
Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >
FZUS51 KBUF 170253
NSHBUF
Experimental Tabular Nearshore Marine Forecast
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1053 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
LEZ020-170800-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
1053 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
.Overnight...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with showers likely, then mostly
cloudy with chance of showers after midnight.
Sfc winds...........South 5 to 10 knots.
100-ft winds........South 10 to 15 knots.
.WEDNESDAY...
Weather.............Mostly sunny.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest 15 to 20 knots.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with showers likely early in the
evening. showers in the late evening and
overnight. chance of thunderstorms.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in
the late evening and early morning, then
increasing to south 15 to 20 knots after
midnight.
100-ft winds........Southwest 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast in
the late evening and early morning, then
increasing to south 20 to 25 knots after
midnight.
.THURSDAY...
Weather.............Showers until late afternoon. partly sunny with
chance of showers.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 20 to 25 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest to 30 knots.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. partly
cloudy.
Sfc winds...........West 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........West 20 to 25 knots.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.FRIDAY...Chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. West
winds 10 to 15 knots.
.SATURDAY...West winds 5 to 10 knots.
.SUNDAY...Chance of showers after midnight. West winds 5 to
10 knots.
$$
LOZ030-170800-
Lower Niagara River-
1053 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
.Overnight...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with showers likely, then mostly
cloudy with chance of showers after midnight.
Sfc winds...........South 5 to 10 knots.
100-ft winds........South 10 to 15 knots.
.WEDNESDAY...
Weather.............Mostly sunny.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest 15 to 20 knots.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with showers likely early in the
evening. showers in the late evening and
overnight. chance of thunderstorms.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in
the late evening and early morning, then
increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight.
100-ft winds........Southwest 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast in
the late evening and early morning, then
increasing to 20 to 25 knots after midnight.
.THURSDAY...
Weather.............Showers until late afternoon. partly sunny with
chance of showers.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 20 to 25 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest to 30 knots.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. partly
cloudy.
Sfc winds...........West 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........West 20 to 25 knots.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.FRIDAY...West winds 10 to 15 knots.
.SATURDAY...West winds 10 to 15 knots.
.SUNDAY...Chance of showers after midnight. West winds 5 to
10 knots.
$$
LEZ040-041-170800-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1053 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
.Overnight...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with showers likely, then mostly
cloudy with chance of showers after midnight.
Sfc winds...........South 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........South 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...
Weather.............Mostly sunny.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Showers likely, then showers in the late
evening and overnight.
Sfc winds...........South 10 to 15 knots increasing to 30 knots
after midnight.
100-ft winds........South 15 to 20 knots increasing to 35 knot
gales after midnight.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet after
midnight.
Ocnl waves..........Around 6 feet after midnight.
.THURSDAY...
Weather.............Showers early in the morning. mostly cloudy
with chance of showers in the late morning and
early afternoon, then partly sunny.
Sfc winds...........Southwest to 30 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest gales to 35 knots.
Sig waves...........5 to 7 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 9 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Partly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........West to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots
in the late evening and overnight.
100-ft winds........West gales to 35 knots decreasing to 20 to 25
knots in the late evening and overnight.
Sig waves...........5 to 7 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet after
midnight.
Ocnl waves..........Around 9 feet subsiding to around 6 feet after
midnight.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.FRIDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
.SATURDAY...West winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
.SUNDAY...Chance of showers after midnight. West winds 5 to
10 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
$$
LOZ042-170800-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
1053 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
.Overnight...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy. chance of showers.
Sfc winds...........South 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........South 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........2 feet or less.
.WEDNESDAY...
Weather.............Mostly sunny.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy. showers likely until early
morning, then showers.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast 15
to 20 knots in the late evening and overnight.
100-ft winds........Southeast 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet after
midnight.
Ocnl waves..........Around 5 feet after midnight.
.THURSDAY...
Weather.............Showers early in the morning. showers likely in
the late morning and early afternoon, then
partly sunny with chance of showers.
Sfc winds...........Southwest to 30 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest gales to 35 knots becoming 35 knots
early in the afternoon.
Sig waves...........4 to 6 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 7 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Partly cloudy with chance of showers. partly
cloudy.
Sfc winds...........West 20 to 25 knots.
100-ft winds........West to 30 knots.
Sig waves...........4 to 6 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 7 feet.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.FRIDAY...Breezy. West winds 20 to 25 knots. Waves 4 to 6 feet.
.SATURDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
.SUNDAY...Chance of showers after midnight. West winds 5 to
10 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
$$
LOZ043-044-170800-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
1053 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
.Overnight...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........South 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........South 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........2 feet or less.
.WEDNESDAY...
Weather.............Partly sunny. chance of showers. partly sunny.
Sfc winds...........South 10 to 15 knots becoming east 5 to 10
knots early in the afternoon.
100-ft winds........South 15 to 20 knots becoming east 10 to 15
knots early in the afternoon.
Sig waves...........2 feet or less.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Cloudy, then showers likely in the late evening
and early morning. showers.
Sfc winds...........Southeast 5 to 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20
knots after midnight.
100-ft winds........Southeast 10 to 15 knots increasing to 20 to 25
knots after midnight.
Sig waves...........2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet after
midnight.
.THURSDAY...
Weather.............Showers until late afternoon. partly sunny with
chance of showers early in the afternoon.
Sfc winds...........South 20 to 25 knots becoming southwest in the
late morning and afternoon.
100-ft winds........Southwest to 30 knots.
Sig waves...........3 to 5 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 7 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Partly cloudy with chance of showers. partly
cloudy.
Sfc winds...........West 20 to 25 knots.
100-ft winds........West to 30 knots.
Sig waves...........5 to 7 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 9 feet.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.FRIDAY...Breezy. West winds 20 to 25 knots. Waves 5 to 7 feet.
.SATURDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 5 to 7 feet.
.SUNDAY...Chance of showers after midnight. West winds 5 to
10 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
$$
LOZ045-170800-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
1053 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
.Overnight...
Weather.............Partly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........Southeast 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Southeast 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...
Weather.............Partly sunny. chance of showers. partly sunny
with chance of thunderstorms.
Sfc winds...........South 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........South 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy until early morning. cloudy with
chance of showers after midnight.
Sfc winds...........Southeast 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Southeast 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.
.THURSDAY...
Weather.............Showers until late afternoon. partly sunny with
chance of showers early in the afternoon.
Sfc winds...........South 20 to 25 knots becoming southwest early
in the afternoon.
100-ft winds........South to 30 knots becoming southwest early in
the afternoon.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 5 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Partly cloudy with chance of showers. partly
cloudy.
Sfc winds...........West to 30 knots.
100-ft winds........West gales to 35 knots.
Sig waves...........4 to 6 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 7 feet.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.FRIDAY...Breezy. West winds 20 to 25 knots. Waves 4 to 6 feet.
.SATURDAY...Chance of showers. West winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves
3 to 5 feet.
.SUNDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
$$
Occasional waves will only be displayed when values meet or exceed 5 feet.