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FNUS51 KRNK 162356 AAA
FWFRNK
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...UPDATED
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
656 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Update: Dewpoints have been observed around 5 degrees lower than
originally forecast. Therefore, dewpoints were lowered for tonight
and Monday morning. Winds have also been gusting higher than
forecast in the Piedmont, so winds were also increased slightly,
though they do briefly reduce overnight in some areas. Tomorrow
will be another fire danger day, as winds remain strong along with
low dewpoints.
The combination of continued gusty winds in the 20-30+ mph range,
low RH values dropping into the teens and 20 percent range,
along with dry fuels on the ground will result in a critical
fire weather day again on Monday. Fortunately, winds do look to
diminish some on Monday; however, RH values will likely be much
lower areawide, with more widespread upper teens RH values
possible in the Piedmont. This continued fire weather concerns
will likely lead to a fire weather SPS for much of the area on
Monday. Burning will continue to be discouraged for much of the
area.
NCZ006-170930-
Caswell-
Including the city of Yanceyville
656 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 35 59 31 63
Max/Min RH % 42 18 60 22
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 5 NW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 4 NW 5 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4560 2080
Transport Wnd (mph) W 14 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63840 20800
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Max ADI Early 11 Poor 62 Good 3 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 5 Very Poor 75 Good 1 Very Poor 28 Fair
Max LVORI Early 2 2 2 3
Max LVORI Late 2 2 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.