Fire Weather Forecast - Ashe County, NC

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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
253 PM EDT Sun May 11 2025

.DISCUSSION...

A low over the Lower Mississippi Valley will track slowly
northeast into the Mid Atlantic region for Tuesday and 
Wednesday. This will result in a prolonged period of rain 
starting late today and early Monday. Heavy rain and flooding 
are possible for our area Monday through Tuesday night, 
especially along the Blue Ridge and the eastern foothills 
where rainfall amounts will be the highest. 

Heavy rain and flooding are possible for our area Monday night 
through Tuesday night, especially along the Blue Ridge where 
upslope flow will lead to higher rainfall totals. 

Less widespread and more scattered showers are expected for 
Thursday and Friday.

NCZ001-120815-
Ashe-
Including the city of West Jefferson
253 PM EDT Sun May 11 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue          

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        
Precip Type           Rain         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        
Chance Precip (%)     70           100          100          70           
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           50           70           
Min/Max Temp          53           64           55           68           
Max/Min RH %          95           80           98           68           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SE  4        SE  4        SE  6 G20    SE  3        
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE  4        SE  8 G17    SE  3 G19    SE  3        
Precip Amount         0.47         1.39         1.16         0.22         
Precip Duration       3            12           12           10           
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1910                      2760         
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 18                     S 13         
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 34380                     35880        
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair                      
Max ADI Early         16 Gen Poor  29 Fair      27 Fair      23 Fair      
Max ADI Late          5 Very Poor  34 Fair      11 Poor      40 Fair      
Max LVORI Early       6            6            5            7            
Max LVORI Late        6            4            7            4            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 56 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 57 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.
Radar