National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Fire Weather Concerns and Severe Weather

Dry and breezy conditions will bring elevated to critical fire weather conditions across portions of the northern and central High Plains through this weekend, where fuels remain largely receptive. Severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall are possible from the Plains into the Upper Midwest, as well as in the Ohio Valley and portions of the Mid-Atlantic through this weekend. Read More >

 

 

FZUS51 KBUF 122053
NSHBUF

Experimental Tabular Nearshore Marine Forecast
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
453 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

LEZ020-130200-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
453 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026

.Tonight...
Weather.............Cloudy with chance of showers. mostly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 5 to 10 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest 10 to 15 knots.

.SUNDAY...
Weather.............Partly sunny. chance of showers early in the
                              afternoon.
Sfc winds...........West 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........West 15 to 20 knots.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy. chance of showers until early
                              morning, then partly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........Northwest 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Northwest 15 to 20 knots.

.MONDAY...
Weather.............Sunny.
Sfc winds...........North 5 to 10 knots.
100-ft winds........North 10 to 15 knots.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Partly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........Light and variable winds becoming southeast 5
                              to 10 knots after midnight.
100-ft winds........Light and variable winds becoming southeast 10
                              to 15 knots after midnight.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Chance of showers. South winds 5 to 10 knots.
.WEDNESDAY...Chance of showers in the morning. chance of showers
after midnight. Light and variable winds.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely, then chance of showers after
midnight. Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots.

$$

LOZ030-130200-
Lower Niagara River-
453 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026

.Tonight...
Weather.............Cloudy with chance of showers. mostly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 5 to 10 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest 10 to 15 knots.

.SUNDAY...
Weather.............Partly sunny, then chance of showers early in
                              the afternoon.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 5 to 10 knots becoming west in the
                              late morning and afternoon.
100-ft winds........West 10 to 15 knots.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy. chance of showers until early
                              morning, then partly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........Northwest 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Northwest 15 to 20 knots.

.MONDAY...
Weather.............Sunny.
Sfc winds...........North 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........North 15 to 20 knots.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Partly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........Light and variable winds becoming southeast 5
                              to 10 knots after midnight.
100-ft winds........Light and variable winds becoming southeast 10
                              to 15 knots after midnight.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Chance of showers. South winds 5 to 10 knots.
.WEDNESDAY...Chance of showers in the morning. chance of showers
after midnight. North winds 5 to 10 knots.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely, then chance of showers. North winds
5 to 10 knots.

$$

LEZ040-041-130200-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
453 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026

.Tonight...
Weather.............Cloudy with chance of showers, then mostly
                              cloudy after midnight.
Sfc winds...........South 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.

.SUNDAY...
Weather.............Mostly sunny.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........West 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with chance of showers, then
                              partly cloudy after midnight.
Sfc winds...........Northwest 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15
                              knots after midnight.
100-ft winds........Northwest 20 to 25 knots decreasing to 15 to 20
                              knots after midnight.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 5 feet in the late evening and
                              overnight.

.MONDAY...
Weather.............Sunny.
Sfc winds...........North 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........North 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet in the
                              late morning and afternoon.
Ocnl waves..........Around 5 feet early in the morning.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Partly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........Light and variable winds becoming southeast 10
                              to 15 knots in the late evening and overnight.
100-ft winds........Light and variable winds becoming southeast 15
                              to 20 knots in the late evening and overnight.
Sig waves...........2 feet or less.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Chance of showers. South winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves
1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Chance of showers. chance of showers after midnight.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
.THURSDAY...Chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely
in the afternoon and evening. chance of showers after midnight.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

$$

LOZ042-130200-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
453 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026

.Tonight...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy until early morning.
Sfc winds...........South 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.

.SUNDAY...
Weather.............Mostly sunny.
Sfc winds...........West 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........West 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. partly
                              cloudy in the late evening and overnight.
Sfc winds...........Northwest 10 to 15 knots increasing to 20 to 25
                              knots in the late evening and overnight.
100-ft winds........Northwest 15 to 20 knots increasing to 30 knots
                              in the late evening and overnight.
Sig waves...........3 to 5 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 6 feet.

.MONDAY...
Weather.............Sunny.
Sfc winds...........North 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10
                              knots early in the afternoon.
100-ft winds........North 20 to 25 knots becoming northwest 10 to
                              15 knots early in the afternoon.
Sig waves...........3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet in the
                              late morning and afternoon.
Ocnl waves..........Around 6 feet early in the morning.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Partly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to 10
                              knots in the late evening and overnight.
100-ft winds........Light and variable winds becoming south 10 to
                              15 knots in the late evening and overnight.
Sig waves...........2 feet or less.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Chance of showers. South winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves
1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Chance of showers in the morning. chance of showers
after midnight. North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely, then chance of showers. North winds
10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

$$

LOZ043-130200-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
453 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026

.Tonight...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with chance of showers, then
                              cloudy after midnight.
Sfc winds...........South 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........South 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.

.SUNDAY...
Weather.............Mostly sunny. chance of showers early in the
                              afternoon.
Sfc winds...........West 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots
                              early in the afternoon.
100-ft winds........West 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20
                              knots early in the afternoon.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy. chance of showers until early
                              morning, then partly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........Northwest 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........Northwest 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........3 to 5 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 6 feet.

.MONDAY...
Weather.............Sunny.
Sfc winds...........Northwest 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 5 to 10
                              knots early in the afternoon.
100-ft winds........Northwest 20 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15
                              knots early in the afternoon.
Sig waves...........3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet early in
                              the afternoon.
Ocnl waves..........Around 6 feet until late afternoon.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Partly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to 10
                              knots in the late evening and overnight.
100-ft winds........Light and variable winds becoming south 10 to
                              15 knots in the late evening and overnight.
Sig waves...........2 feet or less.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Chance of showers after midnight. South winds 10 to
15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Chance of showers in the morning. chance of showers
after midnight. South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely, then chance of showers after
midnight. North winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

$$

LOZ044-130200-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
453 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026

.Tonight...
Weather.............Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms.
Sfc winds...........South 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........South 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.

.SUNDAY...
Weather.............Partly sunny until late afternoon. partly sunny
                              in the late morning and early afternoon, then
                              mostly sunny with chance of showers.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 10 to 15 knots becoming west early in
                              the afternoon.
100-ft winds........Southwest 15 to 20 knots becoming west early in
                              the afternoon.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with chance of showers, then
                              partly cloudy after midnight.
Sfc winds...........Northwest 20 to 25 knots.
100-ft winds........Northwest to 30 knots.
Sig waves...........3 to 5 feet.
Ocnl waves..........Around 6 feet.

.MONDAY...
Weather.............Sunny.
Sfc winds...........North 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10
                              knots early in the afternoon.
100-ft winds........North 20 to 25 knots becoming northwest 10 to
                              15 knots early in the afternoon.
Sig waves...........3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet early in
                              the afternoon.
Ocnl waves..........Around 6 feet until late afternoon.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly clear.
Sfc winds...........Northwest 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in
                              the late evening and overnight.
100-ft winds........Southeast 10 to 15 knots.
Sig waves...........1 to 3 feet.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Chance of showers after midnight. South winds 10 to
15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Chance of showers after midnight. South winds 5 to
10 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely, then chance of showers after
midnight. North winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

$$

LOZ045-130200-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
453 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026

.Tonight...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy with chance of showers early in
                              the evening, then chance of thunderstorms.
                              showers likely in the late evening and
                              overnight.
Sfc winds...........South 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........South 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.

.SUNDAY...
Weather.............Cloudy with chance of showers, then partly
                              sunny in the late morning and afternoon. mostly
                              sunny.
Sfc winds...........Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
100-ft winds........Southwest 15 to 20 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly cloudy, then chance of showers in the
                              late evening and early morning. partly cloudy.
Sfc winds...........Northwest 15 to 20 knots.
100-ft winds........Northwest 20 to 25 knots.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet.

.MONDAY...
Weather.............Sunny.
Sfc winds...........North 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10
                              knots early in the afternoon.
100-ft winds........North 20 to 25 knots becoming northwest 10 to
                              15 knots early in the afternoon.
Sig waves...........2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet early in
                              the afternoon.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Weather.............Mostly clear.
Sfc winds...........North 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the
                              late evening and overnight.
100-ft winds........Southeast 10 to 15 knots.
Sig waves...........2 feet or less.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5......
.TUESDAY...Chance of showers after midnight. South winds 15 to
20 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Chance of showers after midnight. Southeast winds
5 to 10 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely, then chance of showers after
midnight. Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

$$

 

Occasional waves will only be displayed when values meet or exceed 5 feet.

 

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