National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Dangerous Heat over the South-Central and Southwest U.S. Through Next Week

Dangerous heat persists across the Desert Southwest through this weekend and across the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley through at least the middle of next week. Numerous daily record high temperatures are expected through at least Tuesday for much of Texas and Oklahoma as well as portions of Louisiana, New Mexico, and Arizona. Read More >

 

 

FZUS51 KBUF 222053
NSHBUF

Experimental Tabular Nearshore Marine Forecast
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
453 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

LEZ020-230200-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
453 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026

.Tonight...
Weather.............Chance of thunderstorms. showers. chance of
                              thunderstorms.
Sfc winds...........South 5 to 10 knots.
100-ft winds........South 10 to 15 knots.

.SUNDAY...
Weather.............Partly sunny with chance of showers early in
                              the morning. showers likely in the late morning
                              and early afternoon, then showers with a chance
                              of thunderstorms.
Sfc winds...........West 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........West 15 to 20 knots.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and
                              thunderstorms, then mostly cloudy with showers
                              likely after midnight.
Sfc winds...........West 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........West 15 to 20 knots.

.MONDAY...
Weather.............Showers likely.
Sfc winds...........West 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........West 15 to 20 knots.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with showers likely. mostly
                              cloudy.
Sfc winds...........West 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........West 15 to 20 knots.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...West winds 5 to 10 knots.
.WEDNESDAY...Light and variable winds.
.THURSDAY...Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. chance of
showers. Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots.

$$

LOZ030-230200-
Lower Niagara River-
453 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026

.Tonight...
Weather.............Chance of thunderstorms. showers. chance of
                              thunderstorms.
Sfc winds...........Southeast 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest
                              after midnight.
100-ft winds........Southeast 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest
                              after midnight.

.SUNDAY...
Weather.............Partly sunny with chance of showers, then
                              mostly cloudy with showers likely with a chance
                              of thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
Sfc winds...........West 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........West 20 to 25 knots.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and
                              thunderstorms, then mostly cloudy in the late
                              evening and early morning. mostly cloudy with
                              showers likely.
Sfc winds...........West 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........West 15 to 20 knots.

.MONDAY...
Weather.............Showers likely.
Sfc winds...........West 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........West 20 to 25 knots.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with showers likely. mostly
                              cloudy until early morning, then mostly cloudy
                              with chance of showers.
Sfc winds...........West 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........West 15 to 20 knots.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Chance of showers in the morning. West winds 5 to
10 knots.
.WEDNESDAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots.
.THURSDAY...Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.
chance of showers. Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots.

$$

LEZ040-041-230200-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
453 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

.Tonight...
Weather.............Chance of waterspouts. mostly cloudy after
                              midnight.
Weather.............Showers with a chance of thunderstorms in the
                              evening. showers likely with a chance of
                              thunderstorms after midnight.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.

.SUNDAY...
Weather.............Chance of waterspouts.
Weather.............Showers likely. chance of thunderstorms.
Sfc winds...........West 20 to 25 knots.
100-ft winds........West to 30 knots.
Sig waves...........4 to 6 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 7 feet.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Chance of waterspouts.
Weather.............Chance of thunderstorms. showers.
Sfc winds...........West 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........West 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........4 to 6 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 7 feet.

.MONDAY...
Weather.............Chance of waterspouts.
Weather.............Showers.
Sfc winds...........West 20 to 25 knots.
100-ft winds........West to 30 knots.
Sig waves...........4 to 6 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 7 feet.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Chance of waterspouts.
Weather.............Showers until early morning. showers likely
                              after midnight.
Sfc winds...........West 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........West 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........4 to 6 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet after
                              midnight.
Ocnl waves..........Around 7 feet until early morning.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Chance of waterspouts. Showers likely in the morning.
chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. West winds 5 to
10 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
.THURSDAY...Chance of showers. Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots.
Waves 2 feet or less.

$$

LOZ042-230200-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
453 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.Tonight...
Weather.............Chance of thunderstorms. showers. chance of
                              thunderstorms.
Sfc winds...........East 5 to 10 knots becoming south 10 to 15
                              knots in the late evening and overnight.
100-ft winds........South 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.

.SUNDAY...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy. chance of waterspouts. mostly
                              cloudy.
Weather.............Partly sunny with chance of showers. mostly
                              cloudy. mostly cloudy with showers likely with
                              a chance of thunderstorms.
Sfc winds...........West 20 to 25 knots.
100-ft winds........West to 30 knots.
Sig waves...........3 to 5 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 7 feet.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy. chance of waterspouts. mostly
                              cloudy.
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with chance of thunderstorms.
                              mostly cloudy with chance of showers. mostly
                              cloudy.
Sfc winds...........West 20 to 25 knots.
100-ft winds........West to 30 knots.
Sig waves...........4 to 6 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 7 feet.

.MONDAY...
Weather.............Chance of waterspouts.
Weather.............Showers until late afternoon. showers likely
                              early in the afternoon.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 20 to 25 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest to 30 knots.
Sig waves...........4 to 6 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 8 feet.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy. chance of waterspouts. mostly
                              cloudy.
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with showers likely. mostly
                              cloudy until early morning. mostly cloudy with
                              chance of showers.
Sfc winds...........West 20 to 25 knots.
100-ft winds........West to 30 knots.
Sig waves...........4 to 6 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 8 feet.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Chance of waterspouts. Chance of showers. West winds
10 to 15 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
.THURSDAY...Chance of showers. South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves
2 feet or less.

$$

LOZ043-230200-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
453 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.Tonight...
Weather.............Showers with a chance of thunderstorms.
Sfc winds...........South 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........South 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.

.SUNDAY...
Weather.............Partly sunny. chance of waterspouts. mostly
                              cloudy.
Weather.............Partly sunny. chance of showers. mostly cloudy
                              with chance of thunderstorms.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 15 to 20 knots becoming west early in
                              the afternoon.
100-ft winds........Southwest 20 to 25 knots becoming west early in
                              the afternoon.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet in the late
                              morning and afternoon.
Ocnl waves..........Around 6 feet in the late morning and
                              afternoon.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Chance of waterspouts. mostly cloudy in the
                              late evening and early morning.
Weather.............Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms
                              early in the evening. mostly cloudy with chance
                              of showers in the late evening and early
                              morning, then showers likely.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........3 to 5 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 7 feet.

.MONDAY...
Weather.............Chance of waterspouts.
Weather.............Showers likely.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 20 to 25 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest to 30 knots.
Sig waves...........4 to 6 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 8 feet.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Chance of waterspouts. mostly cloudy in the
                              late evening and early morning.
Weather.............Showers likely early in the evening. mostly
                              cloudy with chance of showers in the late
                              evening and early morning, then showers likely.
Sfc winds...........West 20 to 25 knots.
100-ft winds........West to 30 knots.
Sig waves...........4 to 6 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 8 feet.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Chance of waterspouts. Showers likely. chance of
showers in the evening. West winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 3 to
5 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
.THURSDAY...Chance of showers. South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves
2 feet or less.

$$

LOZ044-230200-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
453 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.Tonight...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. chance of
                              thunderstorms. showers.
Sfc winds...........Southeast 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........Southeast 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.

.SUNDAY...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy. chance of waterspouts. mostly
                              cloudy.
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with showers likely. mostly
                              cloudy with chance of thunderstorms. mostly
                              cloudy with chance of showers.
Sfc winds...........South 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest in the
                              late morning and afternoon.
100-ft winds........Southwest 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet early in
                              the afternoon.
Ocnl waves..........Around 6 feet early in the afternoon.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Chance of waterspouts.
Weather.............Chance of thunderstorms. showers likely.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........4 to 6 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 7 feet.

.MONDAY...
Weather.............Chance of waterspouts.
Weather.............Showers likely early in the morning. showers in
                              the late morning and early afternoon, then
                              showers likely.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........4 to 6 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 8 feet.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Chance of waterspouts.
Weather.............Showers likely early in the evening. showers in
                              the late evening and overnight.
Sfc winds...........West 20 to 25 knots.
100-ft winds........West to 30 knots.
Sig waves...........5 to 7 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 9 feet.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Showers in the morning. chance of showers in the
afternoon. Chance of waterspouts. West winds 10 to 15 knots.
Waves 4 to 6 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.THURSDAY...Chance of showers in the afternoon. showers likely.
South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.

$$

LOZ045-230200-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
453 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

.Tonight...
Weather.............Partly cloudy with chance of showers. mostly
                              cloudy with chance of thunderstorms. mostly
                              cloudy with showers.
Sfc winds...........Southeast 5 to 10 knots increasing to 20 to 25
                              knots in the late evening and overnight.
100-ft winds........Southeast 10 to 15 knots increasing to 30 knots
                              in the late evening and overnight.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet in the late
                              evening and overnight.

.SUNDAY...
Weather.............Chance of waterspouts. mostly cloudy early in
                              the afternoon.
Weather.............Showers. chance of thunderstorms. showers
                              likely.
Sfc winds...........South 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest early
                              in the afternoon.
100-ft winds........South 20 to 25 knots becoming southwest early
                              in the afternoon.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Chance of waterspouts.
Weather.............Chance of thunderstorms. showers.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 20 to 25 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest to 30 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 5 feet.

.MONDAY...
Weather.............Chance of waterspouts.
Weather.............Showers.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........3 to 5 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 6 feet.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Chance of waterspouts. mostly cloudy.
Weather.............Showers until early morning. mostly cloudy with
                              chance of showers after midnight.
Sfc winds...........West 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........West 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........3 to 5 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 6 feet.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Chance of waterspouts. West winds 10 to 15 knots.
Waves 2 to 4 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.THURSDAY...Chance of showers in the afternoon. showers likely.
South winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

$$

 

Occasional waves will only be displayed when values meet or exceed 5 feet.

 

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