Fire Weather Forecast - Smyth County, VA

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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
214 PM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

.DISCUSSION...

Increasing moisture today ahead of an approaching cold front. 
0.25" to 0.50" storm total through Thursday morning.

By the end of the work week, the potential for fire danger is 
expected to increase as winds and temperatures rebound on Friday. 
Southwest sinds could gust between 25 to 35 mph. Combine this 
with minimum RH values in the 20s, and fuels will dry very quickly
across the region. These conditions may lead to adverse fire 
behavior on Friday and Saturday as RHs remain low both days.
Moisture begins to increase by Sunday, and RHs trend upwards. 


&&

VAZ009-120815-
Smyth-
Including the city of Marion
214 PM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri          

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       
Precip Type           Showers      Snow/Rain    None         None         
Chance Precip (%)     100          90           0            0            
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0            
Min/Max Temp          30           41           24           57           
Max/Min RH %          100          39           67           29           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW  9 G23    NW 13 G29    NW  5 G22    S  5 G22     
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 10 G25     NW 13 G29    Lgt/Var      SW 12 G26    
Precip Amount         0.38         0.24         0.00         0.00         
Precip Duration       5            3                                      
Precip Begin          11 PM        Continuing                             
Precip End            Continuing   11 AM                                  
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5770                      5180         
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 28                     SW 22        
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 161560                    113960       
Dispersion            Excellent                 Very Poor                 
Max ADI Early         67 Good      57 Gen Good  85 Good      53 Gen Good  
Max ADI Late          25 Fair      96 Good      2 Very Poor  73 Good      
Max LVORI Early       3            4            3            3            
Max LVORI Late        4            3            3            1            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum RH 55 percent. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph. 
.MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely and a
chance of snow showers. Cooler. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in
the lower 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent. West winds 20 to 25 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of snow showers.
Colder. Lows around 19. Highs in the mid 30s. Minimum RH
30 percent. West winds 20 to 30 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 19. Highs in the lower
40s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation below normal.

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