Coastal Threats for the East and Gulf; Record Warmth for the Central U.S.
Persistent onshore flow across the Southeast and portions of the mid-Atlantic will keep the risk of rip currents through the weekend. Rainfall could be locally heavy across Florida, especially along the eastern shoreline. Meanwhile, record warmth for portions of the Plains and Midwest with elevated fire concerns. For the west, a trough will keep the pattern unsettled with wet conditions.
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Unseasonably warm temperatures continue through next week. There are low chances (10-30%) of isolated afternoon into early evening showers in the early to middle part of next week.
This upcoming October will likely be warmer than normal across South-Central Texas. Odds are also tilted towards less rainfall than normal for the month.
The combination of drier and warmer than normal conditions in October will likely lead to an expansion and worsening of the ongoing drought over our area. Severe to exceptional drought is already impacting most of much of South-Central Texas, especially the San Antonio area, areas along Highway 90, and adjoining portions of the I-35 corridor and Coastal Plains.
A typical October in South-Central Texas features temperatures cooling throughout the month as cold fronts begin pushing across the area, with moisture from Pacific storms occasionally adding rainfall. Average highs cool from the upper 80s to the lower 80s and upper 70s, but a few highs in the 90s are typical. Average lows cool from the 60s to the 50s. October freezes do happen every few years in the Hill Country but are much rarer elsewhere. However, the outlook for October 2025 indicates this month will likely feature warmer than normal temperatures with chances tilted towards drier than normal weather.