternoon.
Ocnl waves..........Around 5 feet early in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Cloudy with chance of showers, then mostly
cloudy in the late evening and overnight.
Sfc winds...........East 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........East 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........4 to 6 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 7 feet.
.THURSDAY...
Weather.............Partly sunny.
Sfc winds...........East 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........Northeast 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........4 to 6 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 7 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly clear.
Sfc winds...........Northeast 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Northeast 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet in the
late evening and overnight.
Ocnl waves..........Around 5 feet early in the evening.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.FRIDAY...East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SATURDAY...Chance of showers. South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves
1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY...Chance of showers. Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots.
Waves 1 to 3 feet.
$$
LOZ044-200800-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
1053 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
.Overnight...
Weather.............Showers.
Sfc winds...........Southeast 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Southeast 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...
Weather.............Cloudy with showers, then cloudy with chance of
showers in the late morning and afternoon.
Sfc winds...........Southeast 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........Southeast 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Cloudy with chance of showers, then mostly
cloudy in the late evening and overnight.
Sfc winds...........East 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........East 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.
.THURSDAY...
Weather.............Mostly sunny.
Sfc winds...........Northeast 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........Northeast 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly clear.
Sfc winds...........Northeast 10 to 15 knots becoming east 5 to 10
knots after midnight.
100-ft winds........Northeast 15 to 20 knots becoming east 10 to 15
knots after midnight.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.FRIDAY...East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SATURDAY...Chance of showers in the evening. showers likely
after midnight. South winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely in the morning, then chance of showers.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
$$
LOZ045-200800-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
1053 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
.Overnight...
Weather.............Showers.
Sfc winds...........Southeast 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Southeast 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...
Weather.............Cloudy with chance of showers.
Sfc winds...........Southeast 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........East 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........East 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........East 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.
.THURSDAY...
Weather.............Mostly sunny.
Sfc winds...........Northeast 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Northeast 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly clear.
Sfc winds...........Northeast 5 to 10 knots.
100-ft winds........Northeast 10 to 15 knots.
Sig waves...........2 feet or less.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.FRIDAY...North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SATURDAY...Chance of showers. South winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves
2 to 4 feet.
.SUNDAY...Chance of showers. Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots.
Waves 2 to 4 feet.
$$
Occasional waves will only be displayed when values meet or exceed 5 feet.
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